Ok, hear me out.
Mason has the most catches in the league with 59 (at least at this point in time; TO could tie with 10 catches tonight). Normally I would consider that this trend would NOT continue and he would eventually start getting fewer and fewer looks as defenses crowd around him. Then I took a look at his remaining schedule:
@ Jacksonville (19)
@ Houston (28)
@ Indianapolis (31)
Kansas City (26)
@ Oakland (24)
the numbers next to the team is their overall pass defense ranking. Given this, I believe he is a player of "higher" value than you might expect (unless maybe you're a Titan fan) and gives good reason to try and trade for him.
Three HUGE monkey wrenches:
1. The QB situation. Volek appears to be erratic at times, and there's no reason to believe that will change. One thing to note is that Mason got nearly the same amount of catches/yards over the last four weeks which is in between good and bad games, as well as QBs.
2. The lack of TDs. That's a problem, but for you staticians there must be some type of return to the mean, meaning he'll come up with his TDs against the weaker (upcoming) teams. His 3 year average (for what it's worth) is 7 TDs, and this includes him missing 3 games. This one is a little more suspect, because there is obviously no real correlation.
3. The Denver game on week 16. I guess the only thing to say here is that if I care how the week 16 game is playing out my Mason plan has worked.
Does anyone have any thoughts about this? Please, I particularly want to hear people tell me this idea sucks as I'm about to mortgage away my future (it's an odd keeper league where you can't keep anyone before round 5) for a run this year.
Last edited by biju on Tue Nov 16, 2004 11:29 am, edited 1 time in total.