Start & SitDecember 23, 2009


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Week 16: For All The Marbles - 7 comments

By R.J. White

I hope everyone’s having a great holiday season. We’re here with a championship edition of Start and Sit. Rankings are up now, analysis will be up later. Enjoy!

Merry Christmas everybody! I hope everyone has a good holiday weekend (and wins all their fantasy games of course!) Now let’s see what the rankings have in store this week… - Nick

RankQuarterbacksTeamOpponentAverage
1Aaron RodgersGBSEA94.33
2Drew BreesNOTB93.33
3Philip RiversSDat TEN91.67
4Tom BradyNEJAC89.71
5Matt SchaubHOUat MIA89.00
6Kurt WarnerARISTL87.00
7Brett FavreMINat CHI85.67
8Peyton ManningINDNYJ79.33
9Ben RoethlisbergerPITBAL78.67
10Carson PalmerCINKC77.67
11Tony RomoDALat WAS77.33
T-11Alex SmithSFDET77.33
13Joe FlaccoBALat PIT73.67
14Eli ManningNYGCAR73.00
15Jay CutlerCHIMIN72.67
T-15Donovan McNabbPHIDEN72.67
17Matt HasselbeckSEAat GB69.33
18Kyle OrtonDENat PHI68.67
19Vince YoungTENSD68.00
20Matt MooreCARat NYG67.00
21Jason CampbellWASDAL66.67
22Matt RyanATLBUF65.33
23David GarrardJACat NE64.67
24Chad HenneMIAHOU62.33
25Matt CasselKCat CIN59.67
26Mark SanchezNYJat IND57.73
27Derek AndersonCLEOAK56.33
28Keith NullSTLat ARI52.33
29Charlie FryeOAKat CLE50.80
30Josh FreemanTBat NO49.00
31Brian BrohmBUFat ATL38.00
32Drew StantonDETat SF33.67

 
Start: Phillip Rivers, Chargers. Rivers has had a Pro Bowl season this year, and has the Chargers just rolling along into the playoffs. Rivers has not only put up great numbers; he has been a model of consistency. The Chargers’ QB has accounted for at least one touchdown in every game this year, and he has not had a QB rating lower than 84.5 in any game this year. You can bet on Rivers having another solid game this week against the Titans’ 31st ranked pass defense.
 
Sit: Matt Hasselbeck, Seahawks. Hasselbeck has been hard to read this year. Sometimes you get the good Hasselbeck (4 touchdown passes in Week 5), and sometimes you get the bad Hasselbeck (4 INTs last week). I think you are more likely to see the latter against a talented Packer pass defense this week.

RankRunning BacksTeamOpponentAverage
1Chris JohnsonTENSD95.00
2Adrian PetersonMINat CHI92.33
3Cedric BensonCINKC88.67
4Frank GoreSFDET87.67
5Steven JacksonSTLat ARI86.67
6Maurice Jones-DrewJACat NE83.67
7Thomas JonesNYJat IND80.33
8Ricky WilliamsMIAHOU79.67
9Jamaal CharlesKCat CIN78.67
10Beanie WellsARISTL78.33
T-10Pierre ThomasNOTB78.33
12Ray RiceBALat PIT77.00
13Fred JacksonBUFat ATL76.67
14Ryan GrantGBSEA75.67
15Jason SnellingATLBUF74.67
T-15Brandon JacobsNYGCAR74.67
T-15LaDainian TomlinsonSDat TEN74.67
18Knowshon MorenoDENat PHI73.00
T-18Reggie BushNOTB73.00
T-18Ahmad BradshawNYGCAR73.00
21Jonathan StewartCARat NYG71.33
T-21Joseph AddaiINDNYJ71.33
23Rashard MendenhallPITBAL70.67
24Jerome HarrisonCLEOAK70.33
T-24Mike BellNOTB70.33
26Laurence MaroneyNEJAC70.00
27Marion BarberDALat WAS69.67
28Tim HightowerARISTL67.00
T-28Michael BushOAKat CLE67.00
30Marshawn LynchBUFat ATL66.00
T-30Darren McFaddenOAKat CLE66.00
32Jerious NorwoodATLBUF65.33
T-32Maurice MorrisDETat SF65.33
T-32Quinton GantherWASDAL65.33
35Matt ForteCHIMIN64.67
36Justin FargasOAKat CLE64.00
37LeSean McCoyPHIDEN63.67
38Leonard WeaverPHIDEN63.00
39Felix JonesDALat WAS61.67
40Cadillac WilliamsTBat NO61.00
41Darren SprolesSDat TEN60.00
42Justin ForsettSEAat GB59.33
43Ryan MoatsHOUat MIA58.67
44Chris JenningsCLEOAK58.33
45Kevin FaulkNEJAC58.00
46DeAngelo WilliamsCARat NYG57.40
47Arian FosterHOUat MIA57.00
T-47Derrick WardTBat NO57.00
49Chester TaylorMINat CHI56.67
50Shonn GreeneNYJat IND56.00
51Willis McGaheeBALat PIT55.00
52Brian WestbrookPHIDEN54.27
53Sammy MorrisNEJAC53.33
54Chris BrownHOUat MIA52.00
55Tashard ChoiceDALat WAS51.00
T-55Julius JonesSEAat GB51.00
57Lex HilliardMIAHOU47.33
58Larry JohnsonCINKC44.00
59LenDale WhiteTENSD42.67
60Correll BuckhalterDENat PHI41.33
61Chad SimpsonINDNYJ38.33
62Ahman GreenGBSEA35.33
63Mewelde MoorePITBAL34.00
64Michael TurnerATLBUF33.35
65Rock CartwrightWASDAL33.33

 
Start: Cedric Benson, Bengals. Benson has yet to find the endzone since returning from his injury, but I expect that to change this week against the Chiefs. Kansas City ranks 31st in the NFL in rush defense, and has allowed 16 rushing touchdowns on the year. There’s a good chance Benson will sit at some point during this game, especially if the score gets out of hand, but he should be able to do plenty of damage early on.
 
Sit: LeSean McCoy, Eagles. McCoy scored a touchdown last week, but was only given nine carries. The young Eagles’ runner has not carried the ball more than 10 times in a game since Week 12. The Eagles remain a pass first team, so McCoy is going to remain an inconsistent fantasy option. This week’s opponent, Denver, has also only allowed eight rushing touchdowns all year.

RankWide ReceiversTeamOpponentAverage
1Andre JohnsonHOUat MIA96.67
2Randy MossNEJAC94.67
3Wes WelkerNEJAC92.67
4Vincent JacksonSDat TEN90.67
5Marques ColstonNOTB89.67
6Larry FitzgeraldARISTL89.33
7Anquan BoldinARISTL82.67
T-7Sidney RiceMINat CHI82.67
T-7DeSean JacksonPHIDEN82.67
10Donald DriverGBSEA82.33
11Chad OchocincoCINKC82.00
T-11Brandon MarshallDENat PHI82.00
13Miles AustinDALat WAS81.67
14Greg JenningsGBSEA81.00
15Derrick MasonBALat PIT79.33
16Steve SmithCARat NYG79.00
17Reggie WayneINDNYJ78.67
18Percy HarvinMINat CHI78.41
19Calvin JohnsonDETat SF77.67
20Michael CrabtreeSFDET76.67
21Robert MeachemNOTB76.33
22Roddy WhiteATLBUF75.33
23Hines WardPITBAL74.33
24Mike Sims-WalkerJACat NE73.33
T-24Josh MorganSFDET73.33
26Steve SmithNYGCAR73.00
27Antonio BryantTBat NO71.17
28Devery HendersonNOTB71.00
29Terrell OwensBUFat ATL70.93
30Santonio HolmesPITBAL70.33
31Lee EvansBUFat ATL70.00
32Roy WilliamsDALat WAS69.00
T-32Dwayne BoweKCat CIN69.00
T-32Malcolm FloydSDat TEN69.00
T-32T.J. HoushmandzadehSEAat GB69.00
36Braylon EdwardsNYJat IND68.67
37Santana MossWASDAL68.33
38Kenny BrittTENSD67.67
39Kevin WalterHOUat MIA66.33
T-39Donnie AverySTLat ARI66.33
41Jerricho CotcheryNYJat IND66.00
42Johnny KnoxCHIMIN65.00
T-42Torry HoltJACat NE65.00
44Mohamed MassaquoiCLEOAK64.33
T-44Bernard BerrianMINat CHI64.33
46Pierre GarconINDNYJ63.33
47Mark ClaytonBALat PIT62.83
48Chris ChambersKCat CIN62.33
49Earl BennettCHIMIN62.00
50Steve BreastonARISTL61.80
51Davone BessMIAHOU61.33
52Devin HesterCHIMIN61.07
53James JonesGBSEA61.00
T-53Mario ManninghamNYGCAR61.00
55Austin CollieINDNYJ60.33
56Jason AvantPHIDEN60.00
57Lance MooreNOTB58.50
58Justin GageTENSD57.00
59Nate WashingtonTENSD56.93
60Josh CribbsCLEOAK56.33
T-60Bryant JohnsonDETat SF56.33
T-60Mike WallacePITBAL56.33
63Danny AmendolaSTLat ARI55.67
64Michael JenkinsATLBUF55.33
T-64Andre CaldwellCINKC55.33
T-64Brandon GibsonSTLat ARI55.33
67Patrick CraytonDALat WAS54.33
68Laveranues ColesCINKC54.00
69Eddie RoyalDENat PHI53.67
T-69Devin ThomasWASDAL53.67
71Hakeem NicksNYGCAR53.43
72Deion BranchSEAat GB49.67
73Ted GinnMIAHOU48.67
74Bobby WadeKCat CIN47.67
75Nate BurlesonSEAat GB46.67
76Chaz SchilensOAKat CLE45.33
77Louis MurphyOAKat CLE44.67
78Demetrius WilliamsBALat PIT42.67
79Dennis NorthcuttDETat SF42.00
T-79David ClowneyNYJat IND42.00
81Muhsin MuhammadCARat NYG41.67
82Chansi StuckeyCLEOAK40.33
83Isaac BruceSFDET39.53
84Sam AikenNEJAC38.67
85Josh ReedBUFat ATL38.33
T-85Michael ClaytonTBat NO38.33
87Mike ThomasJACat NE36.33
88David AndersonHOUat MIA35.67
89Lavelle HawkinsTENSD35.00
T-89Antwaan Randle ElWASDAL35.00
91Malcom KellyWASDAL34.33
92Jeremy MaclinPHIDEN34.27
93Kelley WashingtonBALat PIT32.67
94Greg CamarilloMIAHOU32.33
95Darrius Heyward-BeyOAKat CLE31.33
T-95Legedu NaaneeSDat TEN31.33
97Sam HurdDALat WAS29.33
98Domenik HixonNYGCAR28.67
T-98Johnnie Lee HigginsOAKat CLE28.67
100Brian HartlineMIAHOU26.33

 
Start: Donald Driver, Packers. The 34-year-old driver continues to play well, proving to be every bit as important to Green Bay’s offense as his younger counterpart, Greg Jennings. He has a good matchup this week against a Seattle team that ranks 29th in the NFL in both passing yards and passing touchdowns allowed. Both Driver and Jennings make good starts this week.
 
Sit: Steve Smith, Giants. Smith was held under 50 yards for just the first time since Week 6 last week (although he did manage to find the endzone). I don’t mean to suggest that he is falling off, but this week isn’t that favorable of a matchup for him. The Panthers totally stifled Minnesota’s passing attack last week, and have done a good job against the pass all season (4th in the NFL in passing yards allowed, just 13 TDs allowed). The Giants will spread the ball around as usual, but against the Panthers there may not be that many passing yards to go around.

RankTight EndsTeamOpponentAverage
1Vernon DavisSFDET95.00
2Antonio GatesSDat TEN94.00
3Tony GonzalezATLBUF90.33
4Dallas ClarkINDNYJ84.33
5Visanthe ShiancoeMINat CHI80.67
6Fred DavisWASDAL79.00
7Jason WittenDALat WAS77.00
T-7Kellen WinslowTBat NO77.00
9Brent CelekPHIDEN76.41
10Heath MillerPITBAL76.33
11Tony SchefflerDENat PHI75.33
T-11Jermichael FinleyGBSEA75.33
13Greg OlsenCHIMIN74.33
14Kevin BossNYGCAR73.00
T-14John CarlsonSEAat GB73.00
16Dante RosarioCARat NYG68.00
17Bo ScaifeTENSD67.33
18David ThomasNOTB66.93
19Joel DreessenHOUat MIA66.33
20Anthony FasanoMIAHOU66.00
21Todd HeapBALat PIT65.67
22Stephen SpachARISTL63.67
23J.P. FoschiCINKC63.33
24Marcedes LewisJACat NE62.67
T-24Dustin KellerNYJat IND62.67
26Ben WatsonNEJAC62.00
27Randy McMichaelSTLat ARI59.67
28Leonard PopeKCat CIN59.00
29Jeremy ShockeyNOTB57.20
30Will HellerDETat SF55.00

 
Start: Visanthe Shiancoe, Vikings. Shiancoe has had two quiet weeks in a row now, but I think this week he gets back on track. The Vikings will be looking to bounce back from a tough loss, and the Chicago Bears have allowed 25 touchdowns through the air this season.
 
Sit: Jeremy Shockey, Saints. This is a bit of a cop-out because Shockey is hurt, but “sit” tight ends are sometimes hard to come up with… Shockey missed last week with a toe injury, and has been limited in practice so far this week. The Saints don’t have all that much left to play for at this point, so don’t be surprised if they play it safe with Shockey and rest him up for the playoffs.

RankKickersTeamOpponentAverage
1David AkersPHIDEN89.00
2Ryan LongwellMINat CHI88.67
3Stephen GostkowskiNEJAC86.00
4Kris BrownHOUat MIA85.67
5Nate KaedingSDat TEN85.33
6Garrett HartleyNOTB82.33
7Rob BironasTENSD81.67
8Shayne GrahamCINKC78.00
9Matt PraterDENat PHI77.00
10Mike NugentARISTL76.00
T-10Shaun SuishamDALat WAS76.00
T-10Joe NedneySFDET76.00
13Lawrence TynesNYGCAR75.67
T-13Jay FeelyNYJat IND75.67
15Rian LindellBUFat ATL74.33
T-15Mason CrosbyGBSEA74.33
17Dan CarpenterMIAHOU71.33
T-17Sebastian JanikowskiOAKat CLE71.33
19Matt StoverINDNYJ70.67
20Phil DawsonCLEOAK69.00
T-20Jeff ReedPITBAL69.00
22Robbie GouldCHIMIN68.00
23Matt BryantATLBUF67.00
24Josh BrownSTLat ARI65.33
25John KasayCARat NYG63.33
26Billy CundiffBALat PIT63.00
27Ryan SuccopKCat CIN62.67
28Jason HansonDETat SF62.33
29Olindo MareSEAat GB62.00
30Connor BarthTBat NO60.67
T-30Graham GanoWASDAL60.67
32Josh ScobeeJACat NE55.33

 
Start: David Akers, Eagles. Akers had made a whopping 29/33 field goals this year, and is on pace for 145 total points. There is a reason is near the top of our kicker rankings each week! At home against a Broncos defense that is good, but not great, Akers should be able to add at least a couple more field goals to his total.
 
Sit: Robbie Gould, Bears. Gould has had trouble putting points on the board lately, mostly due to¬† Chicago’s struggling offense. He has not scored more than 5 points in any of the Bears’ past four games. The Vikings’ defense got exposed a little bit last week against Carolina, but still, they are no slouches. Gould will also have to deal with the cold December weather on Monday Night in Chicago.

RankDefenseTeamOpponentAverage
1VikingsMINat CHI89.33
2SaintsNOTB88.00
3PackersGBSEA87.67
4EaglesPHIDEN86.67
T-449ersSFDET86.67
6BengalsCINKC83.00
7GiantsNYGCAR82.00
8CardinalsARISTL80.67
9ChargersSDat TEN79.67
10ColtsINDNYJ79.33
11RavensBALat PIT77.67
T-11CowboysDALat WAS77.67
13DolphinsMIAHOU76.67
T-13SteelersPITBAL76.67
15BroncosDENat PHI75.67
16PatriotsNEJAC75.33
T-16JetsNYJat IND75.33
18FalconsATLBUF74.00
19RedskinsWASDAL70.67
20BillsBUFat ATL70.33
21TexansHOUat MIA68.67
T-21SeahawksSEAat GB68.67
23BrownsCLEOAK67.67
24RaidersOAKat CLE67.00
25PanthersCARat NYG65.67
26TitansTENSD61.67
27BearsCHIMIN60.33
28LionsDETat SF59.00
29ChiefsKCat CIN57.67
30BuccaneersTBat NO52.33
31JaguarsJACat NE51.00
32RamsSTLat ARI48.33

 
Start: Arizona Cardinals. The Cardinals’ defense has a big play mentality that makes them dangerous for fantasy purposes. Arizona is 5th the NFL in sacks and 8th in interceptions, and this week they play host to the offensively challenged Rams. If the Cardinals are available in your league, they would make a sneaky playoff pickup-and-play.
 
Sit: New York Jets. The Jets this week are a classic case of a solid fantasy defense running into an offensive juggernaut. Even when it looks like someone has figured the Colts out, Peyton Manning finds a way to make a second half run and reverse any deficit. You don’t want to be starting any fantasy defense against these guys. (Even if the Colts decide to rest their starters at some point in this game, it’s still a risky move).
 

 
R.J. White is a fantasy blogger at the sports site FanHouse. Check out his work both here and there, and feel free to talk to him in the forums, where he posts under the name daullaz.
 
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7 Responses to “Week 16: For All The Marbles”

  1. Good luck everyone!

    ReplyReply
  2. pipyface23 says:

    Should I start Jerome harrison or Thomas jones? I’m worried Harrison won’t get enough carries because mangini’s an idiot (sadly Im from Cleveland)and worried that jones won t get enough carries because sanchez may throw picks and the colts offense could be on the field the whole game

    ReplyReply
  3. thanks you too :)

    ReplyReply
  4. User avatar daullaz says:

    Pipy, I’d move ahead with Jones. Who knows what Mangini is thinking — he could very easily decide to ride Jennings into the ground this game and give Harrison limited touches. At least we know who the No. 1 will be in New York.

    ReplyReply
  5. pipyface23 says:

    Thanks daullaz. Great list as always!

    ReplyReply
  6. Won another league this year and a thousand dollars. Thanks to basically the cafe here. I dont really look anywhere else. Thanks guys!

    ReplyReply
  7. Uncle Bill says:

    Will this be updated for week 17? My championship is this week, and I’ve used this list weekly.

    ReplyReply

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