Start & SitOctober 3, 2008


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Week 5

By Nick Hopkins

Fantasy baseball might have wrapped up its final week, but fantasy football leagues are just getting started! Looking back on Week 4, Brett Favre had a historic 6 touchdown day, Larry Johnson helped the Chiefs get in the win column with almost 200 yards on the ground, Kurt Warner threw for 472 yards in a losing effort, and Santana Moss continued his hot start with a 145 yard game against the Cowboys. Who will put up the best numbers in Week 5? The Cafe’s Start and Sit rankers will do their best to answer that question this week! As far as byes go for this week, keep in mind the Browns, Raiders, Jets, and Rams are off. These bye weeks should certainly be easier on fantasy players than last week, unless you were counting on Favre and Co. to carry your team again!

Our rating system is based on two sets of rankings. The first set is a value between 1-20, given based on a player’s Fantasy Value If Playing (FVIP). The second set is that player’s Playing Probability (PP). These two sets are thrown into a giant machine, twisted around a little, mixed up, sorted, resorted, then eventually darts are thrown at the results. If you require any further help, our start/sit forum is top notch. You will find quick replies to your questions there and many eager helpers!

QuarterbacksTeamOpp.FVIHPPValue
Drew BreesNOMIN19.67100%19.67
Tony RomoDALCIN19.33100%19.33
Peyton ManningINDat HOU18.00100%18.00
Philip RiversSDat MIA17.67100%17.67
Kurt WarnerARIBUF17.33100%17.33
Jay CutlerDENTB17.00100%17.00
Eli ManningNYGSEA16.67100%16.67
Jake DelhommeCARKC15.00100%15.00
Donovan McNabbPHIWAS15.00100%15.00
Matt HasselbeckSEAat NYG15.00100%15.00
Trent EdwardsBUFat ARI14.67100%14.67
Jason CampbellWASat PHI14.00100%14.00
Ben RoethlisbergerPITat JAX13.67100%13.67
Matt SchaubHOUIND13.67100%13.67
Brian GrieseTBat DEN13.00100%13.00
Kyle OrtonCHIat DET12.67100%12.67
J.T. O’SullivanSFNE12.67100%12.67
Matt CasselNEat SF12.33100%12.33
David GarrardJAXPIT12.00100%12.00
Chad PenningtonMIASD12.00100%12.00
Gus FrerotteMINat NO11.67100%11.67
Jon KitnaDETCHI11.00100%11.00
Matt RyanATLat GB10.33100%10.33
Aaron RodgersGBATL15.33
Alert! 60%
9.20
Joe FlaccoBALTEN9.00100%9.00
Carson PalmerCINat DAL13.33
Alert! 66%
8.80

Start: Jake Delhomme (Rank: 15.00) – Delhomme started slow this year with Steve Smith on suspension, but now Smith is back and the Panthers passing attack is really starting to click after last week’s game against the Falcons. Muhsin Muhammad got into the act last week as well, as Delhomme threw for close to 300 yards with two touchdowns. Delhomme has a solid matchup this week at home against the Chiefs, so get him in your lineup.

Sit: Carson Palmer (Rank: 8.80) – It looks like Carson has a decent shot at getting back on the field this week, and he once was an every week fantasy starter. Not anymore though, as the Bengal offense cannot seem to get anything done on the field with him or without him. The Dallas Cowboys secondary has not been brilliant this year, but their pass rush is enough to give any quarterback a hard time. Leave Carson Palmer on the bench for now.

Running BacksTeamOpp.FVIHPPValue
LaDainian TomlinsonSDat MIA19.67100%19.67
Marion BarberDALCIN19.67100%19.67
Adrian PetersonMINat NO19.33100%19.33
Marshawn LynchBUFat ARI18.33100%18.33
Matt ForteCHIat DET18.00100%18.00
Frank GoreSFNE17.33100%17.33
Joseph AddaiINDat HOU16.67100%16.67
Clinton PortisWASat PHI16.00100%16.00
Brandon JacobsNYGSEA15.67100%15.67
Larry JohnsonKCat CAR15.00100%15.00
Earnest GrahamTBat DEN14.67100%14.67
Michael TurnerATLat GB14.33100%14.33
Reggie BushNOMIN14.00100%14.00
Ronnie BrownMIASD14.00100%14.00
Steve SlatonHOUIND13.67100%13.67
Jonathan StewartCARKC13.33100%13.33
Ryan GrantGBATL13.33100%13.33
Julius JonesSEAat NYG13.00100%13.00
Chris JohnsonTENat BAL12.33100%12.33
Maurice Jones-DrewJAXPIT12.00100%12.00
Sammy MorrisNEat SF11.67100%11.67
Edgerrin JamesARIBUF11.00100%11.00
Mewelde MoorePITat JAX11.00100%11.00
Correll BuckhalterPHIWAS12.33
Alert! 87%
10.69
Fred TaylorJAXPIT10.67100%10.67
Rudi JohnsonDETCHI10.67100%10.67
Ricky WilliamsMIASD10.33100%10.33
Chris PerryCINat DAL9.67100%9.67
LenDale WhiteTENat BAL9.67100%9.67
Tim HightowerARIBUF9.67100%9.67
Laurence MaroneyNEat SF10.67
Alert! 83%
8.89
Brian WestbrookPHIWAS16.33
Alert! 53%
8.71
Brandon JacksonGBATL8.67100%8.67
Selvin YoungDENTB8.33100%8.33
Deuce McAllisterNOMIN8.33100%8.33
Willis McGaheeBALTEN9.67
Alert! 83%
8.06
LeRon McClainBALTEN8.00100%8.00
DeAngelo WilliamsCARKC8.00100%8.00
Kevin SmithDETCHI7.67100%7.67
Darren SprolesSDat MIA7.67100%7.67
Jerious NorwoodATLat GB7.67100%7.67
Felix JonesDALCIN8.0093%7.47
Ray RiceBALTEN7.00100%7.00
Chester TaylorMINat NO6.67100%6.67
Andre HallDENTB5.00100%5.00
Chris TaylorHOUIND2.67100%2.67

Start: Matt Forte (Rank: 18.00) – Forte has had an impressive rookie season so far, despite not having his best week against the Eagles in Week 4. He gets done on the ground and through the air (18 catches for 147 in 4 games). The Lions have one of the worst defenses in the league, and are ranked 32nd against the run, averaging over 200 yards allowed per game. Forte should go well over 100 total yards this week and have no trouble finding the endzone at least once.

Sit: Lendale White (Rank: 9.67) – This big bruising back’s biggest fantasy benefit is his goal line carries (5 touchdowns though 4 games). However, he is going up against a Baltimore defense this week that has yet to allow a rushing touchdown and is giving up only 69.7 yards per game on the ground (2nd best in the NFL). To make matters worse, White has a banged up shoulder, which could limit his effectiveness in short yardage. You may have better options this week.

 

Wide ReceiversTeamOpp.FVIHPPValue
Terrell OwensDALCIN20.00100%20.00
Reggie WayneINDat HOU20.00100%20.00
Larry FitzgeraldARIBUF18.67100%18.67
Brandon MarshallDENTB18.67100%18.67
Steve SmithCARKC18.33100%18.33
Greg JenningsGBATL17.67100%17.67
Calvin JohnsonDETCHI16.00100%16.00
Roddy WhiteATLat GB15.67100%15.67
Chris ChambersSDat MIA15.33100%15.33
Santana MossWASat PHI15.33100%15.33
Andre JohnsonHOUIND15.00100%15.00
Randy MossNEat SF15.00100%15.00
T.J. HoushmandzadehCINat DAL14.67100%14.67
Marvin HarrisonINDat HOU14.33100%14.33
Lee EvansBUFat ARI14.33100%14.33
DeSean JacksonPHIWAS14.00100%14.00
Wes WelkerNEat SF13.67100%13.67
Roy WilliamsDETCHI13.33100%13.33
Anthony GonzalezINDat HOU12.67100%12.67
Eddie RoyalDENTB12.67100%12.67
Dwayne BoweKCat CAR12.33100%12.33
Hines WardPITat JAX12.33100%12.33
Lance MooreNOMIN12.00100%12.00
Deion BranchSEAat NYG12.00100%12.00
Robert MeachemNOMIN12.00100%12.00
Matt JonesJAXPIT11.67100%11.67
Isaac BruceSFNE11.67100%11.67
Bobby EngramSEAat NYG11.67100%11.67
Steve SmithNYGSEA11.33100%11.33
Chad Ocho CincoCINat DAL11.33100%11.33
Santonio HolmesPITat JAX11.33100%11.33
Kevin WalterHOUIND10.67100%10.67
Muhsin MuhammadCARKC10.67100%10.67
Antonio BryantTBat DEN10.33100%10.33
Derrick MasonBALTEN10.00100%10.00
Vincent JacksonSDat MIA10.00100%10.00
Bernard BerrianMINat NO10.00100%10.00
Donald DriverGBATL9.33100%9.33
Bryant JohnsonSFNE9.00100%9.00
Patrick CraytonDALCIN9.00100%9.00
Justin GageTENat BAL9.6790%8.70
Ted Ginn Jr.MIASD8.33100%8.33
Jabar GaffneyNEat SF8.00100%8.00
Steve BreastonARIBUF8.00100%8.00
Anquan BoldinARIBUF16.33
Alert! 47%
7.62
Devin HesterCHIat DET7.33100%7.33
David PattenNOMIN10.67
Alert! 67%
7.11
Hank BaskettPHIWAS7.00100%7.00
Reggie WilliamsJAXPIT6.67100%6.67
Brandon StokleyDENTB6.67100%6.67
Sidney RiceMINat NO8.00
Alert! 80%
6.40
Chris HenryCINat DAL10.00
Alert! 60%
6.00
D.J. HackettCARKC5.67100%5.67
Mark ClaytonBALTEN5.33100%5.33
Michael JenkinsATLat GB4.67100%4.67
Joey GallowayTBat DEN10.33
Alert! 33%
3.44
Courtney TaylorSEAat NYG2.00100%2.00
Plaxico BurressNYGSEA0.00
Alert! 0%
0.00

Start: Calvin Johnson (Rank: 16.00) – Johnson has been one of the lone bright spots for the Lions this year, catching 17 passes for 176 yards and 2 TDs in three games. He should be a good start this week against a Chicago defense that is ranked 28th in NFL against the pass.

Sit: Anquan Boldin (Rank: 7.62) – It seems unlikely that Boldin will play this week following that scary looking hit he took last week against the Jets. If he were somehow to play (seems like that would not be a good decision to me) he would obviously not be 100%. The Buffalo Bills are no pushovers on defense either. Boldin owners could look to second year player Steve Breaston who would fill in for Boldin as the Cardinals #2 receiver. He caught 9 passes for 122 yards last week and could be a good spot starter in Week 5.

 

Tight EndsTeamOpp.FVIHPPValue
Jason WittenDALCIN20.00100%20.00
Antonio GatesSDat MIA18.00100%18.00
Tony GonzalezKCat CAR17.00100%17.00
Dallas ClarkINDat HOU15.3397%14.82
Chris CooleyWASat PHI14.67100%14.67
Tony SchefflerDENTB14.00100%14.00
Owen DanielsHOUIND13.33100%13.33
Anthony FasanoMIASD12.67100%12.67
Kevin BossNYGSEA12.67100%12.67
John CarlsonSEAat NYG12.33100%12.33
Ben WatsonNEat SF10.00100%10.00
Heath MillerPITat JAX9.33100%9.33
Greg OlsenCHIat DET9.00100%9.00
Donald LeeGBATL9.00100%9.00
Vernon DavisSFNE8.00100%8.00
Todd HeapBALTEN8.00100%8.00
L.J. SmithPHIWAS10.00
Alert! 80%
8.00
Bo ScaifeTENat BAL6.67100%6.67
Robert RoyalBUFat ARI6.67100%6.67
Desmond ClarkCHIat DET6.67100%6.67
Alex SmithTBat DEN6.33100%6.33
Dante RosarioCARKC6.00100%6.00
Alge CrumplerTENat BAL5.33100%5.33
Marcedes LewisJAXPIT4.00100%4.00
Visanthe ShiancoeMINat NO3.33100%3.33

Start: Anthony Fasano (Rank: 12.67) – Fasano has been hard to get a read on this year. He was great in Week 1 (82 yards, 1 TD), did not catch a pass in his second game, and then had another good game in his third (66 yards, 1 TD). I think this week he has as good a chance as any to put up over 50 yards and a score again. The Chargers rank last in the league in both passing yards allowed and passing touchdowns allowed.

Sit: Todd Heap (Rank: 8.00) – Heap has struggled to get anything going this season. He has only managed to catch three passes in as many games. The Titans are going to be a tough defense to try to change that trend against. Unfortunately, this once-elite tight end is nothing more than waiver fodder right now.

 

KickersTeamOpp.FVIHPPValue
Matt PraterDENTB19.67100%19.67
Nick FolkDALCIN18.67100%18.67
Rob BironasTENat BAL18.00100%18.00
Ryan LongwellMINat NO17.67100%17.67
Josh ScobeeJAXPIT16.67100%16.67
Mason CrosbyGBATL16.00100%16.00
Rian LindellBUFat ARI15.67100%15.67
Adam VinatieriINDat HOU15.67100%15.67
Jeff ReedPITat JAX15.33100%15.33
Lawrence TynesNYGSEA15.33100%15.33
Neil RackersARIBUF15.33100%15.33
David AkersPHIWAS15.00100%15.00
Nate KaedingSDat MIA15.00100%15.00
Robbie GouldCHIat DET14.67100%14.67
Shaun SuishamWASat PHI14.33100%14.33
Matt BryantTBat DEN14.00100%14.00
Olindo MareSEAat NYG13.67100%13.67
John KasayCARKC13.67100%13.67
Martin GramaticaNOMIN13.00100%13.00
Stephen GostkowskiNEat SF13.00100%13.00
Joe NedneySFNE12.67100%12.67
Shayne GrahamCINat DAL12.67100%12.67
Jason ElamATLat GB11.33100%11.33
Kris BrownHOUIND11.33100%11.33
Matt StoverBALTEN10.67100%10.67
Dan CarpenterMIASD10.00100%10.00
Jason HansonDETCHI9.33100%9.33
Nick NovakKCat CAR6.67100%6.67

Start: Ryan Longwell (Rank: 17.67) – The Vikings’ offense may not be an offensive juggernaut, but they have done enough to get Longwell 12 attempts, of which he has made 10. Longwell does not have the biggest leg, and is probably less valuable in leagues that give big points for long field goals, but he is reliable. The Vikings play a weak New Orleans defense this week, that has given up ten field goals this season (tied for second most). Longwell has a good chance to knock through multiple field goals from inside the 50.

Sit: Olindo Mare (Rank: 13.67) – Mare has had a bit of a resurgence in Seattle, making all season of his kicks this season. However, there is a good chance the Seahawks will have some trouble scoring against the New York Giants in Giant Stadium. The Seahawks will be getting some receivers back from injury this week, but I don’t know how well a pair of rusty receivers will fair against a Giant defense that should be rested coming off their bye week.

 

DefenseTeamOpp.FVIHPPValue
Tennessee TitansTENat BAL18.33100%18.33
San Diego ChargersSDat MIA17.00100%17.00
Chicago BearsCHIat DET17.00100%17.00
Baltimore RavensBALTEN16.00100%16.00
Philadelphia EaglesPHIWAS15.00100%15.00
Buffalo BillsBUFat ARI14.67100%14.67
Green Bay PackersGBATL14.67100%14.67
Carolina PanthersCARKC14.67100%14.67
Jacksonville JaguarsJAXPIT14.00100%14.00
Dallas CowboysDALCIN13.67100%13.67
Pittsburgh SteelersPITat JAX13.67100%13.67
New York GiantsNYGSEA13.33100%13.33
New England PatriotsNEat SF12.67100%12.67
Seattle SeahawksSEAat NYG12.00100%12.00
Indianapolis ColtsINDat HOU11.67100%11.67
Washington RedskinsWASat PHI11.33100%11.33
Denver BroncosDENTB10.00100%10.00
Arizona CardinalsARIBUF9.67100%9.67
Minnesota VikingsMINat NO9.33100%9.33
Tampa Bay BuccaneersTBat DEN9.00100%9.00
New Orleans SaintsNOMIN8.67100%8.67
San Francisco 49ersSFNE8.67100%8.67
Detroit LionsDETCHI7.33100%7.33
Atlanta FalconsATLat GB6.67100%6.67
Miami DolphinsMIASD6.00100%6.00
Kansas City ChiefsKCat CAR5.67100%5.67
Houston TexansHOUIND5.00100%5.00
Cincinnati BengalsCINat DAL4.67100%4.67

Start: Jacksonville Jaguars (Rank: 14.00) – The Steelers are really banged up right now. They lost an offensive lineman and rookie running back Rashard Mendenhall to injury against the Ravens last week. Big Ben is still nursing a shoulder injury, and Willie Parker is out again this week. A defense like Jacksonville’s has the weapons to take advantage of offenses that are not at 100%, and this Pittsburgh offense is definitely not.

Sit: Denver Broncos (Rank: 10.00) – The Broncos are a team built for shoot outs. They score a lot of points, but the defense has not really been stopping anyone either, as evidenced by the 33 points the formerly struggling Chiefs scored on them last week. Tampa Bay has quietly been one of the league better offensive teams, averaging 361 yards per game (7th) and 25.2 points per game (13th).

Many thanks to the people who helped put this together: treat24, Dan Lambskin, WaCougMBS, utility-hook, and Amuk who helped with the rankings!


 
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