11stever11 wrote:I think Luck will post low end QB1 numbers; he has mid QB1 upside. I am a bit worried about his weapons this year. He is a great value for a 12th round pick. I would look to get a solid QB2 with him though. Ridley should be a mid RB2. I think he will be a bit inconsistent this season. I don't think he provides good value.
I would agree with the Luck part of this, not necessarily with the Ridley part. As far as Luck goes definitely get a solid QB2 to go along with him, think Romo/Flacco/etc that you can plug in when Luck gets a tough matchup.
As far as Ridley i think he will be a solid RB2, with RB1 upside. The patriots are a little thin on receivers, and while we all know Brady will continue to sling it I think that means that they will also rely on the run a bit more like last year (compared to previous years). Sure they got Blount but they lost Woodhead who stole a ton of production last year. Ridley will still be their go to guy with Vareen being a change of pace and Blount stealing some TDs.
I actually think that you are getting really good value out of Ridley as a 4th round pick. He will be a bit inconsistent as he was last year, but if he matches last year then you will have gotten a relative steal. I was never a believer in him and he definitely makes me nervous, but you cant argue with his production. In standard leagues he averaged 12.7PPG last year which made him the #10 RB in fantasy. Now you didnt say if this is a PPR league and he takes a major hit in those leagues as he only had 6 receptions last year making him fall to #22 RB in PPR leagues. In a standard league a fringe RB1/RB2 is going to be taken by the turn of round 2/ round 3