Welcome back to the Cafe’s Start & Sit for Week 11! Before we get into the rankings, just a quick run-down of the happenings last week. By now, everyone’s heard about Manning and Brady’s duel in Indianapolis, a game that ended with a questionable 4th down call and a last second Colts touchdown. Fantasy-wise, Manning, Brady, Moss and Wayne won a lot of games for their owners on Sunday night.
Other big scorers included running backs Adrian Peterson and Chris Johnson, who both went over 120 yards and two TDs. (Maurice Jones-Drew would have ended up in that group as well, but he drove a stake through fantasy owners’ hearts when he knelt down on the 1-yard line… I’m not bitter though!) Representing the passing game, Donovan McNabb put up 450 yards through the air, and Sidney Rice racked up over 200 yards receiving.
Now, let’s see who our rankers think will have the biggest games this week!
|1||Drew Brees||NO||at TB||96.00|
|3||Kurt Warner||ARI||at STL||91.40|
|4||Peyton Manning||IND||at BAL||90.60|
|5||Ben Roethlisberger||PIT||at KC||88.00|
|8||Donovan McNabb||PHI||at CHI||83.00|
|10||Carson Palmer||CIN||at OAK||79.00|
|T-10||Philip Rivers||SD||at DEN||79.00|
|14||Matt Ryan||ATL||at NYG||71.20|
|17||Matt Hasselbeck||SEA||at MIN||68.60|
|21||Brady Quinn||CLE||at DET||62.80|
|T-22||Jason Campbell||WAS||at DAL||61.20|
|24||Vince Young||TEN||at HOU||60.20|
|T-25||Alex Smith||SF||at GB||60.00|
|28||Chad Henne||MIA||at CAR||56.80|
|29||Mark Sanchez||NYJ||at NE||46.20|
|31||Ryan Fitzpatrick||BUF||at JAC||44.20|
Start: Kurt Warner, Cardinals. Warner has not seen the drop off in production that many people called for this year – he’s thrown at least one touchdown in every game this year, and at least two in all but three games. Expect a big game from Warner against the Rams this week. St. Louis ranks 25th in the NFL in pass defense, and Warner has historically done very well visiting the stadium that he called home in the prime of his career.
Start: Aaron Rodgers, Packers. I know, I’m really going out on a limb this week… Rodgers is not only on pace for over 4,000 yards and 30 passing TDs, but he has also run for over 200 yards and 3 touchdowns so far this season. His matchup this week, San Francisco, looked like they could be an imposing defense earlier in the year, but has since faded. The Niners did pick off Jay Cutler five times last week, but its not the first time Cutler has been plagued by interceptions. San Fran ranks 29th in the NFL against the pass, so start Rodgers with confidence.
Sit: David Garrard, Jaguars. Garrard is middle of the road as fantasy quarterbacks go, worth a start here and there. The Bills are actually a tough matchup for QBs. Buffalo ranks 9th in the NFL in pass defense, allowing 200 yards per game. The Bills have also given up only 7 passing touchdowns to 16 interceptions. The Jaguars will rely on MoJo Drew again this week. Leave Garrard on your bench.
Sit: Marc Bulger, Rams. Bulger had his best game of the season last week, throwing for almost 300 yards and 2 touchdowns. Can he do it again? Maybe… but he is relying on young receivers and a shaky offensive line. Consistency is hardly something that can be assumed here. The Cardinals aren’t great against the pass, but they do have some guys who can rush the passer, which could give that offensive line problems.
|3||Chris Johnson||TEN||at HOU||94.40|
|7||Pierre Thomas||NO||at TB||81.40|
|8||Ricky Williams||MIA||at CAR||79.60|
|9||Frank Gore||SF||at GB||79.20|
|10||Rashard Mendenhall||PIT||at KC||78.00|
|13||Thomas Jones||NYJ||at NE||76.00|
|14||Reggie Bush||NO||at TB||73.40|
|15||Beanie Wells||ARI||at STL||72.80|
|T-16||Joseph Addai||IND||at BAL||72.60|
|18||Tim Hightower||ARI||at STL||72.00|
|21||Bernard Scott||CIN||at OAK||69.60|
|26||Marshawn Lynch||BUF||at JAC||67.80|
|27||Jamal Lewis||CLE||at DET||66.20|
|T-27||LaDanian Tomlinson||SD||at DEN||66.20|
|29||LeSean McCoy||PHI||at CHI||66.00|
|31||Mike Bell||NO||at TB||64.00|
|36||Fred Jackson||BUF||at JAC||58.80|
|38||Ladell Betts||WAS||at DAL||57.40|
|39||Justin Forsett||SEA||at MIN||57.00|
|40||Donald Brown||IND||at BAL||56.92|
|41||Jason Snelling||ATL||at NYG||56.60|
|T-41||Darren Sproles||SD||at DEN||56.60|
|45||Shonn Greene||NYJ||at NE||54.80|
|52||LenDale White||TEN||at HOU||47.00|
|53||Cedric Benson||CIN||at OAK||46.12|
|56||Willie Parker||PIT||at KC||41.80|
|57||Mewelde Moore||PIT||at KC||41.20|
|59||Jerome Harrison||CLE||at DET||39.40|
|60||Glen Coffee||SF||at GB||37.00|
|62||Jerious Norwood||ATL||at NYG||30.50|
|66||Brian Leonard||CIN||at OAK||23.00|
|T-67||Louis Rankin||SEA||at MIN||19.40|
Start: Kevin Smith, Lions. The sophomore running back for Detroit has a lot of talent, but hasn’t had a lot of room to showcase it this season. He’s also had some nagging injury problems that may have hurt his production. But this week is a great chance for Smith to put together a good game, and hopefully find the end zone for the first time since Week 4. The Browns have one of the worst run defenses in the league (checking in at 30th overall) so at the very least Smith should manage a decent yardage total to go along with a few catches.
Start: Reggie Bush, Saints. Bush has been one of the hardest players to predict this season. Despite his scat-back nature, he’s had a nose for the end zone (5 rushing touchdowns, 1 receiving). Last week was a breakout game of sorts for Reggie, as he scored twice and had his highest yardage total of the season against the Rams. There’s no reason not to expect another good game this week, against a team that is even worse against the run (Tampa Bay, 31st overall).
Sit: Justin Forsett, Seahawks. Forsett broke onto the fantasy scene last week with 123 yards and a touchdown against the Cardinals. With Julius Jones out, Forsett will get the start again this week. However, he will be matched up against one of the league’s best rush defenses in Minnesota (94.6 yards per game, 2 TDs allowed all season). While certainly worth a waiver claim for future weeks, he is not a great start in Week 11.
Sit: Jamaal Charles, Chiefs. The parallels between Forsett and Charles are many. Both started the season as backups, both had 100-yard games last week, and both will be rewarded by very tough run defenses the next week. Charles’ opponent, the Steelers, still have far and away the best run defense in the league yardage-wise, and like Minnesota, they have allowed only two rushing touchdowns all year.
|2||Larry Fitzgerald||ARI||at STL||94.40|
|3||Marques Colston||NO||at TB||89.00|
|4||Reggie Wayne||IND||at BAL||88.00|
|7||Hines Ward||PIT||at KC||84.20|
|8||Anquan Boldin||ARI||at STL||84.00|
|10||Vincent Jackson||SD||at DEN||82.60|
|12||DeSean Jackson||PHI||at CHI||81.80|
|14||Chad Ochocinco||CIN||at OAK||79.40|
|16||Roddy White||ATL||at NYG||78.80|
|18||Santonio Holmes||PIT||at KC||77.40|
|25||Lee Evans||BUF||at JAC||72.40|
|26||T.J. Houshmandzadeh||SEA||at MIN||71.20|
|27||Nate Burleson||SEA||at MIN||70.40|
|28||Terrell Owens||BUF||at JAC||69.00|
|T-30||Santana Moss||WAS||at DAL||68.40|
|32||Steve Breaston||ARI||at STL||68.00|
|T-32||Jerricho Cotchery||NYJ||at NE||68.00|
|35||Mike Wallace||PIT||at KC||67.20|
|37||Devery Henderson||NO||at TB||65.80|
|38||Robert Meachem||NO||at TB||65.40|
|40||Mohamed Massaquoi||CLE||at DET||65.00|
|42||Jeremy Maclin||PHI||at CHI||64.80|
|43||Braylon Edwards||NYJ||at NE||63.80|
|45||Michael Crabtree||SF||at GB||62.40|
|46||Austin Collie||IND||at BAL||61.60|
|49||Nate Washington||TEN||at HOU||60.40|
|50||Pierre Garcon||IND||at BAL||59.60|
|55||Josh Morgan||SF||at GB||56.40|
|56||Laveranues Coles||CIN||at OAK||56.20|
|62||Malcom Floyd||SD||at DEN||54.20|
|63||Davone Bess||MIA||at CAR||53.00|
|66||Michael Jenkins||ATL||at NYG||51.40|
|67||Kenny Britt||TEN||at HOU||51.00|
|68||Josh Cribbs||CLE||at DET||50.40|
|T-68||Chansi Stuckey||CLE||at DET||50.40|
|T-68||Deion Branch||SEA||at MIN||50.40|
|72||Ted Ginn||MIA||at CAR||50.00|
|73||David Clowney||NYJ||at NE||49.20|
|76||Antwaan Randle El||WAS||at DAL||48.40|
|80||Andre Caldwell||CIN||at OAK||44.40|
|82||Jason Avant||PHI||at CHI||43.40|
|84||Isaac Bruce||SF||at GB||41.40|
|86||Lance Moore||NO||at TB||39.40|
|87||Mike Furrey||CLE||at DET||37.80|
|88||Malcom Kelly||WAS||at DAL||37.60|
|89||Greg Camarillo||MIA||at CAR||34.80|
|91||Early Doucet||ARI||at STL||34.20|
|92||Johnnie Lee Higgins||OAK||CIN||34.00|
|94||Devin Thomas||WAS||at DAL||32.80|
|T-95||Jason Hill||SF||at GB||32.20|
|97||Brian Hartline||MIA||at CAR||31.20|
|98||Josh Reed||BUF||at JAC||30.60|
|99||Limas Sweed||PIT||at KC||29.80|
Start: Calvin Johnson, Lions. Megatron’s owners were probably happy to see what would usually be considered a relatively modest game from the big wideout (8 catches, 84 yards). It seems that Johnson is healthy, and Matthew Stafford is finally healthy as well. This should bode well for Calvin as the season progresses. His owners can finally afford to start him again. Not to mention he has a pretty good matchup this week against the Browns.
Start: Steve Smith, Giants. As the Giants have faltered in their last four games, Smith’s numbers have dipped as well. However, despite the drop-off in yards and touchdowns, Smith has still managed six catches a game in these four losses, and still appears to be Eli Manning’s No. 1 target. The Giants have a good matchup this week against Atlanta’s struggling pass defense. This is a game that the Giants cannot afford to lose. I’m willing to bet Manning looks for Steve Smith early and often.
Sit: Devin Hester, Bears. Hester has a tough matchup this week against the Eagles. Asante Samuel has done a good job shutting down #1 receivers this season. And while Jay Cutler’s interceptions don’t directly affect Hester, they do show that perhaps the Bears’ franchise quarterback is not quite comfortable. The Eagles’ strong pass rush (29 sacks, tied 2nd in NFL) will try to make sure he stays that way.
Sit: Braylon Edwards, Jets. While Edwards has had some decent games yardage-wise since coming over from Cleveland, he has only caught more than three passes once in the past four weeks. With Jerricho Cotchery returning from injury and looking good there will be even fewer catches to go around in New York. The Jets also play a tough pass defense this week in New England.
|1||Dallas Clark||IND||at BAL||89.20|
|2||Tony Gonzalez||ATL||at NYG||88.20|
|3||Vernon Davis||SF||at GB||85.80|
|4||Brent Celek||PHI||at CHI||83.00|
|5||Antonio Gates||SD||at DEN||81.00|
|7||Jeremy Shockey||NO||at TB||77.20|
|10||Heath Miller||PIT||at KC||76.40|
|11||John Carlson||SEA||at MIN||75.40|
|15||Dustin Keller||NYJ||at NE||68.60|
|18||Robert Royal||CLE||at DET||66.00|
|20||Fred Davis||WAS||at DAL||63.60|
|21||Stephen Spach||ARI||at STL||63.00|
|27||Bo Scaife||TEN||at HOU||58.80|
|30||Derek Fine||BUF||at JAC||52.00|
|31||Daniel Coats||CIN||at OAK||51.60|
|34||Anthony Fasano||MIA||at CAR||33.20|
|35||Joey Haynos||MIA||at CAR||23.80|
|37||Shawn Nelson||BUF||at JAC||20.80|
|38||Alge Crumpler||TEN||at HOU||18.20|
Start: Jason Witten, Cowboys. As a Redskins fan, I can tell you that Witten always seems to kill us, especially in Dallas. The Redskins like to take away the deep pass, and will probably be especially worried about that after last week’s first half debacle. This often leaves Witten open across the middle. Witten has no problem beating linebackers, or even safeties in coverage.
Sit: Donald Lee, Packers. Lee wasn’t exactly a huge part of Green Bay’s offense to start with, but it looks like fellow tight end Jermichael Finley is practicing and could be rejoining the Packers on the field this week. This means even fewer looks for Lee, especially in the red zone.
|2||David Akers||PHI||at CHI||86.00|
|3||John Carney||NO||at TB||84.20|
|6||Neil Rackers||ARI||at STL||82.40|
|T-7||Rob Bironas||TEN||at HOU||82.00|
|T-10||Jeff Reed||PIT||at KC||81.60|
|T-10||Nate Kaeding||SD||at DEN||81.60|
|13||Matt Stover||IND||at BAL||79.60|
|15||Rian Lindell||BUF||at JAC||75.40|
|18||Shayne Graham||CIN||at OAK||72.20|
|19||Jason Elam||ATL||at NYG||71.40|
|22||Dan Carpenter||MIA||at CAR||70.60|
|23||Jay Feely||NYJ||at NE||69.40|
|24||Shaun Suisham||WAS||at DAL||68.40|
|25||Phil Dawson||CLE||at DET||68.20|
|27||Olindo Mare||SEA||at MIN||67.40|
|28||Joe Nedney||SF||at GB||66.80|
Start: Shayne Graham, Bengals. He’s only ranked 18th on our list, but after mentioning him as a “Sit” last week I feel I owe Shayne an apology. Graham made four field goals last week (the first time this season he’s made more than one in a game). This week he plays the Raiders, a team that has allowed the second most field goals in the NFL this season. Sure, you could maybe do better than Graham this week, but you could do a lot worse as well.
Sit: Joe Nedney, 49ers. Nedney has only managed three field goals in his last four games. The Packers have allowed only seven field goals this season, second lowest in the NFL. Nedney is not a good start this week.
Start: Cincinnati Bengals. I’ve picked up the Bengals myself in a few leagues this week. Cincy’s defense looked strong last week, holding the Steelers to just 12 points. The Bengals are second in the NFL in points allowed per game (16.3) and this week they play the bumbling Raiders. Oakland is second to last in the NFL in points per game at 9.8.
Sit: Baltimore Ravens. The Ravens made their fantasy owners very happy with their shutout of the Browns last week (and a defensive touchdown to boot!). But the Browns and the Colts are very different teams. Not only are the Colts top 5 in both yards and points scored, but Baltimore always seems to have trouble with Peyton Manning’s offense. Baltimore’s defense has to be considered a very risky start this week.
Nick Hopkins is a Cafe member who has been contributing to the Start & Sit since 2006. He posts on the Cafe under the name terpfan. R.J. White is a fantasy blogger at the sports site FanHouse. Check out his work both here and there, and feel free to talk to him in the forums, where he posts under the name daullaz.
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