It doesn't work the same though.The running backs are the mediocre group,with only a few top QB's.Brees is a pleasant surprise,but I assure you I am not going to win a championship with him,and I have Brown,Taylor and Duece in my backfield.If I took Manning 1st instead of Deuce,I could still have found Tiki,T.Jones or a half dozen backups that played this year to make up my backfield.
And if you had taken Alexander in the first instead of Manning or Deuce, Owens in the 2nd and McNabb in the 3rd, you'd be sitting even prettier.
Revisionist drafting does not work.
The problem isn't that enough QBs don't go in the first, it's that the wrong good players slip too far. Players like Tiki and C-Mart.
If everyone got off the "omg I have to have the next best thing, omg barlow is gonna be a stud and i want him as my #1 instead of rbs who have done it year in and year out four years, omg tiki is gonna lose carries to ron dayne even though ron dayne is a terrible rb but i believe it anyway", drafts would be a lot more competitive.
Fact is, you're more likely to find a sleeper QB late or on the wire than a RB.
In 2004, how many RBs could you have plucked off the wire or fell past the 6th round that will be worth starting for at least half the year?
Two. Reuben Droughns, Emmit Smith
How about 2003?
Three. Domanick Davis, Rudi Johnson, Moe Williams
Umm.. Michael Bennett?
Yes, there's a handful of guys that will be good for 1-4 games (Moore, Blaylock, Stecker), but if you're basing your strategy on starting the wire pickup of the week at RB, you're gonna be leaking tons of points at the position. RB is a position you generally can't afford to leak tons of points at.
Now how many QBs can you name the last three years that were worth starting at least half the season that were waiver wire pickups or fell out of the top rounds? I can name a lot more than the 6 RBs I listed above. There's your proof right there. It's very difficult to get a RB off the wire that will explode and be a stud. It's far easier for WRs and QBs. That's just the way FF is played now.
Now let's be really honest. Peyton Manning is worth a 1st round draft pick in 2004. He's on pace to throw 50 TDs. That's about the only time a QB is gonna be worth a 1st round draft pick in hindsight. Now cmon. No one thought he was gonna throw 50 TDs. Sure it's nice that he is, and yeah he's been one of the top fantasy QBs the last 5 years but he wasn't worth a 1st rounder. A season like this comes around every... Well 11 years. There are some seasons when QBs in general are worth a lot more than usual, but a Manning/Culpepper like season is rare. Next year when Manning goes back to throwing for his normal 4,000 yards and 30 TDs, people will be moaning what a waste of a draft pick taking a QB in the first round was and how stupid they were for letting <insert name here> RB fall to the end of the first round.
Oh yeah, I bet you there are quite a few championship teams this season with Brees on them. To say you can't win a championship with his performance this year is absurd.