Start & SitDecember 21, 2011


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Week 16: Championship Conundrums - 4 comments

By R.J. White

Welcome to Week 16, and your fantasy football championship. We’re dealing with an odd schedule this week — one game Thursday, Sunday and Monday, with the rest on Saturday — so we’re posting our rankings even earlier than usual. Be sure to monitor injury reports on your players leading up to game-time, as you don’t want to be holding a zero on the most crucial week of the season. I’m starting Matt Moore over Ben Roethlisberger in one of my title games without question, for example (and yes, Moore’s Patriot matchup helps a great deal).

RankQuarterbacksTeamOpponentScore
1Drew BreesNOvs. ATL99
2Tom BradyNEvs. MIA95
3Cam NewtonCARvs. TB93
4Aaron RodgersGBvs. CHI92
5Matt RyanATLat NO86
6Matthew StaffordDETvs. SD82
7Philip RiversSDat DET80
8Tim TebowDENat BUF77
9Tony RomoDALvs. PHI76
10Michael VickPHIat DAL74
11Eli ManningNYGat NYJ71
12Rex GrossmanWASvs. MIN64
13Matt MooreMIAat NE64
14Carson PalmerOAKat KC60
15T.J. YatesHOUat IND56
16Mark SanchezNYJvs. NYG55
17Ryan FitzpatrickBUFvs. DEN54
18Kyle OrtonKCvs. OAK54
19Josh FreemanTBat CAR46
20Alex SmithSFat SEA44
21Christian PonderMINat WAS42
22Joe FlaccoBALvs. CLE41
23Andy DaltonCINvs. ARI40
24Charlie BatchPITvs. STL39
25Tarvaris JacksonSEAvs. SF37
26Kellen ClemensSTLat PIT35
27John SkeltonARIat CIN33
28Matt HasselbeckTENvs. JAC33
29Blaine GabbertJACat TEN25
30Dan OrlovskyINDvs. HOU22
31Josh McCownCHIat GB22
32Seneca WallaceCLEat BAL17

Start: Rex Grossman. The Vikings pass defense has been completely horrendous, and a banged up Roy Helu could lead the Redskins to pass more this week. Grossman will likely be auditioning for a starting job in the NFL with this start, so he should be giving 100 percent in a week where some players may be looking toward the offseason. If you don’t have one of the big names, he’s your best bet.

Sit: Joe Flacco. He’s very hit or miss, and the Ravens should coast to a victory over the Browns with their great running back, leaving Flacco to attempt a small number of passes. He should struggle to top 200 yards as the Ravens stop throwing in the second half. You can do much better with some of the scraps hanging around on the wire.

RankRunning BacksTeamOpponentScore
1Maurice Jones-DrewJACat TEN98
2Ray RiceBALvs. CLE97
3Arian FosterHOUat IND97
4LeSean McCoyPHIat DAL90
5Reggie BushMIAat NE80
6Michael BushOAKat KC79
7Marshawn LynchSEAvs. SF77
8Chris JohnsonTENvs. JAC77
9Adrian PetersonMINat WAS77
10Shonn GreeneNYJvs. NYG74
11Rashard MendenhallPITvs. STL74
12Ryan MathewsSDat DET72
13Roy HeluWASvs. MIN70
14Darren SprolesNOvs. ATL67
15Jonathan StewartCARvs. TB67
16Willis McGaheeDENat BUF67
17C.J. SpillerBUFvs. DEN65
18Felix JonesDALvs. PHI65
19Ahmad BradshawNYGat NYJ63
20Frank GoreSFat SEA63
21DeAngelo WilliamsCARvs. TB63
22Cedric BensonCINvs. ARI60
23LeGarrette BlountTBat CAR60
24Steven JacksonSTLat PIT59
25Beanie WellsARIat CIN58
26Michael TurnerATLat NO58
27Pierre ThomasNOvs. ATL55
28Kevin SmithDETvs. SD53
29Ben TateHOUat IND53
30Khalil BellCHIat GB52
31LaDainian TomlinsonNYJvs. NYG50
32Donald BrownINDvs. HOU49
33Ryan GrantGBvs. CHI49
34Brandon JacobsNYGat NYJ43
35Lance BallDENat BUF43
36Peyton HillisCLEat BAL42
37Mike TolbertSDat DET40
38Danny WoodheadNEvs. MIA38
39Jackie BattleKCvs. OAK38
40Isaac RedmanPITvs. STL38
41Sammy MorrisDALvs. PHI37
42Toby GerhartMINat WAS37
43Marion BarberCHIat GB36
44Chris IvoryNOvs. ATL35
45Kendall HunterSFat SEA35
46BenJarvus Green-EllisNEvs. MIA34
47Thomas JonesKCvs. OAK34
48James StarksGBvs. CHI33
49Maurice MorrisDETvs. SD33
50Dexter McClusterKCvs. OAK30

Start: C.J. Spiller. He threw up a monster number on Sunday despite a difficult matchup (his performance combined with the Seahawks defense dealt me a loss in one semi-final), and a strong finish could leave Spiller as the feature back in 2012 and beyond (remember Fred Jackson’s age). Bank on another big total from Spiller in the championship.

Sit: Marion Barber. Barber proved he’s finished, failing to lead the Bears offense with Jay Cutler and Matt Forte out. Once backup Khalil Bell took the reins of the rushing attack, the Bears performed much better on Sunday. Expect Bell to see the majority of the work, making him a decent flex play and relegating Barber to the fantasy bench.

RankWide ReceiversTeamOpponentScore
1Roddy WhiteATLat NO90
2Calvin JohnsonDETvs. SD88
3Larry FitzgeraldARIat CIN86
4Wes WelkerNEvs. MIA86
5Marques ColstonNOvs. ATL83
6A.J. GreenCINvs. ARI79
7Percy HarvinMINat WAS78
8Hakeem NicksNYGat NYJ77
9Victor CruzNYGat NYJ77
10Mike WallacePITvs. STL76
11Brandon MarshallMIAat NE76
12Jordy NelsonGBvs. CHI75
13Steve SmithCARvs. TB75
14Vincent JacksonSDat DET74
15Dwayne BoweKCvs. OAK74
16Miles AustinDALvs. PHI72
17Antonio BrownPITvs. STL72
18Jabar GaffneyWASvs. MIN72
19Julio JonesATLat NO70
20Nate WashingtonTENvs. JAC68
21Dez BryantDALvs. PHI68
22Demaryius ThomasDENat BUF68
23Santana MossWASvs. MIN64
24Malcom FloydSDat DET62
25Santonio HolmesNYJvs. NYG61
26Laurent RobinsonDALvs. PHI60
27Darrius Heyward-BayOAKat KC59
28Steve JohnsonBUFvs. DEN59
29Lance MooreNOvs. ATL59
30Michael CrabtreeSFat SEA58
31Greg LittleCLEat BAL57
32Jeremy MaclinPHIat DAL57
33Nate BurlesonDETvs. SD56
34Mike WilliamsTBat CAR56
35Andre RobertsARIat CIN54
36Torrey SmithBALvs. CLE53
37Reggie WayneINDvs. HOU53
38Davone BessMIAat NE52
39Steve BreastonKCvs. OAK50
40Brandon LloydSTLat PIT49
41DeSean JacksonPHIat DAL49
42Doug BaldwinSEAvs. SF49
43Titus YoungDETvs. SD48
44Damian WilliamsTENvs. JAC48
45Donald DriverGBvs. CHI47
46Kevin WalterHOUat IND47
47Deion BranchNEvs. MIA46
48Pierre GarconINDvs. HOU45
49Golden TateSEAvs. SF45
50Roy WilliamsCHIat GB45
51Plaxico BurressNYJvs. NYG45
52Brian HartlineMIAat NE44
53Jerome SimpsonCINvs. ARI43
54Jacoby JonesHOUat IND43
55Anquan BoldinBALvs. CLE41
56Mario ManninghamNYGat NYJ41
57James JonesGBvs. CHI39
58Ben ObomanuSEAvs. SF37
59Earl BennettCHIat GB37
60Lavelle HawkinsTENvs. JAC36
61Eric DeckerDENat BUF36
62Brad SmithBUFvs. DEN35
63Legedu NaaneeCARvs. TB35
64Kyle WilliamsSFat SEA34
65Early DoucetARIat CIN34
66Harry DouglasATLat NO34
67Mohamed MassaquoiCLEat BAL33
68Dane SanzenbacherCHIat GB33
69Chad OchocincoNEvs. MIA30
70Arrelious BennTBat CAR28
71Eddie RoyalDENat BUF28
72Denarius MooreOAKat KC27
73Devin AromashoduMINat WAS26
74Danario AlexanderSTLat PIT25
75Mike ThomasJACat TEN20

Start: Jabar Gaffney. He’s been consistently solid with Grossman under center, which makes sense since the have a history dating all the way back to the University of Florida. Gaffney has at least five catches and 72 yards in four of his last five games (he was shut out against the Jets), with two TDs along the way. Against a terrible Minnesota secondary, he should exceed that baseline. Mark him down for 7-100-1, great WR2 numbers.

Sit: Eric Decker. Decker has been the No. 1 receiver in Denver for much of the season, so why would we call him a “sit” in a game against a bad Bills defense? Demaryius Thomas, that’s why. Thomas has emerged as Tim Tebow’s top target as the young QB has developed this season; over the past three games, Thomas has 18 catches for 338 yards and three TDs, while Decker has just six catches for 80 yards and no TDs. You can’t rely on him at this point.

RankTight EndsTeamOpponentScore
1Rob GronkowskiNEvs. MIA83
2Antonio GatesSDat DET82
3Jimmy GrahamNOvs. ATL81
4Brent CelekPHIat DAL73
5Tony GonzalezATLat NO72
6Aaron HernandezNEvs. MIA71
7Jermichael FinleyGBvs. CHI70
8Vernon DavisSFat SEA63
9Dustin KellerNYJvs. NYG58
10Jason WittenDALvs. PHI55
11Kellen WinslowTBat CAR51
12Owen DanielsHOUat IND51
13Todd HeapARIat CIN50
14Kevin BossOAKat KC49
15Brandon PettigrewDETvs. SD48
16Jared CookTENvs. JAC48
17Marcedes LewisJACat TEN45
18Anthony FasanoMIAat NE44
19Leonard PopeKCvs. OAK44
20Evan MooreCLEat BAL42
21Jeremy ShockeyCARvs. TB42
22Visanthe ShiancoeMINat WAS42
23Jermaine GreshamCINvs. ARI41
24Ed DicksonBALvs. CLE40
25Dennis PittaBALvs. CLE40
26Kellen DavisCHIat GB40
27Joel DreessenHOUat IND39
28Logan PaulsenWASvs. MIN39
29Jacob TammeINDvs. HOU38
30Greg OlsenCARvs. TB38
31Kyle RudolphMINat WAS34
32Tony SchefflerDETvs. SD24

Start: Aaron Hernandez. The Patriots have an unfair advantage at the tight end position, showing last week that even if you blanket Rob Gronkowski, Hernandez can carve you up. If Miami decides to make sure that Gronk is rendered ineffective, Hernandez would have another big line.

Sit: Greg Olsen. He’s been passed by Jeremy Shockey in terms of fantasy upside in a given week, and it wouldn’t shock me to see the Panthers score all their TDs on the ground in Week 16. There are about 30 better options than Olsen at this point.

RankKickersTeamOpponentScore
1David AkersSFat SEA61
2John KasayNOvs. ATL59
3Dan BaileyDALvs. PHI57
4Sebastian JanikowskiOAKat KC55
5Graham GanoWASvs. MIN52
6Rob BironasTENvs. JAC51
7Neil RackersHOUat IND50
8Nick NovakSDat DET50
9Mason CrosbyGBvs. CHI49
10Robbie GouldCHIat GB48
11Matt PraterDENat BUF48
12Stephen GostkowskiNEvs. MIA48
13Steven HauschkaSEAvs. SF48
14Matt BryantATLat NO47
15Alex HeneryPHIat DAL41
16Connor BarthTBat CAR41
17Mike NugentCINvs. ARI40
18Lawrence TynesNYGat NYJ39
19Dan CarpenterMIAat NE38
20Olindo MareCARvs. TB37
21Shayne GrahamBALvs. CLE36
22Jason HansonDETvs. SD35
23Ryan SuccopKCvs. OAK34
24Phil DawsonCLEat BAL34
25Shaun SuishamPITvs. STL33
26Josh BrownSTLat PIT33
27Josh ScobeeJACat TEN32
28Adam VinatieriINDvs. HOU31
29Nick FolkNYJvs. NYG31
30Jay FeelyARIat CIN28
31Ryan LongwellMINat WAS28
32Dave RaynerBUFvs. DEN27

RankTeam DefenseTeamOpponentScore
1Green Bay PackersGBvs. CHI75
2San Francisco 49ersSFat SEA73
3Pittsburgh SteelersPITvs. STL70
4Cincinnati BengalsCINvs. ARI68
5New York GiantsNYGat NYJ60
6Baltimore RavensBALvs. CLE60
7Houston TexansHOUat IND59
8New England PatriotsNEvs. MIA57
9Detroit LionsDETvs. SD55
10Kansas City ChiefsKCvs. OAK55
11Washington RedskinsWASvs. MIN54
12Dallas CowboysDALvs. PHI54
13Minnesota VikingsMINat WAS51
14Seattle SeahawksSEAvs. SF50
15Tennessee TitansTENvs. JAC49
16Denver BroncosDENat BUF49
17Philadelphia EaglesPHIat DAL48
18New York JetsNYJvs. NYG48
19Carolina PanthersCARvs. TB44
20San Diego ChargersSDat DET44
21Chicago BearsCHIat GB44
22Buffalo BillsBUFvs. DEN43
23St. Louis RamsSTLat PIT40
24Cleveland BrownsCLEat BAL38
25Oakland RaidersOAKat KC38
26Tampa Bay BuccaneersTBat CAR37
27Jacksonville JaguarsJACat TEN34
28Arizona CardinalsARIat CIN33
29New Orleans SaintsNOvs. ATL31
30Miami DolphinsMIAat NE29
31Atlanta FalconsATLat NO26
32Indianapolis ColtsINDvs. HOU21

 
R.J. White is the head editor at the Cafe, writes for FanDuel and Razzball and has previously written for FanHouse. Catch up with him in the forums under the name daullaz. Follow him on Twitter; don't follow him in real life.
 
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4 Responses to “Week 16: Championship Conundrums”

  1. User avatar joejlitz says:

    nice work, RJ

    ReplyReply
  2. mgoats26 says:

    Thank you guys. You won me another championship. Greart calls on bengals, gano and gaffney. Picked all 2 up this week and rocked. Wouldn’t have bothered with gaffney or gano without you…THANKS AGAIN! LugERS lunch awaits! FREE Lugers Lunch!

    ReplyReply
  3. mgoats26 says:

    i meant all 3.

    ReplyReply
  4. User avatar SirGrotius says:

    Where’s the new one! It’s the start of the season in three days. How am I going to set my lineup? How am I going to set my life?

    ReplyReply

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