Start & SitDecember 23, 2010


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Week 16: Championship Week - 8 comments

By Drew Szczerba

If you’re reading this, you’re probably playing for a championship. Congratulations. And, remember, it doesn’t matter how you made it here. Some of you played against Terrell Owens last week. Others accidentally started Rex Grossman. Some may have simply drafted a solid team. Perhaps you followed my advice on Kyle Orton. Perhaps you knew when to stop following my advice on Kyle Orton. It doesn’t matter. You’re here now. And, while it’s an honor just being nominated, this week is about winning. Too much is at stake. Trophies, prizes, bragging rights, and the opportunity to refer yourself as “defending champion” to name a few.

Fortunately, I’m not in this alone. As always, the Café rankers are here to help. Here at the Café, we rank all the players we expect could see a significant amount of game action each week. We factor in a player’s overall ability, his weekly match-up, and the current status of his health. The result is one Start/Sit number, based on a scale of 100, and we’ll use each member’s ratings to find an average for each player. The higher a guy is on our list, the better you should feel starting him. Finally, below each table, I will give my personal Start/Sit recommendations for each position. Without further ado, here’s Start/Sit for Championship Week.

RankQuarterbacksTeamOppAverage
1Drew BreesNOat ATL90.5
2Peyton ManningINDat OAK89.5
3Michael VickPHIMIN89
4Matt SchaubHOUat DEN86
5Tom BradyNEat BUF85
6Philip RiversSDat CIN84.5
7Matt RyanATLNO75.5
8Joe FlaccoBALat CLE74.5
9Matt CasselKCTEN74
10Aaron RodgersGBNYG73.7
11Ben RoethlisbergerPITCAR73.5
12Josh FreemanTBSEA73
T-12Rex GrossmanWASat JAC73
14Ryan FitzpatrickBUFNE72.5
15Jon KitnaDALat ARI69.5
T-15Eli ManningNYGat GB69.5
17David GarrardJACWAS67
18Tim TebowDENHOU66
19Jay CutlerCHINYJ65.5
20Chad HenneMIADET64
21Jason CampbellOAKIND63
22Sam BradfordSTLSF62
23Colt McCoyCLEBAL58.5
24Kerry CollinsTENat KC57.5
25Mark SanchezNYJat CHI55.5
26Carson PalmerCINSD55
27John SkeltonARIDAL54.5
28Matt HasselbeckSEAat TB50.9
29Joe WebbMINat PHI47.5
30Troy SmithSFat STL44
31Jimmy ClausenCARat PIT40.3
32Shaun HillDETat MIA28.5

 
Start: Matt Ryan, Atlanta Falcons. Ryan averages over four more fantasy points per game at home than he does on the road. He threw for a respectable 228 yards with two touchdowns and no picks the last time he faced New Orleans. With so many quarterbacks facing uncertain weather conditions in Week 16, Ryan is a “safe” play with upside.
 
Start: Rex Grossman, Washington Redskins. Look, if your team is in the finals, you probably have better options. Okay, if your team was eliminated before the trade deadline, you probably have better options. However, for those who need to roll the dice – those dealing with uncertainly due to injury and/or weather – you could do worse Grossman this week. Rex threw for 366 yards and four scores against Dallas. Now he plays at Jacksonville, a place where the vacancies in the stands are surpassed only by those in the secondary.
 
Sit: Kerry Collins, Tennessee Titans. If you picked him up last week, it was strictly because of the Houston match-up. Don’t push your luck.
 
RankRunning BacksTeamOppAverage
1Darren McFaddenOAKIND87
T-1Rashard MendenhallPITCAR87
3Maurice Jones-DrewJACWAS86.5
4Michael TurnerATLNO85
T-4Ray RiceBALat CLE85
T-4Chris JohnsonTENat KC85
7Arian FosterHOUat DEN82.35
8BenJarvus Green-EllisNEat BUF82
9Jamaal CharlesKCTEN79.5
10Peyton HillsCLEBAL79
T-10LeSean McCoyPHIMIN79
12Steven JacksonSTLSF78.5
13Marshawn LynchSEAat TB74.5
14Ryan TorainWASat JAC74.2
15LeGarrette BlountTBSEA73.5
16Cedric BensonCINSD73
17Fred JacksonBUFNE72
18Matt ForteCHINYJ68
T-18Danny WoodheadNEat BUF68
T-18Mike TolbertSDat CIN68
21Ronnie BrownMIADET66.5
22Felix JonesDALat ARI65.7
23Thomas JonesKCTEN65.5
T-23Brandon JacobsNYGat GB65.5
25Donald BrownINDat OAK65.45
26Tashard ChoiceDALat ARI65
27Ahmad BradshawNYGat GB64.4
28Michael BushOAKIND62
29Adrian PetersonMINat PHI61.9
30Ryan MathewsSDat CIN61.6
31Justin ForsettSEAat TB61.5
32Knowshon MorenoDENHOU60.95
33Jonathan StewartCARat PIT60.5
T-33LaDainian TomlinsonNYJat CHI60.5
35Ricky WilliamsMIADET59.5
36Tim HightowerARIDAL59
37Beanie WellsARIDAL58.55
38Shonn GreeneNYJat CHI58.5
39Maurice MorrisDETat MIA58
40Toby GerhartMINat PHI57
41Brian WestbrookSFat STL55.1
42Cadillac WilliamsTBSEA53.5
43Jason SnellingATLNO53
T-43Lance BallDENHOU53
T-43Darren SprolesSDat CIN53
46Rashad JenningsJACWAS52.5
T-46Pierre ThomasNOat ATL52.5
48Willis McGaheeBALat CLE52
49Jahvid BestDETat MIA51.6
50C.J. SpillerBUFNE51
51Brandon JacksonGBNYG50.5
T-51Anthony DixonSFat STL50.5
53Bernard ScottCINSD50
54Reggie BushNOat ATL49.5
55Mike BellCLEBAL45
56Chester TaylorCHINYJ43
57Dimitri NanceGBNYG37.5
58Marion BarberDALat ARI34.9
59Mike GoodsonNOat ATL32.5
60Derrick WardHOUat DEN30.5

 
Start: BenJarvus Green-Ellis, New England Patriots. He only got six carries last week as the Flynn-led Packers established an early lead, forcing New England to the air. Fortunately, the Bills have a strict policy against early leads that should allow Green-Ellis to get his normal 20 carries. Moreover, Buffalo’s 32nd ranked run defense should help him make the most of those attempts.
 
Sit: Tim Hightower, Arizona Cardinals. 81 yards in Week 13. I’m intrigued.
148 yards and two scores in Week 14.
Wait, this feels wrong.
A playoff match-up against the front-runners in the Andrew Luck sweepstakes.
Well, I guess there’s no harm in …
Six carries, 16 yards, and a chance at a bronze medal.
Thanks a pant-load, Tim.
 
RankWide ReceiversTeamOppAverage
1Andre JohnsonHOUat DEN86.1
2Larry FitzgeraldARIDAL85.5
3DeSean JacksonPHIMIN85
4Calvin JohnsonDETat MIA83.5
5Roddy WhiteATLNO83
T-5Reggie WayneINDat OAK83
7Marques ColstonNOat ATL82.5
8Vincent JacksonSDat CIN82
9Miles AustinDALat ARI80
T-9Santana MossWASat JAC80
11Greg JenningsGBNYG79
T-11Brandon MarshallMIADET79
13Steve JohnsonBUFNE78.5
T-13Brandon LloydDENHOU78.5
T-13Wes WelkerNEat BUF78.5
16Mike WilliamsTBSEA77.5
17Kenny BrittTENat KC77
18Dwayne BoweKCTEN76.5
T-18Mike WallacePITCAR76.5
20Jeremy MaclinPHIMIN75
21Deion BranchNEat BUF72.5
22Pierre GarconINDat OAK72
23Sidney RiceMINat PHI71.8
24Mike WilliamsSEAat TB70.5
25Hakeem NicksNYGat GB68.8
26Hines WardPITCAR68.5
27Anquan BoldinBALat CLE67.5
28Santonio HolmesNYJat CHI66.3
29Lance MooreNOat ATL65.5
T-29Josh MorganSFat STL65.5
31Jabar GaffneyDENHOU64.5
32Steve BreastonARIDAL63.5
33Sam HurdDALat ARI63
T-33Anthony ArmstrongWASat JAC63
35Derrick MasonBALat CLE62.5
36Mike Sims-WalkerJACWAS62
T-36Mario ManninghamNYGat GB62
T-36Nate WashingtonTENat KC62
39Johnny KnoxCHINYJ61.5
T-39Eddie RoyalDENHOU61.5
41Mike ThomasJACWAS61
42Kevin WalterHOUat DEN60.5
T-42Michael CrabtreeSFat STL60.5
44Louis MurphyOAKIND60
45Robert MeachemNOat ATL59.5
46Mohamed MassaquoiCLEBAL59
47Devery HendersonNOat ATL58.5
48Braylon EdwardsNYJat CHI58
T-48Laurent RobinsonSTLSF58
50Andre CaldwellCINSD57
51Davone BessMIADET57
52Jacoby JonesHOUat DEN55.5
53Percy HarvinMINat PHI53.6
54Brandon GibsonSTLSF53
55Nate BurlesonDETat MIA52.5
56James JonesGBNYG52
T-56Danny AmendolaSTLSF52
58T.J. HoushmandzadehBALat CLE51.5
T-58Devin HesterCHINYJ51.5
60Brian RobiskieCLEBAL50
61Roy WilliamsDALat ARI49.25
62Donald DriverGBNYG49
63Chad OchocincoCINSD48.95
64Steve SmithCARat PIT48.5
T-64Earl BennettCHINYJ48.5
66Michael JenkinsATLNO48
T-66Jordan ShipleyCINSD48
68Dexter McClusterKCTEN47.5
69Blair WhiteINDat OAK46
70Danario AlexanderSTLSF44.3
71Brandon LaFellCARat PIT41.5
72Jordy NelsonGBNYG38
73Brandon StokleySEAat TB33
74Jacoby FordOAKIND32
75Arrelious BennTBSEA31.5

 
Start: Santana Moss, Washington Redskins. Rex Grossman is already listed as a “Start.” That’s not the kind of bet you can hedge.
 
Start: Mike Williams, Seattle Seahawks. He looked good in his return from injury last week, catching eight passes for 66 yards. More importantly, he was targeted a team-high 13 times. In fact, he’s already received 15 or more targets on three separate occasions this season. Tampa Bay is very average against the pass, surrendering 22 passing touchdowns this year. Williams has a decent chance to find the end zone and should make a solid WR2 this week.
 
Sit: Michael Crabtree, San Francisco 49ers. At 5–9, the 49ers aren’t finished in the NFC West. Not be a long shot. In fact, they’re in great shape. If they can get to 7–9, all they would need is a loss by Seattle and they’d be division champs. That’s the same as controlling your own destiny. The Seahawks stink. Have you seen their receivers? Just kidding. (Note: Much like on Sundays, you’ll find no mention of Michael Crabtree here.)
 
RankTight EndsTeamOppAverage
1Jason WittenDALat ARI88.5
2Vernon DavisSFat STL85
3Tony GonzalezATLNO79.5
4Chris CooleyWASat JAC77.5
5Marcedes LewisJACWAS75.5
6Aaron HernandezNEat BUF72.5
7Kevin BossNYGat GB70.5
8Jacob TammeINDat OAK69.9
9Kellen WinslowTBSEA69.75
10Ben WatsonCLEBAL69.5
11Rob GronkowskiNEat BUF65.5
12Visanthe ShiancoeMINat PHI65
13Brent CelekPHIMIN64.5
14Zach MillerOAKIND64.4
15Tony MoeakiKCTEN63.5
16Anthony FasanoMIADET61.5
17Jimmy GrahamNOat ATL61
18Owen DanielsHOUat DEN59.7
19Fred DavisWASat JAC59.5
20Jermaine GreshamCINSD59
21Brandon PettigrewDETat MIA58.5
22Dustin KellerNYJat CHI58
23Todd HeapBALat CLE56
T-23Greg OlsenCHINYJ56
T-23John CarlsonSEAat TB56
26Jeremy ShockeyNOat ATL54.9
27Daniel GrahamDENHOU48.5
28Andrew QuarlessGBNYG47.5
29Randy McMichaelSDat CIN47
30Daniel FellsSTLSF46

 
Start: Vernon Davis, San Francisco 49ers. It was only one week. It was the wrong week, but it was only one week.
 
Sit: Dustin Keller, New York Jets. The Jets have plenty of passing options, but they don’t throw the ball all that much. This makes it tough for any pass-catcher to be reliable on a week-to-week basis. Throw in a tough Chicago defense and Keller belongs on your bench.
 
RankTeam DefenseTeamOppAverage
1SteelersPITCAR91.5
2ChargersSDat CIN87
3JetsNYJat CHI86
4CowboysDALat ARI79.5
5GiantsNYGat GB78.5
6EaglesPHIMIN78
7RavensBALat CLE74
8ColtsINDat OAK72
T-8PatriotsNEat BUF72
10BearsCHINYJ71.5
T-10PackersGBNYG71.5
T-10TexansHOUat DEN71.5
1349ersSFat STL69.5
14ChiefsKCTEN69
15DolphinsMIADET68.5
16JaguarsJACWAS68
17FalconsATLNO67.5
T-17SaintsNOat ATL67.5
19LionsDETat MIA67
20CardinalsARIDAL66.5
T-20PanthersCARat PIT66.5
T-20BengalsCINSD66.5
T-20RamsSTLSF66.5
24BrownsCLEBAL65.5
25BuccaneersTBSEA64.5
26VikingsMINat PHI64
27TitansTENat KC62
28RedskinsWASat JAC61.5
29SeahawksSEAat TB60.5
30BroncosDENHOU59.5
31BillsBUFNE59
32RaidersOAKIND57.5

 
Start: New York Jets. I think the Jets will put their foot down on Sunday. They should be able to keep the Bears offense on its heels. Stopping Chicago would be quite a feat. Okay, that’s enough.
 
Sit: Atlanta Falcons. The Falcons are 12–2, indicating they must know something about defense. However, there are plenty of rookie quarterbacks starting this week and Atlanta isn’t facing any of them. They’re going up against Drew Brees and the Saints. Better match-ups are available.
 
RankKickersTeamOppAverage
1David AkersPHIMIN84
2Nate KaedingSDat CIN81.5
3Shayne GrahamNEat BUF80.5
4Jay FeelyARIDAL78
5Neil RackersHOUat DEN77.5
6David BuehlerDALat ARI77
7Steve HauschkaDENHOU74.5
T-7Sebastian JanikowskiOAKIND74.5
9Rob BironasTENat KC73.5
10Matt BryantATLNO72.5
T-10Mason CrosbyGBNYG72.5
T-10Garrett HartleyNOat ATL72.5
T-10Shaun SuishamPITCAR72.5
T-10Josh BrownSTLSF72.5
15Jeff ReedSFat STL71.5
16Robbie GouldCHINYJ70
T-16Dave RaynerDETat MIA70
18Adam VinatieriINDat OAK69
19Billy CundiffBALat CLE67
T-19Josh ScobeeJACWAS67
21Phil DawsonCLEBAL66.5
T-21Lawrence TynesNYGat GB66.5
23Ryan LongwellMINat PHI65.5
24Connor BarthTBSEA64.5
25Ryan SuccopKCTEN63.5
26Graham GanoWASat JAC63
27Nick FolkNYJat CHI62.5
28Dan CarpenterMIADET61
29John KasayCARat PIT60
T-29Clint StitserCINSD60
31Olindo MareSEAat TB59.5
32Rian LindellBUFNE57

 

 
Drew is a lifelong Jets fan. Playing and writing about fantasy football has proven helpful in easing the pain.
 
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8 Responses to “Week 16: Championship Week”

  1. bluueberri says:

    Should I start Mike Wallace over Jacob Tamme? I have a flex WR/TE slot that I was using Witten in, but moved Witten to my TE and now have this dilemma.

    ReplyReply
  2. PoOpSaNdWiCh says:

    yes… :D

    ReplyReply
  3. t2pac95 says:

    Hey guys, Merry Christmas. I got a question; should I start Lance Moore, Steve Breaston, or Danny Amendola; I can start 2 and its a PPR league.

    Thanx

    ReplyReply
  4. User avatar daullaz says:

    Moore is definitely your best option, and I’d go with Amendola for the other. He had seven catches last week — Breaston has seven receptions in his last three games combined.

    ReplyReply
  5. dslickrabbit says:

    Just found this site. Have two questions for two different leagues. Who to start, non – PPR, 2 rb’s, 3 wr’s ? A. Peterson, P. Hillis, M. Lynch, T. Choice, R. Torain, R. Jennings; (wr’s) – L. Moore, D. Bowe, M. Austin, J. Maclin, B. White; (te) Z. Miller, J, Tamme, J. Graham.

    League #2 – RB’s – J. Charles, D. McFadden, Knoshown, could pick up R. Jennings also; wr’s – D. Bowe, C. Johnson, B. Marshall, V. Jax, with option of picking up L. Fitz.

    Merry Christmas and Thanks for the suggestions

    ReplyReply
  6. User avatar daullaz says:

    I’d go Torain, Jennings, Austin, Maclin and Bowe with Tamme. Then Charles, McFadden, Jackson, Fitzgerald and C.Johnson.

    ReplyReply
  7. phelgoth says:

    I have a question for my championship matchup. I need to sit one of these guys: Fred Jackson, Ryan Torain, Miles Austin. I’m also playing Witten, and my opponent has Kitna going. Some additional info: I’m considering Brandon Lloyd, Michael Turner, and Brandon Marshal my ‘must plays’. Any advice on who I should sit?

    Thanks,

    ReplyReply
  8. jfb05 says:

    Quick question. Hope I’m posting this correctly; new to the site. Should I play Pierre Thomas or Marshawn Lynch? Should I play Marcedes Lewis or Jacob Tamme?

    Happy Holidays!

    ReplyReply

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