* McGahee would worry me b/c of Rice and McClain -- but, I think he's a better option than Ward. * Definitely Scheffler over Crayton * I think J.Morgan will get a TD this week (Berrian's game-time decision too risky)
I don't like either McGahee or Ward....hopefully this is a big league for you to be debating such starting options (even if it's flex) in week 1. I'd probably go with Ward over McGahee. I see the Ravens becoming enamored with Ray Rice, leaving very little for Willis (though obviously I could be wrong). I think the demise of Ward is a bit overrated. Yes, Caddy is starting, but Ward supposedly is going to be a two-series part of that 2-2-1 split they're doing in Tampa. That means 40% of the carries, which I think is more than McGahee gets. Yes, the matchup for McGahee is better, but I probably lean Ward by a slim margin. Also, in PPR, Ward is probably more likely to get passes. In honesty, I don't like either at all.
For the non-PPR I go w/ Scheffler. Dump off option for Orton...would be better if it was PPR, but I would avoid Crayton for the time being until he shows something.
The other non-PPR, again I lean Ward, but not by a lot. Not thrilled w/ the options. Morgan was a darling early, but has done nothing in the preseason. Yes, he is potential boom/bust, but lets see the boom before you put him in the lineup. If you know for sure Berrian is playing, he's probably the play, but it looks 50-50, and even if he does, he might have the balky hammy. Ward seems the surest (not saying a lot) thing here...go with him.
Thanks for the help on mine. I agree with you about Stafford, I'm just not sure if I want to drop anyone for him.
PPR: I think it's close between Ward and McGahee. I would've gone with McGahee in non=PPR, but I expect Ward to catch enough passes to make up for his low TD odds. Assuming that you get a full point per reception, I give Ward the slight edge.
Non-PPR #1 I think Tony Scheffler actually has a decent opportunity this week. Most weeks, Scheffler probably won't get many looks, but with Orton's finger problem he will probably opt for more short passes. Getting reps in while Brandon Marshall was suspended can't hurt his chances either. Even a bad offense like Denver should put up some at least 1 or 2 TD's against Cincy. I'm much less optimistic about Patrick Crayton, especially against a pretty solid Tampa Bay D.
Tony Scheffler: 3 rec, 40 yds, 1 TD Patrick Crayton: 3 rec, 35 yds, 0 TD
Non-PPR #2 Bernard Berrian is no good because of game-time decision and the Vikes probably will do most of their damage on the ground. Ward is out because aforementioned reasoning. So I think it's between McGahee and Morgan. 49ers are apparently looking to be very run-focused, but for multiple reasons, they will have to throw the ball to beat Arizona. When Arizona is up 17 or 20 points early in the 2nd half, the coach really can't continue to give Gore the ball. Arizona pass D is mediocre and SF will be trying to play catch-up for a large portion of the game. It's inevitable somebody on the 49ers is going to have to catch at least a few passes. Arizona gave up a league high 36 receiving TD's last year. I think that gives SF a pretty good chance of getting one. Who will catch it? Issac Bruce? Vernon Davis? I doubt it.