Start & SitSeptember 12, 2008


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Week 2

By Nick Hopkins

One week is in the books now, and thanks to my newly installed internet connection, I’m back doing the write ups for the Cafe’s Start and Sit! I’d like to thank Scott for the great job he did last week with the writing, and of course the great job he’s done each week setting up the rankings. Anyway, on to the games! Last week saw huge scores and big stats put up across the board, making for some interesting fantasy games. Donovan McNabb, Drew Brees, and Tony Romo were the big scorers at quarterback. Runningback Michael Turner made a great first impression in Atlanta, rushing for 220 yards. Rookie wide receiver Eddie Royal had a similarly good start in a Bronco uniform, catching nine passes for 146 yards in his debut. This week we will get to see if Matt Cassel can hold his own in place of Tom Brady – and against Brett Favre and the division rival Jets no less! The Cowboys and Eagles is always a great game as well – Will either defense be able to slow down the other team’s Pro Bowl quarterback? For answers to these questions and all your other lineup queries, the Week 2 Start & Sit is here!

Our rankings system is based on two sets of rankings. The first set is a value between 1-20 given based on a player’s Fantasy Value If Healthy (FVIH). The second set is that player’s Playing Probability (PP). These two sets are thrown into a giant machine, twisted around a little, mixed up, sorted, resorted, then eventually darts are thrown at the results. If you require any further help, our start/sit forum is top notch. You will find quick replies to your questions there and many people eager to help. Kilroyz Krystal Ball has also proven to be a great help. He devotes a lot of time to helping with Start/Sit questions and is highly knowledgeable.

QuarterbacksTeamOpp.FVIHPPRanking
Peyton ManningINDat MIN19.00100%19.00
Tony RomoDALPHI18.00100%18.00
Drew BreesNOat WAS17.50100%17.50
Ben RoethlisbergerPITat CLE17.50100%17.50
Eli ManningNYGat STL16.50100%16.50
Carson PalmerCINTEN16.00100%16.00
Kurt WarnerARIMIA15.50100%15.50
Jay CutlerDENSD15.50100%15.50
Aaron RodgersGBat DET15.50100%15.50
Donovan McNabbPHIat DAL15.00100%15.00
Brett FavreNYJNE14.50100%14.50
Matt HasselbeckSEASF13.50100%13.50
Derek AndersonCLEPIT13.50100%13.50
Matt SchaubHOUBAL13.00100%13.00
Matt CasselNEat NYJ13.00100%13.00
Jon KitnaDETGB12.50100%12.50
David GarrardJAXat BUF12.00100%12.00
Jake DelhommeCARCHI12.00100%12.00
Philip RiversSDat DEN12.00100%12.00
Jason CampbellWASNO11.00100%11.00
Matt RyanATLat TB11.00100%11.00
Marc BulgerSTLNYG10.50100%10.50
J.T. O’SullivanSFat SEA10.00100%10.00
Chad PenningtonMIAat ARI10.00100%10.00
Joe FlaccoBALat HOU9.50100%9.50
Kyle OrtonCHIat CAR9.50100%9.50
Trent EdwardsBUFat JAX9.00100%9.00
JaMarcus RussellOAKat KC8.00100%8.00
Tarvaris JacksonMININD7.50100%7.50
Jeff GarciaTBATL13.00
Alert! 45%
5.85
Matt LeinartARIMIA11.00
Alert! 20%
2.20
Gus FrerotteMININD5.00
Alert! 10%
0.50
Brodie CroyleKCOAK9.00
Alert! 5%
0.45

Start:
Aaron Rodgers (Rank: 15.5): No one knew for sure how Rodgers would react to his new role as starting quarterback for the Green Bay Packers, but he certainly passed his first test. He managed the offense well, throwing 18 completions in 22 attempts, good for a 81.8% completion rate. He also threw one touchdown pass while running for another a second. He should be a good start this week against a Detroit defense that got worked by Atlanta for 34 points in Week 1.

Sit:
David Garrard (Rank: 12.0): Garrard had a mediocre game last week, but it’s hard to blame that all on him. He doesn’t have the best talent or the most experience at wide receiver. Jacksonville’s receivers and offensive linemen have also been decimated by injuries. I’m not saying to give up on Garrard for the season, but this week at Buffalo would not be the best time to start him.

 

Running BacksTeamOpp.FVIHPPRanking
Adrian PetersonMININD20.00100%20.00
Marion BarberDALPHI18.00100%18.00
Brian WestbrookPHIat DAL17.50100%17.50
LaDainian TomlinsonSDat DEN18.0095%17.10
Frank GoreSFat SEA17.00100%17.00
Willie ParkerPITat CLE16.50100%16.50
Clinton PortisWASNO16.00100%16.00
Brandon JacobsNYGat STL16.00100%16.00
Steven JacksonSTLNYG15.00100%15.00
Chris JohnsonTENat CIN15.00100%15.00
Michael TurnerATLat TB14.50100%14.50
Ryan GrantGBat DET14.50100%14.50
Joseph AddaiINDat MIN14.00100%14.00
Marshawn LynchBUFat JAX14.00100%14.00
Earnest GrahamTBATL14.00100%14.00
Reggie BushNOat WAS14.00100%14.00
Edgerrin JamesARIMIA13.50100%13.50
Matt ForteCHIat CAR13.50100%13.50
Larry JohnsonKCOAK13.00100%13.00
Thomas JonesNYJNE12.50100%12.50
Laurence MaroneyNEat NYJ12.50100%12.50
Maurice Jones-DrewJAXat BUF12.00100%12.00
Darren McFaddenOAKat KC12.5095%11.88
Kevin SmithDETGB11.00100%11.00
Ray RiceBALat HOU11.00100%11.00
Ronnie BrownMIAat ARI11.00100%11.00
Selvin YoungDENSD10.50100%10.50
Justin FargasOAKat KC10.50100%10.50
Jamal LewisCLEPIT10.50100%10.50
Ricky WilliamsMIAat ARI10.00100%10.00
Fred TaylorJAXat BUF10.00100%10.00
LenDale WhiteTENat CIN10.00100%10.00
DeAngelo WilliamsCARCHI9.50100%9.50
Jonathan StewartCARCHI9.50100%9.50
Sammy MorrisNEat NYJ9.00100%9.00
Julius JonesSEASF9.00100%9.00
Chris PerryCINTEN8.50100%8.50
Felix JonesDALPHI8.00100%8.00
Steve SlatonHOUBAL8.00100%8.00
Tim HightowerARIMIA7.50100%7.50
Chester TaylorMININD7.00100%7.00
Andre HallDENSD7.00100%7.00
Derrick WardNYGat STL6.50100%6.50
Rashard MendenhallPITat CLE6.00100%6.00
Kevin JonesCHIat CAR6.00100%6.00
Leon WashingtonNYJNE5.50100%5.50
Brandon JacksonGBat DET5.50100%5.50
Willis McGaheeBALat HOU11.00
Alert! 50%
5.50
Jerious NorwoodATLat TB5.00100%5.00
Warrick DunnTBATL5.00100%5.00
Ladell BettsWASNO5.00100%5.00
Chris TaylorHOUBAL4.50100%4.50
Kenny WatsonCINTEN4.00100%4.00
Ahmad BradshawNYGat STL4.00100%4.00
Pierre ThomasNOat WAS4.00100%4.00
Dominic RhodesINDat MIN3.00100%3.00
Michael BushOAKat KC3.00100%3.00
Fred JacksonBUFat JAX2.50100%2.50
Jamaal CharlesKCOAK2.50100%2.50
Ahman GreenHOUBAL6.00
Alert! 40%
2.40
LaMont JordanNEat NYJ3.00
Alert! 75%
2.25
Kolby SmithKCOAK2.00100%2.00
Deuce McAllisterNOat WAS6.50
Alert! 30%
1.95
Maurice MorrisSEASF7.50
Alert! 0%
0.00

Start:
Chris Johnson (Rank: 15.0): The Titans’ rookie runningback generated hype all offseason, and he proved to be worthy of it last weekend, gaining 93 yards on the ground, while adding another 34 yards and a touchdown through the air. He will have another chance to put up good numbers this week against a Bengal defense that has trouble stopping the run.

Sit:
Jamal Lewis (Rank: 10.5): Jamal Lewis seems to be in good enough health to continue his Cleveland resurgence, but he just does not have the best matchup this week. The Steelers are never an easy team to run against. Casey Hampton anchors that big 3-4 defensive line, and their linebackers swarm to the ball.

 

Wide ReceiversTeamOpp.FVIHPPRanking
Reggie WayneINDat MIN19.50100%19.50
Terrell OwensDALPHI19.50100%19.50
Plaxico BurressNYGat STL19.50100%19.50
Randy MossNEat NYJ18.00100%18.00
Larry FitzgeraldARIMIA18.00100%18.00
Andre JohnsonHOUBAL16.00100%16.00
Calvin JohnsonDETGB16.00100%16.00
Santonio HolmesPITat CLE15.50100%15.50
Braylon EdwardsCLEPIT15.50100%15.50
Anquan BoldinARIMIA15.00100%15.00
Marvin HarrisonINDat MIN15.00100%15.00
T.J. HoushmandzadehCINTEN14.50100%14.50
Hines WardPITat CLE14.50100%14.50
Greg JenningsGBat DET14.50100%14.50
Brandon MarshallDENSD14.50100%14.50
Jerricho CotcheryNYJNE14.00100%14.00
Donald DriverGBat DET14.00100%14.00
Eddie RoyalDENSD14.00100%14.00
DeSean JacksonPHIat DAL13.00100%13.00
Chad JohnsonCINTEN12.50100%12.50
Wes WelkerNEat NYJ12.00100%12.00
Roy WilliamsDETGB12.00100%12.00
Roddy WhiteATLat TB12.00100%12.00
Joey GallowayTBATL11.50100%11.50
Chris ChambersSDat DEN11.50100%11.50
Dwayne BoweKCOAK11.00100%11.00
David PattenNOat WAS11.00100%11.00
Courtney TaylorSEASF11.00100%11.00
Laveranues ColesNYJNE11.5095%10.93
Torry HoltSTLNYG10.50100%10.50
Sidney RiceMININD10.50100%10.50
Patrick CraytonDALPHI10.00100%10.00
Lee EvansBUFat JAX10.00100%10.00
Ted Ginn Jr.MIAat ARI9.50100%9.50
Derrick MasonBALat HOU9.50100%9.50
Vincent JacksonSDat DEN9.50100%9.50
Anthony GonzalezINDat MIN9.50100%9.50
Bryant JohnsonSFat SEA9.50100%9.50
Reggie WilliamsJAXat BUF9.00100%9.00
Michael JenkinsATLat TB9.00100%9.00
Devery HendersonNOat WAS9.00100%9.00
Ronald CurryOAKat KC8.50100%8.50
Santana MossWASNO8.50100%8.50
Matt JonesJAXat BUF8.50100%8.50
Bernard BerrianMININD7.50100%7.50
Devin HesterCHIat CAR7.50100%7.50
Josh MorganSFat SEA7.50100%7.50
Muhsin MuhammadCARCHI7.50100%7.50
Steve SmithNYGat STL7.50100%7.50
Brandon StokleyDENSD7.50100%7.50
Isaac BruceSFat SEA7.00100%7.00
Justin GageTENat CIN6.50100%6.50
Antonio BryantTBATL6.50100%6.50
Kevin WalterHOUBAL6.00100%6.00
Mark ClaytonBALat HOU6.00100%6.00
D.J. HackettCARCHI6.00100%6.00
Javon WalkerOAKat KC7.50
Alert! 75%
5.63
Jabar GaffneyNEat NYJ5.50100%5.50
Drew BennettSTLNYG5.50100%5.50
Darrell JacksonDENSD5.50100%5.50
Michael ClaytonTBATL5.00100%5.00
Antwaan Randle ElWASNO5.00100%5.00
Reggie BrownPHIat DAL8.00
Alert! 60%
4.80
Shaun McDonaldDETGB4.50100%4.50
Robert MeachemNOat WAS4.50100%4.50
Josh ReedBUFat JAX4.00100%4.00
Brandon LloydCHIat CAR4.00100%4.00
James HardyBUFat JAX4.00100%4.00
Donte’ StallworthCLEPIT8.50
Alert! 45%
3.83
Malcolm KellyWASNO4.0090%3.60
Justin McCareinsTENat CIN3.50100%3.50
Ernest WilfordMIAat ARI3.50100%3.50
Devin ThomasWASNO3.50100%3.50
Dwayne JarrettCARCHI3.50100%3.50
Steve BreastonARIMIA3.50100%3.50
Bobby WadeMININD3.00100%3.00
Troy WilliamsonJAXat BUF3.00100%3.00
Jerry PorterJAXat BUF3.00100%3.00
Roscoe ParrishBUFat JAX3.00100%3.00
Donnie AverySTLNYG3.00
Alert! 85%
2.55
Rashied DavisCHIat CAR2.50100%2.50
Derek HaganMIAat ARI2.00100%2.00
Laurent RobinsonATLat TB2.00100%2.00
Devard DarlingKCOAK2.00100%2.00
Mark BradleyCHIat CAR2.00100%2.00
Demetrius WilliamsBALat HOU1.50100%1.50
Marty BookerCHIat CAR1.50100%1.50
Jerheme UrbanARIMIA1.50100%1.50
Mike FurreyDETGB1.00100%1.00
Dennis NorthcuttJAXat BUF1.00100%1.00
Marques ColstonNOat WAS16.50
Alert! 0%
0.00
Kevin CurtisPHIat DAL4.50
Alert! 0%
0.00
Ben ObomanuSEASF1.00
Alert! 0%
0.00

Start:
Jerricho Cotchery (Rank: 14.0): Cotchery and new teammate Brett Favre have been hooking up on long passes all preseason, and that trend continued on opening weekend. The Patriots are usually not the greatest matchup, but their secondary is not what it once was. The loss of Asante Samuel to free agency left them with mediocre depth at cornerback. I would not be surprised at all if Favre found Cotchery deep a few more times this weekend.

Sit:
Lee Evans (Rank: 10.0) Evans actually had a very respectable first game, going for over 100 yards. But Evans is also one of the league’s most streaky players, because of his reliance on the long ball, and Buffalo’s shaky quarterback play. Jacksonville should be a tough matchup, despite their disappointing loss last week. Rashean Mathis is one of the league’s best cornerbacks.

 

Tight EndsTeamOpp.FVIHPPRanking
Antonio GatesSDat DEN20.0095%19.00
Jason WittenDALPHI18.50100%18.50
Kellen WinslowCLEPIT17.50100%17.50
Jeremy ShockeyNOat WAS16.50100%16.50
Tony GonzalezKCOAK15.00100%15.00
Chris CooleyWASNO14.00100%14.00
Vernon DavisSFat SEA13.50100%13.50
Anthony FasanoMIAat ARI13.00100%13.00
Tony SchefflerDENSD12.50100%12.50
Heath MillerPITat CLE12.50100%12.50
Dallas ClarkINDat MIN15.00
Alert! 75%
11.25
Greg OlsenCHIat CAR11.00100%11.00
Dante RosarioCARCHI11.00100%11.00
L.J. SmithPHIat DAL10.50100%10.50
Donald LeeGBat DET10.50100%10.50
Owen DanielsHOUBAL9.50100%9.50
Zach MillerOAKat KC9.50100%9.50
Ben WatsonNEat NYJ9.00100%9.00
Todd HeapBALat HOU10.50
Alert! 85%
8.93
Alge CrumplerTENat CIN8.50100%8.50
Randy McMichaelSTLNYG7.50100%7.50
Kevin BossNYGat STL7.50100%7.50
Ben UtechtCINTEN7.00100%7.00
Dustin KellerNYJNE6.50100%6.50
John CarlsonSEASF6.50100%6.50
Bo ScaifeTENat CIN6.00100%6.00
Marcedes LewisJAXat BUF5.50100%5.50
Alex SmithTBATL5.00100%5.00
Visanthe ShiancoeMININD5.00100%5.00
Desmond ClarkCHIat CAR5.00100%5.00
Robert RoyalBUFat JAX4.50100%4.50
Chris BakerNYJNE4.50100%4.50
David MartinMIAat ARI4.50100%4.50
Leonard PopeARIMIA4.00100%4.00
Bubba FranksNYJNE4.00100%4.00
Jeff KingCARCHI3.50100%3.50
Casey FitzsimmonsDETGB3.00100%3.00
Will HellerSEASF2.50100%2.50
Daniel GrahamDENSD2.00100%2.00
Matt SpaethPITat CLE2.00100%2.00
Dan CampbellDETGB2.00100%2.00
Brandon ManumaleunaSDat DEN1.00100%1.00

Start:
Jeremy Shockey (Rank: 16.5): Shockey looked good in his Saints debut, catching six passes from Drew Brees for 54 yards. He should have another good game this week against the Redskins. Washington’s defense looked shakier than usual last week against the Giants, with new defensive coordinator Greg Blache now in charge. There should be some open spaces in the middle of the field. Shockey also won’t have Marques Colston to compete with for catches.

Sit:
Todd Heap (Rank: 10.5): As all Heap owners know (right here!), the Ravens’ tight end scored negative points in most leagues last week, catching one short pass, but also fumbling. He is likely still not fully recovered from his injury, and the Baltimore passing attack, centered around rookie Joe Flacco, is still far from dangerous. If you can find a better option on your bench, or maybe even on free agency, you should probably sit Heap this week.
 

KickersTeamOpp.FVIHPPRanking
Nick FolkDALPHI19.00100%19.00
Mason CrosbyGBat DET19.00100%19.00
Shayne GrahamCINTEN17.50100%17.50
Rob BironasTENat CIN17.50100%17.50
Adam VinatieriINDat MIN17.00100%17.00
Nate KaedingSDat DEN16.50100%16.50
Phil DawsonCLEPIT16.00100%16.00
Stephen GostkowskiNEat NYJ15.50100%15.50
Robbie GouldCHIat CAR15.50100%15.50
Neil RackersARIMIA14.00100%14.00
John CarneyNYGat STL14.00100%14.00
David AkersPHIat DAL13.00100%13.00
Jeff ReedPITat CLE13.00100%13.00
Matt PraterDENSD12.50100%12.50
Josh BrownSTLNYG11.50100%11.50
Rian LindellBUFat JAX11.50100%11.50
Josh ScobeeJAXat BUF11.00100%11.00
Martin GramaticaNOat WAS11.00100%11.00
Jason ElamATLat TB11.00100%11.00
Ryan LongwellMININD10.50100%10.50
Matt StoverBALat HOU10.50100%10.50
John KasayCARCHI10.50100%10.50
Matt BryantTBATL10.50100%10.50
Jason HansonDETGB9.50100%9.50
Kris BrownHOUBAL9.00100%9.00
Joe NedneySFat SEA8.50100%8.50
Sebastian JanikowskiOAKat KC8.00100%8.00
Shaun SuishamWASNO8.00100%8.00
Olindo MareSEASF7.50100%7.50
Nick NovakKCOAK6.50100%6.50
Dan CarpenterMIAat ARI5.50100%5.50
Mike NugentNYJNE10.00
Alert! 20%
2.00

Start:
Matt Prater (Rank: 12.5): Prater showed last week that he is a reliable replacement for Jason Elam, hitting both of his field goals (one from 49 yards out) as well as 5 extra points as the Broncos lit up the scoreboard. He should be a quality starting kicker in fantasy leagues this year. It’s often hard to judge matchups for kickers, but San Diego will likely hold the Broncos to several field goals. The Chargers gave up 14 points to the kicker they faced last week.

Sit:
Shaun Suisham (Rank: 8.0): As a Redskin fan I like Suisham (or “Shazam” as Fred Smoot has nicknamed him) but I worry about starting him until Jim Zorn’s offense proves it can move the ball consistently. Suisham only managed one point last week, and the Redskins did not even get close to scoring range on any other drive until the closing minutes. Suisham is waiver wire material at this point.

DefenseTeamOpp.FVIHPPRanking
Jacksonville JaguarsJAXat BUF16.50100%16.50
New England PatriotsNEat NYJ16.00100%16.00
New York GiantsNYGat STL15.50100%15.50
Tennessee TitansTENat CIN15.50100%15.50
Buffalo BillsBUFat JAX14.50100%14.50
Indianapolis ColtsINDat MIN14.00100%14.00
Arizona CardinalsARIMIA13.50100%13.50
Tampa Bay BuccaneersTBATL13.50100%13.50
Pittsburgh SteelersPITat CLE13.00100%13.00
Green Bay PackersGBat DET13.00100%13.00
Baltimore RavensBALat HOU12.50100%12.50
Chicago BearsCHIat CAR12.50100%12.50
New Orleans SaintsNOat WAS12.00100%12.00
Oakland RaidersOAKat KC12.00100%12.00
Carolina PanthersCARCHI12.00100%12.00
Minnesota VikingsMININD11.50100%11.50
Houston TexansHOUBAL11.00100%11.00
Dallas CowboysDALPHI10.50100%10.50
Philadelphia EaglesPHIat DAL10.00100%10.00
San Diego ChargersSDat DEN9.50100%9.50
San Francisco 49ersSFat SEA9.00100%9.00
Kansas City ChiefsKCOAK9.00100%9.00
Cincinnati BengalsCINTEN8.50100%8.50
Seattle SeahawksSEASF8.00100%8.00
Denver BroncosDENSD8.00100%8.00
Atlanta FalconsATLat TB8.00100%8.00
New York JetsNYJNE7.00100%7.00
Washington RedskinsWASNO6.50100%6.50
Miami DolphinsMIAat ARI6.00100%6.00
Cleveland BrownsCLEPIT4.50100%4.50
St. Louis RamsSTLNYG4.00100%4.00
Detroit LionsDETGB3.50100%3.50

Start:
New York Giants (Rank: 15.5): No Osi Umenyiora? No Michael Strahan? No problem. Justin Tuck and Mathias Kiwanuka proved to be good players (and in the case of a Tuck, a GREAT player) in their own rights last week. St. Louis is capable of being dangerous offensively, but they looked hapless against the Eagles in Week 1, managing only 3 points. The Giants should be able to handle the Rams without too much trouble, with several chances for big plays.

Sit:
San Diego Chargers (Rank: 9.5): Don’t get me wrong, the Chargers have a lot of talent on defense, even without injured linebacker Shawne Merriman. But they are not quite the dynamic pass defense they have been in the past without a pass rushing monster like Merriman on the field. In general, San Diego is still a solid defense, and there are worse starts than them this week, but on the road against a Denver offense that looked so impressive in Week 1 is an unnecessarily risky matchup. See if you can find a better start on defense this week.

 

Many thanks to the people who helped put this together: treat24, Dan Lambskin, WaCougMBS, and joelamosobadiah.


 
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