DraftDodger wrote:>>> His schedule is very favorable other than those ATL matchups and SD, but Jamals is just as easy, <<<
Warpig already knows what my opinion is on this one (Pittman vs. Lewis) but I can't let the above comment go by unchallenged.
Also, I think we need to factor in Warpig's other RB, McAllister.
NONE of Lewis's remaining opponents have given up more than 6 total TDs all season. Combined, all seven teams have only given up 36 TDs, compared to the 65 TDs given up by McAllister's opposing DEFs. And Pittman? The teams he faces have given up 81 total TDs, more than double that of the defenses Lewis will face.
Yardage-wise, all three RBs are looking at similar numbers given up by opposing defenses:
McAllister - 797 yards
Lewis - 810 yards
Pittman - 826 yards
Clearly, Pittman has the better schedule for scoring rushing TDs, even if you don't consider KC's raping of Atlanta (who has only given up 4 rushing TDs total if you don't count that nightmarish KC game.) Even if you took away all of KC's touchdown's, that would adjust Pittman's schedule to 65, putting Pittman's schedule on par with McAllister's and still far more touchdown-friendly than Lewis's.
The question in my mind is, how can anyone favorably compare Lewis to Pittman? People are chasing last year's performance instead of looking at his situation this year. The passing game in Baltimore is pathetic, and the shadow of imprisonment hangs over Lewis's head.
Next year, I think he'll be a stud again. This year he's an average NFL RB at best.
I think those TDs conceded doesn’t tell the whole story for Jamal. Lets look at who these teams actually faced. TDs can often times just be random whether they are rushing or passing. And you know w/ BAL they are going to be rushing
NYJ
- CIN – Rudi TD, also had a 6 yd passing TD
- SD – LT TD, Flutie TD -> the Jets jumped on them early forcing SD to pass
- MIA – Leonard Henry got the bulk of carries… whoopee
- BUF – split of Henry and McGahee….
- SF – Barlow TD
- NE – 115 yds for Dillon, no TD
- MIA – Jets jumped on them way early, faced Morris and Minor
- BUF – McGahee TD, 4 yd pass
- There could have been 2 more rushing TDs had the opponents opted to run instead of pass. These aren’t great running teams that they faced
DAL
- MIN – Culpepper threw 3 TDs from 3 yards and closer in this game. Those easily could have been TD runs
- CLE – not much to say, CLE didn’t score any TDs, their worst game of the year (still rushed for 136 yards but had
- WAS – how much have they really scored this year? One of their TDs was a 1 yd pass, could have easily been a run
- NYG – Tike scored a TD, Shockey caught a 1 yd TD, could have easily been a rush
- PIT – Bettis scored a TD
- GB – Green scored 2 rushing TDs
- DET – KJ had a 1 yd TD catch, could have been a run
- CIN – Palmer ran for a TD
- There could have been 6 more rushing TDs, all the passes were from 3 yds and in
NE
- IND – Rhodes ran for a TD, the other 2 came from 3 and 7 yards out. Could have swung either way (not to mention Manning threw an INT on like the 2)
- ARI – Emmitt ran for a TD
- BUF – this was in the Henry era…
- MIA – suck at running, played Forsey as the primary RB
- SEA – Alexander scored a rushing TD
- NYJ – Pennington ran for a TD
- PIT – Bettis scored a rushing TD, also a 4 yard pass that could have been a rush
- STL – no rushing TDs
- There could have been 4 more rushing TDs (4 passes from 7 yds and in)
CIN
- NYJ – 1 TD run, 3 yd pass
- MIA – 4 yd pass TD
- BAL – 2 rushing TDs
- PIT – 2 rushing TDs
- CLE – 5 yd pass TD
- DEN – 3 yd pass TD
- TEN – 1 rushing TD, 1 yd pass TD
- DAL – no TDs
- There could have been 5 more rushing TDs. 1 of the rushing TDs was from Jamal
IND
- NE – no rushing TDs
- TEN – 2 rushing TDs
- GB – no rushing TDs
- JAX – no rushing TDs
- OAK – 1 rushing TD
- JAX – no rushing TDs, 4 yd pass
- KC – 3 rushing TDs
- Cant say much here, could have had one more rushing TD
NYG
- PHI – no rushing TDs, 3 yd pass TD
- WAS – no rushing TDs, 2 yd pass TD
- CLE – no rushing TDs, 3 yd pass TD
- GB – no rushing TDs
- DAL – no rushing TDs
- DET – 2 rushing TDs, 2 yd pass TD
- MIN – 1 rushing TD, 1 yd pass TD
- CHI – 2 rushing TDs
- There could have been 5 more rushing TDs, all from 3 yds and in
PIT
- OAK – no rushing TDs
- BAL – 2 rushing TDs
- MIA – no rushing TDs as expected
- CIN – 1 rushing TD, 2 yd pass TD
- CLE – no rushing TDs
- DAL – 1 rushing TD
- NE – no Dillon, only ran it 6 times, no rushing TDs, 2 yd pass TD
- PHI – no rushing TDs
- There could have been 2 more rushing TDs, and they faced NE w/o Dillon. 2 of their rushing TDs were from Jamal