Welcome to Litz’s Weekly Winners. Each week, the Cafe’s resident gaming expert will post his prognostications for NFL games while taking into account the point spread. Week 2 was a rough week as Litz went 1-4. Time to bounce back. Check out his picks for Week 3!
The Best Bet of the week is …
BAL (-10.5) vs. CLE. The Browns started the last two seasons 0-3, and 2010 will be no different. While Baltimore has had difficulty getting its offense on track, they should be able to move the ball against Cleveland. Historical afterthoughts: The Ravens have won and covered the last four games against the Browns. In those games, the Ravens outscored the Browns 115-40.
TEN (+3) at NYG. Chris Johnson was bottled up against a strong Pittsburgh defense last week and Vince Young was benched. Both players should bounce back in Week 3, and the Titans defense should be able to pressure Eli Manning, given the Giants problems on the offensive line. Both teams are 1-1 Against the Spread (ATS) this year, but Tennessee has won and covered each of its last four games against the Giants. Look for the Titans to play a ball-control offense in a tightly played game.
IND (-5.5) at DEN. The Colts will be without Pierre Garcon tomorrow but have enough offensive weapons to put away the up-and-coming Denver Broncos, especially given the expected loss of Champ Bailey. Bailey missed Thursday’s practice and will be a game time decision. Kyle Orton and Demaryius Thomas established a solid connection last week, but the Broncos running game has been putrid (2.4 yards per carry), and their star running back, Knowshon Moreno will miss tomorrow’s game. Colts should win by a TD in a fairly high scoring game. Historical afterthoughts: The Colts beat the Broncos last year 28-16, covering the spread easily. They are 5-1 straight up and ATS in the last six against Denver.
Litz has been playing fantasy sports since the late 80s - back when it was all referred to as rotisserie and as commissioner, kept track of the leagues with a USA Today and a pencil. It's a passion of his during the NFL season. Thanks to the Fantasy Cafe for providing a forum for enthusiasts like us to get together. You can find Litz posting in the Cafe forums as joejlitz.
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