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This is a computerized ranking system created by Charles Budd and Steve Maluk (known in the forums as Buckychudd and Wesley Walker). Factors considered include 2003 performance of players and opposing defenses as well as the Vegas over/under and point spreads (to predict scoring). Players on byes are obviously not included, nor are players listed as “out” or “doubtful.”
Point projections are based on the following scoring system: 1 point for 25 yards passing or 10 yards rushing/receiving; 6 points per TD; -1 per sack or fumble; -2 per interception thrown.
QB:
Peyton Manning is simply aflame; start him if you’ve got him. The other three are pretty even, but it’s worth mentioning that Las Vegas expects a higher scoring AFC championship than its NFC counterpart – this makes Brady a better play than either McNabb or Delhomme.
| QB | Opp | Pass Yds | Int | Sack | Rush Yds | Fum | TDs | Pts |
| Peyton Manning IND | NE | 276.7 | 0.93 | 1.28 | 1.1 | 0.39 | 1.47 | 16.15 |
| Tom Brady NE | IND | 199.0 | 0.63 | 1.62 | 4.4 | 0.76 | 1.56 | 13.47 |
| Donovan McNabb PHI | CAR | 194.8 | 0.68 | 3.52 | 23.8 | 0.65 | 1.07 | 11.07 |
| Jake Delhomme CAR | PHI | 209.9 | 0.74 | 1.68 | 2.2 | 0.89 | 0.97 | 10.82 |
RB:
Stephen Davis is listed as questionable even though he was back on the practice field by Friday. Still, the consensus is that we’ll see more DeShaun than Stephen on Sunday. Adjust these numbers accordingly; in other words, subtract a few points from Stephen’s projected output and add a few to DeShaun’s. This makes Edge the best play of the week at running back, with the New England and Philly running back committees not very close behind.
| RB | Opp | Rush Yds | Rec Yds | Fum | TDs | Pts |
| Stephen Davis* CAR | PHI | 116.1 | 10.1 | 0.19 | 0.49 | 15.36 |
| *Questionable (quadriceps) | ||||||
| Edgerrin James IND | NE | 73.7 | 23.4 | 0.40 | 0.67 | 13.34 |
| Duce Staley PHI | CAR | 41.1 | 23.1 | 0.18 | 0.41 | 8.68 |
| Antowain Smith NE | IND | 55.5 | 5.9 | 0.07 | 0.34 | 8.09 |
| Kevin Faulk NE | IND | 45.1 | 26.2 | 0.25 | 0.00 | 6.88 |
| DeShaun Foster CAR | PHI | 37.1 | 14.3 | 0.19 | 0.11 | 5.59 |
| Correll Buckhalter* PHI | CAR | 20.5 | 4.8 | 0.00 | 0.24 | 4.00 |
| *Probable (knee) | ||||||
| Ricky Williams IND | NE | 9.0 | 12.3 | 0.15 | 0.17 | 3.01 |
| Larry Centers NE | IND | 10.0 | 10.5 | 0.00 | 0.11 | 2.70 |
| Dominic Rhodes IND | NE | 10.7 | 4.8 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 1.87 |
| Nick Goings CAR | PHI | 6.1 | 6.5 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 1.56 |
| Jon Ritchie PHI | CAR | 0.1 | 5.2 | 0.00 | 0.16 | 1.50 |
| Brad Hoover CAR | PHI | 2.0 | 5.7 | 0.00 | 0.10 | 1.33 |
WR:
Marvin Harrison and Steve Smith are playing MVP-like football this postseason, and we give each our highest recommendation. And Brandon Stokley? There’s more than enough to go around with Peyton throwing the ball like this, and Stokley has been a postseason revelation.
| WR | Opp | Rec Yds | Fum | TDs | Pts |
| Marvin Harrison* IND | NE | 89.8 | 0.12 | 0.61 | 12.53 |
| *Probable (chest) | |||||
| Steve Smith CAR | PHI | 78.8 | 0.11 | 0.45 | 10.47 |
| Brandon Stokley IND | NE | 52.3 | 0.00 | 0.65 | 9.12 |
| Reggie Wayne IND | NE | 54.4 | 0.00 | 0.43 | 8.03 |
| Muhsin Muhammad CAR | PHI | 59.9 | 0.24 | 0.16 | 6.71 |
| David Givens NE | IND | 34.1 | 0.00 | 0.42 | 5.95 |
| Deion Branch NE | IND | 45.2 | 0.00 | 0.19 | 5.63 |
| Troy Brown NE | IND | 33.1 | 0.00 | 0.30 | 5.13 |
| Todd Pinkston PHI | CAR | 37.9 | 0.06 | 0.16 | 4.70 |
| Troy Walters IND | NE | 29.0 | 0.00 | 0.16 | 3.87 |
| Freddie Mitchell PHI | CAR | 30.3 | 0.00 | 0.11 | 3.67 |
| James Thrash PHI | CAR | 32.1 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 3.53 |
| Dedric Ward NE | IND | 22.8 | 0.00 | 0.20 | 3.46 |
| Ricky Proehl CAR | PHI | 22.2 | 0.00 | 0.20 | 3.42 |
| Bethel Johnson NE | IND | 14.7 | 0.00 | 0.19 | 2.58 |
| JJ Stokes NE | IND | 19.6 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.96 |
TE:
It’s slim pickings here, with Marcus Pollard and Daniel Graham your best bets. Pollard should get the yards; Graham seems slightly more likely to find the endzone.
| TE | Opp | Rec Yds | Fum | TDs | Pts |
| Marcus Pollard* IND | NE | 38.6 | 0.13 | 0.16 | 4.70 |
| *Questionable (ankle) | |||||
| Daniel Graham NE | IND | 24.2 | 0.07 | 0.26 | 3.93 |
| Christian Fauria NE | IND | 17.1 | 0.00 | 0.12 | 2.41 |
| LJ Smith PHI | CAR | 21.1 | 0.06 | 0.06 | 2.40 |
| Chad Lewis PHI | CAR | 18.7 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 2.19 |
| Kris Mangum CAR | PHI | 11.1 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.11 |
| Jermaine Wiggins CAR | PHI | 5.7 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.87 |
| Joe Dean Davenport IND | NE | 2.3 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.23 |
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