Welcome, fantasy fanatics, to the Week 4 Edition of the Cafe’s Start and Sit. There were some big stories in the NFL last week, including the Dolphins’ unexpected domination of the New England Patriots (and Ronnie Brown’s game for the ages), the Colts faltering at home against Jacksonville, and the Chargers and Jets putting up another huge point total on Monday Night Football. It is also starting to become clear which teams you want to avoid for fantasy purposes (namely Kansas City, St. Louis, Cleveland, and maybe even Cincinnati for now). As for this coming week, don’t forget, a handful of teams will have off this week (Giants, Dolphins, Seahawks, Patriots, Lions, and Colts). But that’s enough rambling from me… Let’s move on to the rankings!
Our rating system is based on two sets of rankings. The first set is a value between 1-20, given based on a player’s Fantasy Value If Playing (FVIP). The second set is that player’s Playing Probability (PP). These two sets are thrown into a giant machine, twisted around a little, mixed up, sorted, resorted, then eventually darts are thrown at the results. If you require any further help, our start/sit forum is top notch. You will find quick replies to your questions there and many eager helpers!
|1||Jay Cutler||DEN||at KC||20.00||100%||20.00|
|4||Kurt Warner||ARI||at NYJ||16.50||100%||16.50|
|5||Philip Rivers||SD||at OAK||16.50||100%||16.50|
|7||Donovan McNabb||PHI||at CHI||15.75||100%||15.75|
|8||Aaron Rodgers||GB||at TB||15.75||100%||15.75|
|9||J.T. O’Sullivan||SF||at NO||14.25||100%||14.25|
|12||Trent Edwards||BUF||at STL||13.75||100%||13.75|
|13||Jason Campbell||WAS||at DAL||12.75||100%||12.75|
|16||Matt Schaub||HOU||at JAX||9.75||100%||9.75|
|17||Matt Ryan||ATL||at CAR||9.50||100%||9.50|
|18||Derek Anderson||CLE||at CIN||10.75|
|19||Joe Flacco||BAL||at PIT||7.75||100%||7.75|
|22||Gus Frerotte||MIN||at TEN||7.00||100%||7.00|
Start: Philip Rivers (Rank: 16.50) – The Chargers have lost some close games this year, but it’s hard to blame any of that on Philip Rivers or the San Diego offense. Rivers has been lights-out so far this season, throwing for three touchdowns in each of his first three games. His QB rating has been over 120.0 each game as well, quite an impressive feat. Don’t expect the Charger signal caller to slow down this weekend against an Oakland defense that is giving up 232 yards a game (26th in the NFL).
Sit: Derek Anderson (Rank: 9.50) – As Joe Namath would say, the Browns are strugg-a-ling so far this year. The offense has been particularly lackluster. Anderson has yet to break 200 yards passing in a game this season, and has thrown only two touchdowns to five interceptions. A matchup against the Bengals may look tempting, but the Browns offense is a mess right now, and the Bengal defense is actually ranked in the top half of the league in passing defense at this point in the season. (12th, 178 yards per game)
|1||Frank Gore||SF||at NO||19.00||100%||19.00|
|2||Marshawn Lynch||BUF||at STL||18.25||100%||18.25|
|4||LaDainian Tomlinson||SD||at OAK||18.00||100%||18.00|
|6||Adrian Peterson||MIN||at TEN||17.00||100%||17.00|
|7||Clinton Portis||WAS||at DAL||15.75||100%||15.75|
|10||Michael Turner||ATL||at CAR||14.25||100%||14.25|
|15||Jamal Lewis||CLE||at CIN||12.75||100%||12.75|
|19||Ryan Grant||GB||at TB||12.00||100%||12.00|
|22||Willis McGahee||BAL||at PIT||11.25||98%||10.97|
|23||Steve Slaton||HOU||at JAX||10.75||100%||10.75|
|24||Edgerrin James||ARI||at NYJ||10.25||100%||10.25|
|26||Selvin Young||DEN||at KC||9.75||100%||9.75|
|27||Tim Hightower||ARI||at NYJ||9.50||100%||9.50|
|29||Brian Westbrook||PHI||at CHI||16.75|
|30||Correll Buckhalter||PHI||at CHI||12.00|
|31||Brandon Jackson||GB||at TB||7.75||100%||7.75|
|33||LeRoi McClain||BAL||at PIT||7.25||100%||7.25|
|34||Darren Sproles||SD||at OAK||7.25||100%||7.25|
|35||Jerious Norwood||ATL||at CAR||6.75||100%||6.75|
|37||Chester Taylor||MIN||at TEN||5.75||100%||5.75|
|38||Ray Rice||BAL||at PIT||5.50||100%||5.50|
|39||Andre Hall||DEN||at KC||5.25||100%||5.25|
|41||Chris Taylor||HOU||at JAX||2.50||100%||2.50|
Start: Reggie Bush (Rank: 17.25) – So Reggie Bush isn’t going to be a workhorse on the ground week in and week out, that much has been shown. But he is proving this year that he is still a major fantasy factor. Bush has a league high 26 catches this year in three games, and is also piling up big yardage numbers to go along with three scores. Bush is as consistent a player as there is now in point per reception leagues, because there is really no way to stop a dump off out of the backfield. Bush should be a strong start this week against the 49ers in pretty much all scoring systems. With tight end Jeremy Shockey out, Brees should be looking for Bush on passing downs even more than usual.
Sit: Brian Westbrook (Rank: 8.79) – Obviously, Westbrook is a stud runningback and a must start under normal circumstances. But keep in mind that he is banged up this week, and will probably be a game-time decision for the Eagles’ game this week against Chicago. If he is given the green light before kickoff, you probably want him in your lineup, but if not it would might better not to risk it. Chicago has been tough against the run this year anyway, allowing an average of 71 yards rushing per game, good for 5th in the league. If Westbrook’s back-up, Correll Buckhalter, is still on waivers, be sure to put your request in.
|1||Brandon Marshall||DEN||at KC||20.00||100%||20.00|
|3||Larry Fitzgerald||ARI||at NYJ||18.25||100%||18.25|
|5||Anquan Boldin||ARI||at NYJ||16.75||100%||16.75|
|7||Greg Jennings||GB||at TB||16.25||100%||16.25|
|8||Andre Johnson||HOU||at JAX||15.50||100%||15.50|
|9||Braylon Edwards||CLE||at CIN||15.00||100%||15.00|
|10||Chris Chambers||SD||at OAK||14.25||100%||14.25|
|11||Lee Evans||BUF||at STL||14.00||100%||14.00|
|13||Santana Moss||WAS||at DAL||13.75||100%||13.75|
|15||DeSean Jackson||PHI||at CHI||12.50||100%||12.50|
|16||Roddy White||ATL||at CAR||12.50||100%||12.50|
|19||Isaac Bruce||SF||at NO||12.00||100%||12.00|
|21||Chad Ocho Cinco||CIN||CLE||11.75||100%||11.75|
|22||Donald Driver||GB||at TB||11.50||100%||11.50|
|24||Eddie Royal||DEN||at KC||11.25||100%||11.25|
|26||Bryant Johnson||SF||at NO||11.00||100%||11.00|
|28||Vincent Jackson||SD||at OAK||9.50||100%||9.50|
|34||Derrick Mason||BAL||at PIT||7.00||100%||7.00|
|35||Bernard Berrian||MIN||at TEN||7.00||100%||7.00|
|39||Kevin Walter||HOU||at JAX||6.00||100%||6.00|
|40||Brandon Stokley||DEN||at KC||5.75||100%||5.75|
|41||Hank Baskett||PHI||at CHI||5.50||100%||5.50|
|42||Michael Jenkins||ATL||at CAR||5.00||100%||5.00|
|44||Mark Clayton||BAL||at PIT||4.50||100%||4.50|
|45||Sidney Rice||MIN||at TEN||7.00|
Start: Lee Evans (Rank: 14.00) – Lee Evans has flown a bit under the radar this season, but he has actually had three pretty solid games as the Bills have amassed a surprising 3-0 record. Evans has had four catches in each game, and has gone over 60 yards in each game as well. He has yet to find the endzone, but this week against the Rams may be the week he does it. It is no secret that the Rams have had trouble on defense (and offense) this year, so the Bills should be able to move the ball. Get Evans in your lineup.
Sit: Derrick Mason (Rank: 7.00) – The Ravens are off to a good start this year, but I would not say that their passing game has been the main reason. I like Derrick Mason, but I would not start him this week against the Steelers. These are two smash-mouth division rivals who are not all that offensive minded right now. I expect a low scoring game that does not particularly favor the wide receivers for either team as far as fantasy football goes.
|2||Kellen Winslow||CLE||at CIN||18.00||100%||18.00|
|3||Antonio Gates||SD||at OAK||18.00||100%||18.00|
|4||Tony Scheffler||DEN||at KC||17.50||100%||17.50|
|6||Chris Cooley||WAS||at DAL||14.50||100%||14.50|
|7||Owen Daniels||HOU||at JAX||12.25||100%||12.25|
|9||L.J. Smith||PHI||at CHI||12.25|
|10||Todd Heap||BAL||at PIT||9.75||100%||9.75|
|11||Donald Lee||GB||at TB||9.25||100%||9.25|
|12||Vernon Davis||SF||at NO||8.75||100%||8.75|
|18||Robert Royal||BUF||at STL||7.00||100%||7.00|
|24||Visanthe Shiancoe||MIN||at TEN||3.00||100%||3.00|
Start: Owen Daniels (Rank: 12.25) – Many thought that the tight end position would be particularly deep this seaosn, myself included. But so far it has not quite turned out that way, and this first crop of bye weeks has not helped the overall depth at the position. Owen Daniels has over 100 yards in two games, including 71 last week. The Texans are not quite an offensive juggernaut currently, but unless you have a top five tight end, Owen is a solid start at tight end.
Sit: Alge Crumpler (Rank: 7.25) – Those hoping for an Alge Crumpler resurgence in Tennessee have, as of yet, been disappointed. He is being targeted less than the Titans’ other tight end, Bo Scaife, and faces a good Minnesota defense this week. Leave him on the bench/ waiver wire.
|2||Mason Crosby||GB||at TB||18.00||100%||18.00|
|3||Ryan Longwell||MIN||at TEN||17.75||100%||17.75|
|5||Matt Prater||DEN||at KC||17.00||100%||17.00|
|6||Nate Kaeding||SD||at OAK||16.75||100%||16.75|
|7||David Akers||PHI||at CHI||16.75||100%||16.75|
|8||Neil Rackers||ARI||at NYJ||15.75||100%||15.75|
|9||Rian Lindell||BUF||at STL||14.75||100%||14.75|
|14||Phil Dawson||CLE||at CIN||13.25||100%||13.25|
|15||Joe Nedney||SF||at NO||13.25||100%||13.25|
|19||Shaun Suisham||WAS||at DAL||11.75||100%||11.75|
|20||Jason Elam||ATL||at CAR||11.50||100%||11.50|
|21||Kris Brown||HOU||at JAX||11.50||100%||11.50|
|24||Matt Stover||BAL||at PIT||9.00||100%||9.00|
Start: David Akers (Rank: 16.75) – Akers has yet to miss a field goal this year, and the Philly offense has given him plenty of opportunities to put points on the board. With McNabb and Westbrook banged up this week against the Bears, the Eagles should still move the ball, but may stall in the red zone more than usual. If Akers gets his chances he should be able to convert for you this week.
Sit: Martin Gramatica (Rank: 12.25) – Gramatica seems to always find some team to latch on to. He started out the season fairly well, but missed two field goals last week, including the game winner. The Saints will be missing Colston and Shockey on offense, making Gramatica a less attractive choice. That Saints-Niners game could very well end up being a shoot-out, but I am sure that there are safer options at kicker available in your league.
|1||Buffalo Bills||BUF||at STL||18.50||100%||18.50|
|2||San Diego Chargers||SD||at OAK||16.25||100%||16.25|
|5||Denver Broncos||DEN||at KC||14.50||100%||14.50|
|6||Philadelphia Eagles||PHI||at CHI||14.00||100%||14.00|
|9||Baltimore Ravens||BAL||at PIT||13.00||100%||13.00|
|10||Minnesota Vikings||MIN||at TEN||12.75||100%||12.75|
|12||Arizona Cardinals||ARI||at NYJ||12.75||100%||12.75|
|14||Tampa Bay Buccaneers||TB||GB||11.25||100%||11.25|
|15||Green Bay Packers||GB||at TB||11.25||100%||11.25|
|16||New Orleans Saints||NO||SF||10.25||100%||10.25|
|18||New York Jets||NYJ||ARI||8.00||100%||8.00|
|19||Houston Texans||HOU||at JAX||7.50||100%||7.50|
|20||Washington Redskins||WAS||at DAL||7.25||100%||7.25|
|21||Atlanta Falcons||ATL||at CAR||7.25||100%||7.25|
|22||San Francisco 49ers||SF||at NO||7.00||100%||7.00|
|23||Cleveland Browns||CLE||at CIN||6.75||100%||6.75|
|25||Kansas City Chiefs||KC||DEN||3.00||100%||3.00|
|26||St. Louis Rams||STL||BUF||2.75||100%||2.75|
Start: Baltimore Ravens (Rank: 13.00) – Big plays on defense have been a big factor contributing to the Ravens 2-0 start. The Ravens have scored twice on defense on six turnovers. With Big Ben limping and Will Parker out for the Steelers, expect a good showing for Baltimore’s defense.
Sit: Green Bay Packers (Rank: 11.25) – The Packers have a solid defense, but their opponents this week, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, are no slouches either. Tampa Bay is 7th in the NFL in yards per game, and 13th in points. The Bucs’ passing offense, in particular, was outstanding last week, when Brian Griese threw for over 400 yards against the Bears. This is something that should be of concern for Green Bay, as their top cornerback Al Harris will miss the game with a spleen injury (ouch!).
Many thanks to the people who helped put this together: treat24, Dan Lambskin, WaCougMBS, utility-hook, joelamosobadiah, Bobbing_headz, and Amuk who helped with the rankings!
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