Start & SitOctober 21, 2011


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Week 7: Transactions Aplenty in the NFL - 9 comments

By R.J. White

The Raiders have a new quarterback, the Rams have a new No. 1 receiver, the Jaguars have their old No. 1 receiver and the Lions thought they had a new fill-in running back before it was discovered the old backup running back had a brain tumor. After a crazy week of NFL transactions, it’s time to get ready for some football. Are you ready? The Cafe Start/Sit for Week 7 is below.

Thanks to c0megets0me and tclangham for joining me in ranking this week.

RankQuarterbacksTeamOpponentAverage
1Aaron RodgersGBat MIN93.75
2Drew BreesNOvs. IND91.25
3Matthew StaffordDETvs. ATL87.25
4Tony RomoDALvs. STL86.00
5Cam NewtonCARvs. WAS78.75
6Ben RoethlisbergerPITat ARI77.50
7Tim TebowDENat MIA76.75
8Matt SchaubHOUat TEN75.50
9Philip RiversSDat NYJ74.50
10Josh FreemanTBvs. CHI69.00
11Matt HasselbeckTENvs. HOU66.00
12Joe FlaccoBALat JAC65.00
13Matt RyanATLat DET63.50
14Jay CutlerCHIat TB62.75
15Matt CasselKCat OAK62.00
16Mark SanchezNYJvs. SD60.00
17Colt McCoyCLEvs. SEA59.50
18Carson PalmerOAKvs. KC57.00
19Curtis PainterINDat NO53.25
20Matt MooreMIAvs. DEN51.75
21John BeckWASat CAR51.50
22Sam BradfordSTLat DAL50.85
23Kevin KolbARIvs. PIT49.25
24Christian PonderMINvs. GB48.25
25Charlie WhitehurstSEAat CLE47.00
26Blaine GabbertJACvs. BAL41.00
27A.J. FeeleySTLat DAL27.00
28Kyle BollerOAKvs. KC26.00
29Tarvaris JacksonSEAat CLE23.50

Start: Tim Tebow. He gives fantasy owners an exciting mix of ground game potential to go along with his mediocre arm. You may trash him as an NFL quarterback, but if he averages just 40 yards and a rushing TD each week (and his numbers to date say that’s totally possible), he’s adding a double-digit number to his passing total every week. He’s locked in as a QB1 even without Brandon Lloyd and Josh McDaniels around.

Sit: Kevin Kolb. The Arizona quarterback hasn’t looked anything like a franchise QB in his first few games with Arizona, and now he’s facing what has been the toughest defense for fantasy quarterbacks in the league. The Steelers are sure to take Larry Fitzgerald out of this game for the most part, and unless Early Doucet plays out of his mind, Kolb isn’t going to have anywhere to go with the ball. Look elsewhere for a fill-in QB this week.

RankRunning BacksTeamOpponentAverage
1Darren McFaddenOAKvs. KC95.25
2Arian FosterHOUat TEN89.75
3Ray RiceBALat JAC89.75
4Matt ForteCHIat TB86.75
5Adrian PetersonMINvs. GB86.25
6Ryan MathewsSDat NYJ85.75
7Chris JohnsonTENvs. HOU80.00
8Beanie WellsARIvs. PIT79.00
9Michael TurnerATLat DET78.50
10Rashard MendenhallPITat ARI77.00
11Darren SprolesNOvs. IND75.75
12Maurice Jones-DrewJACvs. BAL74.25
13Ryan TorainWASat CAR73.75
14Earnest GrahamTBvs. CHI70.75
15Steven JacksonSTLat DAL70.75
16Jackie BattleKCat OAK69.25
17Daniel ThomasMIAvs. DEN69.25
18Montario HardestyCLEvs. SEA68.00
19Marshawn LynchSEAat CLE67.50
20Willis McGaheeDENat MIA66.75
21DeMarco MurrayDALvs. STL66.25
22Maurice MorrisDETvs. ATL64.25
23James StarksGBat MIN62.50
24Mark IngramNOvs. IND61.00
25Mike TolbertSDat NYJ59.75
26Jonathan StewartCARvs. WAS58.25
27Tashard ChoiceDALvs. STL58.25
28DeAngelo WilliamsCARvs. WAS58.25
29Michael BushOAKvs. KC57.75
30Shonn GreeneNYJvs. SD56.75
31Ryan GrantGBat MIN56.25
32Tim HightowerWASat CAR55.25
33Roy HeluWASat CAR54.25
34LaDainian TomlinsonNYJvs. SD51.00
35Dexter McClusterKCat OAK50.50
36Reggie BushMIAvs. DEN50.50
37Isaac RedmanPITat ARI50.25
38Delone CarterINDat NO50.00
39Ben TateHOUat TEN50.00
40Donald BrownINDat NO48.00
41Knowshon MorenoDENat MIA38.75
42Peyton HillisCLEvs. SEA37.25
43Keiland WilliamsDETvs. ATL36.50
44Marion BarberCHIat TB30.50
45Pierre ThomasNOvs. IND29.85
46Ricky WilliamsBALat JAC25.00
47Thomas JonesKCat OAK22.38
48Deji KarimJACvs. BAL16.00

Start: Ryan Torain. The on-again-off-again back blew a big chance to cement his RB1 status when he came up short against the Eagles, but I think the Redskins are willing to chalk that up as a bad week overall and not pin any shortcomings on Torain in particular. He gets another chance to rough up an easy rushing defense this week when he faces the Panthers, and I expect him to take advantage of it this time around.

Sit: Peyton Hillis. Our rating here assumes he has a worse than average chance of playing this week, but even if he does go, I would expect his snaps to be extremely limited while he deals with an injury. In fact, even if active there seems no reason for the Browns to give him more carries than Montario Hardesty, who has been prepping for the starting role in practice this week. With the big bye it’s tough to sit a top RB, but I think you have to with Hillis.

RankWide ReceiversTeamOpponentAverage
1Calvin JohnsonDETvs. ATL93.50
2Mike WallacePITat ARI92.50
3Miles AustinDALvs. STL92.00
4Greg JenningsGBat MIN87.75
5Dez BryantDALvs. STL86.00
6Steve SmithCARvs. WAS82.25
7Dwayne BoweKCat OAK80.75
8Roddy WhiteATLat DET78.00
9Larry FitzgeraldARIvs. PIT78.00
10Pierre GarconINDat NO73.25
11Vincent JacksonSDat NYJ72.75
12Percy HarvinMINvs. GB70.50
13Nate WashingtonTENvs. HOU70.25
14Marques ColstonNOvs. IND69.25
15Brandon MarshallMIAvs. DEN68.00
16Anquan BoldinBALat JAC66.75
17Eric DeckerDENat MIA65.75
18Santana MossWASat CAR65.50
19Jordy NelsonGBat MIN64.50
20Darrius Heyward-BayOAKvs. KC64.50
21Santonio HolmesNYJvs. SD63.25
22Reggie WayneINDat NO62.50
23Brandon LloydSTLat DAL61.50
24Mike WilliamsTBvs. CHI60.75
25Greg LittleCLEvs. SEA60.00
26Devin HesterCHIat TB59.25
27Antonio BrownPITat ARI58.00
28Sidney RiceSEAat CLE57.75
29Hines WardPITat ARI55.00
30Kevin WalterHOUat TEN54.75
31Mohamed MassaquoiCLEvs. SEA54.50
32Early DoucetARIvs. PIT54.25
33Nate BurlesonDETvs. ATL53.25
34Mike ThomasJACvs. BAL52.25
35Johnny KnoxCHIat TB50.25
36Damian WilliamsTENvs. HOU49.25
37Danario AlexanderSTLat DAL49.00
38James JonesGBat MIN49.00
39Steve BreastonKCat OAK48.75
40Torrey SmithBALat JAC48.25
41Lance MooreNOvs. IND48.25
42Jacoby JonesHOUat TEN47.50
43Denarius MooreOAKvs. KC47.25
44Greg SalasSTLat DAL47.00
45Doug BaldwinSEAat CLE46.50
46Robert MeachemNOvs. IND46.00
47Dane SanzenbacherCHIat TB45.75
48Jacoby FordOAKvs. KC44.75
49Josh CribbsCLEvs. SEA44.00
50Eddie RoyalDENat MIA43.50
51Jabar GaffneyWASat CAR43.50
52Emmanuel SandersPITat ARI43.00
53Malcom FloydSDat NYJ42.00
54Arrelious BennTBvs. CHI41.75
55Laurent RobinsonDALvs. STL41.25
56Plaxico BurressNYJvs. SD40.50
57Harry DouglasATLat DET40.25
58Michael JenkinsMINvs. GB40.25
59Demaryius ThomasDENat MIA40.00
60Donald DriverGBat MIN39.00
61Preston ParkerTBvs. CHI38.50
62Mike WilliamsSEAat CLE36.75
63Davone BessMIAvs. DEN36.50
64Legedu NaaneeCARvs. WAS36.00
65Brian HartlineMIAvs. DEN35.50
66Randall CobbGBat MIN34.50
67Titus YoungDETvs. ATL34.25
68Roy WilliamsCHIat TB33.00
69Bernard BerrianMINvs. GB31.25
70Devery HendersonNOvs. IND31.25
71Austin CollieINDat NO30.25
72Ben ObomanuSEAat CLE29.50
73Anthony ArmstrongWASat CAR28.50
74Derrick MasonHOUat TEN28.00
75Sammie StroughterTBvs. CHI27.75

Start: Eric Decker. The ascension of Tim Tebow to QB1 logically sinks the value of the rest of the Bronco passing game, as Tebow is more likely to run the ball into the end zone than any other quarterback. However, there’s still a lot to like about Eric Decker. He’s proven to be a goal-line weapon already this year, and while defenses key on stopping Tebow on the ground, that could leave the new Denver WR1 with favorable matchups. He’s a lock for at least one TD this week.

Sit: Lance Moore. Moore was plenty valuable early in the season when Marques Colston was out and Jimmy Graham wasn’t on fire. However, neither of those are the case right now, and when you consider how many targets Darren Sproles gets out of the backfield, that makes Moore no better than fourth on the team in the passing game. He’s worth holding as a Colston handcuff, but you shouldn’t be starting him right now.

RankTight EndsTeamOpponentAverage
1Jimmy GrahamNOvs. IND89.75
2Jason WittenDALvs. STL83.50
3Tony GonzalezATLat DET83.00
4Jermichael FinleyGBat MIN82.00
5Owen DanielsHOUat TEN80.50
6Brandon PettigrewDETvs. ATL76.00
7Fred DavisWASat CAR74.50
8Kellen WinslowTBvs. CHI72.25
9Greg OlsenCARvs. WAS72.25
10Dustin KellerNYJvs. SD70.50
11Antonio GatesSDat NYJ65.50
12Ed DicksonBALat JAC61.75
13Dallas ClarkINDat NO60.75
14Ben WatsonCLEvs. SEA58.75
15Kevin BossOAKvs. KC57.50
16Jared CookTENvs. HOU57.50
17Heath MillerPITat ARI55.50
18Jeremy ShockeyCARvs. WAS53.25
19Visanthe ShiancoeMINvs. GB50.50
20Evan MooreCLEvs. SEA48.75
21Todd HeapARIvs. PIT46.75
22Lance KendricksSTLat DAL44.50
23Anthony FasanoMIAvs. DEN43.00
24Daniel FellsDENat MIA39.75
25Marcedes LewisJACvs. BAL38.50

Start: Fred Davis. Davis exploded on to the fantasy scene in his first two games of 2011, and now that Chris Cooley is dealing with an injury, Davis should see all the targets from the TE position. John Beck figures to look to Davis frequently in his first start as someone that can move the chains, so do be surprised if the Washington TE winds up with 10-plus catches.

Sit: Dallas Clark. It’s pretty sad when Clark can’t crack our top 12 on a week with six bye teams, but such is life for him in 2011. He’s been thoroughly outplayed by the other elite talents at his position thanks to the Colts’ weakness at QB this year, and he’s essentially off the fantasy radar and even worthy of being dropped in some formats.

RankKickersTeamOpponentAverage
1Sebastian JanikowskiOAKvs. KC84.25
2Jason HansonDETvs. ATL79.50
3Neil RackersHOUat TEN76.00
4John KasayNOvs. IND75.75
5Billy CundiffBALat JAC72.00
6Mason CrosbyGBat MIN72.00
7Dan CarpenterMIAvs. DEN71.25
8Dan BaileyDALvs. STL70.50
9Robbie GouldCHIat TB67.00
10Nick FolkNYJvs. SD64.75
11Nick NovakSDat NYJ63.00
12Ryan LongwellMINvs. GB62.25
13Graham GanoWASat CAR61.00
14Rob BironasTENvs. HOU60.75
15Adam VinatieriINDat NO60.00
16Matt BryantATLat DET58.75
17Phil DawsonCLEvs. SEA57.75
18Josh BrownSTLat DAL56.25
19Shaun SuishamPITat ARI54.25
20Steven HauschkaSEAat CLE54.00
21Connor BarthTBvs. CHI54.00
22Olindo MareCARvs. WAS53.50
23Matt PraterDENat MIA53.25
24Ryan SuccopKCat OAK52.50
25Josh ScobeeJACvs. BAL51.25
26Jay FeelyARIvs. PIT49.00

Start: Nick Novak. He’s coming off a bye so there’s a chance he’s available in your league, and his fantasy total is lower than it should be due to him not joining the Chargers till Week 2. Still, he’s been excellent this year and makes for a great K1 the rest of the way.

Sit: Matt Prater. A fantasy find last year, Prater’s upside has been capped this year by Denver’s terrible defense. He’s making just one field goal and two extra points per game, numbers that rank him near the bottom of the league. Don’t count on him until he gives you a reason to do so.

RankTeam DefenseTeamOpponentAverage
1Baltimore RavensBALat JAC85.00
2Pittsburgh SteelersPITat ARI72.13
3New York JetsNYJvs. SD70.25
4Dallas CowboysDALvs. STL68.50
5Cleveland BrownsCLEvs. SEA66.75
6Detroit LionsDETvs. ATL66.60
7Denver BroncosDENat MIA66.00
8Washington RedskinsWASat CAR62.75
9Green Bay PackersGBat MIN62.25
10San Diego ChargersSDat NYJ61.13
11New Orleans SaintsNOvs. IND61.03
12Tampa Bay BuccaneersTBvs. CHI60.88
13Seattle SeahawksSEAat CLE58.43
14Chicago BearsCHIat TB57.13
15Jacksonville JaguarsJACvs. BAL55.38
16Oakland RaidersOAKvs. KC55.23
17St. Louis RamsSTLat DAL54.85
18Tennessee TitansTENvs. HOU54.25
19Arizona CardinalsARIvs. PIT52.53
20Atlanta FalconsATLat DET52.50
21Houston TexansHOUat TEN52.00
22Carolina PanthersCARvs. WAS50.75
23Miami DolphinsMIAvs. DEN48.50
24Kansas City ChiefsKCat OAK48.18
25Indianapolis ColtsINDat NO46.70
26Minnesota VikingsMINvs. GB45.45

Start: Cleveland Browns. The Seahawks are giving up four sacks per game, making them one of the best matchups for fantasy defenses in 2011 so far. The Browns aren’t a particularly good fantasy bet right now, struggling despite a pretty easy schedule, but the matchup makes them a solid play as a fill-in.

Sit: Houston Texans. This group just isn’t the same without Mario Williams, and the quality play of the Tennessee defense makes them one of the worst matchups in the league for scoring fantasy points. Use your head and go with a better matchup this week, leaving the Texans to languish on the wire.

 
R.J. White is the head editor at the Cafe, writes for FanDuel and Razzball and has previously written for FanHouse. Catch up with him in the forums under the name daullaz. Follow him on Twitter; don't follow him in real life.
 
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9 Responses to “Week 7: Transactions Aplenty in the NFL”

  1. Youngsir620 says:

    Who should I start as my RB2 Maurice Morris, Tim Hightower, Jonathan Stewart, or Demarco Murray?

    ReplyReply
  2. User avatar joejlitz says:

    BAL defense scares me so I am sitting MJD this week for Jackie Battle. Other than that, I wonder how long before Roddy White works his way out of a perpetual top-10 ranking? I hope it doesn’t happen, because I have him on my team, too. I love where you have Nate Washington. HOU’s defense has been porous to WR1s.

    ReplyReply
  3. McGahee at 20 is way to low IMO. But thats why its my opinion i guess. Great work as always guys.

    ReplyReply
  4. User avatar daullaz says:

    @Youngsir620: I’d go with Murray/

    ReplyReply
  5. User avatar DraftDodger says:

    If you think the Steelers are going to take Fitz out of the game, why do you have him ranked #9, which is a WR1?

    ReplyReply
  6. User avatar daullaz says:

    @DraftDodger: Because (a) it’s an average of several ratings (not just mine), and (b) I’m still not benching Fitzgerald in any matchup, because he shouldn’t be benched in any matchup. Not feeling good about his prospects this week though.

    Also, it’s a pretty sparse week — all you have to do is look at the 11-20 WRs to realize that. I’d hate starting Antonio Brown, Massaquoi, Mike Thomas, etc., but those guys are WR3s this week.

    ReplyReply
  7. User avatar Rene Obaya says:

    santana moss, even though the whole quarterback controversy

    ReplyReply
  8. Hino07 says:

    Who should I start as a flex? Daniel Thomas, Pierre Garcon, Percy Harvin, Jackie Battle, or DeMarco Murray??

    ReplyReply
  9. User avatar daullaz says:

    @Hino07: I’d go with Battle or Garcon there, and I’m leaning Battle.

    ReplyReply

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