Player ProjectionsDecember 11, 2004


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Week 14

By Charles Budd & Steve Maluk

This is a computerized ranking system created by Charles Budd and Steve Maluk (known in the Forums as Buckychudd and Wesley Walker). Factors taken into account include past performance of players and opposing defenses. Players listed as “out” or “doubtful” are not included.

Point projections are based on the following scoring system: 1 point per 25 yards passing or 10 yards rushing/receiving; 6 points per TD; -1 per fumble; -2 per interception thrown.

 
QB  RB  WR  TE

QUARTERBACK
So far, so good for Chad Hutchinson in Chicago. Trouble is, it’s awfully hard to base projections on just one game, so take this one with a grain of salt, and don’t bench Brett Favre in favor of Chad. The other Chad, Pennington, enters a streak of tough games, including matchups against New England and, this weekend, Pittsburgh. Don’t expect great fantasy numbers from him, regardless of the outcome of this game.

QBOppPass YdsPass TDsIntRush YdsRush TDsFumPts
Peyton Manning INDHOU347.85.61.13.80.00.245.4
Daunte Culpepper MINSEA307.12.31.325.40.20.726.4
Chad Hutchinson CHIJAX216.42.70.012.90.02.024.3
Aaron Brooks NODAL269.51.80.59.30.30.922.1
Brett Favre GBDET257.22.31.22.90.00.121.9
Michael Vick ATLOAK184.41.20.472.60.21.121.1
Donovan McNabb PHIWAS225.51.70.411.40.20.520.1
Billy Volek TENKC263.81.90.93.90.00.719.8
Jake Delhomme* CARSTL230.91.80.55.00.10.419.7
*Probable (thumb)
Joey Harrington DETGB215.81.80.47.00.00.419.2
Matt Hasselbeck SEAMIN253.91.50.47.60.00.418.9
Vinny Testaverde DALNO284.81.40.92.80.10.418.3
Trent Green* KCTEN286.91.51.15.70.00.618.2
*Probable (ribs)
Jake Plummer DENMIA192.01.70.711.70.00.317.0
Tom Brady* NECIN221.01.71.02.20.00.516.8
*Probable (shoulder)
David Carr HOUIND290.41.11.218.40.00.816.8
Brian Griese TBSD251.91.30.90.90.00.416.0
Kelly Holcomb* CLEBUF154.02.01.30.00.00.015.6
*Questionable (ribs)
Byron Leftwich JAXCHI226.91.10.98.30.20.315.4
Drew Brees SDTB161.51.40.46.80.10.515.3
Kerry Collins OAKATL273.01.21.72.30.00.414.7
Ben Roethlisberger* PITNYJ159.21.00.610.60.10.212.6
*Probable (quadriceps)
Ken Dorsey SFARI225.51.01.07.30.01.212.2
David Garrard JAXCHI112.20.70.429.70.30.012.2
Chad Pennington NYJPIT166.50.90.56.40.10.411.9

 
RUNNING BACK
Earlier in the year, a few shrewd voices in the Cafe touted Julius Jones as a potential breakout running back. Jones is finishing the season fast, turning in a string of impressive fantasy games. The Saints defense isn’t what it once was, and Jones should continue his upward trend.

RBOppRush YdsRush TDsRec YdsRec TDsFumPts
Shaun Alexander SEAMIN94.40.312.80.10.312.7
Julius Jones DALNO76.20.518.60.00.012.6
Corey Dillon* NECIN47.80.242.10.40.112.5
*Probable (groin)
Edgerrin James INDHOU89.90.215.80.10.312.2
Tiki Barber NYGBAL63.00.716.20.00.312.1
Domanick Davis HOUIND45.10.820.70.10.012.0
Michael Pittman* TBSD59.30.238.50.20.311.9
*Probable (knee)
LaDainian Tomlinson SDTB72.40.510.30.10.211.7
Willis McGahee BUFCLE63.30.426.50.10.111.6
Chris Brown* TENKC61.60.618.20.00.511.2
*Questionable (toe)
Jamal Lewis* BALNYG61.20.428.40.00.111.0
*Questionable (ankle)
Ahman Green GBDET63.00.415.60.00.210.3
Fred Taylor JAXCHI36.50.710.50.00.09.0
Nick Goings CARSTL81.20.12.80.00.38.7
Reuben Droughns DENMIA34.00.417.10.20.08.6
Brian Westbrook PHIWAS44.80.72.30.00.18.6
Clinton Portis WASPHI57.10.110.20.10.08.4
Warrick Dunn ATLOAK43.70.220.10.10.67.6
Derrick Blaylock KCTEN55.00.28.60.00.17.3
Onterrio Smith MINSEA28.60.420.50.00.17.1
Curtis Martin NYJPIT42.20.211.70.00.16.7
Marshall Faulk STLCAR37.20.38.00.00.06.6
Deuce McAllister NODAL39.30.50.40.00.26.6
Thomas Jones CHIJAX32.90.123.00.00.16.4
Rudi Johnson CINNE40.00.23.70.00.05.7
Duce Staley PITNYJ29.60.310.00.00.25.5
Larry Johnson KCTEN42.90.17.00.00.25.4
Eddie George DALNO28.80.012.30.20.05.4
Jerome Bettis PITNYJ14.00.316.90.10.05.2
Kevin Jones DETGB35.30.19.50.00.15.2
Lee Suggs* CLEBUF28.50.36.10.00.14.9
*Questionable (toe)

 
WIDE RECEIVER
If that huge new contract is any indication, it’s Marvin Harrison who the Colts feel is their most valuable receiver – just in case any of us thought it might be a Mr. Stokely or a Mr. Wayne. Harrison is primed for a big game against a Houston team that’s giving up more than its share of points.

WROppRec YdsRec TDsFumPts
Marvin Harrison INDHOU81.01.10.114.5
Joe Horn NODAL99.00.70.014.2
Javon Walker GBDET90.00.90.214.0
Terrell Owens* PHIWAS77.01.00.113.7
*Probable (groin)
Reggie Wayne INDHOU81.00.90.013.6
Andre Johnson HOUIND104.00.50.113.2
Brandon Stokley INDHOU82.00.80.113.0
Muhsin Muhammad CARSTL78.00.80.112.7
Derrick Mason TENKC92.00.50.012.1
Chad Johnson CINNE90.00.50.012.0
Randy Moss MINSEA55.01.00.111.6
Torry Holt STLCAR79.00.60.111.4
Roy Williams DETGB73.00.60.110.7
Keyshawn Johnson DALNO79.00.50.110.7
Isaac Bruce STLCAR89.00.30.310.6
Drew Bennett TENKC79.00.50.210.6
Darrell Jackson SEAMIN79.00.40.210.3
Donald Driver GBDET73.00.50.210.2
Eddie Kennison KCTEN78.00.40.110.1
Michael Clayton TBSD76.00.30.09.2
Nate Burleson MINSEA59.00.50.09.0
Eric Moulds BUFCLE67.00.40.19.0
Jerry Porter OAKATL65.00.40.28.9
Jimmy Smith JAXCHI75.00.20.18.9
Marcus Robinson MINSEA51.00.60.18.7
Chris Chambers* MIADEN54.00.50.08.5
*Probable (ribs)
David Patten NECIN51.00.50.08.0
Hines Ward PITNYJ60.00.30.07.9
Ashley Lelie DENMIA54.00.40.07.9
David Givens NECIN63.00.20.07.8
Keary Colbert CARSTL55.00.40.17.6
Az-Zahir Hakim DETGB53.00.40.07.6
Rod Smith DENMIA55.00.40.17.5
Deion Branch NECIN51.00.40.07.4
Antonio Bryant CLEBUF54.00.30.17.3
Johnnie Morton KCTEN64.00.20.27.2
Koren Robinson SEAMIN58.00.20.07.2
Andre Davis CLEBUF55.00.30.07.1
TJ Houshmandzadeh CINNE55.00.30.07.0
Lee Evans BUFCLE44.00.40.06.8
Larry Fitzgerald ARISF49.00.30.16.8
Brandon Lloyd SFARI44.00.40.06.7
Donte Stallworth NODAL48.00.30.06.4

 
TIGHT END
The toughest position to try to understand must certainly be tight end. At least it is in fantasy football. Last year’s studs are being consistently overshadowed by Antonio Gates and Jason Witten. But it’s anyone’s guess how these guys will fare next year, when they will both likely be coping with new quarterbacks.

TEOppRec YdsRec TDsFumPts
Jason Witten DALNO74.20.50.210.17
Antonio Gates SDTB53.80.80.09.99
Tony Gonzalez KCTEN73.70.40.09.91
Alge Crumpler ATLOAK64.90.50.09.69
Jermaine Wiggins MINSEA56.80.40.08.18
Randy McMichael MIADEN48.10.30.26.50
Dallas Clark* INDHOU36.20.50.26.40
*Questionable (calf)
Eric Johnson SFARI54.30.20.16.30
Jeremy Shockey NYGBAL38.80.40.16.14
Erron Kinney TENKC30.80.50.06.07
Marcus Pollard INDHOU23.60.60.05.91
Daniel Graham NECIN25.00.40.04.94
Bubba Franks GBDET21.00.40.04.69
Steve Heiden CLEBUF22.00.40.14.60
Ken Dilger TBSD25.80.30.04.17
Freddie Jones ARISF29.60.20.03.96
Todd Heap BALNYG38.40.00.03.84
LJ Smith* PHIWAS19.60.30.03.68
*Probable (shoulder)
Aaron Shea CLEBUF17.90.30.03.67
Boo Williams NODAL26.80.20.23.57
Jerramy Stevens SEAMIN28.50.10.03.37
Doug Jolley OAKATL23.10.20.03.36
Jeb Putzier DENMIA25.10.10.03.34
Stephen Alexander DETGB27.50.10.03.33
George Wrighster JAXCHI16.20.20.32.81

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