Player ProjectionsDecember 10, 2003


Week 15

By Charles Budd & Steve Maluk

This is a computerized ranking system created by Charles Budd and Steve Maluk (known in the forums as Buckychudd and Wesley Walker). Factors considered include 2003 performance of players and opposing defenses as well as the Vegas over/under and point spreads (to predict scoring). Players on byes are obviously not included, nor are players listed as “out” or “doubtful.”

Point projections are based on the following scoring system: 1 point for 25 yards passing or 10 yards rushing/receiving; 6 points per TD; -1 per sack or fumble; -2 per interception thrown.

 
QB  RB  WR  TE

QB:

The top five of Manning, Green, Johnson, C-Pep, and Favre have very nice looking matchups on their side this week. On paper, that is. Jeff Garcia is coming off a huge game and should have success against the Bengals. Michael Vick? Two games isn’t much from which to draw conclusions, but he did look awesome Sunday night, did he not?

QBOppPass YdsIntSackRush YdsFumTDsPts
Peyton Manning INDATL317.10.551.371.80.232.0822.66
Trent Green KCDET270.40.661.274.50.382.1921.43
Brad Johnson TAMHOU274.30.941.002.90.462.2321.32
Daunte Culpepper MINCHI235.10.691.5232.81.182.0120.69
Brett Favre* GBSD220.51.171.021.00.382.4519.84
*Probable (thumb)
Marc Bulger STLSEA284.51.612.706.60.422.1618.62
Jeff Garcia SFCIN195.61.141.5225.90.601.9417.65
Jake Plummer DENCLE164.30.481.1018.30.221.9117.60
Steve McNair* TENBUF191.00.301.588.50.921.9517.06
*Questionable (calf/ankle)
Anthony Wright BALOAK197.31.181.7919.31.251.8815.72
Michael Vick* ATLIND110.70.441.95110.00.500.5815.61
*Questionable (ankle)
Matt Hasselbeck SEASTL223.61.143.4510.80.311.9215.49
Doug Flutie SDGB185.00.781.1422.31.001.5815.44
Aaron Brooks NONYG217.20.403.1012.01.001.7315.35
Jon Kitna CINSF226.41.172.746.80.691.8915.28
Chad Pennington NYJPIT211.30.802.722.90.571.9015.23
Jake Delhomme CARARI221.00.660.802.51.001.4614.74
Tom Brady NEJAX229.30.941.551.80.921.2112.27
Jay Fiedler* MIAPHI168.80.731.517.60.561.3111.84
*Questionable (knee)
Quincy Carter DALWAS202.81.611.7117.10.461.1711.42
Kordell Stewart CHIMIN186.82.283.1638.70.751.2610.46
Jeff Blake ARICAR177.70.841.6912.80.620.899.72
Tommy Maddox PITNYJ214.10.713.121.30.230.929.44
Donovan McNabb PHIMIA203.70.903.3918.70.690.869.32
Drew Bledsoe BUFTEN221.10.843.391.40.920.868.17

 
RB:

The way Oakland has been defending the run, and the way Jamal Lewis has been trucking lately, look for the man they call The Offense in Baltimore to have another ravenous game this week. Edge promises great things against the Atlanta defense, as do Priest Holmes and Stephen Davis with their favorable matchups.

RBOppRush YdsRec YdsFumTDsPts
Jamal Lewis* BALOAK160.313.50.540.9425.33
*Questionable (wrist)
Ahman Green GBSD135.030.10.540.9424.44
Edgerrin James INDATL114.128.60.201.1324.24
Priest Holmes* KCDET91.247.70.081.1323.98
*Probable (shoulder)
Clinton Portis DENCLE124.822.60.250.6520.35
Deuce McAllister NONYG116.231.10.310.5519.37
Stephen Davis CARARI113.611.40.250.5917.53
LaDainian Tomlinson SDGB89.544.40.080.4517.33
Marshall Faulk STLSEA68.924.40.000.6515.17
Shaun Alexander SEASTL88.517.20.230.5215.02
Ricky Williams MIAPHI88.721.10.460.3813.92
Tiki Barber NYGNO100.226.90.620.1313.30
Domanick Davis* HOUTB88.422.00.290.2412.93
*Probable (quadriceps)
Travis Henry BUFTEN64.513.20.330.5612.52
Moe Williams* MINCHI55.438.40.150.3212.13
*Probable (knee)
Anthony Thomas CHIMIN79.80.90.100.3811.43
Michael Pittman TBHOU65.737.90.310.1411.35
Fred Taylor JAXNE71.523.00.460.2110.87
Troy Hambrick DALWAS63.27.30.310.359.85
Rudi Johnson CINSF60.19.60.000.279.36
Jerome Bettis* PITNYJ58.04.60.380.399.36
*Probable (quadriceps)
Kevan Barlow SFCIN62.213.60.230.178.89
TJ Duckett ATLIND40.26.30.150.488.79
Brian Westbrook PHIMIA32.321.10.000.378.65
Michael Bennett* MINCHI60.619.80.330.108.61
*Probable (ankle)
Curtis Martin NYJPIT64.113.80.150.058.14
Eddie George TENBUF51.16.10.000.268.09
Shawn Bryson DETKC45.926.10.230.117.93
Mike Cloud NEJAX17.11.50.000.627.42
Charlie Garner OAKBAL36.325.40.080.117.05
Amos Zereoue PITNYJ38.319.70.000.136.96
Richie Anderson DALWAS22.227.90.000.196.70
Kevin Faulk NEJAX34.434.40.330.006.54

 
WR:

If you own a Holt, Harrison, or Moss (either Moss will do), you’re sitting pretty every week. But Keenan McCardell? He’s been solid all year and now, with Keyshawn on the golf course, he’s among the elite fantasy receivers. A score and 80+ yards against Houston seem realistic. Anquan Boldin has the title of Rookie Fantasy Receiver of the Year locked up, and he should have a better than even chance to score against the Panthers.

WROppRec YdsFumTDsPts
Torry Holt STLSEA115.60.000.9717.36
Marvin Harrison INDATL98.30.080.8414.81
Randy Moss MINCHI94.80.080.8814.70
Keenan McCardell TBHOU84.50.080.7412.79
Chad Johnson CINSF86.10.000.6812.71
Santana Moss NYJPIT69.80.150.7911.54
Anquan Boldin ARICAR91.30.150.4211.52
Terrell Owens* SFCIN76.20.000.6511.50
*Probable (groin)
Darrell Jackson* SEASTL73.10.080.6210.94
*Probable (foot)
Hines Ward PITNYJ71.70.000.6110.83
Steve Smith CARARI76.80.080.5310.80
David Boston* SDGB75.50.090.5010.43
*Questionable (neck)
Reggie Wayne INDATL65.60.000.5810.06
Chris Chambers MIAPHI54.20.080.7810.01
Isaac Bruce STLSEA76.40.000.399.97
Joe Horn NONYG65.20.150.599.92
Jimmy Smith JAXNE74.90.110.389.64
Derrick Mason TENBUF67.80.000.459.45
Peter Warrick CINSF56.60.000.468.39
Eric Moulds BUFTEN75.40.000.128.23
Javon Walker GBSD44.60.080.648.20
Amani Toomer NYGNO66.00.000.258.10
Laveranues Coles WASDAL65.60.000.248.02
Eddie Kennison* KCDET55.10.000.397.85
*Probable (thigh)
Koren Robinson SEASTL60.20.080.257.44
Marty Booker CHIMIN55.00.100.317.27
Johnnie Morton KCDET48.70.000.397.21
Justin McCareins TENBUF44.00.000.457.07
Muhsin Muhammad CARARI61.60.250.197.07
Deion Branch NEJAX56.20.000.247.04
Bobby Shaw BUFTEN53.60.080.276.88
Terry Glenn DALWAS47.50.150.376.84
Andre Johnson HOUTB54.80.000.226.78
Tai Streets* SFCIN35.80.000.496.50
*Probable (quadriceps)
Kevin Johnson CLEDEN52.30.000.196.40
Bobby Engram* SEASTL41.20.080.396.36
*Probable (concussion)
Plaxico Burress PITNYJ56.10.080.146.35
Rod Smith* DENCLE51.70.000.186.22
*Probable (illness)
Marcus Robinson BALOAK27.40.000.566.13
Dez White CHIMIN46.40.000.246.08
Troy Walters INDATL41.20.000.326.02
Charles Lee TBHOU42.20.000.275.86
Travis Taylor BALOAK42.90.000.265.85
Josh Reed BUFTEN48.40.080.185.83
Peerless Price ATLIND48.30.000.135.62

 
TE:

This is getting redundant, but Gonzo and Sharpe stand tall above the rest. Jeremy Shockey is doubtful this week, so Boo Williams (who has scored in three straight games) moves into the top five.

TEOppRec YdsFumTDsPts
Tony Gonzalez KCDET56.70.000.7810.35
Shannon Sharpe* DENCLE43.60.000.708.58
*Probable (rib)
Marcus Pollard INDATL44.70.090.346.45
Todd Heap BALOAK46.00.080.175.57
Boo Williams NONYG24.50.000.404.82
Freddie Jones ARICAR34.90.000.184.58
Randy McMichael MIAPHI35.40.000.174.57
Alge Crumpler ATLIND37.20.080.134.43
Desmond Clark CHIMIN33.80.170.174.25
Itula Mili SEASTL22.70.000.314.13
Daniel Graham NEJAX29.10.000.173.94
Mikhael Ricks DETKC30.50.000.133.85
Jim Kleinsasser* MINCHI23.50.000.203.57
*Probable (biceps)
Bubba Franks GBSD18.30.000.273.47
Anthony Becht NYJPIT21.00.080.243.44
Matt Schobel CINSF22.90.080.163.19
Billy Miller HOUTB21.20.000.163.10
Frank Wycheck TENBUF13.00.000.282.96
Christian Fauria NEJAX19.90.000.152.87
LJ Smith PHIMIA23.70.000.082.86