Player ProjectionsOctober 15, 2004


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Week 6

By Charles Budd & Steve Maluk

This is a computerized ranking system created by Charles Budd and Steve Maluk (known in the Forums as Buckychudd and Wesley Walker). Factors taken into account include past performance of players and opposing defenses. Players listed as “out” or “doubtful” are not included.

Point projections are based on the following scoring system: 1 point per 25 yards passing or 10 yards rushing/receiving; 6 points per TD; -1 per fumble; -2 per interception thrown.

 
QB  RB  WR  TE

QUARTERBACK
Daunte Culpepper is in a league of his own fantasy-wise, and now faces the Saints, one of the softer defenses in the NFL so far this year. David Carr and Joey Harrington have earned spots among the top ten quarterbacks for this week, as has Tim Rattay, who will look to exploit a Jets defense that is prone to giving up big passing yards.

QBOppPass YdsPass TDsIntRush YdsRush TDsFumPts
Daunte Culpepper MINNO322.62.20.334.80.41.230.06
Aaron Brooks NOMIN295.81.50.311.20.11.020.81
Donovan McNabb PHICAR216.91.40.415.10.50.520.33
Joey Harrington DETGB193.92.30.89.30.00.520.27
David Carr* HOUTEN263.71.61.218.60.00.619.14
*Probable (Ankle)
Brett Favre GBDET251.01.81.01.40.00.118.80
Jake Plummer DENOAK215.91.50.618.20.10.318.60
Tim Rattay SFNYJ255.81.81.03.50.00.918.20
Chad Pennington NYJSF225.11.70.71.60.10.817.58
Tom Brady* NESEA233.21.81.81.60.00.616.16
*Probable (Shoulder)
Jake Delhomme CARPHI243.61.20.53.10.11.016.05
Ben Roethlisberger PITDAL167.01.60.84.10.10.015.83
Steve McNair TENHOU209.71.00.712.10.30.515.47
Jeff Garcia CLECIN152.80.90.527.00.40.414.82
Trent Green KCJAX207.01.10.57.60.00.314.71
Marc Bulger* STLTB201.11.21.16.60.20.414.66
*Probable (Shoulder)
Drew Brees SDATL200.71.20.74.70.10.714.35
Matt Hasselbeck SEANE214.21.21.03.80.00.314.01
Michael Vick ATLSD180.50.70.544.60.11.313.86
Byron Leftwich JAXKC190.21.21.38.30.20.413.65
Brian Griese TBSTL195.61.00.1-1.80.01.012.17
Mark Brunell WASCHI187.90.80.47.60.00.911.48
Vinny Testaverde DALPIT202.60.81.20.10.00.29.97
Patrick Ramsey WASCHI175.21.12.613.80.01.68.23
Drew Bledsoe BUFMIA128.20.80.80.70.00.67.74

 
RUNNING BACK
The Niners defense has not been sharp. Curtis Martin is primed to take advantage. Reuben Droughns and Quentin Griffin will likely split carries this week for Denver – which one will get the bulk of the work is a coaching staff secret at this point. Stephen Davis will return this week against a Philly defense that is much improved against the run.

RBOppRush YdsRush TDsRec YdsRec TDsFumPts
Priest Holmes* KCJAX107.51.516.10.00.021.62
*Probable (Elbow)
Curtis Martin NYJSF103.01.119.90.20.220.24
LaDainian Tomlinson* SDATL80.40.843.40.10.417.56
*Probable (Groin)
Shaun Alexander SEANE86.50.915.90.30.117.12
Ahman Green* GBDET90.30.726.10.30.616.97
*Probable (Achilles)
Warrick Dunn ATLSD53.81.515.90.00.415.75
Brian Westbrook PHICAR109.50.137.20.00.215.03
Reuben Droughns DENOAK95.50.021.20.50.014.54
Domanick Davis HOUTEN50.90.851.70.00.914.46
Clinton Portis WASCHI93.60.325.20.20.714.13
Rudi Johnson CINCLE88.10.92.40.00.214.09
Chris Brown* TENHOU103.60.414.50.00.213.71
*Questionable (Ankle)
Fred Taylor JAXKC91.40.318.20.00.312.74
Quentin Griffin* DENOAK69.90.515.00.20.712.30
*Probable (Ankle)
Lee Suggs CLECIN76.40.79.10.00.512.14
Thomas Jones CHIWAS59.90.628.60.00.312.08
Marshall Faulk STLTB78.60.317.60.00.011.86
Duce Staley* PITDAL92.70.15.00.00.410.19
*Probable (Groin)
Kevan Barlow SFNYJ54.70.420.70.00.29.76
Travis Henry* BUFMIA77.00.26.20.00.29.40
*Questionable (Foot)
Amos Zereoue OAKDEN44.00.517.80.00.09.37
Michael Pittman TBSTL69.40.022.30.00.19.36
Deuce McAllister* NOMIN61.90.217.60.01.08.41
*Probable (Ankle)
Corey Dillon* NESEA71.40.15.60.00.28.22
*Questionable (Foot)
Stephen Davis* CARPHI51.00.220.60.00.18.19
*Questionable (Knee)
William Green CLECIN76.30.05.60.00.38.07
Mewelde Moore MINNO37.80.034.50.00.07.23
Eddie George DALPIT43.90.44.40.00.27.02
Artose Pinner DETGB39.00.310.70.00.06.77
Chris Fuamatu-Ma’afala JAXKC4.70.811.80.00.06.56
Aaron Stecker NOMIN23.40.223.70.00.15.86
Kevin Jones DETGB39.80.015.30.00.05.51
Moe Williams MINNO29.70.115.20.10.05.39
Richie Anderson DALPIT23.70.024.90.10.25.27
TJ Duckett ATLSD27.60.41.20.00.05.22

 
WIDE RECEIVER
Looking at the teams which have allowed the most fantasy points to opposing wide receivers (the Colts, Vikings, Texans and Packers), it seems it’s the teams who score the most points themselves. Otherwise put, scoring begets scoring. Big leads force the opposition to throw the ball. Three matchups stand out this week as being the kind of high-scoring affairs that will seriously benefit the wide receivers involved: Houston at Tennessee, Green Bay at Detroit and, most of all, Minnestoa at New Orleans.

WROppRec YdsRec TDsFumPts
Randy Moss MINNO87.61.60.018.32
Javon Walker* GNBDET104.81.00.216.25
*Probable (Hand)
Terrell Owens PHICAR70.61.10.013.96
Joe Horn NOMIN92.40.70.013.65
Andre Johnson HOUTEN97.00.60.013.60
Roy Williams* DETGB72.21.00.012.97
*Questionable (Knee)
Derrick Mason* TENHOU82.50.50.011.06
*Questionable (Ankle)
Keary Colbert CARPHI68.50.70.010.81
Hines Ward PITDAL80.00.40.010.66
Darrell Jackson SEANE81.20.40.010.25
Marcus Robinson MINNO55.40.70.010.01
Chad Johnson CINCLE79.60.30.09.83
Rod Gardner WASCHI68.00.40.09.32
Reche Caldwell SDATL58.80.60.09.21
David Givens NESEA67.90.30.08.78
Torry Holt STLTB62.60.40.08.77
Donte Stallworth NOMIN67.60.30.08.32
Jimmy Smith JAXKC68.50.20.08.25
Donald Driver GBDET70.10.20.18.11
Chris Chambers MIABUF44.80.60.07.77
Isaac Bruce STLTB65.60.20.07.76
Santana Moss* NYJSF62.00.20.07.43
*Questionable (Hamstring)
Laveranues Coles WASCHI72.10.10.27.36
David Patten NESEA53.30.30.07.35
Rod Smith DENOAK61.80.20.17.24
Muhsin Muhammad CARPHI59.50.30.27.22
Terry Glenn DALPIT49.20.40.07.19
Michael Clayton TBSTL57.10.20.06.84
Plaxico Burress PITDAL55.40.20.06.74
Eric Moulds BUFMIA47.20.40.26.67
Ashley Lelie DENOAK47.80.30.06.61
Drew Bennett TENHOU61.40.10.36.60
Az-Zahir Hakim DETGB35.60.50.06.52
Koren Robinson SEANE49.40.30.06.47
Cedrick Wilson SFNYJ49.80.20.06.32
Nate Burleson MINNO48.10.20.06.29
Keyshawn Johnson DALPIT48.80.20.06.23
Andre Davis CLECIN49.90.20.06.17
Curtis Conway SFNYJ48.60.20.05.96
Eddie Kennison* KCJAX52.50.10.05.84
*Probable (Hamstring)
Jerome Pathon NOMIN36.00.30.05.38
Peerless Price ATLSD51.30.00.05.30
Johnnie Morton KCJAX47.70.10.05.26
Kelly Campbell MINNO38.70.30.25.24
Chris Horn KCJAX27.90.40.05.09

 
TIGHT END
Eric Johnson has a fractured rib, but should play regardless. Tony Gonzalez may be a good bet against a tough Jacksonville defense this week – tough defensive matchups seem to benefit tight ends.

TEOppRec YdsRec TDsFumPts
Eric Johnson* SFNYJ80.10.40.29.94
*Questionable (Ribs)
Antonio Gates SDATL61.30.50.09.03
Daniel Graham NESEA29.70.90.08.63
Randy McMichael MIABUF65.40.20.27.53
Tony Gonzalez* KCJAX51.70.40.07.30
*Probable (Foot)
Alge Crumpler ATLSD57.90.20.07.11
Bubba Franks GBDET22.70.40.04.69
Boo Williams NOMIN30.80.30.14.62
LJ Smith* PHICAR26.20.30.04.40
*Probable (Shoulder)
Jason Witten DALPIT30.10.20.23.95
Jermaine Wiggins* MINNO32.30.00.03.34
*Questionable (Hand)
Chris Baker NYJSF14.90.30.23.32
Itula Mili SEANE16.50.30.03.17
Ernie Conwell NOMIN16.20.20.03.02
Jim Kleinsasser MINNO25.40.10.03.01
Ken Dilger TBSTL20.10.20.02.96
Jeb Putzier DENOAK25.30.00.02.53
Kris Mangum CARPHI13.10.20.02.42
Jerramy Stevens SEANE14.00.20.02.41
George Wrighster JAXKC13.70.20.22.39
Patrick Hape DENOAK1.50.30.02.14
Chad Lewis PHICAR20.00.00.02.12
Courtney Anderson OAKDEN11.40.10.01.93
Aaron Shea CLECIN9.10.10.01.80
Richard Owens MINNO17.20.00.01.72

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