Start & SitSeptember 19, 2008


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Week 3

By Nick Hopkins

Week 3 of the NFL season is approaching and things are really starting to get interesting. There were a few familiar names across the individual leader boards last week, like Vikings phenom Adrian Peterson, and Cardinals man-child Anquan Boldin, but we had quite a few newcomers announce their presence in a big way as well. Raider rookie running back (like the alliteration?) Darren McFadden led Oakland to a victory with his 164-yard performance, Aaron Rodgers and Jason Campbell led their teams to victories with impressive games and old men Kurt Warner and Isaac Bruce showed they still have what it takes to score big. And how could I not mention Brandon Marshall’s dominating 18-catch, 166-yard showing? If only he could keep himself out of trouble… Moving on to Week 3, we will get to see some interesting match ups as the Cowboys and Packers meet in a battle of two of the NFC’s best, the Eagles and Steelers meet in the battle for Pennsylvania and the Chargers try to rebound from their disappointing start against the fightin’ Brett Favres. For insight into these matchups and more, I give you the Week 3 Start & Sit!

Our rating system is based on two sets of rankings. The first set is a value between 1-20, given based on a player’s Fantasy Value If Playing (FVIP). The second set is that player’s Playing Probability (PP). These two sets are thrown into a giant machine, twisted around a little, mixed up, sorted, resorted, then eventually darts are thrown at the results. If you require any further help, our start/sit forum is top notch. You will find quick replies to your questions there and many eager helpers!

 

QuarterbacksTeamOpp.FVIPPPRanking
Tony RomoDALat GB20100%19.50
Jay CutlerDENNO20100%19.50
Drew BreesNOat DEN17100%17.00
Eli ManningNYGCIN17100%16.50
Aaron RodgersGBDAL16100%16.00
Peyton ManningINDJAX15100%15.00
Ben RoethlisbergerPITat PHI15100%15.00
Donovan McNabbPHIPIT15100%15.00
Kurt WarnerARIat WAS15100%15.00
Philip RiversSDat NYJ14100%13.50
Brett FavreNYJSD13100%13.00
Jon KitnaDETat SF13100%13.00
Jake DelhommeCARat MIN13100%12.50
Matt CasselNEMIA12100%12.00
Jason CampbellWASARI12100%12.00
J.T. O’SullivanSFDET12100%12.00
Carson PalmerCINat NYG12100%11.50
Derek AndersonCLEat BAL11100%11.00
Marc BulgerSTLat SEA11100%11.00
Trent EdwardsBUFOAK11100%10.50
Matt SchaubHOUat TEN11100%10.50
David GarrardJAXat IND10100%10.00
Matt RyanATLKC10100%9.50
Matt HasselbeckSEASTL10100%9.50
Chad PenningtonMIAat NE9100%9.00
Joe FlaccoBALCLE8100%8.00
Kyle OrtonCHITB8100%7.50
JaMarcus RussellOAKat BUF7100%6.50
Tarvaris JacksonMINCAR2
Alert! 10%
0.15

Start: Jay Cutler, Denver Broncos – New Orleans’ injury woes on defense leave them very vulnerable to Denver’s suddenly high powered air attack. Cutler has put up huge numbers in the past two weeks and you can expect more of the same this Sunday.

Sit: Carson Palmer, Cincinnati Bengals – I don’t think anyone can feel comfortable starting any Bengals right now. They have looked dreadful, and even at home I don’t trust that offense against the G-Men. The Giants have looked like a team that can defend their title and the Bengals look like a team that wants to draft Beanie Wells or Knowshon Moreno first overall next year.

Running BacksTeamOpp.FVIPPPRanking
Adrian PetersonMINCAR19100%19.00
Brian WestbrookPHIPIT18100%17.50
Marion BarberDALat GB17100%17.00
Clinton PortisWASARI17100%16.50
Frank GoreSFDET17100%16.50
Marshawn LynchBUFOAK16100%16.00
Brandon JacobsNYGCIN16100%15.50
LaDainian TomlinsonSDat NYJ1695%15.20
Steven JacksonSTLat SEA15100%15.00
Willie ParkerPITat PHI15100%14.50
Matt ForteCHITB14100%13.50
Chris JohnsonTENHOU14100%13.50
Larry JohnsonKCATL14100%13.50
Reggie BushNOat DEN14100%13.50
Joseph AddaiINDJAX13100%13.00
Earnest GrahamTBat CHI13100%13.00
Thomas JonesNYJSD13100%13.00
Julius JonesSEASTL13100%13.00
Michael TurnerATLKC1495%12.83
Kevin SmithDETat SF13100%12.50
Sammy MorrisNEMIA13100%12.50
Maurice Jones-DrewJAXat IND1295%11.40
Darren McFaddenOAKat BUF1390%11.25
Edgerrin JamesARIat WAS11100%11.00
Fred TaylorJAXat IND11100%11.00
LenDale WhiteTENHOU11100%11.00
Jamal LewisCLEat BAL11100%10.50
Jonathan StewartCARat MIN11100%10.50
Chris PerryCINat NYG10100%10.00
Ray RiceBALCLE9100%9.00
Tim HightowerARIat WAS9100%9.00
Ronnie BrownMIAat NE9100%9.00
Brandon JacksonGBDAL9100%9.00
Selvin YoungDENNO9100%9.00
Steve SlatonHOUat TEN9100%8.50
Ryan GrantGBDAL12
Alert! 70%
8.40
Ricky WilliamsMIAat NE8100%7.50
Jerious NorwoodATLKC8100%7.50
Willis McGaheeBALCLE12
Alert! 60%
7.20
DeAngelo WilliamsCARat MIN7100%7.00
Felix JonesDALat GB7100%7.00
Chester TaylorMINCAR7100%6.50
Andre HallDENNO6100%5.50
Leon WashingtonNYJSD5100%5.00
Laurence MaroneyNEMIA8
Alert! 60%
4.80
Chris TaylorHOUat TEN4100%4.00
Justin FargasOAKat BUF9
Alert! 0%
0.00

Start: Chris Johnson, Tennessee Titans – The speedy rookie from East Carolina has exploded onto the NFL scene with 248 Total Yards and a TD in his first two games, and with a match up this week against a Houston Texans Defense that surrendered 183 Rushing Yards and 3 Touchdowns in their only game, there’s a solid chance CJ4.24 will put on a show this week.

Sit: DeAngelo Williams, Carolina Panthers – It looks as though the changing of the guard may have begun in Carolina last week, as Jonathan Stewart rumbled his way to 77 yards and two scores against Chicago while Williams managed only 31 yards on 11 carries and sat out the entire second half. Given that, and a highly unfavorable matchup against a stout Minnesota Run Defense, this is not a week to have Williams in your lineup.

Wide ReceiversTeamOpp.FVIPPPRanking
Brandon MarshallDENNO20100%20.00
Terrell OwensDALat GB20100%19.50
Larry FitzgeraldARIat WAS19100%19.00
Plaxico BurressNYGCIN18100%18.00
Randy MossNEMIA18100%18.00
Reggie WayneINDJAX18100%18.00
Steve SmithCARat MIN18100%17.50
Calvin JohnsonDETat SF18100%17.50
Andre JohnsonHOUat TEN16100%16.00
Greg JenningsGBDAL16100%15.50
Anquan BoldinARIat WAS15100%15.00
Braylon EdwardsCLEat BAL14100%14.00
Jerricho CotcheryNYJSD14100%14.00
T.J. HoushmandzadehCINat NYG14100%13.50
Hines WardPITat PHI14100%13.50
Roy WilliamsDETat SF14100%13.50
Chris ChambersSDat NYJ14100%13.50
Santonio HolmesPITat PHI13100%13.00
Santana MossWASARI13100%13.00
Torry HoltSTLat SEA13100%12.50
Marvin HarrisonINDJAX12100%12.00
Isaac BruceSFDET12100%12.00
Donald DriverGBDAL12100%11.50
Wes WelkerNEMIA12100%11.50
Laveranues ColesNYJSD12100%11.50
Bryant JohnsonSFDET12100%11.50
DeSean JacksonPHIPIT12100%11.50
Roddy WhiteATLKC12100%11.50
Lee EvansBUFOAK12100%11.50
Chad Ocho CincoCINat NYG11100%11.00
Anthony GonzalezINDJAX11100%11.00
Dwayne BoweKCATL11100%11.00
Eddie RoyalDENNO11100%10.50
David PattenNOat DEN11100%10.50
Justin GageTENHOU10100%10.00
Vincent JacksonSDat NYJ10100%9.50
Matt JonesJAXat IND9100%9.00
Derrick MasonBALCLE9100%9.00
Bernard BerrianMINCAR9100%8.50
Kevin WalterHOUat TEN9100%8.50
Ronald CurryOAKat BUF8100%8.00
Antonio BryantTBat CHI8100%8.00
Patrick CraytonDALat GB8100%8.00
Devery HendersonNOat DEN8100%7.50
Reggie WilliamsJAXat IND8100%7.50
Muhsin MuhammadCARat MIN8100%7.50
Sidney RiceMINCAR11
Alert! 60%
6.30
Michael JenkinsATLKC6100%6.00
Brandon StokleyDENNO6100%6.00
Mark ClaytonBALCLE6100%6.00
D.J. HackettCARat MIN6100%6.00
Ted Ginn Jr.MIAat NE6100%5.50
Jabar GaffneyNEMIA6100%5.50
Josh MorganSFDET6100%5.50
Joey GallowayTBat CHI9
Alert! 60%
5.10
Javon WalkerOAKat BUF5100%5.00
Steve SmithNYGCIN5100%4.50
Courtney TaylorSEASTL5
Alert! 50%
2.50
Devin HesterCHITB2
Alert! 15%
0.30

Start: Isaac Bruce, San Francisco 49ers – Bruce finished last Sunday’s game with 4 receptions for 153 yards. The old man made the most of the few looks he got and I expect to see those looks to go up against the lowly Lions. Journeyman JT O’Sullivan looked quite comfortable running the Niners’ offense against Seattle and with the pass happy Martz calling the plays I see a big day for Bruce.

Sit: Chad Ocho Cinco, Cincinnati Bengals – The Bengals offense hasn’t gotten much of anything going in the first two weeks. This week they face a tough Giants defense and I don’t see Carson and company turning it around against them.

Tight EndsTeamOpp.FVIPPPRanking
Jason WittenDALat GB20100%20.00
Tony SchefflerDENNO18100%18.00
Antonio GatesSDat NYJ18100%17.50
Kellen WinslowCLEat BAL17100%16.50
Tony GonzalezKCATL15100%15.00
Jeremy ShockeyNOat DEN15100%14.50
Chris CooleyWASARI13100%12.50
Owen DanielsHOUat TEN13100%12.50
John CarlsonSEASTL12100%12.00
L.J. SmithPHIPIT11100%11.00
Heath MillerPITat PHI11100%10.50
Vernon DavisSFDET11100%10.50
Todd HeapBALCLE11100%10.50
Greg OlsenCHITB10100%10.00
Anthony FasanoMIAat NE9100%9.00
Zach MillerOAKat BUF9100%9.00
Dante RosarioCARat MIN9100%9.00
Randy McMichaelSTLat SEA9100%8.50
Donald LeeGBDAL9100%8.50
Alge CrumplerTENHOU8100%8.00
Dallas ClarkINDJAX13
Alert! 55%
7.15
Kevin BossNYGCIN7100%6.50
Bo ScaifeTENHOU7100%6.50
Ben WatsonNEMIA9
Alert! 75%
6.38
Marcedes LewisJAXat IND6100%6.00
Dustin KellerNYJSD6100%6.00
Desmond ClarkCHITB5100%5.00
Robert RoyalBUFOAK5100%4.50
Alex SmithTBat CHI4100%4.00
Visanthe ShiancoeMINCAR4100%3.50

Start: Jeremy Shockey, New Orleans Saints – This game has all the makings of a shootout. Denver and New Orleans have high powered offenses and weaker defenses so far this year. With Colston still out, Shockey should see a lot of looks.

Sit: Vernon Davis, San Francisco 49ers – He has all the talent in the world. He has a coach that claims to want to get the ball in his hands. Last week Davis put up a fantasy goose egg. At this point, he should be on the bench until he proves something…even against Detroit.

KickersTeamOpp.FVIPPPRanking
Nick FolkDALat GB20100%19.50
Mason CrosbyGBDAL18100%18.00
Ryan LongwellMINCAR18100%17.50
Neil RackersARIat WAS17100%16.50
David AkersPHIPIT17100%16.50
Nate KaedingSDat NYJ17100%16.50
John KasayCARat MIN16100%16.00
Matt PraterDENNO16100%16.00
Rob BironasTENHOU16100%16.00
Adam VinatieriINDJAX16100%15.50
Stephen GostkowskiNEMIA15100%15.00
Lawrence TynesNYGCIN15100%14.50
Jeff ReedPITat PHI15100%14.50
Joe NedneySFDET14100%14.00
Robbie GouldCHITB13100%13.00
Martin GramaticaNOat DEN13100%12.50
Kris BrownHOUat TEN13100%12.50
Phil DawsonCLEat BAL13100%12.50
Jason HansonDETat SF12100%12.00
Shaun SuishamWASARI12100%12.00
Matt BryantTBat CHI11100%11.00
Rian LindellBUFOAK11100%11.00
Shayne GrahamCINat NYG11100%10.50
Josh ScobeeJAXat IND11100%10.50
Josh BrownSTLat SEA10100%10.00
Jason ElamATLKC10100%10.00
Mike NugentNYJSD10100%10.00
Matt StoverBALCLE10100%9.50
Sebastian JanikowskiOAKat BUF10100%9.50
Olindo MareSEASTL9100%8.50
Nick NovakKCATL8100%8.00
Dan CarpenterMIAat NE5100%4.50

Start: Matt Prater, Denver Broncos – The Broncos offense has been scoring at will. This game against New Orleans should be a shootout. I would bet on a ton of extra points and a few field goals sprinkled on top.

Sit: Josh Brown, Saint Louis Rams – At the beginning of the year Josh Brown was actually being drafted. Unfortunately, we now realize that the Rams have trouble getting anywhere near the red zone. It’s tough for a kicker to score when your offense is stuck in neutral.

DefenseTeamOpp.FVIPPPRanking
Buffalo BillsBUFOAK19100%18.50
New England PatriotsNEMIA19100%18.50
New York GiantsNYGCIN18100%17.50
Tennessee TitansTENHOU16100%16.00
Jacksonville JaguarsJAXat IND15100%14.50
Chicago BearsCHITB15100%14.50
Tampa Bay BuccaneersTBat CHI14100%13.50
Baltimore RavensBALCLE13100%13.00
San Diego ChargersSDat NYJ13100%13.00
Indianapolis ColtsINDJAX13100%12.50
Arizona CardinalsARIat WAS12100%12.00
Carolina PanthersCARat MIN12100%12.00
Minnesota VikingsMINCAR12100%12.00
Kansas City ChiefsKCATL11100%11.00
Pittsburgh SteelersPITat PHI11100%10.50
Cleveland BrownsCLEat BAL10100%10.00
Dallas CowboysDALat GB10100%10.00
Seattle SeahawksSEASTL10100%10.00
San Francisco 49ersSFDET10100%9.50
Green Bay PackersGBDAL10100%9.50
Philadelphia EaglesPHIPIT9100%9.00
Oakland RaidersOAKat BUF9100%9.00
Denver BroncosDENNO9100%9.00
Houston TexansHOUat TEN9100%8.50
Washington RedskinsWASARI9100%8.50
New Orleans SaintsNOat DEN8100%7.50
Atlanta FalconsATLKC8100%7.50
Detroit LionsDETat SF7100%7.00
Miami DolphinsMIAat NE7100%7.00
Cincinnati BengalsCINat NYG6100%6.00
New York JetsNYJSD6100%6.00
St. Louis RamsSTLat SEA5100%4.50

Start: Carolina Panthers – The Vikings couldn’t get in the end zone against the Colts last week, Adrian Peterson has a bad hammy and Gus Frerotte is one TD pass away from giving himself a concussion, again.

Sit: Green Bay Packers – The Packers have been a good fantasy defense the last couple weeks, however they run into a buzzsaw in the Dallas Cowboys in week 3. The Cowboys have no trouble scoring on anyone and their offense can beat you in many ways when led by Romo’s precise passes. I don’t see the Packers defense getting many fantasy points against the ‘Boys this week.

 
Many thanks to the people who helped put this together: treat24, Dan Lambskin, WaCougMBS, and Bobbing_headz who helped with the rankings and treat24, Kilroy, and Metroid who helped writing the article.


 
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