Player ProjectionsNovember 27, 2003


Week 13

By Charles Budd & Steve Maluk

This is a computerized ranking system created by Charles Budd and Steve Maluk (known in the forums as Buckychudd and Wesley Walker). Factors considered include 2003 performance of players and opposing defenses as well as the Vegas over/under and point spreads (to predict scoring). Players on byes are obviously not included, nor are players listed as “out” or “doubtful.”

Point projections are based on the following scoring system: 1 point for 25 yards passing or 10 yards rushing/receiving; 6 points per TD; -1 per sack or fumble; -2 per interception thrown.

 
QB  RB  WR  TE

QB:

More target practice for Trent Green this week as he looks to spread the ball around against a weak San Diego defense. Steve McNair was mysteriously left off Wednesday’s injury report, but with his calf injury we’d put him somewhere between questionable and doubtful – but, then, he is Steve McNair. Meanwhile, Marc Bulger’s mistakes are catching up to him – he is a good start only if your league doesn’t penalize for interceptions. Looking for a sleeper? Pick one: Anthony Wright or Doug Johnson.

QBOppPass YdsRush YdsTDsIntSackFumPts
Trent Green KCSD288.66.62.00.491.370.2721.8
Jake Plummer DENOAK203.225.81.80.540.750.2919.4
Brad Johnson TBJAX265.51.92.01.121.010.5518.8
Daunte Culpepper MINSTL217.430.72.11.062.571.1118.7
Chad Pennington NYJTEN267.00.42.10.892.450.6018.3
Steve McNair* TENNYJ209.213.91.50.191.840.9115.9
*Questionable (calf)
Brett Favre* GBDET190.40.91.91.050.950.2715.8
*Probable (thumb)
Jon Kitna CINPIT227.77.01.70.632.380.5515.8
Peyton Manning INDNE279.8-0.11.21.060.990.0915.2
Doug Flutie SDKC154.118.01.80.411.901.0014.9
Marc Bulger STLMIN307.36.31.93.202.830.5014.7
Aaron Brooks NOWAS226.913.81.30.931.530.8214.2
Matt Hasselbeck SEACLE190.212.21.50.622.540.3613.7
Anthony Wright BALSF215.313.62.11.455.251.0013.5
Jeff Blake ARICHI169.615.61.40.930.880.6413.5
Tommy Maddox PITCIN226.20.61.40.932.310.2713.1
Joey Harrington DETGB195.05.81.41.770.520.3612.5
Patrick Ramsey WASNO177.76.81.50.492.860.6412.2
Doug Johnson* ATLHOU223.43.61.21.291.660.3812.0
*Questionable (foot)
Tom Brady NEIND212.23.51.20.782.190.9111.7
Kerry Collins* NYGBUF215.64.01.00.931.590.8210.9
*Probable (arm)
Jake Delhomme CARPHI205.61.81.00.681.340.8210.9
Kelly Holcomb CLESEA201.10.91.21.251.890.3810.6
Donovan McNabb PHICAR201.122.60.80.443.310.8210.0
Quincy Carter DALMIA218.710.70.91.721.990.459.6

 
RB:

It’s Priest Holmes and Ahman Green duking it out for the title of Most Valuable Fantasy Player. Look for the Padre to take top honors this week. Domanick Davis could make you remember why you picked him up off waivers and is a great start against Atlanta’s porous defense. Deuce McAllister, with his eight straight 100-yard games, and Clinton Portis, with his new-found durability, should round out a great fantasy week for stud RBs.

RBOppRush YdsRec YdsTDsFumPts
Priest Holmes KCSD113.955.61.270.0924.5
Ahman Green GBDET122.129.91.360.6422.7
Deuce McAllister NOWAS124.331.40.830.3620.2
Clinton Portis DENOAK135.627.70.610.3019.7
Dominick Davis HOUATL120.229.30.790.2019.5
LaDanian Tomlinson SDKC112.437.40.720.0919.2
Stephen Davis CARPHI119.513.20.660.3016.9
Travis Henry* BUFNYG85.213.40.980.3015.5
*Questionable (leg)
Jamal Lewis BALSF108.715.90.540.5515.2
Eddie George* TENNYJ82.126.60.660.2014.6
*Questionable (calf)
Shaun Alexander SEACLE83.315.90.740.1814.2
Marshall Faulk STLMIN68.823.20.830.0014.2
Edgerrin James INDNE72.823.40.790.2514.1
Moe Williams MINSTL61.540.60.530.1813.2
Fred Taylor* JAXTB79.422.90.420.4512.3
*Probable (knee)
Marcel Shipp* ARICHI101.821.70.000.1812.2
*Probable (forearm)
Rudi Johnson CINPIT72.010.90.600.0011.9
Tiki Barber NYGBUF79.924.80.300.6411.6
Ricky Williams MIADAL59.016.00.560.4510.4
Anthony Thomas CHIARI72.80.90.460.1110.0
Brian Westbrook PHICAR35.917.00.660.009.2
Garrison Hearst SFBAL57.717.80.290.189.1
TJ Duckett ATLHOU47.15.90.650.099.1
Kevin Faulk NEIND55.334.30.000.208.8
Michael Pittman TBJAX43.238.20.110.368.4
Trung Canidate WASNO55.97.80.230.117.6
Charlie Garner OAKDEN34.026.30.270.007.6
Troy Hambrick DALMIA45.18.20.430.367.5
James Jackson* CLESEA32.711.30.560.307.5
*Questionable (back)
Lamar Gordon STLMIN51.510.90.220.177.4
Michael Bennett MINSTL38.421.80.20.257.2
Amos Zereoue PITCIN33.721.10.20.006.7
Shawn Bryson DETGB35.824.00.10.096.6
Duce Staley PHICAR24.128.30.240.186.5
Jerome Bettis PITCIN38.83.60.410.276.4

 
WR:

Torry Holt could make Minnesota’s secondary cry this week. The Moss brothers (they are brothers, aren’t they?) might be virtually indistinguishable as they both put up great fantasy numbers again this week. As long as Marvin Harrison’s hamstring holds he should also post another solid performance.

WROppRec YdsTDsFumPts
Torry Holt* STLMIN129.00.970.0018.8
*Probable (ankle)
Santana Moss* NYJTEN84.70.990.1814.2
*Probable (ribs)
Randy Moss MINSTL89.10.840.0014.0
Chad Johnson CINPIT88.80.660.0012.9
Marvin Harrison* INDNE82.10.640.1012.0
*Questionable (hamstring)
Hines Ward PITCIN71.50.790.0011.9
Keenan McCardell TBJAX77.70.630.0911.5
David Boston* SDKC75.70.620.1111.2
*Probable (shoulder)
Anquan Boldin ARICHI81.60.510.0911.2
Andre Johnson HOUATL83.00.460.0011.1
Steve Smith CARPHI73.50.470.0910.1
Terrell Owens* SFBAL71.90.450.009.9
*Probable (groin)
Isaac Bruce STLMIN86.10.210.009.8
Lavernues Coles* WASNO72.40.390.009.6
*Probable (toe)
Derrick Mason* TENNYJ73.00.340.009.4
*Questionable (back)
Joe Horn* NOWAS63.60.520.189.3
*Questionable (knee)
Reggie Wayne INDNE63.40.440.009.0
Darrell Jackson SEACLE60.00.460.098.7
Eric Moulds* BUFNYG77.00.120.008.4
*Questionable (groin)
Peter Warrick CINPIT53.20.490.008.2
Terry Glenn DALMIA50.80.490.187.8
Eddie Kennison KCSD60.60.290.007.8
Jimmy Smith JAXTB60.50.280.007.7
Amani Toomer NYGBUF59.90.280.007.7
Johnnie Morton KCSD52.70.380.007.6
Rod Smith DENOAK62.50.190.007.4
Justin McCareins TENNYJ43.90.470.007.2
Charles Lee TBJAX31.20.680.007.2
Peerless Price ATLHOU59.80.200.007.2
Ike Hilliard* NYGBUF42.10.510.187.1
*Questionable (knee)
Chris Chambers MIADAL40.40.440.096.6
Joey Galloway DALMIA52.80.210.006.5
Placixo Burress PITCIN57.80.110.006.4
Javon Walker GBDET34.80.480.006.4
Koren Robinson SEACLE48.60.260.106.3
Corey Bradford HOUATL41.70.340.006.2
Andre Davis CLESEA37.80.400.006.2
Tai Streets* SFBAL36.90.410.006.1
*Probable (quadricep)
Deion Branch* NEIND49.50.190.006.1
*Questionable (leg)
Joe Jurevicius TBJAX30.30.510.006.1
Bobby Engram SEACLE33.80.460.096.1
Rod Gardner WASNO38.40.390.096.1
Muhsin Muhammad CARPHI57.30.100.306.0
Bobby Shaw BUFNYG48.90.200.096.0
Travis Taylor BALSF41.60.290.005.9

 
TE:

Tony Gonzalez and Shannon Sharpe could put up WR-like numbers against some suspect secondaries this week. If Jeremy Shockey is able to play, he should be a good start against the Buffalo defense. Boo (did I scare you?) Williams is climbing up the rankings after putting up 110 yards and a score against Philly last week. The word on Boo is that he can’t block very well but, as the Saints were reminded last week, he sure can catch. He ought to receive his share of the looks with Ernie Conwell out and Joe Horn apparently slowed by a lingering knee injury.

TEOppRec YdsTDsFumPts
Tony Gonzalez KCSD62.70.530.009.4
Shannon Sharpe DENOAK51.90.620.008.9
Jeremy Shockey* NYGBUF49.90.210.116.1
*Questionable (knee)
Todd Heap BALSF49.70.190.096.0
Alge Crumpler ATLHOU43.00.200.095.4
Billy Miller HOUATL26.20.340.004.7
Freddie Jones ARICHI29.80.280.004.7
Anthony Becht NYJTEN28.40.310.094.6
Desmond Clark CHIARI32.90.220.104.5
Daniel Graham NEIND31.20.200.004.3
Mikhael Ricks DETGB27.70.250.004.3
Dallas Clark INDNE35.60.100.004.1
Randy McMichael MIADAL30.50.160.004.0
Frank Wycheck TENNYJ14.80.400.003.9
Itula Mili SEACLE22.40.250.003.8
Jim Kleinsasser MINSTL21.10.270.003.7
Boo Williams NOWAS18.80.290.003.6
Christian Fauria NEIND18.50.180.002.9
Matt Schobel CINPIT23.20.090.102.8
Bubba Franks GBDET16.20.190.002.8