Start & SitSeptember 9, 2009


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Week 1: It’s Gametime - 9 comments

By R.J. White

Welcome back to another year of your favorite Cafe article, Start & Sit. We’ve had a wonderful turnout this year, with Cafe members Dan Lambskin, RWLongy4, MattUTD20, Indibuck and FatFoot joining me for these first week’s ratings, and several other members pledging their time to contribute in future weeks. We’re also receiving featured analysis from Nick Hopkins (terpfan) sprinkled in throughout the article. Much thanks to him and to all our rankers this year. In 2009, we’re ranking all the players we expect could see a significant amount of game action each week. We factor in a player’s overall ability, his weekly matchup, and the current status of his health. The result is one Start/Sit number, based on a scale of 100, and we’ll use each member’s ratings to find an average for each player. The higher a guy is on our list, the better you should feel starting him. Let’s get on with it!

QuarterbacksTeamOppTotal
Drew BreesNODET95.4
Peyton ManningINDJAC91.6
Tom BradyNEBUF88.5
Aaron RodgersGBCHI85.0
Kurt WarnerARISF83.8
Carson PalmerCINDEN82.2
Philip RiversSDat OAK80.0
Donovan McNabbPHIat CAR79.2
Matt RyanATLMIA76.4
Matt HasselbeckSEASTL75.4
Jay CutlerCHIat GB73.8
Matt SchaubHOUNYJ73.5
Tony RomoDALat TB72.2
David GarrardJACat IND70.6
Joe FlaccoBALKC69.8
Eli ManningNYGWAS68.4
Ben RoethlisbergerPITTEN68.0
Shaun HillSFat ARI65.2
Brett FavreMINat CLE64.7
Chad PenningtonMIAat ATL64.4
Trent EdwardsBUFat NE61.0
Jason CampbellWASat NYG59.8
Byron LeftwichTBDAL58.8
Matthew StaffordDETat NO58.8
Mark SanchezNYJat HOU58.4
Jake DelhommeCARPHI57.6
Brady QuinnCLEMIN57.6
Derek AndersonCLEMIN56.8
Kyle OrtonDENat CIN56.5
Marc BulgerSTLat SEA56.5
Kerry CollinsTENat PIT56.0
JaMarcus RussellOAKSD55.6
Daunte CulpepperDETat NO43.1
Tyler ThigpenKCat BAL43.0
Matt CasselKCat BAL40.8
Chris SimmsDENat CIN30.3

 
Start: Carson Palmer, Cincinnati Bengals. The Bengals’ signal caller is looking for a strong start to his season after missing most of 2008. T.J. Houshmandzadeh is gone, but another possession receiver with an similarly hard to spell name, Laveranues Coles, will fill his position opposite Chad Ochocinco. The Bengals hope Cedric Benson can continue the success he had at the end of last season, giving the team a more balanced attack. This first game, at home game against a Denver team that was near the bottom in pass defense last year, should be a good matchup for Palmer.
 
Sit: Ben Roethlisberger, Pittsburgh Steelers. There’s no doubt that the two-time Super Bowl winner is a good quarterback, but I’ve always been skeptical about his fantasy worth. It appears that his 32-touchdown season in 2007 was more of a fluke than anything. Big Ben is a solid fantasy backup, useful when he has a good matchup or your starter cannot play. Roethlisberger is not a particularly great start against a strong Titans defense, so unless you have no better options, he should stay on your bench this week.
 
Running BacksTeamOppTotal
Adrian PetersonMINat CLE94.4
Michael TurnerATLMIA89.6
LaDanian TomlinsonSDat OAK89.5
Maurice Jones-DrewJACat IND89.0
Matt ForteCHIat GB86.2
Steven JacksonSTLat SEA84.6
Frank GoreSFat ARI84.2
DeAngelo WilliamsCARPHI83.4
Steve SlatonHOUNYJ79.8
Ray RiceBALKC78.4
Ronnie BrownMIAat ATL77.4
Kevin SmithDETat NO76.4
Brandon JacobsNYGWAS76.2
Marion BarberDALat TB76.2
Chris JohnsonTENat PIT75.2
Clinton PortisWASat NYG73.2
Ryan GrantGBCHI71.4
Darren McFaddenOAKSD71.0
Thomas JonesNYJat HOU70.4
Brian WestbrookPHIat CAR70.4
Cedric BensonCINDEN69.8
Joseph AddaiINDJAC68.8
Willie ParkerPITTEN66.3
Reggie BushNODET65.6
Fred JacksonBUFat NE64.4
Larry JohnsonKCat BAL63.2
Pierre ThomasNODET62.1
Fred TaylorNEBUF61.6
Beanie WellsARISF61.2
Julius JonesSEASTL61.2
Felix JonesDALat TB60.6
Tim HightowerARISF60.2
Knowshon MorenoDENat CIN59.3
Derrick WardTBDAL59.1
Chester TaylorMINat CLE57.5
LenDale WhiteTENat PIT56.8
Leon WashingtonNYJat HOU56.4
Donald BrownINDJAC54.0
Darren SprolesSDat OAK52.8
James DavisCLEMIN52.0
Earnest GrahamTBDAL51.8
Ahmad BradshawNYGWAS51.0
Edgerrin JamesSEASTL50.8
LeSean McCoyPHIat CAR50.6
Jerious NorwoodATLMIA50.3
Jamal LewisCLEMIN50.1
Correll BuckhalterDENat CIN50.0
Willis McGaheeBALKC49.0
Mike BellNODET46.8
Laurence MaroneyNEBUF46.8
Michael BushOAKSD46.2
Rashard MendenhallPITTEN45.9
Ricky WilliamsMIAat ATL45.0
Cadillac WilliamsTBDAL43.9
LeRon McClainBALKC40.8
Jamaal CharlesKCat BAL40.8
Kevin FaulkNEBUF39.5
Sammy MorrisNEBUF39.0
Ladell BettsWASat NYG38.0
Peyton HillisDENat CIN36.7
BenJarvus Green-EllisNEBUF36.3
Jonathan StewartCARPHI35.2
Chris BrownHOUNYJ34.8
Glen CoffeeSFat ARI34.3
Shonn GreeneNYJat HOU33.0
Justin FargasOAKSD33.0
Greg JonesJACat IND26.0
Mewelde MoorePITTEN18.0
Bernard ScottCINDEN17.7
Mike GoodsonCARPHI13.5
DeShawn WynnGBCHI13.3
Garrett WolfeCHIat GB12.7
Danny WareNYGWAS10.7
Samkon GadoSTLat SEA10.5
Xavier OmonBUFat NE9.3
Brandon JacksonGBCHI6.6

 
Start: Ray Rice, Baltimore Ravens. The Baltimore backfield is not ideal for fantasy success. Rice will most likely be sharing caries with fullback Leron McClain and backup runner Willis McGahee. It seems, however, that the Rutgers product will receive the majority of the carries, and he has a good matchup in Week 1 against the Kansas City Chiefs. This game should give us a good idea of how these three backs will be used this season.
 
Sit: Larry Johnson, Kansas City Chiefs. I think Larry Johnson has a chance to have a solid bounce-back season in 2009. He is talented enough and not quite 30; I think he has one or two good years left in him. But if you can help it, you probably want to sit him this week against the Ravens stifling run defense.
 
Wide ReceiversTeamOppTotal
Larry FitzgeraldARISF95.4
Calvin JohnsonDETat NO94.6
Randy MossNEBUF92.0
Andre JohnsonHOUNYJ90.2
Roddy WhiteATLMIA87.4
Marques ColstonNODET85.5
Reggie WayneINDJAC85.4
Greg JenningsGBCHI83.7
Anquan BoldinARISF82.5
Chad OchocincoCINDEN82.4
Steve SmithCARPHI81.2
Eddie RoyalDENat CIN78.2
T.J. HoushmandzadehSEASTL76.0
Lee EvansBUFat NE74.4
Dwayne BoweKCat BAL73.0
Brandon MarshallDENat CIN72.0
Derrick MasonBALKC71.8
Vincent JacksonSDat OAK70.6
Anthony GonzalezINDJAC70.4
Braylon EdwardsCLEMIN70.4
Wes WelkerNEBUF69.9
Jerricho CotcheryNYJat HOU69.2
Laveranues ColesCINDEN68.8
Terrell OwensBUFat NE68.8
Lance MooreNODET68.7
Bernard BerrianMINat CLE68.3
DeSean JacksonPHIat CAR68.2
Antonio BryantTBDAL67.6
Donald DriverGBCHI67.4
Chris HenryCINDEN67.0
Santonio HolmesPITTEN66.2
Roy WilliamsDALat TB65.7
Santana MossWASat NYG65.6
Steve BreastonARISF65.6
Torry HoltJACat IND65.0
Hines WardPITTEN64.6
Donnie AverySTLat SEA63.4
Devin HesterCHIat GB62.0
Nate BurlesonSEASTL61.2
Josh MorganSFat ARI61.1
Mark ClaytonBALKC60.7
Kevin WalterHOUNYJ59.2
Earl BennettCHIat GB58.8
Ted GinnMIAat ATL58.2
Chris ChambersSDat OAK58.0
Percy HarvinMINat CLE57.0
Domenik HixonNYGWAS56.6
Michael JenkinsATLMIA56.6
Steve SmithNYGWAS55.6
Robert MeachemNODET55.2
Sidney RiceMINat CLE53.9
Devery HendersonNODET53.6
Patrick CraytonDALat TB51.8
Isaac BruceSFat ARI51.6
Laurent RobinsonSTLat SEA51.4
Arnaz BattleSFat ARI51.3
Jeremy MaclinPHIat CAR51.3
Joey GallowayNEBUF50.8
Bryant JohnsonDETat NO50.6
Antwaan Randle ElWASat NYG50.3
Muhsin MuhammadCARPHI48.8
Chansi StuckeyNYJat HOU48.2
Troy WilliamsonJACat IND47.0
Limas SweedPITTEN46.6
Brian HartlineMIAat ATL46.6
Josh CribbsCLEMIN46.5
Deion BranchSEASTL46.4
Malcom KellyWASat NYG46.4
Kevin CurtisPHIat CAR46.3
Michael ClaytonTBDAL45.8
Darrius Heyward-BeyOAKSD45.8
Johnnie Lee HigginsOAKSD45.8
Justin GageTENat PIT45.6
Miles AustinDALat TB45.2
Jason AvantPHIat CAR43.8
Louis MurphyOAKSD43.8
Greg CamarilloMIAat ATL43.3
Davone BessMIAat ATL41.5
Hakeem NicksNYGWAS39.9
Mark BradleyKCat BAL39.2
Deon ButlerSEASTL38.8
Mario ManninghamNYGWAS37.4
Bobby EngramKCat BAL36.8
Jerheme UrbanARISF36.5
Malcom FloydSDat OAK35.3
Mohammed MassaquoiCLEMIN33.0
Brandon StokleyDENat CIN32.8
Mike FurreyCLEMIN32.5
Dennis NorthcuttDETat NO32.5
Kenny BrittTENat PIT31.8
Austin CollieINDJAC30.8
Andre DavisHOUNYJ27.0
James JonesGBCHI26.0
David ClowneyNYJat HOU25.8
Devin AromashoduCHIat GB24.0
Jordy NelsonGBCHI23.5
Brian FinneranATLMIA22.7
Keenan BurtonSTLat SEA22.3
Kelley WashingtonBALKC21.3
Pierre GarconINDJAC19.0
Sam HurdDALat TB18.3
Ronald CurrySTLat SEA16.3
Lavelle HawkinsTENat PIT16.3
Maurice StovallTBDAL15.7
Kenneth MooreCARPHI14.3
Nate WashingtonTENat PIT14.1
Josh ReedBUFat NE12.7
Mike Sims-WalkerJACat IND12.3
Juaquin IglesiasCHIat GB11.3
Devin ThomasWASat NYG11.0
Legedu NaaneeSDat OAK8.3

 
Start: Eddie Royal, Denver Broncos. With Brandon Marshall missing the entire preseason, the Broncos have looked to second-year receiver Eddie Royal to become the first option in this offense. Coming off a very impressive rookie year, during which he caught 91 passes, Royal will have taken advantage of Marshall’s absence, becoming more in tune with new quarterback Kyle Orton. Look for a good game from Royal against the Bengals.
 
Sit: Roy Williams, Dallas Cowboys. Perhaps the biggest storyline in Dallas this year (other than Jerry Jones’ punt-blocking jumbo-tron) is how the Cowboys’ offense will react to the loss of Terrell Owens. Williams is expected to step up and occupy that #1 wide receiver role, but it is still yet to be seen how he will handle the promotion. He never quite looked comfortable to me last year, coming over to Dallas from Detroit. Use a wait and see approach with Williams this first week against Tampa Bay, a team that had a top-five passing defense in 2008.
 
Tight EndsTeamOppTotal
Antonio GatesSDat OAK90.0
Jason WittenDALat TB90.0
Dallas ClarkINDJAC87.4
Tony GonzalezATLMIA86.4
Greg OlsenCHIat GB79.8
John CarlsonSEASTL79.4
Owen DanielsHOUNYJ79.0
Zach MillerOAKSD75.6
Kellen WinslowTBDAL74.2
Jeremy ShockeyNODET74.2
Chris CooleyWASat NYG73.8
Visanthe ShiancoeMINat CLE72.2
Dustin KellerNYJat HOU71.2
Brent CelekPHIat CAR70.0
Todd HeapBALKC67.4
Tony SchefflerDENat CIN67.2
Kevin BossNYGWAS65.4
Randy McMichaelSTLat SEA63.8
Heath MillerPITTEN63.4
Jermichael FinleyGBCHI63.0
Anthony FasanoMIAat ATL62.8
Marcedes LewisJACat IND60.6
Chris BakerNEBUF59.8
Brandon PettigrewDETat NO58.2
Vernon DavisSFat ARI57.8
Daniel CoatsCINDEN56.4
Bo ScaifeTENat PIT55.8
Donald LeeGBCHI55.4
Robert RoyalCLEMIN54.0
Gary BarnidgeCARPHI53.2
Stephen SpachARISF52.8
Derek SchoumanBUFat NE51.2
Sean RyanKCat BAL49.0
Alge CrumplerTENat PIT39.8
James CaseyHOUNYJ30.3
Martellus BennettDALat TB29.5
Shawn NelsonBUFat NE28.8
Daniel GrahamDENat CIN25.3

 
Start: Greg Olsen, Chicago Bears. Olsen is the most consistent receiving threat on the Bears offense, now lead by Pro Bowl quarterback Jake Cutler. My guess is that Olsen quickly becomes not only Cutler’s security blanket, but favorite receiver. I’m looking for a strong start to this partnership in Week 1.
 
Sit: Marcedes Lewis, Jacksonville Jaguars. Lewis showed some flashes of what he is capable of last season, but still has not quite put it all together. His matchup against the Indianapolis Colts is not a favorable one, so the big tight end should be kept on the bench this week.
 
KickersTeamOppTotal
Stephen GostkowskiNEBUF91.8
Neil RackersARISF86.4
Nate KaedingSDat OAK85.0
David AkersPHIat CAR84.8
John CarneyNODET82.4
Ryan LongwellMINat CLE81.0
Mason CrosbyGBCHI80.2
Jason ElamATLMIA78.2
Rob BironasTENat PIT77.8
Adam VinatieriINDJAC77.0
Robbie GouldCHIat GB76.2
Nick FolkDALat TB75.4
Kris BrownHOUNYJ74.4
Shayne GrahamCINDEN73.8
Lawrence TynesNYGWAS73.4
Jeff ReedPITTEN70.8
Matt PraterDENat CIN69.6
Josh ScobeeJACat IND69.6
Jay FeelyNYJat HOU69.4
John KasayCARPHI69.0
Steven HauschkaBALKC68.0
Joe NedneySFat ARI67.4
Josh BrownSTLat SEA64.8
Olindo MareSEASTL63.6
Phil DawsonCLEMIN62.6
Sebastian JanikowskiOAKSD61.8
Billy CundiffDETat NO61.5
Dan CarpenterMIAat ATL60.4
Rian LindellBUFat NE59.8
Shaun SuishamWASat NYG58.6
Mike NugentTBDAL52.8
Ryan SuccopKCat BAL49.2

 
Start: John Carney, New Orleans Saints. – The Saints’ offense gave us a taste of how good they can be this preseason when they hung 45 points on the Oakland Raiders. I shudder to think what Drew Brees and company could do to the poor Lions, playing a full four quarters. Kicker John Carney will be the beneficiary of those points.
 
Sit: John Kasay, Carolina Panthers. Kasay is a solid kicker, but for kickers it is all about the matchup. For a fringe starter like Kasay, a matchup with a tough Eagles defense is enough to leave him on the bench (or waiver wire).
 
DefenseTeamOppTotal
RavensBALKC93.8
SteelersPITTEN92.0
GiantsNYGWAS90.0
ChargersSDat OAK88.3
VikingsMINat CLE86.3
PatriotsNEBUF81.5
EaglesPHIat CAR80.3
CowboysDALat TB77.0
PackersGBCHI76.8
BearsCHIat GB75.3
TitansTENat PIT74.0
SeahawksSEASTL71.0
TexansHOUNYJ70.8
CardinalsARISF69.5
PanthersCARPHI68.0
JetsNYJat HOU67.3
ColtsINDJAC65.8
FalconsATLMIA65.0
RedskinsWASat NYG64.8
SaintsNODET64.5
BuccaneersTBDAL64.0
DolphinsMIAat ATL59.3
BengalsCINDEN58.0
JaguarsJACat IND57.8
BillsBUFat NE56.3
49ersSFat ARI56.0
BroncosDENat CIN53.0
RaidersOAKSD52.0
ChiefsKCat BAL51.8
RamsSTLat SEA51.5
BrownsCLEMIN50.5
LionsDETat NO42.0

 
Start: Dallas Cowboys. The Buccaneers quarterback situation has been fairly well documented this offseason. The gist of it is this: they aren’t all that good. Byron Leftwich will get the start behind a talented, but still very young offensive line. The Cowboys have the talent on defense to take advantage of any mistakes by the Bucs. Pass-rushing specialist Demarcus Ware should bother the immobile Leftwich all game long.
 
Sit: New York Jets. There was a time not too long ago when a game against the Houston Texans was great news for the opposing defense. Well, Andre Johnson, Matt Schaub, and Steve Slaton have come a long way in closing that chapter. The Texans had the league’s #3 ranked offense last year, and they have the talent to make a trip to Reliant Stadium difficult on the visiting defense.
 
Thanks for reading! Check back with us next week, and every week throughout the season.
 

 
R.J. White is a fantasy blogger at the sports site FanHouse. Check out his work both here and there, and feel free to talk to him in the forums, where he posts under the name daullaz.
 
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9 Responses to “Week 1: It’s Gametime”

  1. abrunn11 says:

    Lee Evans ranked ahead of Terrell Owens is laughable.

    ReplyReply
  2. Big G420 says:

    Evans should be ranked higher…. Double team on T.O. and Edward has that comfort zone with Evans… Not that hard to understand..

    ReplyReply
  3. jsptx2003 says:

    Hard to take any of this seriously. Matt Bryant was cut by TB over a week ago.

    ReplyReply
  4. User avatar daullaz says:

    That one’s actually my fault. We ranked Nugent, not Bryant, but I didn’t update the spreadsheet used to total the players. I’m fixing it now. Thanks for the catch!

    ReplyReply
  5. User avatar FatFoot says:

    T.O. took a hit in the ranking method because of his toe.

    ReplyReply
  6. hey guys i need to know wether to sit or start Girbril Wilson the Saftey of the dolphins. In my league tackles(solo) are worth 3 points. i have girbril wilson or demarcus ware but tampa bays line kills him when the play each other please help!!!!!1

    ReplyReply
  7. User avatar daullaz says:

    I’d still go with Ware.

    ReplyReply
  8. dmickens says:

    Looking for week 2

    ReplyReply
  9. User avatar thewikid says:

    great job, dummies. pointing out Carson Palmer and Eddie Royal as starters to do great… only they sucked massively.

    then again, i played against the guy who started Drew Brees this past week. i was doomed either way.

    ReplyReply

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