Start & SitSeptember 23, 2010


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Week 3: Stay Classy - 7 comments

By Drew Szczerba

“You get nothing, you lose! Good day sir!”
-Willy Wonka, childhood obesity advocate
That quote, taken from “Willy Wonka and the Chocolate Factory,” was the first thing I thought of when the Chargers were unable to trade Vincent Jackson to the Vikings. How could it not happen? Minnesota needs a receiver thanks to Sidney Rice’s knee, Percy Harvin’s migraines, and Bernard Berrian’s berrian-ness. San Diego knows Jackson isn’t playing for them, and receiving a second-round draft choice and an additional conditional pick seems like a good deal considering the alternative. Alas, it appears Chargers GM A.J. Smith is not a big Willy Wonka fan. When is comes to movies, he prefers to quote Ron Burgundy.
 
Note: the Café will not allow me to print the applicable excerpt from Mr. Burgundy. What the Café will do is rank all the players we expect could see a significant amount of game action each week. We factor in a player’s overall ability, his weekly matchup, and the current status of his health. The result is one Start/Sit number, based on a scale of 100, and we’ll use each member’s ratings to find an average for each player. The higher a guy is on our list, the better you should feel starting him. Finally, below each table, I will give my personal Start/Sit recommendations for each position. Without further ado, let’s get to Start/Sit for Week 3.
 

RankQuarterbacksTeamOppAverage
1Aaron RodgersGBat CHI95.20
2Peyton ManningINDat DEN92.80
3Drew BreesNOATL91.80
4Tom BradyNEBUF89.20
5Matt SchaubHOUDAL88.00
6Tony RomoDALat HOU87.80
7Philip RiversSDat SEA84.60
8Michael VickPHIat JAC82.60
9Donovan McNabbWASat STL79.80
10Brett FavreMINDET77.63
11Jay CutlerCHIGB77.40
12Joe FlaccoBALCLE77.00
13Eli ManningNYGTEN74.60
14Kyle OrtonDENIND73.40
15Matt RyanATLat NO72.20
16Carson PalmerCINat CAR71.60
17Alex SmithSFat KC64.60
18David GarrardJACPHI64.40
19Matt HasselbeckSEASD62.80
20Sam BradfordSTLWAS62.00
21Matt CasselKCSF61.60
22Bruce GradowskiOAKat ARI61.00
23Josh FreemanTBPIT59.60
24Derek AndersonARIOAK59.40
25Chad HenneMIANYJ58.40
26Mark SanchezNYJat MIA58.20
27Vince YoungTENat NYG57.98
28Charlie BatchPITat TB56.80
29Shaun HillDETat MIN56.00
30Jimmy ClausenCARCIN46.50
31Ryan FitzpatrickBUFat NE41.40
32Seneca WallaceCLEat BAL39.90

 
Start: Michael Vick, Philadelphia Eagles. People continue to wonder what the mood is around the Eagles locker room these days. Here are a few random quotes that could help provide some insight:
 
“We have to go with Mike. He gives us the best chance to win.” – Anonymous player
“That’s not really an option. He plays for Washington now, sir.” – Assistant coach
“I said you were the starter. Past tense. Try and keep up.” – Andy Reid
“No, I totally understand … Detroit’s always tough.” – Kevin Kolb
“Two weeks and LeSean McCoy still isn’t on the injury report. I told you he’d never be able to fill Westbrook’s walking boots.” – Assistant GM
 
Now, I admit not all of these statements make the case for starting Vick. Doesn’t matter. Vick is a must start in all formats against Jacksonville. He’s proven he can put up numbers against relatively weak opponents.
 
Sit: Matt Ryan, Atlanta Falcons. Ryan went off last week, but that was against Arizona. This week he faces New Orleans, a team he struggled against last season. Last year, Ryan had one score versus three picks against the Saints and completed just 45% of his passes. Until further notice, Ryan remains a match-up play, and Week 3 isn’t all that favorable. Look elsewhere.
 
RankRunning BacksTeamOppAverage
1Adrian PetersonMINDET99.20
2Chris JohnsonTENat NYG93.20
3Ray RiceBALCLE92.80
4Frank GoreSFat KC91.80
5Maurice Jones-DrewJACPHI89.90
6Rashard MendenhallPITat TB88.80
7Steven JacksonSTLWAS85.80
8Darren McFaddenOAKat ARI83.60
9LeSean McCoyPHIat JAC82.80
10DeAngelo WilliamsCARCIN82.60
11Pierre ThomasNOATL82.30
12Cedric BensonCINat CAR81.00
13Arian FosterHOUDAL79.20
14Knowshon MorenoDENIND79.16
15Michael TurnerATLat NO77.87
16Clinton PortisWASat STL77.80
17Jahvid BestDETat MIN76.60
18Matt ForteCHIGB75.30
19Ahmad BradshawNYGTEN75.20
20LaDainian TomlinsonNYJat MIA73.90
21Ronnie BrownMIANYJ72.10
22Tim HightowerARIOAK72.00
23Joseph AddaiINDat DEN71.84
24Shonn GreeneNYJat MIA71.70
25Marion BarberDALat HOU71.10
26Jamaal CharlesKCSF70.20
27Felix JonesDALat HOU69.50
28Jonathan StewartCARCIN69.20
29Fred TaylorNEBUF68.60
30Ricky WilliamsMIANYJ66.50
31Brandon JacksonGBat CHI66.40
32Justin ForsettSEASD65.20
33Fred JacksonBUFat NE63.58
34Brandon JacobsNYGTEN62.80
T-34Cadillac WilliamsTBPIT62.80
36Thomas JonesKCSF62.60
37Peyton HillsCLEat BAL62.40
38Ryan MathewsSDat SEA59.00
39Willis McGaheeBALCLE57.40
40Jerome HarrisonCLEat BAL56.86
41C.J. SpillerBUFat NE56.50
42Donald BrownINDat DEN56.00
T-42Leon WashingtonSEASD56.00
44Bernard ScottCINat CAR55.20
45Darren SprolesSDat SEA54.30
46Marshawn LynchBUFat NE53.80
47Beanie WellsARIOAK53.64
48Jason SnellingATLat NO52.50
49Mike TolbertSDat SEA52.00
50Chester TaylorCHIGB50.30
51John KuhnGBat CHI49.60
52Javon RingerTENat NYG49.00
53Correll BuckhalterDENIND48.45
54Steve SlatonHOUDAL46.10
55Keiland WilliamsWASat STL45.00
56Kareem HugginsTBPIT40.80
57Toby GerhartMINDET39.20
T-57Mike BellPHIat JAC39.20
59Earnest GrahamTBPIT36.60
60Anthony DixonSFat KC35.80
61Julius JonesSEASD35.20
62Brian WestbrookSFat KC35.06
63Rashad JenningsJACPHI33.90
64BenJarvus Green-EllisNEBUF33.40
65Isaac RedmanPITat TB29.20

 
Start: Darren McFadden, Oakland Raiders. In 2008, Al Davis addressed a group of strangers he mistook for employees and informed them that he would select Darren McFadden with Oakland’s first-round pick. Two injury-riddled seasons later, McFadden appeared to be well on his way down the ill-fated path traveled by so many of Oakland’s first round selections. Then the stars began to align. Now McFadden is running hard and shedding tacklers while Michael Bush continues to recover from an injured thumb. Last week McFadden rushed 30 times for 145 yards. Some may consider him a “sell high” given his own injury history and Bush’s pending return. While I don’t totally disagree, I’d wait one more game because his value will likely be even higher after a Week 3 showdown with a porous Arizona run defense.
 
Sit: Jamaal Charles, Kansas City Chiefs. His speed has been compared to that of Chris Johnson and when you watch Jamaal Charles in action you know the comparison is not an overstatement. Charles can definitely play. Unfortunately, head coach Todd Haley is on a mission to make sure he doesn’t play very much at all. Thomas Jones received twice as many carries as Charles in Week 2, and that trend should continue, at least in the near future. Look for Charles to get no more than 10 to 12 touches against a rejuvenated 49ers defense.
 
RankWide ReceiversTeamOppAverage
1Andre JohnsonHOUDAL93.60
2Miles AustinDALat HOU92.60
3Randy MossNEBUF92.00
4Roddy WhiteATLat NO90.00
5Calvin JohnsonDETat MIN88.10
6Reggie WayneINDat DEN87.20
7Greg JenningsGBat CHI87.00
8DeSean JacksonPHIat JAC86.60
9Wes WelkerNEBUF86.00
10Anquan BoldinBALCLE85.90
11Marques ColstonNOATL84.00
12Brandon MarshallMIANYJ81.00
13Santana MossWASat STL80.90
14Larry FitzgeraldARIOAK79.84
15Chad OchocincoCINat CAR78.70
16Jeremy MaclinPHIat JAC78.60
17Hines WardPITat TB78.40
18Hakeem NicksNYGTEN77.96
19Steve SmithCARCIN77.74
20Donald DriverGBat CHI77.00
21Steve SmithNYGTEN76.30
22Mike Sims-WalkerJACPHI75.40
23Michael CrabtreeSFat KC74.20
24Malcom FloydSDat SEA74.00
25Dwayne BoweKCSF73.80
26Percy HarvinMINDET73.78
27Mike WallacePITat TB72.80
28Terrell OwensCINat CAR72.70
29Mike WilliamsTBPIT71.20
30Johnny KnoxCHIGB70.40
T-30Legedu NaaneeSDat SEA70.40
32Derrick MasonBALCLE69.90
33Jacoby JonesHOUDAL68.60
T-33Austin CollieINDat DEN68.60
35Eddie RoyalDENIND68.00
36Nate WashingtonTENat NYG67.40
37Kevin WalterHOUDAL67.00
38Jabar GaffneyDENIND66.40
39T.J. HoushmandzadehBALCLE66.30
40Demaryius ThomasDENIND65.80
41Pierre GarconINDat DEN65.58
42Bernard BerrianMINDET65.56
43Dez BryantDALat HOU64.44
44Mike ThomasJACPHI64.00
45Mike WilliamsSEASD63.90
46Lee EvansBUFat NE63.70
47Louis MurphyOAKat ARI63.20
48Steve BreastonARIOAK63.04
49Robert MeachemNOATL62.60
50Devin HesterCHIGB61.80
51Devery HendersonNOATL61.40
52Braylon EdwardsNYJat MIA60.36
53Jerricho CotcheryNYJat MIA59.20
54Devin AromashoduCHIGB58.80
55Mario ManninghamNYGTEN58.70
56Brandon LloydDENIND58.40
T-56Josh MorganSFat KC58.40
58Roy WilliamsDALat HOU57.80
59Darrius Heyward-BeyOAKat ARI57.60
60Mohamed MassaquoiCLEat BAL57.30
61Jordan ShipleyCINat CAR57.10
62Jason AvantPHIat JAC57.00
63James JonesGBat CHI56.80
T-63Chris ChambersKCSF56.80
65Justin GageTENat NYG55.80
66Mark ClaytonSTLWAS55.00
67Danny AmendolaSTLWAS54.70
68Joey GallowayWASat STL53.70
69Laurent RobinsonSTLWAS53.01
70Greg CamarilloMINDET52.00
71Dexter McClusterKCSF51.60
72Sammie StroughterTBPIT50.80
73Deion BranchSEASD50.70
74Deon ButlerSEASD49.50
75Davone BessMIANYJ48.20
76Joshua CribbsCLEat BAL47.90
77Roscoe ParrishBUFat NE44.90
78Kenny BrittTENat NYG44.20
79Brian RobiskieCLEat BAL44.14
80Jordy NelsonGBat CHI43.40
T-80Lance MooreNOATL43.40

 
Start: Terrell Owens, Cincinnati Bengals. Owens had only three catches last week against the Ravens but was targeted 11 times. In fact, through two weeks, only three receivers were targeted more than Owens. Those receivers are Roddy White, Miles Austin and Larry Fitzgerald. Moreover, I not sure I even buy Fitzgerald’s target total because it assumes it’s possible to know where Derek Anderson was aiming. For all we know, Early Doucet has been targeted 45 times this season. Anyway, it appears the Bengals are making a concerted effort to get the ball to Owens, and that task should be a lot easier this week against the Panthers.
 
Sit: Mario Manningham, New York Giants. The Giants host the Titans at the creatively named New Meadowlands Stadium. New York is coming off an embarrassing loss to the Colts, while Tennessee will try and bounce back from a hard fought defeat at the hands of the Steelers. The Titans allowed a mere 21 yards through the air last week and are typically tough against the pass. This makes it difficult to recommend any Giants receivers, even though they’ll be playing in their home stadium/wall-mounted air conditioning unit. (Seriously, have you seen this building? It’s not pretty.) I’m singling out Manningham because, while he’s outperformed his ADP over a small sample size, he’s still the third option for Eli Manning, and Tennessee is a tough team to spread the ball around against.
 
RankTight EndsTeamOppAverage
1Vernon DavisSFat KC93.40
2Antonio GatesSDat SEA91.60
3Dallas ClarkINDat DEN91.00
4Jermichael FinleyGBat CHI89.60
5Visanthe ShiancoeMINDET87.40
6Chris CooleyWASat STL86.50
7Brent CelekPHIat JAC85.00
8Jason WittenDALat HOU84.08
9Tony GonzalezATLat NO81.60
10Zach MillerOAKat ARI81.40
11Kellen WinslowTBPIT79.40
12Heath MillerPITat TB78.80
13Dustin KellerNYJat MIA75.80
14John CarlsonSEASD74.70
15Jermaine GreshamCINat CAR73.80
16Aaron HernandezNEBUF72.90
17Marcedes LewisJACPHI72.20
18Todd HeapBALCLE71.57
19Jeremy ShockeyNOATL69.20
20Greg OlsenCHIGB67.20
21Owen DanielsHOUDAL67.08
22Brandon PettigrewDETat MIN64.50
23Bo ScaifeTENat NYG62.60
24Ben WatsonCLEat BAL59.90
25Anthony FasanoMIANYJ59.00
26Daniel GrahamDENIND58.60
27Rob GronkowskiNEBUF56.10
28Tony MoeakiKCSF51.40
29Ben PatrickARIOAK51.10
30Jonathan StuparBUFat NE50.70

 
Start: Visanthe Shiancoe, Minnesota Vikings. Pop quiz: If Brett Favre used to play with an unmatched level of enthusiasm, why do we now constantly see him looking like he’s anxiously awaiting medical results?
 
A) He doesn’t have any receivers to throw the ball to
B) He’s anxiously awaiting medical results
C) Wrangler jeans aren’t really that comfortable
 
Answer: A (I think). But there is a silver lining, and his name is Visanthe Shiancoe. Shiancoe has proven to be the only person Favre trusts in Minnesota’s offense and is second in total yards amongst tight ends this year. Oh, and he gets to play the Lions this week.
 
Sit: Greg Olsen, Chicago Bears. Olsen had 39 yards and a score last week. More often than not, you’d take that from your tight end. Unfortunately, all 39 yards came on a single reception. In fact, Olsen was only targeted once during the game. It appears that the Bears offense is focused on protecting Jay Cutler, and Olsen is going to be used primarily as a blocker.
 
RankTeam DefenseTeamOppAverage
1RavensBALCLE90.40
2VikingsMINDET88.60
T-2JetsNYJat MIA88.60
4EaglesPHIat JAC86.10
5SteelersPITat TB86.00
6PackersGBat CHI84.50
749ersSFat KC83.10
8PatriotsNEBUF81.40
9BengalsCINat CAR80.30
10SaintsNOATL77.80
11RedskinsWASat STL75.00
12ChargersSDat SEA74.80
13CardinalsARIOAK74.20
14CowboysDALat HOU72.50
15TitansTENat NYG72.00
16GiantsNYGTEN71.00
17DolphinsMIANYJ70.00
18PanthersCARCIN68.90
19TexansHOUDAL67.50
20ChiefsKCSF67.30
21RaidersOAKat ARI67.20
22ColtsINDat DEN66.60
23BuccaneersTBPIT66.30
24BroncosDENIND66.10
25BearsCHIGB65.40
26JaguarsJACPHI65.20
27FalconsATLat NO63.80
28BrownsCLEat BAL63.60
29LionsDETat MIN59.70
30SeahawksSEASD59.60
31BillsBUFat NE55.40
32RamsSTLWAS51.00

 
Start: Baltimore Ravens. Last week the Ravens defense played brilliantly for the second straight game, but it wasn’t enough as Baltimore lost a heartbreaker to the Bengals, thanks to a couple of questionable calls. When asked to comment on the officiating Ray Lewis said, “No big deal. The referees try their best and that’s good enough for me. Hey, have you guys tried the new ‘Swagger’ from Old Spice?” … Okay, that’s not what he said; he was pissed. I’m thinking an angry defense that hasn’t allowed a touchdown all season plus an opponent (Cleveland) that isn’t known for lighting up the scoreboard equals a strong play for Week 3.
 
Sit: Dallas Cowboys. The Cowboys defense has played reasonably well over the first two weeks in spite of the team’s 0–2 record. That’s not the issue. What is the issue? If you’re a regular reader of this award winning (awards pending) column, you know that fantasy defense is all about match-ups. In Week 3, the Cowboys face Matt Schaub and the Texans. Schaub has elevated his game to become one of the top signal callers in the league, and the Texans are unlikely to make enough mistakes to warrant starting the Dallas defense. (Honorable mention: whoever is playing against Peyton Manning, Drew Brees, or Aaron Rodgers.)
 
RankPlacekickersTeamOppAverage
1Ryan LongwellMINDET89.80
2Stephen GostkowskiNEBUF88.60
3David AkersPHIat JAC88.40
4Nate KaedingSDat SEA85.00
5Mason CrosbyGBat CHI83.60
T-5Garrett HartleyNOATL83.60
7Matt PraterDENIND82.20
8Rob BironasTENat NYG81.80
9Neil RackersHOUDAL80.90
10Jay FeelyARIOAK78.60
11Robbie GouldCHIGB77.10
12Lawrence TynesNYGTEN76.80
13Sebastian JanikowskiOAKat ARI76.50
14Jeff ReedPITat TB74.40
T-14Graham GanoWASat STL74.40
16Billy CundiffBALCLE74.20
17Mike NugentCINat CAR74.00
18Nick FolkNYJat MIA72.00
T-18Joe NedneySFat KC72.00
20Adam VinatieriINDat DEN71.20
21Dan CarpenterMIANYJ71.00
22David BuehlerDALat HOU70.20
23Matt BryantATLat NO68.80
24Ryan SuccopKCSF67.00
25Josh ScobeeJACPHI66.70
26Josh BrownSTLWAS66.60
27Jason HansonDETat MIN66.40
28John KasayCARCIN65.20
29Rian LindellBUFat NE63.70
30Olindo MareSEASD63.30
31Connor BarthTBPIT62.40
32Phil DawsonCLEat BAL61.20

 
Start: Billy Cundiff, Baltimore Ravens. Cundiff has only converted one field goal in each of his first two games. Still, both of those contests were on the road against strong defenses. The Ravens offense will take a step down in class this week as they play their home opener against Cleveland. I’m betting Baltimore will move the ball enough to give Cundiff a few more attempts.
 
Sit: Ryan Succop, Kansas City Chiefs. The Chiefs have an outstanding offense … in a world of pure imagination.
 

 
Drew is a lifelong Jets fan. Playing and writing about fantasy football has proven helpful in easing the pain.
 
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7 Responses to “Week 3: Stay Classy”

  1. Goose says:

    Excellent tie-in, Wonka. Pure imagination. I’m thinking Augustus Gloop would have been a Vikings fan, while Charlie would’ve gone for the Patriots (at least given Brady’s new hair style).

    ReplyReply
  2. User avatar Navyseal says:

    “Spitting’s a nasty habit…”
    “…I know a WORSE one…”

    ReplyReply
  3. dick1134 says:

    “I not sure I even buy Fitzgerald’s target total because it assumes it’s possible to know where Derek Anderson was aiming. For all we know, Early Doucet has been targeted 45 times this season.”

    “When asked to comment on the officiating Ray Lewis said, “No big deal. The referees try their best and that’s good enough for me. Hey, have you guys tried the new ‘Swagger’ from Old Spice?”

    hahahahah!!!! give this guy a raise i’m dying laughing!

    ReplyReply
  4. User avatar LMack says:

    Love what you do with the write-ups Drew. It was a pleasure ranking this week.

    ReplyReply
  5. User avatar Case Ace1 says:

    Thanks LMack

    ReplyReply
  6. User avatar bungle613 says:

    Once again, great write up but just fyi, Rice is out from hip surgery, not his knee.

    ReplyReply
  7. User avatar joejlitz says:

    I’m thinking Marcedes Lewis’ excellent start, combined with the fact that he plays the Eagles this week, a team that sucks against the TE and gave Brandon Pettigrew a career week last week, means that Lewis deserves to be higher than 17. NE’s matchup against BUF looks a lot better than GB’s matchup against the Cutler-led Chicago, as well.

    ReplyReply

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