The model is a little bizarre, it's too boring to list the complete formula, but mainly
Three numbers are averaged together for each RB: 1) His average performance during the season, 2) His team's average production from the RB spot - weighted against his likely role in the given week*, 3) The opponents average yield to RBs.
* e.g. with Priest out, Blaylock goes from being predicted as 10% of the RB offense to being 90% of the RB part of the offense.
The numbers are more based on a 10yds per point yardage league with TDs being 6 points.
Like I said, it's far from being perfect - haven't even begun to try to factor in turnovers which seems pointless. And all RBBC guys suffer in the predictions.
I wouldn't put much stock in this, but I'll run it for a few weeks and see if it can develop any consistency. At the very least, it might provide some food for thought. But it's not very sophisticated (there's no allowance for a defense getting better or worse or being injured). I'll post a week 11 in a few minutes. Almost done with that. At worst, feel free to ignore it.
... in my opinion, of course - but that should always go without saying.
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