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Week 9 Lines

Postby Mookie4ever » Wed Nov 03, 2004 11:25 am

As always the favourite is on the left and the home team is in CAPS.


Sunday Games

N.Y.Jets 3 BUFFALO o/u 36.5
Philadelphia 1 PITTSBURGH o/u 44.5
DETROIT 3.5 Washington o/u 38
Dallas 1 CINCINNATI o/u 44
CAROLINA 7 Oakland o/u 42
MIAMI 3 Arizona 34.5
Kansas City 3 TAMPA BAY o/u 45
N.Y. GIANTS 9 Chicago o/u 35
Seattle 7 SAN FRANCISCO o/u 40
SAN DIEGO 6 New Orleans
New England 2.5 ST. LOUIS o/u 48.5
DENVER 6 Houston o/u 42
BALTIMORE 6 Cleveland o/u 35.5

Monday Night Game

INDIANAPOLIS 6.5 Minnesota o/u 59


the o/u on the Indy/Minny game is 59. This is one of the highest numbers that I have ever seen. Even so, I may just take the over, but I will wait until closer to game time and get more info on Randy's condition.

I also think that I'm going to take Oakland and the 7 points. Carolina is just not that good these days.
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Postby Lushcrush » Wed Nov 03, 2004 11:57 am

San Diego ... 6-1-1 ATS
NO ... 2-5 ATS
Over is 3-0 in the Saints last three on the road.
Over is 4-1 in the last five meetings.
NO is 2-5 ATS in their last seven overall.
SD is 3-1 ATS in the last four meetings.
SD is 3-1 ATS at home this season.
Over is 4-0 in the Chargers last four at home.

Anybody like the SD-NO Over? Hell, SD -6 ain't bad. ;-D
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Postby Mookie4ever » Thu Nov 04, 2004 7:40 am

Lush, you really can't go wrong with San Dieggo these days. Ride that bus until it gets a flat.

Myself, I like the Jets to pummel the Bills and go way over the o/u. I may just take the over.
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Postby Mercer Boy » Thu Nov 04, 2004 9:45 am

I don't like the Jets this week, actually. Buffalo played them pretty tough last time out. The Bills are at home and are surging with McGahee as the official starter. I would not be surprised to see the Jets fall this week.

But, I do like your thoughts on the over since the Bills are righting the ship on offense. A final score of 20-17 would not be out of the realm of possibility at all.
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Postby Dub-Dub » Thu Nov 04, 2004 11:21 am

Mercer Boy, your "not out of the realm" score covers the bet by 0.5. Any game could cover by that... If I am betting an over i want to feel like it could pass the o/i by 10! not 0.5.

I don't like taking any offense that I think could post a 0... whether by great D or inept O. I am not convinced the Bills are now cruising.
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Postby Dub-Dub » Thu Nov 04, 2004 11:26 am

I do like Phily, though... Pats looked terrible, and hurt themselves. I didn't feel like Pitt really beat NE. NE just didn't play well.

I like KC as well.. I just don't think TB's D will be able to slow the KC O enough for the TB O to stay in the game.
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Postby Mercer Boy » Thu Nov 04, 2004 2:22 pm

Dub-Dub wrote:Mercer Boy, your "not out of the realm" score covers the bet by 0.5. Any game could cover by that... If I am betting an over i want to feel like it could pass the o/i by 10! not 0.5.

I don't like taking any offense that I think could post a 0... whether by great D or inept O. I am not convinced the Bills are now cruising.

Hehe; I guess that's why I don't bet on stuff... O:-) It would be better to give yourself a "cushion" on those games!

I knew the score I put down was a close winner, but I thought it was a reasonable score. The Bills aren't cruising yet, but they are playing better. The last game was 16-14, so if you add another TD for either team, you would win this time around.

It's probably not a bettable game (unless you get some huge odds...but I don't think that happens on o/u), but if I had to pick it, it'd be over! ;-D
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Postby Mookie4ever » Thu Nov 04, 2004 2:45 pm

Well, I happen to think that the Bills/Jets game will solidly go over the 36.5.

The Bills have been getting better. Their scoring has gone up every week except week 7 when they were stopped by the Ravens. They have scored an average of 16.5 pts/game against some good defences.

I believe that the Jets will be hungry to lay a beating and will probably score 30 by themselves.

The other game that I actually like is Houston against Denver. Give me 6 points and the Texans.
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Postby Chew » Fri Nov 05, 2004 10:47 am

I also like the Jets to beat the Bills easily this week. I figure they'll look to shut down McGahee and make Bledsoe beat them.. which I don't see happening.
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