Alright folks, thanks for bearing with us. Due to turkey-related responsibilities there was a slight delay in the commentary this week. I hope everyone is having a good Thanksgiving so far, and that you all got your last minute lineup changes in this morning. Now we can start looking ahead to what the weekend might have in store…
|1||Aaron Rodgers||GB||at DET||96.67|
|2||Peyton Manning||IND||at HOU||89.67|
|5||Tom Brady||NE||at NO||84.00|
|7||Kurt Warner||ARI||at TEN||82.67|
|11||Ben Roethlisberger||PIT||at BAL||76.37|
|13||Matt Hasselbeck||SEA||at STL||75.33|
|14||Jay Cutler||CHI||at MIN||74.67|
|16||David Garrard||JAC||at SF||68.67|
|17||Eli Manning||NYG||at DEN||67.67|
|T-20||Matt Cassel||KC||at SD||63.33|
|22||Josh Freeman||TB||at ATL||59.00|
|24||Jason Campbell||WAS||at PHI||58.33|
|27||Bruce Gradkowski||OAK||at DAL||51.33|
|28||Brady Quinn||CLE||at CIN||51.00|
|29||Chad Henne||MIA||at BUF||50.33|
|30||Jake Delhomme||CAR||at NYJ||49.67|
|33||Matt Leinart||ARI||at TEN||8.53|
Start: Carson Palmer, Bengals. Palmer has not thrown a touchdown in his last two games, much to the chagrin of his fantasy owners (although he did run for two scores last week). However, I expect this week’s game against the Browns to be a return to form for the Bengals’ passing game. Cleveland is 26th in the league in passing defense and has allowed 15 touchdowns to only 6 interceptions.
Start: Matt Ryan, Falcons. Ryan did not throw an interception last week, for the first time since Week 3. The rookie QB also threw for 268 yards and 2 touchdowns, making it his best game statistically since the Falcons stomped San Fransisco in Week 5. Ryan has a good matchup this week against the Buccaneers. Tampa Bay has allowed the third most passing touchdowns in the NFL this year (22).
Sit: Brady Quinn, Browns. I don’t think anyone expected a 300-yard, 4 touchdown game from Quinn last week. Not even against the Lions. I wouldn’t get too excited though, the Browns’ offense hasn’t been fixed overnight, and the Bengals secondary should prove a much tougher test this week.
Sit: Matt Cassel, Chiefs. Cassel had a nice game last week, leading the Chargers past the Steelers in over-time, and this is without his best receiver, Dwayne Bowe. I wouldn’t push your luck too far with this one though. The Chargers pass defense isn’t elite, but it is pretty good, and they have some play makers in the secondary. Cornerback Antonio Cromartie, for example, has three interceptions in his last four games.
|1||Maurice Jones-Drew||JAC||at SF||90.67|
|4||Ricky Williams||MIA||at BUF||86.33|
|6||DeAngelo Williams||CAR||at NYJ||81.33|
|8||Ryan Grant||GB||at DET||81.00|
|10||Joseph Addai||IND||at HOU||78.67|
|15||Brandon Jacobs||NYG||at DEN||72.00|
|17||Laurence Maroney||NE||at NO||68.67|
|18||Justin Forsett||SEA||at STL||68.33|
|19||Rashard Mendenhall||PIT||at BAL||67.00|
|20||Beanie Wells||ARI||at TEN||66.00|
|21||Tim Hightower||ARI||at TEN||64.67|
|T-23||Cadillac Williams||TB||at ATL||63.67|
|26||Jonathan Stewart||CAR||at NYJ||63.33|
|T-26||Jamaal Charles||KC||at SD||63.33|
|31||Donald Brown||IND||at HOU||60.67|
|32||Matt Forte||CHI||at MIN||59.67|
|T-38||Rock Cartwright||WAS||at PHI||57.00|
|43||Derrick Ward||TB||at ATL||50.33|
|44||Kevin Faulk||NE||at NO||47.33|
|45||Jamal Lewis||CLE||at CIN||47.00|
|46||Michael Bush||OAK||at DAL||46.67|
|47||Darren McFadden||OAK||at DAL||45.33|
|49||Kolby Smith||KC||at SD||43.33|
|T-49||Justin Fargas||OAK||at DAL||43.33|
|51||Julius Jones||SEA||at STL||41.70|
|56||Sammy Morris||NE||at NO||36.30|
|T-57||Lex Hilliard||MIA||at BUF||35.67|
|T-57||Mewelde Moore||PIT||at BAL||35.67|
|60||Earnest Graham||TB||at ATL||31.00|
|61||Danny Ware||NYG||at DEN||30.00|
|62||Louis Rankin||SEA||at STL||28.67|
|64||Chris Jennings||CLE||at CIN||27.00|
|65||Rashard Jennings||JAC||at SF||26.33|
Start: Ricky Williams, Dolphins. Last week, Williams really took advantage of his new role as feature back due to Ronnie Brown’s injury. Ricky ran for 119 yards and two touchdowns, and also scored on a pass out of the backfield. He should be a great start again this week against a Bills’ defense that ranks 31st in the NFL against the run.
Start: Thomas Jones, Jets. Jones has been a dependable fantasy starter this year, as he has gone over 100 yards and/or scored in each of the Jets’ last seven games. I expect that streak to continue this week against Carolina. The Panthers are 26th in the league in run defense after being gashed by the aforementioned Ricky Williams last week in Charlotte.
Sit: Marshawn Lynch, Bills. It looks like Lynch will be able to play this weekend against Miami, but I would not expect much from him. The Bills’ runner has recorded fewer than 10 carries and 50 yards in each of his last three games. Fred Jackson is a viable option for Buffalo, and if Lynch’s shoulder injury bothers him, the Bills will likely keep him on the sideline for a good chunk of the game. Not to mention that the Dolphins run defense is ranked in the top half of the league.
Sit: Ryan Moats, Texans. Moats looked like a viable fantasy option for a minute there, but he has quickly slipped off the map. Moats did not even touch the ball last week, as the Texans turned back to Steve Slaton as their starter, and Chris Brown as the change of pace back. Moats is certainly not a fantasy option at this point.
|1||Larry Fitzgerald||ARI||at TEN||97.33|
|2||Randy Moss||NE||at NO||89.67|
|3||Reggie Wayne||IND||at HOU||89.00|
|7||Wes Welker||NE||at NO||83.67|
|8||Greg Jennings||GB||at DET||83.00|
|T-9||Mike Sims-Walker||JAC||at SF||82.00|
|11||Anquan Boldin||ARI||at TEN||81.33|
|13||Donald Driver||GB||at DET||80.33|
|T-14||T.J. Houshmandzadeh||SEA||at STL||79.33|
|19||Nate Burleson||SEA||at STL||74.67|
|20||Steve Smith||NYG||at DEN||72.33|
|21||Hines Ward||PIT||at BAL||71.67|
|T-25||Devin Hester||CHI||at MIN||69.67|
|28||Steve Breaston||ARI||at TEN||66.67|
|29||Steve Smith||CAR||at NYJ||66.00|
|30||Santonio Holmes||PIT||at BAL||65.67|
|34||Torry Holt||JAC||at SF||62.67|
|35||Pierre Garcon||IND||at HOU||62.33|
|36||Austin Collie||IND||at HOU||61.67|
|38||Chris Chambers||KC||at SD||60.67|
|43||Johnny Knox||CHI||at MIN||59.00|
|46||Mario Manningham||NYG||at DEN||58.33|
|T-47||Santana Moss||WAS||at PHI||58.00|
|49||Earl Bennett||CHI||at MIN||57.67|
|52||James Jones||GB||at DET||57.00|
|T-52||Antonio Bryant||TB||at ATL||57.00|
|56||Mike Wallace||PIT||at BAL||55.00|
|58||Michael Clayton||TB||at ATL||54.00|
|61||Mohamed Massaquoi||CLE||at CIN||52.33|
|63||Hakeem Nicks||NYG||at DEN||51.00|
|65||Deion Branch||SEA||at STL||50.00|
|67||Davone Bess||MIA||at BUF||48.33|
|68||Muhsin Muhammad||CAR||at NYJ||46.33|
|69||Louis Murphy||OAK||at DAL||45.00|
|72||Ted Ginn||MIA||at BUF||43.00|
|T-72||Greg Camarillo||MIA||at BUF||43.00|
|74||Chansi Stuckey||CLE||at CIN||40.33|
|77||Mike Thomas||JAC||at SF||38.67|
|78||Antwaan Randle El||WAS||at PHI||38.00|
|80||Darrius Heyward-Bey||OAK||at DAL||37.00|
|81||Josh Cribbs||CLE||at CIN||36.87|
|82||Mark Bradley||KC||at SD||36.00|
|83||Brian Hartline||MIA||at BUF||35.67|
|87||Jordy Nelson||GB||at DET||33.00|
|88||Lance Long||KC||at SD||32.00|
|91||Julian Edelman||NE||at NO||29.00|
|93||Sam Aiken||NE||at NO||26.33|
|T-93||Chaz Schilens||OAK||at DAL||26.33|
|96||Domenik Hixon||NYG||at DEN||25.00|
|97||Devin Thomas||WAS||at PHI||24.67|
|T-98||Johnnie Lee Higgins||OAK||at DAL||24.33|
Start: Wes Welker, Patriots. OK, so he hasn’t scored in his past three games, but the catch and yardage totals this guy puts up are pretty amazing. He’s a top 5 receivers in PPR leagues for sure, and is a must-start in just about any scoring system. His 15 catch (!!!) game last week puts him on pace for 126 catches on the year, and that’s after missing two games earlier in the season! The Patriots may have even more incentive to throw Welker’s direction this week, as New England – New Orleans has the potential to turn into a shootout.
Start: Michael Crabtree, 49ers. Crabtree has adjusted quickly to the speed of the NFL game, and has managed to record pretty good numbers through five games with the 49ers. He found the endzone for the first time last week, and has the potential for another good game this week against the Jaguars. Jacksonville has the 25th ranked passing defense in the league, and will also be missing their top cornerback, Rashean Mathis, due to a groin injury. This could be a real statement game for Crabtree.
Sit: Steve Smith, Panthers. Smith has had a nice little mid-season resurgence these past couple of weeks, but this week is not the greatest of matchups for him. The talent of cornerback Darelle Revis has been well publicized at this point, and the Jets will likely keep him matched up with Smith the entire game. The Jets will try to force Jake Delhomme to use his other, less explosive, receivers.
Sit: Kevin Walter, Texans. Walter is usually good for a few catches and middling yardage totals, but has not scored since Week 3, and just does not seem to be a true #2 target in the eyes of Matt Schaub. Andre Johnson will get his catches, but the rest of the passes are spread out among a host of wideouts, including Walter, Jacoby Jones, and David Anderson.
|T-1||Dallas Clark||IND||at HOU||91.00|
|4||Kellen Winslow||TB||at ATL||83.00|
|6||Greg Olsen||CHI||at MIN||80.67|
|7||John Carlson||SEA||at STL||79.67|
|12||Zach Miller||OAK||at DAL||70.33|
|13||Heath Miller||PIT||at BAL||70.00|
|14||Fred Davis||WAS||at PHI||67.00|
|17||Donald Lee||GB||at DET||64.33|
|19||Jermichael Finley||GB||at DET||61.50|
|T-20||Ben Watson||NE||at NO||60.67|
|23||Kevin Boss||NYG||at DEN||58.00|
|T-25||Sean Ryan||KC||at SD||55.67|
|27||Marcedes Lewis||JAC||at SF||55.00|
|28||Stephen Spach||ARI||at TEN||54.00|
|29||Robert Royal||CLE||at CIN||52.00|
|30||Dante Rosario||CAR||at NYJ||49.67|
Start: Kellen Winslow, Buccaneers. Winslow is managing to have a pretty good season despite the struggles of his team. (He’s on pace for 700+ yards, 8 TDs). The Falcons have trouble against the pass (29th ranked pass defense), so Winslow should have the opportunity for some big plays this week.
Sit: Bo Scaife, Titans. Scaife has yet to really see the results of Vince Young’s improved play, and is probably not worth a start in any but the deepest leagues at this point. However, if Young continues his progression, Scaife could develop into a decent fantasy option yet! Just something worth keeping an eye on…
|2||Stephen Gostkowski||NE||at NO||87.67|
|3||Mason Crosby||GB||at DET||86.33|
|7||Lawrence Tynes||NYG||at DEN||80.00|
|8||Neil Rackers||ARI||at TEN||79.67|
|9||Matt Stover||IND||at HOU||79.00|
|16||Jeff Reed||PIT||at BAL||70.33|
|17||Josh Scobee||JAC||at SF||69.67|
|T-17||Rob Bironas||TEN||vs. ARI||69.67|
|T-20||Dan Carpenter||MIA||at BUF||69.33|
|22||Robbie Gould||CHI||at MIN||68.67|
|24||Olindo Mare||SEA||at STL||65.33|
|T-24||Shaun Suisham||WAS||at PHI||65.33|
|27||Sebastian Janikowski||OAK||at DAL||61.00|
|28||Ryan Succop||KC||at SD||60.33|
|29||John Kasay||CAR||at NYJ||59.67|
|30||Connor Barth||TB||at ATL||57.33|
|32||Phil Dawson||CLE||at CIN||51.67|
Start: Neil Rackers, Cardinals. This is a matchup of a top 10 scoring offense and a bottom 10 scoring defense, so theoretically Rackers should have several attempts to put the ball through the uprights. The hope is simply that the Cardinals stall a few times in the redzone. This can be hard to predict, but at least you know the potential is there.
Sit: Shaun Suisham, Redskins. Suisham was perfect on the season going into last week’s game against the Dallas Cowboys. The Redskins gave him four field goal attempts in that game, but Suisham was only able to convert two of them, allowing Dallas to come back and win the game 7-6. Any potential lack of confidence stemming from that game, coupled with the Redskins’ weak offense, make Suisham a bad fantasy start.
Start: Philadelphia Eagles. The Eagles must be licking their chops thinking about playing a Redskins’ team that is missing not only two starting linemen and a pro bowl tight end, but also both their starting and primary backups at running back. Washington only scores at a 14.6 points per game clip, and quarterback Jason Campbell has been sacked 32 times this season (that’s good for 4th most in the NFL) . Trent Cole, Juqua Parker, and the rest of the Philly pass rushers should be able to wreak havoc at home against the Skins.
Sit: Indianapolis Colts. Peyton Manning and the offense gets most of the credit for Indy’s success, but the Colts’ defense leads the league in points allowed per game at just 15.7. However, while the Colts are usually a fairly safe option in fantasy, I would be wary of their matchup this week. Houston has some weapons on offense (namely Matt Schaub and Andre Johnson) and always seems to play the Colts fairly close, particularly at home.
Nick Hopkins is a Cafe member who has been contributing to the Start & Sit since 2006. He posts on the Cafe under the name terpfan. R.J. White is a fantasy blogger at the sports site FanHouse. Check out his work both here and there, and feel free to talk to him in the forums, where he posts under the name daullaz.
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