Week 12

This is a computerized ranking system created by Charles Budd and Steve Maluk (known in the forums as Buckychudd and Wesley Walker). Factors considered include 2003 performance of players and opposing defenses as well as the Vegas over/under and point spreads (to predict scoring). Players on byes are obviously not included, nor are players listed as “out” or “doubtful.”

Point projections are based on the following scoring system: 1 point for 25 yards passing or 10 yards rushing/receiving; 6 points per TD; -1 per sack or fumble; -2 per interception thrown.

 
QB  RB  WR  TE

QB:

Daunte Culpepper, Steve McNair, and Marc Bulger should all be up to their usual antics, and look for Chad Pennington and Jake Plummer to continue to show why their respective teams were so anxious for them to return from injury. Nice Guy Pennington may take advantage of the Jags’ defense and then kick them when they’re down. And keep an eye on Jon Kitna, who could take full advantage of the weak San Diego defense.

QB	Opp	Pass Yds	Rush Yds	TDs	Int	Sack	Fum	Pts
Daunte Culpepper MIN	DET	256.0	29.5	2.8	0.56	2.06	1.13	25.9
Chad Pennington NYJ	JAX	242.8	0.6	2.7	0.77	1.26	0.75	22.5
Steve McNair TEN	ATL	293.3	13.9	2.0	0.30	1.96	0.80	22.0
Marc Bulger STL	ARI	285.2	3.8	2.1	0.68	1.12	0.44	21.5
Jake Plummer* DEN	CHI	179.3	23.5	2.1	0.62	0.53	0.33	19.8
*Probable (foot)
Jon Kitna CIN	SD	264.3	9.3	2.0	0.76	2.14	0.50	19.3
Trent Green KC	OAK	265.1	6.2	1.6	0.72	0.95	0.30	18.2
Brad Johnson TB	NYG	254.3	3.3	1.9	0.82	2.04	0.60	17.7
Peyton Manning IND	BUF	234.6	0.3	1.5	0.60	0.79	0.10	16.0
Tom Brady* NE	HOU	256.2	2.5	1.4	0.67	1.11	0.80	15.5
*Probable (arm)
Kelly Holcomb CLE	PIT	181.2	0.9	1.6	0.65	1.91	0.29	13.1
Brett Favre* GB	SF	198.2	0.6	1.6	1.57	1.55	0.30	12.9
*Probable (thumb)
Aaron Brooks NO	PHI	209.8	12.7	1.1	0.60	2.35	0.70	12.1
Quincy Carter DAL	CAR	211.8	13.1	1.0	0.79	2.30	0.50	11.5
Jeff Blake ARI	STL	162.1	12.0	1.5	1.31	1.90	0.70	11.3
Doug Flutie SD	CIN	132.2	17.0	1.1	0.31	1.16	1.33	10.8
Matt Hasselbeck SEA	BAL	185.6	9.2	1.3	1.05	3.15	0.30	10.3
Donovan McNabb PHI	NO	158.3	27.9	0.9	0.46	2.95	0.90	9.8
Joey Harrington DET	MIN	212.9	3.6	1.2	2.53	0.70	0.40	9.7
Tim Rattay SF	GB	119.5	0.3	0.9	0.17	0.44	0.00	9.6
Byron Leftwich JAX	NYJ	173.6	6.1	1.0	0.57	2.11	1.11	9.5
Patrick Ramsey* WAS	MIA	233.3	4.6	1.1	1.35	3.37	0.70	9.5
*Questionable (foot)
Tommy Maddox PIT	CLE	205.1	0.6	1.0	1.12	2.36	0.30	9.3
Kerry Collins NYG	TB	228.1	2.7	1.0	2.07	1.83	0.60	8.9
Drew Brees SD	CIN	185.3	7.3	0.9	1.40	1.64	0.25	8.8

 
RB:

As long as he isn’t giving too many carries away to Corey Dillon, Rudi Johnson could sneak into elite fantasy company again this week and exploit the Chargers’ run defense. Keep an eye on Fred Taylor’s injury status, but if he goes, he’s an outstanding start against the Jets run D.

RB	Opp	Rush Yds	Rec Yds	TDs	Fum	Pts
Priest Holmes KC	OAK	119.2	45.1	1.6	0.10	25.9
Rudi Johnson CIN	SD	151.7	16.0	0.9	0.00	22.1
Ahman Green GB	SF	89.2	34.8	1.1	0.70	18.6
LaDanian Tomlinson SD	CIN	103.2	34.9	0.7	0.10	17.9
Jamal Lewis BAL	SEA	124.7	12.9	0.7	0.60	17.2
Fred Taylor* JAX	NYJ	107.9	28.4	0.6	0.40	17.0
*Probable (knee)
Travis Henry* BUF	IND	96.4	10.8	1.0	0.33	16.7
*Questionable (leg)
Clinton Portis DEN	CHI	106.1	24.3	0.6	0.33	16.4
Deuce McAllister NO	PHI	103.0	29.1	0.5	0.40	15.7
Moe Williams MIN	DET	66.7	44.1	0.7	0.10	15.0
Ricky Williams MIA	WAS	89.0	22.9	0.7	0.50	14.7
Edgerrin James IND	BUF	81.7	17.4	0.6	0.14	13.3
Shaun Alexander SEA	BAL	71.9	18.8	0.7	0.20	13.2
Dominick Davis HOU	NE	77.6	29.0	0.4	0.20	13.0
Tiki Barber NYG	TB	90.6	25.5	0.2	0.60	12.3
Stephen Davis CAR	DAL	87.6	10.1	0.5	0.33	12.3
Eddie George TEN	ATL	73.9	9.3	0.5	0.00	11.6
Brian Westbrook PHI	NO	48.2	11.1	0.9	0.00	11.2
Marcel Shipp* ARI	STL	88.6	26.0	0.0	0.40	11.1
*Probable (forearm/knee)
Michael Pittman TB	NYG	59.4	40.3	0.2	0.40	10.8
Garrison Hearst* SF	GB	68.6	21.2	0.3	0.20	10.8
*Probable (ankle)
Marshall Faulk STL	ARI	48.4	18.7	0.6	0.00	10.2
Kevin Faulk NE	HOU	58.9	33.0	0.0	0.22	9.0
Warrick Dunn ATL	TEN	45.4	23.6	0.4	0.20	8.9
Anthony Thomas CHI	DEN	65.5	0.9	0.4	0.13	8.8
Troy Hambrick DAL	CAR	54.6	9.0	0.4	0.40	8.4
Antowain Smith NE	HOU	52.3	11.0	0.3	0.00	8.2
Shawn Bryson DET	MIN	44.5	28.3	0.1	0.10	7.9
Kevan Barlow SF	GB	54.4	14.0	0.2	0.20	7.6
Correll Buckhalter PHI	NO	36.9	5.9	0.5	0.30	7.3
Duce Staley PHI	NO	27.5	23.5	0.3	0.20	6.9
Curtis Martin NYJ	JAX	57.9	11.4	0.0	0.20	6.7
TJ Duckett ATL	TEN	28.8	6.5	0.5	0.10	6.6
Corey Dillon CIN	SD	38.4	8.5	0.3	0.00	6.5
Amos Zereoue PIT	CLE	34.4	19.7	0.2	0.00	6.5

 
WR:

Did we mention we like the Bengals against the Chargers this week? Chad Johnson may not be making any guarantees this time, but we like him to go off against the Bolts in San Diego on Sunday. We also fancy Keenan McCardell’s chances with Keyshawn Johnson inactive. Even Joe Jurevicius is a solid start against his former team.

WR	Opp	Rec Yds	TDs	Fum	Pts
Torry Holt* STL	ARI	114.5	1.0	0.00	17.3
*Probable (ankle)
Randy Moss MIN	DET	103.5	1.0	0.00	16.6
Santana Moss* NYJ	JAX	80.9	1.0	0.20	13.8
*Probable (ribs)
Chad Johnson CIN	SD	100.8	0.6	0.00	13.4
Derrick Mason TEN	ATL	98.0	0.4	0.00	12.4
Keenan McCardell* TB	NYG	78.0	0.7	0.00	12.2
*Probable (hamstring)
Hines Ward PIT	CLE	65.8	0.8	0.00	11.1
Terrell Owens* SF	GB	84.8	0.4	0.00	11.0
*Probable (groin)
Marvin Harrison* IND	BUF	70.5	0.6	0.11	10.6
*Questionable (hamstring)
Anquan Boldin ARI	STL	79.7	0.4	0.10	10.5
Laveranues Coles* WAS	MIA	88.2	0.3	0.00	10.5
*Probable (toe)
Peter Warrick CIN	SD	66.1	0.6	0.00	9.9
Chris Chambers MIA	WAS	55.3	0.7	0.10	9.4
Joe Horn* NO	PHI	61.1	0.5	0.10	9.3
*Questionable (knee)
Andre Johnson HOU	NE	74.7	0.3	0.00	9.2
Jimmy Smith JAX	NYJ	69.4	0.3	0.00	8.9
David Boston SD	CIN	64.9	0.4	0.13	8.8
Isaac Bruce STL	ARI	76.2	0.1	0.00	8.2
Amani Toomer NYG	TB	65.8	0.3	0.00	8.2
Justin McCareins TEN	ATL	53.5	0.4	0.00	7.9
Eric Moulds* BUF	IND	71.9	0.1	0.00	7.9
*Questionable (groin)
Reggie Wayne IND	BUF	54.0	0.4	0.00	7.7
Terry Glenn DAL	CAR	47.8	0.5	0.20	7.6
Darrell Jackson SEA	BAL	58.1	0.3	0.10	7.6
Steve Smith CAR	DAL	53.5	0.4	0.10	7.6
Johnnie Morton KC	OAK	52.5	0.4	0.00	7.6
Ike Hilliard* NYG	TB	44.6	0.5	0.20	7.5
*Questionable (knee/ankle)
Deion Branch NE	HOU	60.1	0.2	0.00	7.4
Eddie Kennison KC	OAK	56.1	0.3	0.00	7.4
Troy Edwards JAX	NYJ	53.7	0.3	0.00	7.2
Rod Gardner WAS	MIA	48.9	0.4	0.10	7.0
Tai Streets* SF	GB	43.4	0.4	0.00	6.9
*Probable (quadricep)
Joe Jurevicius TB	NYG	26.1	0.7	0.00	6.9
Tyrone Calico TEN	ATL	36.9	0.5	0.00	6.6
Kelly Campbell MIN	DET	42.0	0.4	0.00	6.5
David Givens* NE	HOU	36.3	0.5	0.00	6.5
*Questionable (leg)
Peerless Price ATL	TEN	55.5	0.1	0.00	6.2
Koren Robinson SEA	BAL	51.9	0.2	0.11	6.1
Rod Smith DEN	CHI	51.7	0.2	0.00	6.1
Andre Davis CLE	PIT	34.0	0.4	0.00	6.0
Dennis Northcutt CLE	PIT	45.3	0.2	0.00	5.9
Joey Galloway DAL	CAR	52.6	0.1	0.00	5.9
Plaxico Burress* PIT	CLE	52.7	0.1	0.00	5.8
*Probable (shoulder)
Travis Taylor BAL	SEA	39.2	0.3	0.00	5.7
Jerry Rice OAK	KC	57.2	0.0	0.10	5.6

 
TE:

Tony Gonzalez and Shannon Sharpe are in a league of their own, as usual. Keith Heinrich is a worthy sleeper this week and, if Cleveland plays Pittsburgh the way they did last time, he could see the end zone. And Dallas Clark could benefit if Marcus Pollard is unable to go. Clark broke out for his first career 100-yard game last week in Pollard’s absence.

TE	Opp	Rec Yds	TDs	Fum	Pts
Tony Gonzalez KC	OAK	58.7	0.6	0.00	9.4
Shannon Sharpe DEN	CHI	44.9	0.7	0.00	8.6
Todd Heap BAL	SEA	51.4	0.2	0.10	6.2
Randy McMichael MIA	WAS	44.0	0.2	0.00	5.7
Alge Crumpler ATL	TEN	45.0	0.2	0.10	5.7
Freddie Jones ARI	STL	32.2	0.3	0.00	5.2
Keith Heinrich CLE	PIT	44.0	0.0	0.00	4.4
Jim Kleinsasser MIN	DET	24.1	0.3	0.00	4.3
Daniel Graham NE	HOU	35.2	0.1	0.00	4.2
Marcus Pollard IND	BUF	33.2	0.2	0.11	4.2
Mikhael Ricks DET	MIN	28.2	0.2	0.00	4.1
Anthony Becht NYJ	JAX	21.1	0.3	0.10	4.0
Desmond Clark CHI	DEN	27.6	0.2	0.11	3.8
Christian Fauria NE	HOU	23.6	0.2	0.00	3.6
Dallas Clark IND	BUF	31.1	0.1	0.00	3.6
Itula Mili SEA	BAL	21.8	0.2	0.00	3.6
Matt Schobel CIN	SD	29.9	0.1	0.11	3.6
Billy Miller HOU	NE	23.1	0.2	0.00	3.5
Erron Kinney TEN	ATL	25.5	0.1	0.10	3.1
Bubba Franks GB	SF	18.2	0.2	0.00	2.9