Start & SitSeptember 9, 2011


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Week 1: Are You Ready? - 15 comments

By R.J. White

Welcome back to the first full edition of the Cafe’s Start & Sit column in 2011! I’ve been joined by Calyxes, 204BC and murphysxm in ranking all fantasy relevant players this week. We posted the ratings for New Orleans and Green Bay players a day early to give you an idea of their fantasy worth, and in particular, the running backs were particularly hard to peg. In fact, we hesitated placing any of them as a start in this Week 1 matchup. Of course, that’s in the past now, and you’re only concerned with the future, so let’s get to the Starts and Sits for this week.

RankQuarterbacksTmOppAvg
1Michael VickPHIat STL90.00
2Tom BradyNEat MIA89.20
3Philip RiversSDvs. MIN88.20
4Matt SchaubHOUvs. IND78.20
5Ben RoethlisbergerPITat BAL73.40
6Matthew StaffordDETat TB71.90
7Matt RyanATLat CHI68.20
8Tony RomoDALat NYJ67.20
9Eli ManningNYGat WAS63.20
10Josh FreemanTBvs. DET61.80
11Kyle OrtonDENvs. OAK59.80
12Sam BradfordSTLvs. PHI59.00
13Jay CutlerCHIvs. ATL57.52
14Matt HasselbeckTENat JAC57.00
15Mark SanchezNYJvs. DAL56.40
16Kevin KolbARIvs. CAR56.20
17Joe FlaccoBALvs. PIT56.20
18Ryan FitzpatrickBUFat KC55.80
19Matt CasselKCvs. BUF54.90
20Colt McCoyCLEvs. CIN54.84
21Donovan McNabbMINat SD51.20
22Jason CampbellOAKat DEN49.40
23Alex SmithSFvs. SEA48.20
24Cam NewtonCARat ARI48.00
25Chad HenneMIAvs. NE47.10
26Rex GrossmanWASvs. NYG44.60
27Kerry CollinsINDat HOU40.60
28Luke McCownJACvs. TEN40.20
29Tarvaris JacksonSEAat SF34.60
30Andy DaltonCINat CLE30.00

Start: Matthew Stafford. Our raters are riding the Detroit bandwagon pretty hard right here, rating Stafford as a top-six guy this weekend over bigger names like Tony Romo and Matt Ryan. He’s coming off an outstanding preseason and looks ready to make the leap (as always, if healthy). With Aqib Talib at less than 100 percent, Stafford should have no problem getting the ball downfield to stud WR Calvin Johnson. Unless you have an elite QB, it’s hard to bench the Lion here. Looking for a Manning replacement? Try Matt Hasselbeck (see the WR section for comment).

Sit: Joe Flacco. The Baltimore QB obviously has a history of taking on the Steelers, and in six career games against Pittsburgh he has just six TDs while averaging 214 yards and completing 55 percent of his passes. Those aren’t numbers you want to see from your QB1, and while Baltimore made significant off-season moves to give Flacco weapons, this feels like a low-scoring contest, making Flacco an easy sit.

RankRunning BacksTmOppAvg
1Jamaal CharlesKCvs. BUF97.04
2Chris JohnsonTENat JAC94.40
3Adrian PetersonMINat SD89.72
4Darren McFaddenOAKat DEN89.70
5LeSean McCoyPHIat STL86.70
6Frank GoreSFvs. SEA85.18
7Peyton HillisCLEvs. CIN84.16
8Maurice Jones-DrewJACvs. TEN79.66
9Matt ForteCHIvs. ATL79.64
10Ray RiceBALvs. PIT77.88
11Steven JacksonSTLvs. PHI77.80
12Jahvid BestDETat TB77.40
13Arian FosterHOUvs. IND77.28
14DeAngelo WilliamsCARat ARI76.68
15LeGarrette BlountTBvs. DET76.42
16Michael TurnerATLat CHI75.40
17Rashard MendenhallPITat BAL73.24
18Beanie WellsARIvs. CAR73.04
19Ahmad BradshawNYGat WAS72.00
20Shonn GreeneNYJvs. DAL70.00
21Cedric BensonCINat CLE68.40
22Tim HightowerWASvs. NYG67.88
23Fred JacksonBUFat KC67.20
24Felix JonesDALat NYJ67.16
25Knowshon MorenoDENvs. OAK65.88
26Joseph AddaiINDat HOU65.16
27Michael BushOAKat DEN64.74
28Reggie BushMIAvs. NE64.04
29Ryan MathewsSDvs. MIN62.80
30Jonathan StewartCARat ARI62.76
31Thomas JonesKCvs. BUF60.60
32Brandon JacobsNYGat WAS60.08
33BenJarvus Green-EllisNEat MIA58.52
34Mike TolbertSDvs. MIN58.24
35Ben TateHOUvs. IND55.64
36Marshawn LynchSEAat SF55.62
37Derrick WardHOUvs. IND53.68
38Willis McGaheeDENvs. OAK53.08
39Danny WoodheadNEat MIA51.32
40Montario HardestyCLEvs. CIN50.24
41LaDainian TomlinsonNYJvs. DAL50.16
42Ronnie BrownPHIat STL50.14
43Jerome HarrisonDETat TB48.92
44C.J. SpillerBUFat KC46.40
45Cadillac WilliamsSTLvs. PHI46.00
46Delone CarterINDat HOU45.32
47Toby GerhartMINat SD42.60
48Earnest GrahamTBvs. DET42.34
49Roy HeluWASvs. NYG41.68
50Kendall HunterSFvs. SEA40.76
51Leon WashingtonSEAat SF38.36
52Justin ForsettSEAat SF37.40
53Marion BarberCHIvs. ATL36.96
54Maurice MorrisDETat TB36.92
55Daniel ThomasMIAvs. NE35.81
56Deji KarimJACvs. TEN34.46
57Jason SnellingATLat CHI33.60
58Bernard ScottCINat CLE33.60
59LaRod Stephens-HowlingARIvs. CAR33.20
60Jamie HarperTENat JAC32.00
61Joe McKnightNYJvs. DAL31.60
62Isaac RedmanPITat BAL31.36
63Tashard ChoiceDALat NYJ31.12
64Ryan TorainWASvs. NYG26.52
65Javon RingerTENat JAC24.60
66DeMarco MurrayDALat NYJ24.36
67Anthony DixonSFvs. SEA18.00

Start: Beanie Wells. While the Cardinals picked up Chester Taylor after the final preseason cuts, he’s no threat to make an impact in this game. Unless you think Arizona is ready to give significant carries to LaRod Stephens-Howling, that puts Wells in line for 25-plus touches in a game Arizona is expected to win. He has the potential to lead the league in rushing in Week 1 because of the expected heavy workload, which means you want him in your lineup.

Sit: Knowshon Moreno. The presence of John Fox should in theory help Moreno’s fantasy value, but there’s nothing stopping the new coach from leaning on the bigger Willis McGahee in this game. Moreno doesn’t have a history of success against the Raiders, averaging 3.3 yards/carry and 47.5 yards/game in four career matchups, adding just 19.3 yards/game through the air on a total of seven catches. It’s enough to make you take a wait-and-see approach with Moreno.

RankWide ReceiversTmOppAvg
1Andre JohnsonHOUvs. IND95.96
2Larry FitzgeraldARIvs. CAR92.40
3Calvin JohnsonDETat TB92.20
4Roddy WhiteATLat CHI88.84
5Hakeem NicksNYGat WAS85.36
6Dwayne BoweKCvs. BUF82.88
7DeSean JacksonPHIat STL81.58
8Vincent JacksonSDvs. MIN80.80
9Mike WallacePITat BAL80.80
10Mike WilliamsTBvs. DET78.24
11Brandon LloydDENvs. OAK77.74
12Santonio HolmesNYJvs. DAL77.02
13Reggie WayneINDat HOU75.80
14Kenny BrittTENat JAC75.68
15Wes WelkerNEat MIA75.52
16Steve JohnsonBUFat KC74.96
17Brandon MarshallMIAvs. NE74.24
18Mario ManninghamNYGat WAS74.24
19Santana MossWASvs. NYG74.16
20Jeremy MaclinPHIat STL73.02
21Percy HarvinMINat SD73.00
22Dez BryantDALat NYJ69.68
23A.J. GreenCINat CLE67.28
24Anquan BoldinBALvs. PIT66.20
25Steve SmithCARat ARI65.56
26Miles AustinDALat NYJ64.08
27Chad OchocincoNEat MIA62.80
28Jacoby FordOAKat DEN62.68
29Michael CrabtreeSFvs. SEA62.44
30Braylon EdwardsSFvs. SEA61.96
31Nate BurlesonDETat TB61.80
32Austin CollieINDat HOU61.80
33Mike ThomasJACvs. TEN60.72
34Kevin WalterHOUvs. IND58.44
35Danny AmendolaSTLvs. PHI58.16
36Malcom FloydSDvs. MIN57.68
37Julio JonesATLat CHI57.64
38Deion BranchNEat MIA55.92
39Nate WashingtonTENat JAC54.80
40Pierre GarconINDat HOU54.60
41Mohamed MassaquoiCLEvs. CIN54.16
42Mike Sims-WalkerSTLvs. PHI53.20
43Jason AvantPHIat STL53.02
44Plaxico BurressNYJvs. DAL52.62
45Hines WardPITat BAL52.56
46Greg LittleCLEvs. CIN52.40
47Johnny KnoxCHIvs. ATL52.28
48Derrick MasonNYJvs. DAL52.28
49Davone BessMIAvs. NE52.24
50Arrelious BennTBvs. DET52.24
51Mike WilliamsSEAat SF51.90
52Eddie RoyalDENvs. OAK51.34
53Jabar GaffneyWASvs. NYG50.96
54Lee EvansBALvs. PIT47.64
55Emmanuel SandersPITat BAL47.48
56Darrius Heyward-BayOAKat DEN47.16
57Roy WilliamsCHIvs. ATL44.44
58Anthony ArmstrongWASvs. NYG44.44
59Steve BreastonKCvs. BUF44.16
60Dezmon BriscoeTBvs. DET43.64
61Jerome SimpsonCINat CLE43.04
62Brandon GibsonSTLvs. PHI42.80
63Jacoby JonesHOUvs. IND42.60
64Denarius MooreOAKat DEN42.16
65Jordan ShipleyCINat CLE41.04
66Sidney RiceSEAat SF40.64
67Earl BennettCHIvs. ATL38.52
68Devin HesterCHIvs. ATL38.44
69Josh MorganSFvs. SEA38.16
70Bernard BerrianMINat SD36.68
71Harry DouglasATLat CHI35.88
72Legedu NaaneeCARat ARI32.00
73Andre RobertsARIvs. CAR31.64
74Early DoucetARIvs. CAR31.48
75Ben ObomanuSEAat SF30.24
76Victor CruzNYGat WAS30.16
77Jerheme UrbanKCvs. BUF24.32
78Donald JonesBUFat KC23.20
79Brian HartlineMIAvs. NE23.04
80Damian WilliamsTENat JAC22.96
81Roscoe ParrishBUFat KC21.20
82Eric DeckerDENvs. OAK20.66

Start: Kenny Britt. Britt managed to avoid suspension after an eventful lockout, and he should start the season with a bang in this juicy matchup. The Jaguars gave up 250 passing yards/game and 28 TDs last season, and with Chris Johnson in the fold for Week 1 and the Jaguars’ likely commitment to stopping him, Britt and Jared Cook could have a huge game. One final note: Matt Hasselbeck’s best regular-season performance in the last three years came against Jacksonville, and oh by the way, he’s coming off a huge postseason. I love both these guys this weekend.

Sit: Miles Austin. Austin is easily the big-name WR with the worst shot at fantasy nirvana this week. For starters, he’s been limited this week with a hamstring injury and figures to be nowhere near 100 percent on Sunday. Then you factor in Darrelle Revis, the league’s best cornerback, squaring off opposite him on most snaps. Third, Austin hasn’t played up to his ability in night games. Over the last three years, he’s averaged 80 yards/game with 15 TDs in 23 day games and just 58 yards/game with three TDs in nine night games. The warning signs abound: stay away.

RankTight EndsTmOppAvg
1Antonio GatesSDvs. MIN91.92
2Vernon DavisSFvs. SEA87.60
3Owen DanielsHOUvs. IND82.60
4Dallas ClarkINDat HOU82.20
5Jason WittenDALat NYJ80.40
6Rob GronkowskiNEat MIA72.70
7Kellen WinslowTBvs. DET70.00
8Aaron HernandezNEat MIA66.30
9Chris CooleyWASvs. NYG64.40
10Zach MillerSEAat SF62.00
11Brandon PettigrewDETat TB61.20
12Brent CelekPHIat STL60.80
13Todd HeapARIvs. CAR60.60
14Dustin KellerNYJvs. DAL58.80
15Marcedes LewisJACvs. TEN57.80
16Jared CookTENat JAC57.20
17Jermaine GreshamCINat CLE57.00
18Greg OlsenCARat ARI56.00
19Tony GonzalezATLat CHI55.80
20Lance KendricksSTLvs. PHI54.40
21Kevin BossOAKat DEN53.80
22Visanthe ShiancoeMINat SD51.60
23Ben WatsonCLEvs. CIN48.60
24Fred DavisWASvs. NYG47.00
25Heath MillerPITat BAL43.20
26Evan MooreCLEvs. CIN43.00
27Jeremy ShockeyCARat ARI41.20
28Anthony FasanoMIAvs. NE39.80
29Leonard PopeKCvs. BUF38.60
30Tony SchefflerDETat TB35.44

Start: Todd Heap. Since most teams don’t carry a backup TE/K/DF in fantasy, we’ll focus on starts from here on out. Heap has a dream matchup, facing a Panthers team that returned all their key pieces from last year. Why is that important? They finished last in the league in DVOA against tight ends last season. Kevin Kolb needs a reliable No. 2 receiver in this offense, and that’s poised to be Heap this week.

RankKickersTmOppAvg
1Neil RackersHOUvs. IND79.27
2Nate KaedingSDvs. MIN78.00
3Sebastian JanikowskiOAKat DEN75.07
4Adam VinatieriINDat HOU70.73
5Jay FeelyARIvs. CAR70.67
6Stephen GostkowskiNEat MIA70.40
7Lawrence TynesNYGat WAS69.30
8Rob BironasTENat JAC66.60
9Josh BrownSTLvs. PHI66.20
10David AkersSFvs. SEA66.00
11Jason HansonDETat TB65.33
12Nick FolkNYJvs. DAL64.27
13Matt BryantATLat CHI64.00
14Matt PraterDENvs. OAK62.87
15Alex HeneryPHIat STL61.87
16Ryan SuccopKCvs. BUF61.73
17Phil DawsonCLEvs. CIN60.00
18Josh ScobeeJACvs. TEN58.47
19Rian LindellBUFat KC58.00
20Billy CundiffBALvs. PIT57.53
21Olindo MareCARat ARI57.47
22Robbie GouldCHIvs. ATL57.13
23Connor BarthTBvs. DET56.73
24Ryan LongwellMINat SD56.33
25Dan CarpenterMIAvs. NE54.87
26Mike NugentCINat CLE54.33
27Shaun SuishamPITat BAL52.13
28Graham GanoWASvs. NYG51.00
29Steven HauschkaSEAat SF50.30
30Dan BaileyDALat NYJ49.27

Start: Jay Feely. Of course, there’s no guarantee the Cardinals and Kevin Kolb can get the ball in the end zone yet, which could mean a big point total for their kicker.

RankTeam DefenseTmOppAvg
1Philadelphia EaglesPHIat STL72.94
2Arizona CardinalsARIvs. CAR68.26
3Pittsburgh SteelersPITat BAL67.40
4New York JetsNYJvs. DAL66.92
5Atlanta FalconsATLat CHI64.36
6New England PatriotsNEat MIA64.10
7San Francisco 49ersSFvs. SEA63.90
8Tennessee TitansTENat JAC62.34
9New York GiantsNYGat WAS61.60
10Detroit LionsDETat TB61.30
11Oakland RaidersOAKat DEN60.38
12Cleveland BrownsCLEvs. CIN59.80
13Baltimore RavensBALvs. PIT58.80
14Houston TexansHOUvs. IND57.04
15Kansas City ChiefsKCvs. BUF56.42
16Dallas CowboysDALat NYJ55.20
17San Diego ChargersSDvs. MIN54.70
18Seattle SeahawksSEAat SF54.02
19Denver BroncosDENvs. OAK54.00
20Tampa Bay BuccaneersTBvs. DET53.62
21Carolina PanthersCARat ARI50.38
22Jacksonville JaguarsJACvs. TEN48.90
23Chicago BearsCHIvs. ATL48.72
24Cincinnati BengalsCINat CLE46.66
25Buffalo BillsBUFat KC45.10
26Washington RedskinsWASvs. NYG44.36
27Minnesota VikingsMINat SD42.08
28St. Louis RamsSTLvs. PHI40.24
29Miami DolphinsMIAvs. NE36.96
30Indianapolis ColtsINDat HOU36.08

Start: Arizona Cardinals. Let’s make it a clean sweep for the Cardinals in the bottom half of the article. How can you not love defenses facing rookie QBs in their first road starts? I personally have the Cleveland defense in several leagues, but the Cardinals look like a sweet pick as well.

 
R.J. White is the head editor at the Cafe, writes for FanDuel and Razzball and has previously written for FanHouse. Catch up with him in the forums under the name daullaz. Follow him on Twitter; don't follow him in real life.
 
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15 Responses to “Week 1: Are You Ready?”

  1. User avatar smokerfolife says:

    So your Sayin to play Fred jackson or Michael bush over miles Austin? Only because of the so called “revis island” Hmmmm. Now I’m undecided

    ReplyReply
  2. User avatar DraftDodger says:

    Thanks for the rankings! Friday seems like “last minute” for someone hungry for the info, but the Cafe rankings are always worth the wait.

    I think Houston’s defense will do better than ranked, but I understand you guys putting it where you did. Given the situation, they could be a top 5 defense this week.

    ReplyReply
  3. Hippo45 says:

    I can’t believe Seahawks defense is ranked so low. They are my plug’n'play defense of the week. The 49ers offensive line is looked terrible in preseason and I think the Seahawks will wreak some havoc.

    Also, I think Lance Kendricks is rated way to low this week. Eagles defense allowed the most points to the tight end position last year.

    Everything else looks pretty good.

    ReplyReply
  4. I find it unusual that Jimmy Graham wasn’t even mentioned in the list of TE’s. He’s not truly tested, but he does have the Brees cannon feeding him. I started him last night and he outscored Jermichael Finley.

    ReplyReply
  5. msipos says:

    No Saints or Packers rated since game was last night Noah….I wonder if you have Collins too low….Indy will be throwing all day to catch up to Houston…..Eli may be too high as Giants will run the ball and Wash wont score

    ReplyReply
  6. Hello, I need help. I have Percy Harvin and Mike Williams SEA. I am debating on starting M. Williams based on S. Rice injury and San Fran Def. and sitting P. Harvin based on San Diego Def. Please help me decide the best option.

    ReplyReply
  7. User avatar daullaz says:

    I would prefer Harvin if it were my team. I understand your reasoning, but I don’t have a lot of confidence in Tarvaris Jackson to get Williams many catchable targets. Harvin should wind up with more touches, and as a better playmaker, he has the better shot at a big performance anyway.

    ReplyReply
  8. jzayas22 says:

    Who should I start at my flex postion having trouble picking between Stevie Johnson, Aaron Hernandez, or Brandon Jacobs.

    ReplyReply
  9. jzayas22 says:

    And its a PPR League

    ReplyReply
  10. @daullaz: Thanks for the input. I really appreciate it.

    ReplyReply
  11. User avatar daullaz says:

    @jzayas22: In a PPR, I think you gotta go Johnson.

    ReplyReply
  12. User avatar daullaz says:

    Anyone that posts questions for the rest of the morning, it’s better to find me here: http://www.fanduel.com/insider/2011/09/11/fantasy-football-chat-week-1/

    ReplyReply
  13. dallass55 says:

    Miles austin or Julio Jones? Jahvid Best or Felix Jones?

    ReplyReply
  14. User avatar menyak says:

    Congratulations for posting the best WR rankings on the Net – well done!

    http://fantasyfootballcrystalball.com/twiff/216/week1-2011/accuracy-challenge-week-1-fantasy-footall-cafe-catches-wr-category-win/

    ReplyReply
  15. User avatar daullaz says:

    Hooray!

    ReplyReply

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