Start & SitSeptember 5, 2007


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Week 1

By Nick Hopkins

Week 1 is finally upon us! After a long off-season of rankings, discussions, rumors, projections, and drafts, the real thing starts Thursday night as the New Orleans Saints and the Indianapolis Colts take the field. There are certainly a bevy of fantasy stars suiting up for that game: Manning, Wayne, Harrison, Addai, Brees, Bush, McAllister, Colston… So make sure you are ready by game time! The Cafe’s projected rankings for these players and the rest of the NFL are below, with a bonus evaluation for two lucky players at each position. Here’s to getting off on the right foot this fantasy season!

Our system is based on two separate rankings: Risk and Reward. Each player or defense was given a statistical ranking for each of the two categories.

Risk is determined by anything that could negatively affect the player in question’s performance. This includes such things as matchup, situation, and injuries.

Reward is determined by anything that could positively affect the player in question’s performance. This includes such things as talent, matchup, and situation.

The Ranking for the two categories is as follows:

Risk: Score of 0 being the lowest risk, 10 being the highest risk.
Reward: Score of 0 being lowest reward, 10 being the highest reward.

 

QuarterbacksOpponentRatingRiskReward
Peyton Manning – INDvs NO18.01.509.50
Drew Brees – NOat IND16.42.178.58
Tom Brady – NEat NYJ16.12.588.67
Donovan McNabb – PHIat GB14.73.838.50
Marc Bulger – STLvs CAR14.13.757.83
Carson Palmer – CINvs BAL13.64.428.00
Ben Roethlisberger – PITat CLE13.33.757.00
Matt Leinart – ARIat SF13.34.337.58
Alex Smith – SFvs ARI12.84.006.83
Jon Kitna – DETat OAK12.84.677.42
Matt Hasselbeck – SEAvs TB12.53.836.33
Tony Romo – DALvs NYG12.34.676.92
Jay Cutler – DENat BUF12.14.586.67
Jake Delhomme – CARat STL11.54.756.25
Brett Favre – GBvs PHI10.85.336.17
Philip Rivers – SDvs CHI10.85.586.42
Eli Manning – NYGat DAL10.55.506.00
Vince Young – TENat JAC10.35.756.08
Matt Schaub – HOUvs KC10.05.755.75
Damon Huard – KCat HOU9.85.505.33
Steve McNair – BALat CIN9.75.755.42
Chad Pennington – NYJvs NE9.36.085.33
JP Losman – BUFvs DEN9.36.505.75
Jason Campbell – WASvs MIA9.15.834.92
Jeff Garcia – TBat SEA9.16.085.17
David Garrard – JACvs TEN9.16.005.08
Trent Green – MIAat WAS8.96.085.00
Josh McCown – OAKvs DET8.66.755.33
Rex Grossman – CHIat SD8.37.255.58
Tarvaris Jackson – MINvs ATL7.96.674.58
Joey Harrington – ATLat MIN7.67.004.58
Charlie Frye – CLEvs PIT6.67.333.92

 
Start:
Ben Roethlisberger, PIT (13.3 rating): The Steelers’ quarterback has had an off-season to clear his head of the setbacks and disappointments he suffered last year, both on and off the field. Now, he has a reliable #1 target in Hines Ward, an up-and-coming #2 WR in Santonio Holmes, and an offensive system that promises to be more spread out and pass happy than we are used to seeing from Pittsburgh. I envision a big year for Big Ben, and opening against a below average Cleveland secondary should get the Steelers’ offense off to a good start.

Sit:
Chad Pennington, NYJ (9.3 rating): The Comeback Player of the Year in 2006 might be looking at a rocky start in 2007. Pennington did not have the smoothest of preseasons, posting two touchdown passes and four interceptions, with a quarterback rating of just over 50. You can argue that preseason doesn’t mean much, but it will be tougher to argue that the Patriots are not one of the league’s best defenses. Pennington should probably be a backup on most fantasy teams anyway, but if you were looking to start him this week, it would be wise to reconsider.
 

Running BacksOpponentRatingRiskReward
Steven Jackson – STLvs CAR17.22.39.4
LaDainian Tomlinson – SDvs CHI16.82.59.3
Willie Parker – PITat CLE16.42.38.7
Frank Gore – SFvs ARI15.73.38.9
Larry Johnson – KCat HOU15.73.39.0
Shaun Alexander – SEAvs TB15.42.88.2
Brian Westbrook – PHIat GB15.32.88.0
Joseph Addai – INDvs NO14.83.38.1
Reggie Bush – NOat IND14.33.88.1
Travis Henry – DENat BUF14.23.87.9
Laurence Maroney – NEat NYJ13.84.07.8
Willis McGahee – BALat CIN13.73.57.2
Deuce McAllister – NOat IND13.34.37.6
Ronnie Brown – MIAat WAS13.34.27.4
Rudi Johnson – CINvs BAL13.04.37.3
Maurice Jones-Drew – JACvs TEN13.04.37.3
Edgerrin James – ARIat SF12.84.27.0
Clinton Portis – WASvs MIA12.84.97.7
Brandon Jacobs – NYGat DAL12.74.37.0
Ahman Green – HOUvs KC11.94.76.6
Fred Taylor – JACvs TEN11.84.46.2
Marion Barber – DALvs NYG11.65.16.7
Cadillac Williams – TBat SEA11.64.76.3
Thomas Jones – NYJvs NE11.64.86.3
LaMont Jordan – OAKvs DET11.35.06.3
Adrian Peterson – MINvs ATL11.35.36.5
Cedric Benson – CHIat SD11.25.46.6
DeShaun Foster – CARat STL10.85.15.9
Marshawn Lynch – BUFvs DEN10.85.66.3
DeAngelo Williams – CARat STL10.75.35.9
Tatum Bell – DETat OAK10.65.35.8
Jamal Lewis – CLEvs PIT10.55.25.7
Chester Taylor – MINvs ATL10.55.35.8
Brandon Jackson – GBvs PHI10.45.66.0
Jerious Norwood – ATLat MIN10.45.76.1
Julius Jones – DALvs NYG10.35.35.7
Ladell Betts – WASvs MIA9.85.75.5
LenDale White – TENat JAC8.86.25.0
Warrick Dunn – ATLat MIN8.76.14.8
Chris Brown – TENat JAC7.86.84.5
Reuben Droughns – NYGat DAL7.26.63.8
Vernand Morency – GBvs PHI7.26.94.1
Anthony Thomas – BUFvs DEN7.16.83.8
Leon Washington – NYJvs NE6.86.73.4
Michael Turner – SDvs CHI6.86.93.7
Mike Bell – DENat BUF6.46.93.3
Ron Dayne – HOUvs KC6.37.03.3
Tony Hunt – PHIat GB6.37.03.3
Brian Leonard – STLvs CAR6.36.93.3
Maurice Morris – SEAvs TB6.36.83.0
Correll Buckhalter – PHIat GB6.06.82.8
Sammy Morris – NEat NYJ6.07.23.2
Greg Jones – JACvs TEN6.07.33.3
Marcel Shipp – ARIat SF5.97.33.3
TJ Duckett – DETat OAK5.97.33.2
Chris Henry – TENat JAC5.87.63.3
Adrian Peterson – CHIat SD5.77.32.9
Najeh Davenport – PITat CLE5.57.12.6
Mike Anderson – BALat CIN5.17.42.5
Kevin Faulk – NEat NYJ5.17.42.5
Michael Robinson – SFvs ARI4.87.52.3
Kevin Jones – DETat OAK4.08.52.5
Kenneth Darby – TBat SEA3.58.31.8
Jerome Harrison – CLEvs PIT3.38.31.6
DeDe Dorsey – INDvs NO2.88.31.2

 
Start:
Deuce McAllister, NO (13.3 rating): Deuce McAllister often seems to be overlooked now that the exciting Reggie Bush wears the black and gold, but Deuce remained very effective in his role last year and I imagine he will put up similar numbers in ‘07. His first game, against the Colts, is great opportunity for McAllister to prove to his owners that he is still a serious fantasy factor. The Colts’ run defense was bad enough last year (last in the NFL) and now they have lost stand-out linebacker Cato June to free agency, and their best run stopping defensive lineman, Booger McFarland, to injury. McAllister should have a lot of running room between the tackles.

Sit:
Jamal Lewis, CLE (10.5 rating): Jamal has moved on to Cleveland to try to resurrect his career after averaging just 3.4 and 3.6 yards per carry in his last two years with Baltimore. He may still have something left in the tank (although I’m not 100% convinced), but either way it would be a good idea to sit him this week if you have the option. He faces a tough Steelers’ run defense, anchored by mammoth nose tackle Casey Hampton.
 

Wide ReceiversOpponentRatingRiskReward
Steve Smith – CARat STL17.22.09.2
Marvin Harrison – INDvs NO16.61.48.0
Reggie Wayne – INDvs NO16.21.77.9
Anquan Boldin – ARIat SF15.42.68.0
Larry Fitzgerald – ARIat SF15.32.78.0
Terrell Owens – DALvs NYG15.13.28.3
Roy Williams – DETat OAK15.03.18.1
Chad Johnson – CINvs BAL15.03.68.6
Javon Walker – DENat BUF14.92.87.7
Marques Colston – NOat IND14.62.57.1
Torry Holt – STLvs CAR14.33.17.4
TJ Houshmandzadeh – CINvs BAL14.13.67.7
Andre Johnson – HOUvs KC14.13.07.1
Hines Ward – PITat CLE12.93.36.2
Donald Driver – GBvs PHI12.84.67.4
Darrell Jackson – SFvs ARI12.53.86.3
Reggie Brown – PHIat GB12.53.96.4
Plaxico Burress – NYGat DAL12.44.36.7
Deion Branch – SEAvs TB12.43.76.1
Santana Moss – WASvs MIA12.33.96.2
Lee Evans – BUFvs DEN12.34.97.2
Braylon Edwards – CLEvs PIT12.14.36.4
Mark Clayton – BALat CIN12.14.66.7
Devery Henderson – NOat IND11.74.25.9
Laveranues Coles – NYJvs NE11.74.25.9
Santonio Holmes – PITat CLE11.74.25.9
Joey Galloway – TBat SEA11.24.35.5
Randy Moss – NEat NYJ11.24.65.8
Calvin Johnson – DETat OAK11.05.56.5
Kevin Curtis – PHIat GB10.94.35.2
Jerricho Cotchery – NYJvs NE10.94.65.5
Vincent Jackson – SDvs CHI10.94.85.7
Isaac Bruce – STLvs CAR10.84.75.5
Donte Stallworth – NEat NYJ10.74.65.3
Chris Chambers – MIAat WAS10.45.35.7
DJ Hackett – SEAvs TB10.34.85.1
Greg Jennings – GBvs PHI10.25.15.3
Brandon Marshall – DENat BUF10.05.35.3
Derrick Mason – BALat CIN10.05.55.5
Jerry Porter – OAKvs DET9.95.85.7
Bernard Berrian – CHIat SD9.85.95.7
Joe Horn – ATLat MIN9.65.65.2
Muhsin Muhammad – CHIat SD9.65.75.3
Mike Furrey – DETat OAK9.55.44.9
Ronald Curry – OAKvs DET9.55.75.2
Eddie Kennison – KCat HOU8.95.14.0
Anthony Gonzalez – INDvs NO8.95.34.2
Terry Glenn – DALvs NYG8.96.45.3
Drew Carter – CARat STL8.85.44.2
Brandon Jones – TENat JAC8.85.44.2
Troy Williamson – MINvs ATL8.85.94.7
James Jones – GBvs PHI8.86.45.2
Wes Welker – NEat NYJ8.75.54.2
Drew Bennett – STLvs CAR8.65.74.3
Patrick Crayton – DALvs NYG8.46.44.8
Michael Jenkins – ATLat MIN8.36.34.6
Bobby Wade – MINvs ATL8.25.73.9
Marty Booker – MIAat WAS8.15.83.9
Eric Moulds – TENat JAC8.05.63.6
Dwayne Jarrett – CARat STL8.05.83.8
Dwayne Bowe – KCat HOU7.86.13.9
Antwaan Randle El – WASvs MIA7.65.93.5
Matt Jones – JACvs TEN7.66.33.9
Bryant Johnson – ARIat SF7.36.33.6
Ernest Wilford – JACvs TEN7.36.33.6
Craig Davis – SDvs CHI7.36.43.7
Sidney Rice – MINvs ATL7.26.13.3
Terrance Copper – NOat IND7.26.33.5
Sammie Parker – KCat HOU7.25.72.9
Amani Toomer – NYGat DAL7.26.23.4
Arnaz Battle – SFvs ARI7.16.23.3
Demetrius Williams – BALat CIN7.16.83.9
Maurice Stovall – TBat SEA7.06.13.1
Michael Clayton – TBat SEA7.06.23.2
Nate Burleson – SEAvs TB7.06.33.3
Joe Jurevicius – CLEvs PIT7.06.63.6
Roddy White – ATLat MIN6.96.93.8
Nate Washington – PITat CLE6.85.82.6
Brandon Stokely – DENat BUF6.86.53.3
Robert Meachum – NOat IND6.86.73.5
Roscoe Parrish – BUFvs DEN6.76.53.2
Reggie Williams – JACvs TEN6.76.53.2
Tab Perry – CINvs BAL6.66.93.5
Kevin Walter – HOUvs KC6.36.32.6
Steve Smith – NYGat DAL6.36.42.7
Brandon Lloyd – WASvs MIA5.96.42.3
Cedrick Wilson – PITat CLE5.86.42.2
Rashied Davis – CHIat SD5.57.32.8
Sam Aiken – BUFvs DEN4.87.62.4
Derek Hagan – MIAat WAS4.07.51.5

 
Start:
Santana Moss, WAS (12.3 rating): Santana Moss may be inconsistent for a while as he gains a rapport with young quarterback Jason Campbell, but his week 1 match up seems to be in his favor. The Dolphins have a very good front seven, which may give the Redskins’ normally solid rushing game some trouble. The secondary seems like it will be the weakness of the Miami defense this year, and I expect Redskins’ offensive coordinator Al Saunders to try to exploit them deep if the offensive line can keep the quarterback upright. Campbell is more likely to throw the deep pass than last year’s starter, Mark Brunell.

Sit:
Vincent Jackson, SD (10.9 rating): There has been a lot of hype building around the big, young wide out in San Diego. With three touchdown catches in the preseason, Jackson has looked good so far. But I would temper my expectations a bit as the Chargers open up with Chicago’s defense on the schedule. Jackson’s strength is as a red zone target, but against a defense like Chicago those chances may be limited.
 

Tight EndsOpponentRatingRiskReward
Antonio Gates – SDvs CHI16.32.89.1
Tony Gonzalez – KCat HOU15.72.38.0
Todd Heap – BALat CIN15.52.68.1
Vernon Davis – SFvs ARI14.83.17.9
Jeremy Shockey – NYGat DAL14.53.27.7
Kellen Winslow – CLEvs PIT13.34.57.8
Chris Cooley – WASvs MIA13.23.36.5
Alge Crumpler – ATLat MIN12.93.96.8
Heath Miller – PITat CLE12.83.66.4
Jason Witten – DALvs NYG12.83.86.6
Ben Watson – NEat NYJ12.34.26.5
Dallas Clark – INDvs NO11.54.45.9
Eric Johnson – NOat IND11.54.45.9
Randy McMichael – STLvs CAR11.54.56.0
Owen Daniels – HOUvs KC10.84.65.4
Desmond Clark – CHIat SD10.45.15.5
LJ Smith – PHIat GB10.35.55.8
Daniel Graham – DENat BUF10.15.25.3
David Martin – MIAat WAS10.05.05.0
Tony Scheffler – DENat BUF9.85.45.2
Zach Miller – OAKvs DET9.75.55.2
Bo Scaife – TENat JAC9.45.34.7
Marcus Pollard – SEAvs TB8.45.74.1
Marcedes Lewis – JACvs TEN8.26.14.3
Alex Smith – TBat SEA8.15.94.0
Visanthe Shiancoe – MINvs ATL7.95.63.5
Greg Olsen – CHIat SD7.96.03.9
Chris Baker – NYJvs NE7.96.03.9
Itula Mili – SEAvs TB7.66.13.7
Bubba Franks – GBvs PHI7.56.33.8
George Wrighster – JACvs TEN7.46.23.6
Ben Utecht – INDvs NO7.06.23.2
Leonard Pope – ARIat SF7.06.33.3
Ben Troupe – TENat JAC6.96.63.5
Dan Campbell – DETat OAK6.86.33.1
David Lee – GBvs PHI6.66.63.2
Jeb Putzier – HOUvs KC6.06.62.6
Kyle Brady – NEat NYJ5.86.42.2
Matt Schobel – PHIat GB5.86.72.5
Anthony Becht – TBat SEA5.86.72.5
Reggie Kelly – CINvs BAL5.67.02.6
Jeff King – CARat STL5.17.32.4
Robert Royal – BUFvs DEN4.77.72.4
Mike Sellers – WASvs MIA4.67.01.6

 
Start:
Kellen Winslow, CLE (13.3 rating): I don’t want it to look like I’m picking on the Browns, so I’ll give their tight end a shout out here. The quarterback situation is shaky, but no matter who is under center you can be certain they will be looking for their security blanket in Winslow. Winslow should get a lot of looks in the passing game, especially if the running game is slow to start. He is extra valuable in leagues that give points for receptions.

Sit:
Desmond Clark, CHI (10.4 rating): Clark made a nice starting tight end for a lot of fantasy teams last year by recording over 600 yards and 6 TDs. But this year he is joined by the Bears’ top draft pick, rookie tight end Greg Olsen, who will likely see plenty of action himself. Not to mention the Chargers have a good defense that should limit the opportunities of both players.
 

KickersOpponentRatingRiskReward
Adam Vinatieri – INDvs NO15.92.18.0
Neil Rackers – ARIat SF14.32.97.3
Nate Kaeding – SDvs CHI14.32.97.3
Jeff Wilkins – STLvs CAR14.22.46.6
Jason Elam – DENat BUF13.43.06.4
David Akers – PHIat GB13.33.06.3
Jeff Reed – PITat CLE13.32.96.2
Matt Stover – BALat CIN13.23.36.4
Stephen Gostkowski – NEat NYJ12.93.26.1
Olindo Mare – NOat IND12.83.56.3
Josh Brown – SEAvs TB12.73.15.8
Josh Scobee – JACvs TEN12.53.56.0
Jason Hanson – DETat OAK12.33.65.9
Robbie Gould – CHIat SD12.33.86.1
Joe Nedney – SFvs ARI11.83.85.7
Shayne Graham – CINvs BAL11.74.36.0
Mike Nugent – NYJvs NE11.43.95.3
Ryan Longwell – MINvs ATL11.33.85.1
John Kasay – CARat STL11.04.05.0
Lawrence Tynes – NYGat DAL10.74.55.2
Justin Medlock – KCat HOU10.64.65.2
Nick Folk – DALvs NYG10.35.05.3
Jay Feely – MIAat WAS10.04.34.3
Sebastian Janikowski – OAKvs DET9.84.94.8
Mason Crosby – GBvs PHI9.65.14.7
Kris Brown – HOUvs KC9.54.84.3
Rian Lindell – BUFvs DEN9.54.84.3
Matt Bryant – TBat SEA9.34.84.2
Rob Bironas – TENat JAC9.15.04.1
Phil Dawson – CLEvs PIT8.85.34.2
Shaun Suisham – WASvs MIA8.84.93.8
Matt Prater – ATLat MIN7.75.93.6

 
Start:
Neil Rackers, ARI (14.3 rating): Rackers went from fantasy stud in 2005, to a slightly disappointing season last year, which saw his field goal percentage drop almost 20%. However, he did heat up some at the end of last year, scoring eight or more points in his last six games, and many fantasy players are expecting even bigger things from Rackers this year. Arizona’s offense should put up a lot of points in Matt Leinart’s second year.

Sit:
Ryan Longwell, MIN (11.3 rating): Longwell has been a consistent fantasy kicker in previous years, but I wouldn’t touch him at this point this season. Wait to see how the Vikings move the ball with new quarterback Tarvaris Jackson before inserting Longwell into your fantasy lineup.
 

Team DefenseOpponentRatingRiskReward
Pittsburghat CLE14.52.97.5
New Englandat NYJ14.03.67.6
San Diegovs CHI14.03.77.7
Denverat BUF13.24.07.2
Baltimoreat CIN13.15.08.1
Chicagoat SD12.95.38.2
Philadelphiaat GB12.84.16.9
Jacksonvillevs TEN12.74.16.8
Seattlevs TB12.63.56.1
Dallasvs NYG12.34.36.5
Kansas Cityat HOU12.13.75.8
Minnesotavs ATL11.74.56.3
Miamiat WAS11.54.56.0
Atlantaat MIN11.44.55.8
St. Louisvs CAR11.24.55.7
Detroitat OAK10.45.05.4
Oaklandvs DET10.46.06.4
Arizonaat SF10.25.05.2
San Franciscovs ARI10.15.35.4
Washingtonvs MIA9.55.14.5
Cincinnativs BAL9.55.34.7
New York Giantsat DAL9.25.34.5
Carolinaat STL9.16.45.5
Buffalovs DEN8.75.74.5
Green Bayvs PHI8.75.84.5
Tampa Bayat SEA8.56.04.5
Indianapolisvs NO8.56.44.8
Tennesseeat JAC8.35.74.0
Houstonvs KC8.36.04.3
New York Jetsvs NE8.16.34.4
New Orleansat IND7.66.74.4
Clevelandvs PIT7.16.43.5

 
Start:
Denver (13.2 rating): The addition of ball-hawking cornerback Dre Bly should help the Broncos defense produce even more turnovers this year. Teamed up with Champ Bailey, those two corners will make it hard for opposing quarterbacks to find somewhere to throw the ball. The Broncos get their first test against a talented, but still very young, Buffalo Bills offense. The Bills’ offensive line was revamped in the off-season, but as a result may still need some time to gel. Combine that with a young quarterback and a rookie at running back, and the Bills’ could make some mistakes that will result in points for the Broncos fantasy defense.

Sit:
Carolina (9.1 rating): As a team that was once widely regarded a top 5 defense, the Panthers have lost some of their luster recently. They were still drafted as a starting defense in many leagues, but while players like Julius Peppers will translate to fantasy points, I would avoid starting the Panthers’ D this week. Carolina has to travel to St. Louis to play Marc Bulger, Steven Jackson, and Tory Holt on their home turf. I can’t recommend any defense that has that task ahead of them.
 

 
Special thanks to SwiperNoSwiping, madaslives911, bobbing_headz, treat24, m16a, Dan Lambskin, BlueBandit24, Leber, Karoz, joelamosobadiah, dream_017, kilroy1872, and aaawall91 for their rankings and involvement with this week's article. For more insights and additional fine-tuning, visit our Who to Start/Bench forum section or listen to The Coach's Voice on Fantasy Cafe Radio.
 
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Private: Week 1

By Steve Wray

Our system is based on two separate rankings: Risk and Reward. Each player or defense was given a statistical ranking for each of the two categories.

Risk is determined by anything that could negatively affect the player in question’s performance. This includes such things as matchup, situation, and injuries.

Reward is determined by anything that could positively affect the player in question’s performance. This includes such things as talent, matchup, and situation.

The Ranking for the two categories is as follows:

Risk: Score of 0 being the lowest risk, 10 being the highest risk.
Reward: Score of 0 being lowest reward, 10 being the highest reward.

 

QuarterbacksOpponentRatingRiskReward
Peyton Manning – INDvs NO18.01.509.50
Drew Brees – NOat IND16.42.178.58
Tom Brady – NEat NYJ16.12.588.67
Donovan McNabb – PHIat GB14.73.838.50
Marc Bulger – STLvs CAR14.13.757.83
Carson Palmer – CINvs BAL13.64.428.00
Ben Roethlisberger – PITat CLE13.33.757.00
Matt Leinart – ARIat SF13.34.337.58
Alex Smith – SFvs TB12.84.006.83
Jon Kitna – DETat OAK12.84.677.42
Matt Hasselbeck – SEAvs ARI12.53.836.33
Tony Romo – DALvs NYG12.34.676.92
Jay Cutler – DENat BUF12.14.586.67
Jake Delhomme – CARat STL11.54.756.25
Brett Favre – GBvs PHI10.85.336.17
Philip Rivers – SDvs CHI10.85.586.42
Eli Manning – NYGat DAL10.55.506.00
Vince Young – TENat JAC10.35.756.08
Matt Schaub – HOUvs KC10.05.755.75
Damon Huard – KCat HOU9.85.505.33
Steve McNair – BALat CIN9.75.755.42
Chad Pennington – NYJvs NE9.36.085.33
JP Losman – BUFvs DEN9.36.505.75
Jason Campbell – WASvs MIA9.15.834.92
Jeff Garcia – TBat SEA9.16.085.17
David Garrard – JACvs TEN9.16.005.08
Trent Green – MIAat WAS8.96.085.00
Daunte Culpepper – OAKvs DET8.66.755.33
Rex Grossman – CHIat SD8.37.255.58
Tarvaris Jackson – MINvs ATL7.96.674.58
Joey Harrington – ATLat MIN7.67.004.58
Charlie Frye – CLEvs PIT6.67.333.92

 
Start:
Matt Leinart, ARI (13.8 rating): Leinart ran into a little trouble against the Broncos last week, but overall he has had a very solid rookie season. If you are rotating quarterbacks at this point in the fantasy season, Leinart might be worth a hard look this week. The Cardinals go up against the San Francisco 49ers, and while the Niners held the Seahawks’ passing game in check last week, they are still at the lower end of the NFL in terms of passing yards and touchdowns allowed. Matt Leinart should have a productive game throwing to Larry Fitzgerald and Anquan Boldin in San Francisco.

Sit:
Jon Kitna, DET (9.6 rating): Kitna’s 3,600 passing yards and 16 total touchdowns have been a useful addition to many fantasy rosters, but the Lions’ quarterback has slipped down the stretch run. Kitna has only two touchdowns against eight interceptions in his last three games, and it will not get any easier this week against the imposing Chicago Bears defense. He would appear to offer little help to teams in need of a starting quarterback this week.
 

Running BacksOpponentRatingRiskReward
Steven Jackson – STLvs CAR17.22.39.4
LaDainian Tomlinson – SDvs CHI16.82.59.3
Willie Parker – PITat CLE16.42.38.7
Frank Gore – SFvs ARI15.73.38.9
Larry Johnson – KCat HOU15.73.39.0
Shaun Alexander – SEAvs TB15.42.88.2
Brian Westbrook – PHIat GB15.32.88.0
Joseph Addai – INDvs NO14.83.38.1
Reggie Bush – NOat IND14.33.88.1
Travis Henry – DENat BUF14.23.87.9
Laurence Maroney – NEat NYJ13.84.07.8
Willis McGahee – BALat CIN13.73.57.2
Deuce McAllister – NOat IND13.34.37.6
Ronnie Brown – MIAat WAS13.34.27.4
Rudi Johnson – CINvs BAL13.04.37.3
Maurice Jones-Drew – JACvs TEN13.04.37.3
Edgerrin James – ARIat SF12.84.27.0
Clinton Portis – WASvs MIA12.84.97.7
Brandon Jacobs – NYGat DAL12.74.37.0
Ahman Green – HOUvs KC11.94.76.6
Fred Taylor – JACvs TEN11.84.46.2
Marion Barber – DALvs NYG11.65.16.7
Cadillac Williams – TBat SEA11.64.76.3
Thomas Jones – NYJvs NE11.64.86.3
LaMont Jordan – OAKvs DET11.35.06.3
Adrian Peterson – MINvs ATL11.35.36.5
Cedric Benson – CHIat SD11.25.46.6
DeShaun Foster – CARat STL10.85.15.9
Marshawn Lynch – BUFvs DEN10.85.66.3
DeAngelo Williams – CARat STL10.75.35.9
Tatum Bell – DETat OAK10.65.35.8
Jamal Lewis – CLEvs PIT10.55.25.7
Chester Taylor – MINvs ATL10.55.35.8
Brandon Jackson – GBvs PHI10.45.66.0
Jerious Norwood – ATLat MIN10.45.76.1
Julius Jones – DALvs NYG10.35.35.7
Ladell Betts – WASvs MIA9.85.75.5
LenDale White – TENat JAC8.86.25.0
Warrick Dunn – ATLat MIN8.76.14.8
Chris Brown – TENat JAC7.86.84.5
Reuben Droughns – NYGat DAL7.26.63.8
Vernand Morency – GBvs PHI7.26.94.1
Anthony Thomas – BUFvs DEN7.16.83.8
Leon Washington – NYJvs NE6.86.73.4
Michael Turner – SDvs CHI6.86.93.7
Mike Bell – DENat BUF6.46.93.3
Ron Dayne – HOUvs KC6.37.03.3
Tony Hunt – PHIat GB6.37.03.3
Brian Leonard – STLvs CAR6.36.93.3
Maurice Morris – SEAvs TB6.36.83.0
Correll Buckhalter – PHIat GB6.06.82.8
Sammy Morris – NEat NYJ6.07.23.2
Greg Jones – JACvs TEN6.07.33.3
Marcel Shipp – ARIat SF5.97.33.3
TJ Duckett – DETat OAK5.97.33.2
Chris Henry – TENat JAC5.87.63.3
Adrian Peterson – CHIat SD5.77.32.9
Najeh Davenport – PITat CLE5.57.12.6
Mike Anderson – BALat CIN5.17.42.5
Kevin Faulk – NEat NYJ5.17.42.5
Michael Robinson – SFvs ARI4.87.52.3
Kevin Jones – DETat OAK4.08.52.5
Kenneth Darby – TBat SEA3.58.31.8
Jerome Harrison – CLEvs PIT3.38.31.6
DeDe Dorsey – INDvs NO2.88.31.2

 
Start:
Matt Leinart, ARI (13.8 rating): Leinart ran into a little trouble against the Broncos last week, but overall he has had a very solid rookie season. If you are rotating quarterbacks at this point in the fantasy season, Leinart might be worth a hard look this week. The Cardinals go up against the San Francisco 49ers, and while the Niners held the Seahawks’ passing game in check last week, they are still at the lower end of the NFL in terms of passing yards and touchdowns allowed. Matt Leinart should have a productive game throwing to Larry Fitzgerald and Anquan Boldin in San Francisco.

Sit:
Jon Kitna, DET (9.6 rating): Kitna’s 3,600 passing yards and 16 total touchdowns have been a useful addition to many fantasy rosters, but the Lions’ quarterback has slipped down the stretch run. Kitna has only two touchdowns against eight interceptions in his last three games, and it will not get any easier this week against the imposing Chicago Bears defense. He would appear to offer little help to teams in need of a starting quarterback this week.
 

Wide ReceiversOpponentRatingRiskReward
Steve Smith – CARat STL17.22.09.2
Marvin Harrison – INDvs NO16.61.48.0
Reggie Wayne – INDvs NO16.21.77.9
Anquan Boldin – ARIat SF15.42.68.0
Larry Fitzgerald – ARIat SF15.32.78.0
Terrell Owens – DALvs NYG15.13.28.3
Roy Williams – DETat OAK15.03.18.1
Chad Johnson – CINvs BAL15.03.68.6
Javon Walker – DENat BUF14.92.87.7
Marques Colston – NOat IND14.62.57.1
Torry Holt – STLvs CAR14.33.17.4
TJ Houshmandzadeh – CINvs BAL14.13.67.7
Andre Johnson – HOUvs KC14.13.07.1
Hines Ward – PITat CLE12.93.36.2
Donald Driver – GBvs PHI12.84.67.4
Darrell Jackson – SFvs ARI12.53.86.3
Reggie Brown – PHIat GB12.53.96.4
Plaxico Burress – NYGat DAL12.44.36.7
Deion Branch – SEAvs TB12.43.76.1
Santana Moss – WASvs MIA12.33.96.2
Lee Evans – BUFvs DEN12.34.97.2
Braylon Edwards – CLEvs PIT12.14.36.4
Mark Clayton – BALat CIN12.14.66.7
Devery Henderson – NOat IND11.74.25.9
Laveranues Coles – NYJvs NE11.74.25.9
Santonio Holmes – PITat CLE11.74.25.9
Joey Galloway – TBat SEA11.24.35.5
Randy Moss – NEat NYJ11.24.65.8
Calvin Johnson – DETat OAK11.05.56.5
Kevin Curtis – PHIat GB10.94.35.2
Jerricho Cotchery – NYJvs NE10.94.65.5
Vincent Jackson – SDvs CHI10.94.85.7
Isaac Bruce – STLvs CAR10.84.75.5
Donte Stallworth – NEat NYJ10.74.65.3
Chris Chambers – MIAat WAS10.45.35.7
DJ Hackett – SEAvs TB10.34.85.1
Greg Jennings – GBvs PHI10.25.15.3
Brandon Marshall – DENat BUF10.05.35.3
Derrick Mason – BALat CIN10.05.55.5
Jerry Porter – OAKvs DET9.95.85.7
Bernard Berrian – CHIat SD9.85.95.7
Joe Horn – ATLat MIN9.65.65.2
Muhsin Muhammad – CHIat SD9.65.75.3
Mike Furrey – DETat OAK9.55.44.9
Ronald Curry – OAKvs DET9.55.75.2
Eddie Kennison – KCat HOU8.95.14.0
Anthony Gonzalez – INDvs NO8.95.34.2
Terry Glenn – DALvs NYG8.96.45.3
Drew Carter – CARat STL8.85.44.2
Brandon Jones – TENat JAC8.85.44.2
Troy Williamson – MINvs ATL8.85.94.7
James Jones – GBvs PHI8.86.45.2
Wes Welker – NEat NYJ8.75.54.2
Drew Bennett – STLvs CAR8.65.74.3
Patrick Crayton – DALvs NYG8.46.44.8
Michael Jenkins – ATLat MIN8.36.34.6
Bobby Wade – MINvs ATL8.25.73.9
Marty Booker – MIAat WAS8.15.83.9
Eric Moulds – TENat JAC8.05.63.6
Dwayne Jarrett – CARat STL8.05.83.8
Dwayne Bowe – KCat HOU7.86.13.9
Antwaan Randle El – WASvs MIA7.65.93.5
Matt Jones – JACvs TEN7.66.33.9
Bryant Johnson – ARIat SF7.36.33.6
Ernest Wilford – JACvs TEN7.36.33.6
Craig Davis – SDvs CHI7.36.43.7
Sidney Rice – MINvs ATL7.26.13.3
Terrance Copper – NOat IND7.26.33.5
Sammie Parker – KCat HOU7.25.72.9
Amani Toomer – NYGat DAL7.26.23.4
Arnaz Battle – SFvs ARI7.16.23.3
Demetrius Williams – BALat CIN7.16.83.9
Maurice Stovall – TBat SEA7.06.13.1
Michael Clayton – TBat SEA7.06.23.2
Nate Burleson – SEAvs TB7.06.33.3
Joe Jurevicius – CLEvs PIT7.06.63.6
Roddy White – ATLat MIN6.96.93.8
Nate Washington – PITat CLE6.85.82.6
Brandon Stokely – DENat BUF6.86.53.3
Robert Meachum – NOat IND6.86.73.5
Roscoe Parrish – BUFvs DEN6.76.53.2
Reggie Williams – JACvs TEN6.76.53.2
Tab Perry – CINvs BAL6.66.93.5
Kevin Walter – HOUvs KC6.36.32.6
Steve Smith – NYGat DAL6.36.42.7
Brandon Lloyd – WASvs MIA5.96.42.3
Cedrick Wilson – PITat CLE5.86.42.2
Rashied Davis – CHIat SD5.57.32.8
Sam Aiken – BUFvs DEN4.87.62.4
Derek Hagan – MIAat WAS4.07.51.5

 
Start:
Matt Leinart, ARI (13.8 rating): Leinart ran into a little trouble against the Broncos last week, but overall he has had a very solid rookie season. If you are rotating quarterbacks at this point in the fantasy season, Leinart might be worth a hard look this week. The Cardinals go up against the San Francisco 49ers, and while the Niners held the Seahawks’ passing game in check last week, they are still at the lower end of the NFL in terms of passing yards and touchdowns allowed. Matt Leinart should have a productive game throwing to Larry Fitzgerald and Anquan Boldin in San Francisco.

Sit:
Jon Kitna, DET (9.6 rating): Kitna’s 3,600 passing yards and 16 total touchdowns have been a useful addition to many fantasy rosters, but the Lions’ quarterback has slipped down the stretch run. Kitna has only two touchdowns against eight interceptions in his last three games, and it will not get any easier this week against the imposing Chicago Bears defense. He would appear to offer little help to teams in need of a starting quarterback this week.
 

PlayerOpponentRatingRiskReward
Antonio Gates – SDvs CHI16.32.89.1
Tony Gonzalez – KCat HOU15.72.38.0
Todd Heap – BALat CIN15.52.68.1
Vernon Davis – SFvs ARI14.83.17.9
Jeremy Shockey – NYGat DAL14.53.27.7
Kellen Winslow – CLEvs PIT13.34.57.8
Chris Cooley – WASvs MIA13.23.36.5
Alge Crumpler – ATLat MIN12.93.96.8
Heath Miller – PITat CLE12.83.66.4
Jason Witten – DALvs NYG12.83.86.6
Ben Watson – NEat NYJ12.34.26.5
Dallas Clark – INDvs NO11.54.45.9
Eric Johnson – NOat IND11.54.45.9
Randy McMichael – STLvs CAR11.54.56.0
Owen Daniels – HOUvs KC10.84.65.4
Desmond Clark – CHIat SD10.45.15.5
LJ Smith – PHIat GB10.35.55.8
Daniel Graham – DENat BUF10.15.25.3
David Martin – MIAat WAS10.05.05.0
Tony Scheffler – DENat BUF9.85.45.2
Zach Miller – OAKvs DET9.75.55.2
Bo Scaife – TENat JAC9.45.34.7
Marcus Pollard – SEAvs TB8.45.74.1
Marcedes Lewis – JACvs TEN8.26.14.3
Alex Smith – TBat SEA8.15.94.0
Visanthe Shiancoe – MINvs ATL7.95.63.5
Greg Olsen – CHIat SD7.96.03.9
Chris Baker – NYJvs NE7.96.03.9
Itula Mili – SEAvs TB7.66.13.7
Bubba Franks – GBvs PHI7.56.33.8
George Wrighster – JACvs TEN7.46.23.6
Ben Utecht – INDvs NO7.06.23.2
Leonard Pope – ARIat SF7.06.33.3
Ben Troupe – TENat JAC6.96.63.5
Dan Campbell – DETat OAK6.86.33.1
David Lee – GBvs PHI6.66.63.2
Jeb Putzier – HOUvs KC6.06.62.6
Kyle Brady – NEat NYJ5.86.42.2
Matt Schobel – PHIat GB5.86.72.5
Anthony Becht – TBat SEA5.86.72.5
Reggie Kelly – CINvs BAL5.67.02.6
Jeff King – CARat STL5.17.32.4
Robert Royal – BUFvs DEN4.77.72.4
Mike Sellers – WASvs MIA4.67.01.6

 
Start:
Matt Leinart, ARI (13.8 rating): Leinart ran into a little trouble against the Broncos last week, but overall he has had a very solid rookie season. If you are rotating quarterbacks at this point in the fantasy season, Leinart might be worth a hard look this week. The Cardinals go up against the San Francisco 49ers, and while the Niners held the Seahawks’ passing game in check last week, they are still at the lower end of the NFL in terms of passing yards and touchdowns allowed. Matt Leinart should have a productive game throwing to Larry Fitzgerald and Anquan Boldin in San Francisco.

Sit:
Jon Kitna, DET (9.6 rating): Kitna’s 3,600 passing yards and 16 total touchdowns have been a useful addition to many fantasy rosters, but the Lions’ quarterback has slipped down the stretch run. Kitna has only two touchdowns against eight interceptions in his last three games, and it will not get any easier this week against the imposing Chicago Bears defense. He would appear to offer little help to teams in need of a starting quarterback this week.
 

PlayerOpponentRatingRiskReward
Adam Vinatieri – INDvs NO15.92.18.0
Neil Rackers – ARIat SF14.32.97.3
Nate Kaeding – SDvs CHI14.32.97.3
Jeff Wilkins – STLvs CAR14.22.46.6
Jason Elam – DENat BUF13.43.06.4
David Akers – PHIat GB13.33.06.3
Jeff Reed – PITat CLE13.32.96.2
Matt Stover – BALat CIN13.23.36.4
Stephen Gostkowski – NEat NYJ12.93.26.1
Olindo Mare – NOat IND12.83.56.3
Josh Brown – SEAvs TB12.73.15.8
Josh Scobee – JACvs TEN12.53.56.0
Jason Hanson – DETat OAK12.33.65.9
Robbie Gould – CHIat SD12.33.86.1
Joe Nedney – SFvs ARI11.83.85.7
Shayne Graham – CINvs BAL11.74.36.0
Mike Nugent – NYJvs NE11.43.95.3
Ryan Longwell – MINvs ATL11.33.85.1
John Kasay – CARat STL11.04.05.0
Lawrence Tynes – NYGat DAL10.74.55.2
Justin Medlock – KCat HOU10.64.65.2
Nick Folk – DALvs NYG10.35.05.3
Jay Feely – MIAat WAS10.04.34.3
Sebastian Janikowski – OAKvs DET9.84.94.8
Mason Crosby – GBvs PHI9.65.14.7
Kris Brown – HOUvs KC9.54.84.3
Rian Lindell – BUFvs DEN9.54.84.3
Matt Bryant – TBat SEA9.34.84.2
Rob Bironas – TENat JAC9.15.04.1
Phil Dawson – CLEvs PIT8.85.34.2
Shaun Suisham – WASvs MIA8.84.93.8
Matt Prater – ATLat MIN7.75.93.6

 
Start:
Matt Leinart, ARI (13.8 rating): Leinart ran into a little trouble against the Broncos last week, but overall he has had a very solid rookie season. If you are rotating quarterbacks at this point in the fantasy season, Leinart might be worth a hard look this week. The Cardinals go up against the San Francisco 49ers, and while the Niners held the Seahawks’ passing game in check last week, they are still at the lower end of the NFL in terms of passing yards and touchdowns allowed. Matt Leinart should have a productive game throwing to Larry Fitzgerald and Anquan Boldin in San Francisco.

Sit:
Jon Kitna, DET (9.6 rating): Kitna’s 3,600 passing yards and 16 total touchdowns have been a useful addition to many fantasy rosters, but the Lions’ quarterback has slipped down the stretch run. Kitna has only two touchdowns against eight interceptions in his last three games, and it will not get any easier this week against the imposing Chicago Bears defense. He would appear to offer little help to teams in need of a starting quarterback this week.
 

Team DefenseOpponentRatingRiskReward
Pittsburghat CLE14.52.97.5
New Englandat NYJ14.03.67.6
San Diegovs CHI14.03.77.7
Denverat BUF13.24.07.2
Baltimoreat CIN13.15.08.1
Chicagoat SD12.95.38.2
Philadelphiaat GB12.84.16.9
Jacksonvillevs TEN12.74.16.8
Seattlevs TB12.63.56.1
Dallasvs NYG12.34.36.5
Kansas Cityat HOU12.13.75.8
Minnesotavs ATL11.74.56.3
Miamiat WAS11.54.56.0
Atlantaat MIN11.44.55.8
St. Louisvs CAR11.24.55.7
Detroitat OAK10.45.05.4
Oaklandvs DET10.46.06.4
Arizonaat SF10.25.05.2
San Franciscovs ARI10.15.35.4
Washingtonvs MIA9.55.14.5
Cincinnativs BAL9.55.34.7
New York Giantsat DAL9.25.34.5
Carolinaat STL9.16.45.5
Buffalovs DEN8.75.74.5
Green Bayvs PHI8.75.84.5
Tampa Bayat SEA8.56.04.5
Indianapolisvs NO8.56.44.8
Tennesseeat JAC8.35.74.0
Houstonvs KC8.36.04.3
New York Jetsvs NE8.16.34.4
New Orleansat IND7.66.74.4
Clevelandvs PIT7.16.43.5

 
Start:
Matt Leinart, ARI (13.8 rating): Leinart ran into a little trouble against the Broncos last week, but overall he has had a very solid rookie season. If you are rotating quarterbacks at this point in the fantasy season, Leinart might be worth a hard look this week. The Cardinals go up against the San Francisco 49ers, and while the Niners held the Seahawks’ passing game in check last week, they are still at the lower end of the NFL in terms of passing yards and touchdowns allowed. Matt Leinart should have a productive game throwing to Larry Fitzgerald and Anquan Boldin in San Francisco.

Sit:
Jon Kitna, DET (9.6 rating): Kitna’s 3,600 passing yards and 16 total touchdowns have been a useful addition to many fantasy rosters, but the Lions’ quarterback has slipped down the stretch run. Kitna has only two touchdowns against eight interceptions in his last three games, and it will not get any easier this week against the imposing Chicago Bears defense. He would appear to offer little help to teams in need of a starting quarterback this week.
 

 
Steve Wray is one of a growing number of fantasy experts who write for the Cafe. You can catch up with Steve in the Cafe's forums where he posts under the name of SwiperNoSwiping.
 
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