kevinkallberg wrote:I'd keep Cobb.
Think of it this way when you draft....if you keep Miller, no chance Cobb makes it to you in your draft. If you keep Cobb, there's a chance Miller may make it to you for your 12th pick overall. Rookies will always be drafted based on potential every year, even in this years weak draft, there will probably be at least 3 rookie WR's and 3 rookie Rb's taken ahead of you. Geno Smith may also go if a team needs a future QB. So give or take that 7 rookies will be selected ahead of you, maybe more. And then the top FA's availabe with the remaining 4 picks prior to your selection, I'd bet that Miller makes it to you....UNLESS you have a late draft and he gets named the starter and hyped up.
I strongly disagree that there will be 6-7+ rookies taken in the first round of a draft in this type of a format. Only 60 guys are being kept which means that there will be plenty of talent getting thrown back into the pool including some of those second year guys with same potential as the rookies but a year more of experience. I would be surprised if there are more than 1-2 rookies drafted in the first 4-5 rounds of a draft like this, the talent just isnt there.
That being said i think i would keep Cobb as well. The upside is tremendous with both of them, but the floor is a lot higher with Cobb. Miller is still an unknown and while he is being hyped up he can very easily fall flat, we saw what Cobb did last year and know with relative certainty that he will at worst be a WR2. Plus in a league where you have to start 3 WR every week it will be nice to have 3 young WR1s that you can lean on for the next 5 years if you want to, as well as fairly young RBs to go with them.
It hurts throwing back Miller as he could certainly blow up this year, just too much risk involved there. Is there any way to try and work some sort of a deal before the draft?? Maybe try packaging up one of those guys with your 12th pick to move up in the first round. Or even better would be to package up Miller and Cobb and land someone like a T Richardson or Alfred Morris and really give you 5 solid pieces moving forward