Player ProjectionsNovember 20, 2003


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Week 12

By Charles Budd & Steve Maluk

This is a computerized ranking system created by Charles Budd and Steve Maluk (known in the forums as Buckychudd and Wesley Walker). Factors considered include 2003 performance of players and opposing defenses as well as the Vegas over/under and point spreads (to predict scoring). Players on byes are obviously not included, nor are players listed as “out” or “doubtful.”

Point projections are based on the following scoring system: 1 point for 25 yards passing or 10 yards rushing/receiving; 6 points per TD; -1 per sack or fumble; -2 per interception thrown.

 
QB  RB  WR  TE

QB:

Daunte Culpepper, Steve McNair, and Marc Bulger should all be up to their usual antics, and look for Chad Pennington and Jake Plummer to continue to show why their respective teams were so anxious for them to return from injury. Nice Guy Pennington may take advantage of the Jags’ defense and then kick them when they’re down. And keep an eye on Jon Kitna, who could take full advantage of the weak San Diego defense.

QBOppPass YdsRush YdsTDsIntSackFumPts
Daunte Culpepper MINDET256.029.52.80.562.061.1325.9
Chad Pennington NYJJAX242.80.62.70.771.260.7522.5
Steve McNair TENATL293.313.92.00.301.960.8022.0
Marc Bulger STLARI285.23.82.10.681.120.4421.5
Jake Plummer* DENCHI179.323.52.10.620.530.3319.8
*Probable (foot)
Jon Kitna CINSD264.39.32.00.762.140.5019.3
Trent Green KCOAK265.16.21.60.720.950.3018.2
Brad Johnson TBNYG254.33.31.90.822.040.6017.7
Peyton Manning INDBUF234.60.31.50.600.790.1016.0
Tom Brady* NEHOU256.22.51.40.671.110.8015.5
*Probable (arm)
Kelly Holcomb CLEPIT181.20.91.60.651.910.2913.1
Brett Favre* GBSF198.20.61.61.571.550.3012.9
*Probable (thumb)
Aaron Brooks NOPHI209.812.71.10.602.350.7012.1
Quincy Carter DALCAR211.813.11.00.792.300.5011.5
Jeff Blake ARISTL162.112.01.51.311.900.7011.3
Doug Flutie SDCIN132.217.01.10.311.161.3310.8
Matt Hasselbeck SEABAL185.69.21.31.053.150.3010.3
Donovan McNabb PHINO158.327.90.90.462.950.909.8
Joey Harrington DETMIN212.93.61.22.530.700.409.7
Tim Rattay SFGB119.50.30.90.170.440.009.6
Byron Leftwich JAXNYJ173.66.11.00.572.111.119.5
Patrick Ramsey* WASMIA233.34.61.11.353.370.709.5
*Questionable (foot)
Tommy Maddox PITCLE205.10.61.01.122.360.309.3
Kerry Collins NYGTB228.12.71.02.071.830.608.9
Drew Brees SDCIN185.37.30.91.401.640.258.8

 
RB:

As long as he isn’t giving too many carries away to Corey Dillon, Rudi Johnson could sneak into elite fantasy company again this week and exploit the Chargers’ run defense. Keep an eye on Fred Taylor’s injury status, but if he goes, he’s an outstanding start against the Jets run D.

RBOppRush YdsRec YdsTDsFumPts
Priest Holmes KCOAK119.245.11.60.1025.9
Rudi Johnson CINSD151.716.00.90.0022.1
Ahman Green GBSF89.234.81.10.7018.6
LaDanian Tomlinson SDCIN103.234.90.70.1017.9
Jamal Lewis BALSEA124.712.90.70.6017.2
Fred Taylor* JAXNYJ107.928.40.60.4017.0
*Probable (knee)
Travis Henry* BUFIND96.410.81.00.3316.7
*Questionable (leg)
Clinton Portis DENCHI106.124.30.60.3316.4
Deuce McAllister NOPHI103.029.10.50.4015.7
Moe Williams MINDET66.744.10.70.1015.0
Ricky Williams MIAWAS89.022.90.70.5014.7
Edgerrin James INDBUF81.717.40.60.1413.3
Shaun Alexander SEABAL71.918.80.70.2013.2
Dominick Davis HOUNE77.629.00.40.2013.0
Tiki Barber NYGTB90.625.50.20.6012.3
Stephen Davis CARDAL87.610.10.50.3312.3
Eddie George TENATL73.99.30.50.0011.6
Brian Westbrook PHINO48.211.10.90.0011.2
Marcel Shipp* ARISTL88.626.00.00.4011.1
*Probable (forearm/knee)
Michael Pittman TBNYG59.440.30.20.4010.8
Garrison Hearst* SFGB68.621.20.30.2010.8
*Probable (ankle)
Marshall Faulk STLARI48.418.70.60.0010.2
Kevin Faulk NEHOU58.933.00.00.229.0
Warrick Dunn ATLTEN45.423.60.40.208.9
Anthony Thomas CHIDEN65.50.90.40.138.8
Troy Hambrick DALCAR54.69.00.40.408.4
Antowain Smith NEHOU52.311.00.30.008.2
Shawn Bryson DETMIN44.528.30.10.107.9
Kevan Barlow SFGB54.414.00.20.207.6
Correll Buckhalter PHINO36.95.90.50.307.3
Duce Staley PHINO27.523.50.30.206.9
Curtis Martin NYJJAX57.911.40.00.206.7
TJ Duckett ATLTEN28.86.50.50.106.6
Corey Dillon CINSD38.48.50.30.006.5
Amos Zereoue PITCLE34.419.70.20.006.5

 
WR:

Did we mention we like the Bengals against the Chargers this week? Chad Johnson may not be making any guarantees this time, but we like him to go off against the Bolts in San Diego on Sunday. We also fancy Keenan McCardell’s chances with Keyshawn Johnson inactive. Even Joe Jurevicius is a solid start against his former team.

WROppRec YdsTDsFumPts
Torry Holt* STLARI114.51.00.0017.3
*Probable (ankle)
Randy Moss MINDET103.51.00.0016.6
Santana Moss* NYJJAX80.91.00.2013.8
*Probable (ribs)
Chad Johnson CINSD100.80.60.0013.4
Derrick Mason TENATL98.00.40.0012.4
Keenan McCardell* TBNYG78.00.70.0012.2
*Probable (hamstring)
Hines Ward PITCLE65.80.80.0011.1
Terrell Owens* SFGB84.80.40.0011.0
*Probable (groin)
Marvin Harrison* INDBUF70.50.60.1110.6
*Questionable (hamstring)
Anquan Boldin ARISTL79.70.40.1010.5
Laveranues Coles* WASMIA88.20.30.0010.5
*Probable (toe)
Peter Warrick CINSD66.10.60.009.9
Chris Chambers MIAWAS55.30.70.109.4
Joe Horn* NOPHI61.10.50.109.3
*Questionable (knee)
Andre Johnson HOUNE74.70.30.009.2
Jimmy Smith JAXNYJ69.40.30.008.9
David Boston SDCIN64.90.40.138.8
Isaac Bruce STLARI76.20.10.008.2
Amani Toomer NYGTB65.80.30.008.2
Justin McCareins TENATL53.50.40.007.9
Eric Moulds* BUFIND71.90.10.007.9
*Questionable (groin)
Reggie Wayne INDBUF54.00.40.007.7
Terry Glenn DALCAR47.80.50.207.6
Darrell Jackson SEABAL58.10.30.107.6
Steve Smith CARDAL53.50.40.107.6
Johnnie Morton KCOAK52.50.40.007.6
Ike Hilliard* NYGTB44.60.50.207.5
*Questionable (knee/ankle)
Deion Branch NEHOU60.10.20.007.4
Eddie Kennison KCOAK56.10.30.007.4
Troy Edwards JAXNYJ53.70.30.007.2
Rod Gardner WASMIA48.90.40.107.0
Tai Streets* SFGB43.40.40.006.9
*Probable (quadricep)
Joe Jurevicius TBNYG26.10.70.006.9
Tyrone Calico TENATL36.90.50.006.6
Kelly Campbell MINDET42.00.40.006.5
David Givens* NEHOU36.30.50.006.5
*Questionable (leg)
Peerless Price ATLTEN55.50.10.006.2
Koren Robinson SEABAL51.90.20.116.1
Rod Smith DENCHI51.70.20.006.1
Andre Davis CLEPIT34.00.40.006.0
Dennis Northcutt CLEPIT45.30.20.005.9
Joey Galloway DALCAR52.60.10.005.9
Plaxico Burress* PITCLE52.70.10.005.8
*Probable (shoulder)
Travis Taylor BALSEA39.20.30.005.7
Jerry Rice OAKKC57.20.00.105.6

 
TE:

Tony Gonzalez and Shannon Sharpe are in a league of their own, as usual. Keith Heinrich is a worthy sleeper this week and, if Cleveland plays Pittsburgh the way they did last time, he could see the end zone. And Dallas Clark could benefit if Marcus Pollard is unable to go. Clark broke out for his first career 100-yard game last week in Pollard’s absence.

TEOppRec YdsTDsFumPts
Tony Gonzalez KCOAK58.70.60.009.4
Shannon Sharpe DENCHI44.90.70.008.6
Todd Heap BALSEA51.40.20.106.2
Randy McMichael MIAWAS44.00.20.005.7
Alge Crumpler ATLTEN45.00.20.105.7
Freddie Jones ARISTL32.20.30.005.2
Keith Heinrich CLEPIT44.00.00.004.4
Jim Kleinsasser MINDET24.10.30.004.3
Daniel Graham NEHOU35.20.10.004.2
Marcus Pollard INDBUF33.20.20.114.2
Mikhael Ricks DETMIN28.20.20.004.1
Anthony Becht NYJJAX21.10.30.104.0
Desmond Clark CHIDEN27.60.20.113.8
Christian Fauria NEHOU23.60.20.003.6
Dallas Clark INDBUF31.10.10.003.6
Itula Mili SEABAL21.80.20.003.6
Matt Schobel CINSD29.90.10.113.6
Billy Miller HOUNE23.10.20.003.5
Erron Kinney TENATL25.50.10.103.1
Bubba Franks GBSF18.20.20.002.9

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