Player ProjectionsNovember 6, 2004


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Week 9

By Charles Budd & Steve Maluk

This is a computerized ranking system created by Charles Budd and Steve Maluk (known in the Forums as Buckychudd and Wesley Walker). Factors taken into account include past performance of players and opposing defenses. Players listed as “out” or “doubtful” are not included.

Point projections are based on the following scoring system: 1 point per 25 yards passing or 10 yards rushing/receiving; 6 points per TD; -1 per fumble; -2 per interception thrown.

 
QB  RB  WR  TE

QUARTERBACK
Daunte Culpepper is coming off two quiet weeks. Against Indy, he should get back on track. This matchup, on paper, should be one of the highest-scoring games of the NFL season, and fantasy owners’ mouths should be watering. Culpepper and Peyton Manning, needless to say, should post some epic numbers.

Not too many people thought Drew Brees and Jake Plummer would be top fantasy quarterbacks come week 9. Well, they are. Plummer has more than made up for his susceptibility to interceptions with a propensity for touchdown passes.

QBOppPass YdsPass TDsIntRush YdsRush TDsFumPts
Daunte Culpepper MININD443.94.00.822.20.11.042.14
Peyton Manning INDMIN350.22.60.42.40.00.029.00
Jake Plummer DENHOU278.82.62.112.00.00.423.34
Drew Brees SDNO256.22.00.36.60.20.522.93
Donovan McNabb PHIPIT254.11.60.511.80.20.421.01
Tom Brady* NESTL253.82.00.31.10.00.620.94
*Probable (Shoulder)
Jake Delhomme CAROAK227.71.80.95.90.20.619.23
Brian Griese TBKC227.61.90.4-0.70.00.319.00
Aaron Brooks NOSD281.41.20.59.80.20.918.88
Trent Green KCTB272.61.40.24.70.00.618.66
Marc Bulger STLNE283.51.11.17.30.40.418.12
Tim Rattay* SFSEA292.11.61.35.40.01.317.87
*Probable (Forearm)
Vinny Testaverde DALCIN248.01.61.11.70.10.417.84
Matt Hasselbeck SEASF213.61.30.66.30.00.315.55
Ben Roethlisberger PITPHI198.01.20.74.60.20.015.21
Doug Flutie SDNO98.80.00.017.21.40.014.24
David Carr HOUDEN205.00.90.317.90.00.913.77
Carson Palmer CINDAL212.61.10.92.00.00.312.95
Chad Pennington NYJBUF169.10.90.26.90.10.412.84
Mark Brunell WASDET190.51.10.97.90.00.712.79
Brad Johnson TBKC178.91.00.95.60.00.511.60
Jeff Garcia CLEBAL174.91.01.614.20.20.611.53
Drew Bledsoe BUFNYJ182.31.11.4-1.80.00.610.48
Joey Harrington DETWAS127.11.10.54.80.00.610.43
Kurt Warner NYGCHI198.00.50.33.00.11.49.51

 
RUNNING BACK
Onterrio Smith is back on the scene this week. As of Friday, Mewelde Moore probably won’t play, despite being listed as probable. This means Smith should reap the spoils of the fantasy matchup to which all of us are looking forward. Watch the gameday news for the playing status of injured players like Moore, Corey Dillon, Thomas Jones and Brian Westbrook.

RBOppRush YdsRush TDsRec YdsRec TDsFumPts
Shaun Alexander SEASF64.91.4104.90.50.719.08
Priest Holmes* KCTB92.41.010.00.00.016.47
*Probable (Ankle)
LaDainian Tomlinson* SDNO119.90.65.00.00.216.22
*Probable (Groin)
Edgerrin James INDMIN96.30.613.60.10.115.40
Tiki Barber NYGCHI96.70.66.50.00.113.71
Onterrio Smith MININD88.60.324.10.20.613.45
Jamal Lewis BALCLE92.20.124.20.20.313.33
Corey Dillon* NESTL75.20.526.50.00.112.78
*Questionable (Thigh)
Curtis Martin NYJBUF72.00.431.40.00.012.66
Emmitt Smith ARIMIA65.60.226.50.30.512.14
Clinton Portis WASDET91.40.41.10.00.111.77
Reuben Droughns DENHOU61.60.756.00.00.011.76
Thomas Jones* CHINYG75.40.413.80.00.011.24
*Questionable (Toe)
Marshall Faulk STLNE99.60.13.80.00.310.83
Michael Pittman TBKC61.90.420.10.00.110.73
Rudi Johnson CINDAL44.70.631.90.00.710.49
Mewelde Moore* MININD59.40.138.10.00.210.35
*Probable (Ankle)
Willis McGahee BUFNYJ45.50.330.00.20.510.08
Duce Staley* PITPHI39.70.911.70.00.89.94
*Probable (Knee)
Amos Zereoue OAKCAR52.40.67.70.00.09.75
Domanick Davis HOUDEN67.50.46.00.00.39.72
Brian Westbrook* PHIPIT52.40.319.20.00.38.86
*Questionable (Rib)
Lee Suggs CLEBAL44.00.52.70.00.07.88
Deuce McAllister NOSD18.21.00.00.00.17.88
Tyrone Wheatley* OAKCAR38.40.221.90.00.26.90
*Probable (Shoulder)
Eddie George DALCIN53.60.14.60.00.16.23
Kevan Barlow SFSEA32.80.313.90.20.05.86
Jesse Chatman SDNO21.90.49.60.00.05.81
Jerome Bettis PITPHI36.11.021.90.00.05.80
Richie Anderson DALCIN40.20.18.90.00.15.54
William Green CLEBAL29.10.35.40.00.15.31
Brad Hoover CAROAK44.50.05.90.00.05.04
Derrick Blaylock* KCTB20.30.221.50.00.15.03
*Questionable (Thigh)
Steven Jackson STLNE26.10.17.70.10.04.81

 
WIDE RECEIVER
Marvin Harrison has climbed back among the elite fantasy wide receivers. We should have known he would. Again, the big story is the Vikings and Indy. Randy Moss and Marcus Robinson should play, but Nate Burleson is Minnesota’s only completely healthy go-to receiver. Nate should do nicely. In fact, anyone lining up in an offensive skill position on Monday night could potentially run up their stats in this one.

WROppRec YdsRec TDsFumPts
Randy Moss* MININD79.41.50.016.92
*Questionable (Hamstring)
Terrell Owens PHIPIT91.41.20.016.39
Marvin Harrison INDMIN78.41.10.114.30
Marcus Robinson MININD75.41.10.114.13
Reggie Wayne INDMIN94.00.80.014.11
Joe Horn NOSD91.40.60.012.88
Rod Gardner* WASDET65.90.80.011.54
*Probable (Hip)
David Givens* NESTL83.90.50.011.12
*Questionable (Knee)
Eric Moulds BUFNYJ76.30.60.110.92
Roy Williams* DETWAS57.50.80.010.83
*Questionable (Ankle)
Brandon Stokley INDMIN80.70.50.110.75
Hines Ward PITPHI88.90.30.010.68
Nate Burleson MININD84.30.40.010.67
Torry Holt STLNE71.30.60.010.61
Rod Smith DENHOU81.20.40.110.36
Isaac Bruce STLNE92.30.10.010.09
Reche Caldwell SDNOR65.40.60.29.97
Andre Johnson HOUDEN72.70.50.19.95
Plaxico Burress PITPHI63.20.60.09.90
David Patten NESTL61.10.60.09.75
Ashley Lelie DENHOU64.60.50.09.62
Chad Johnson CINDAL78.90.30.09.61
Michael Clayton TBKC76.40.30.09.44
Keyshawn Johnson DALCIN59.30.50.09.17
Muhsin Muhammad CAROAK57.30.60.19.05
Keary Colbert CAROAK69.40.30.08.96
Darrell Jackson* SEASF75.10.30.38.87
*Questionable (Ankle)
Andre Davis* CLEBAL63.60.30.08.23
*Probable (Toe)
Laveranues Coles WASDET77.80.00.17.64
Brandon Lloyd* SFSEA49.60.40.07.37
*Probable (Hip)
Chris Chambers MIAARI46.00.40.07.09
Eric Parker SDNO49.70.30.07.03
Donte Stallworth NOSD53.70.20.06.31
Koren Robinson SEASF54.80.10.06.30
Jerome Pathon NOSD51.10.20.06.20
Az-Zahir Hakim DETWAS35.90.40.06.13
Quincy Morgan* DALCIN34.00.50.26.07
*Questionable (Hamstring)
Cedrick Wilson SFSEA46.90.20.05.69
Shaun McDonald STLNE30.80.40.05.68
Randy Hymes BALCLE35.70.30.05.40
Larry Fitzgerald ARIMIA37.90.20.05.13
Johnnie Morton KCTB45.90.10.15.11
Kelly Campbell MININD40.50.20.15.03
Jerry Porter OAKCAR44.20.10.14.95

 
TIGHT END
Drew Brees has made respectable fantasy receivers of Reche Caldwell and Eric Parker. Antonio Gates, however, is Drew’s favorite red-zone option. And Gates can run a little bit too, making him a threat anywhere, anytime. Randy McMichael continues to impress while Eric Johnson has quieted down somewhat.

TEOppRec YdsRec TDsFumPts
Antonio Gates SDNO86.40.70.013.13
Jermaine Wiggins MININD57.00.50.08.84
Eric Johnson SFSEA70.50.30.18.62
Randy McMichael MIAARI64.10.40.38.34
Jason Witten DALCIN51.80.40.37.32
Daniel Graham NESTL27.80.80.07.32
Tony Gonzalez KCTB45.90.40.07.27
Todd Heap* BALCLE61.70.00.06.17
*Questionable (Ankle)
Marcus Pollard INDMIN24.30.50.05.73
Jeremy Shockey NYGCHI40.30.30.05.60
LJ Smith PHIPIT24.10.40.04.83
Dallas Clark INDMIN31.10.30.34.70
Jeb Putzier DENHOU32.60.10.04.05
Mark Campbell BUFNYJ19.40.30.13.52
Aaron Shea CLEBAL17.40.30.03.35
Chris Baker NYJBUF12.60.40.13.30
Chad Lewis PHIPIT24.40.10.03.24
Doug Jolley OAKCAR19.00.20.03.20
Ken Dilger TBKC20.40.10.02.94
Jerramy Stevens SEASF21.10.10.02.93
Steve Heiden CLEBAL14.00.20.02.81
Boo Williams NOSD19.90.20.12.78
Dwayne Carswell DENHOU17.40.20.02.64
Freddie Jones ARIMIA19.60.10.02.63
Justin Peelle SDNO8.20.30.12.50

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