Playing defense roulette again this year. I used STL in week 5 and added MIA already for a possible week 6 start. The following are currently available on the WW:
DET @ PHI
TB vs KC
KC @ TB
IND @ NYJ
DAL @ BAL
The Defense Analyzer (here: viewtopic.php?t=525021), which is a fantastic resource, lists TB at #2 this week, and STL at #7. Curiously, MIA is not ranked there.
TB has a seemingly great matchup against KC. KC has coughed up the ball 10 times, has nine picks, and 13 sacks, all among the tops (or bottoms!) in each category. However, that was with Cassel at the helm, and it's possible that Quinn starts this coming week. The bottom line is that we don't know how that will change this matchup, so I find it difficult to consider TB.
STL is a good matchup choice, but are they the better choice over MIA, whom they play this week? Defense stat comparisons of stats that are most relevant to choosing fantasy defenses:
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STL MIA TB
Fumbles Recovered 0 0 2
INTs 8 7 6
Sacks 15 15 8
Points against 18.8 20.6 22.8
Obviously, STL and MIA compare similarly, so where are the differences? STL has played DET, WAS, CHI, SEA, and ARI. MIA has played HOU, OAK, NYJ, ARI, and CIN. (Bold/red are double digit defense scores.) In the one common opponent, ARI, MIA scored 12 and STL scored 18 the following week. This seems to give the edge to STL. TB has played CAR, NYG, DAL and WAS.
So how do their opposing offenses compare? Does one defense have a big advantage over the other because of their respective offensive ineptitude? Offense stat comparisons of stats that are most relevant to choosing fantasy defenses:
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STL MIA KC (TB opponent)
Fumbles Lost 2 6 10
INTs 5 6 9
Sacks 15 10 13
Points for 19.2 20.6 18.8
MIA fumbles more, but STL takes more sacks and scores fewer points. Slight edge to the MIA defense. KC is among the best in the league to face, but that could change drastically.
So what do you think? STL or MIA...or take a chance with TB? Will Quinn be as good for opposing defenses as Cassel has been?
Please rank the three (or insert another choice), with your thoughts...
Will help in return...thanks!