I've only seen him on TV. One quick question though:
How come everyone uses the "Fresh Legs" excuse for Julius Jones and nobody mentions that McGahee got to start on his fresh legs at midseason?
You can't really characterize a RB that carried the ball 285 times over the course of 15 games/11 starts as having "fresh legs" (week 5).
Julius Jones on the other hand, only carried the ball 170 times over the course of 7 games/6 starts (week 10).
kevinoc81 wrote:I am not saying that JJ is better than McGahee at all. I do think that people who draft McGahee in the top 3 are going to be disappointed.
Mcgahee seems like a pretty risky early first round pick in 2005 redrafts to me as well. Buffalo got to play NFC West opponents multiple times this year and he is by no means a proven stud at this point in time. I don't see how Mcgahee can fall outside the top10 though... 20+ carries, 100+ yards, and 1+ TD average per start is very hard to come by in the NFL. I would feel more comfortable placing him in the middle of the first. And as a steal at the end of the first (after a couple QBs/WRs if you're lucky).
One thing that virtually no one thinks about at this point in time: what happens if Henry remains a Buffalo Bill? Both are still under contract for 2005....
Mcgahee versus NFC West opponents:
93 carries, 420 yards, 8 TDs (4 games)
23 carries, 105 yads, 2 TDs (per game)
4.5 yards per carry, (4) 100+ yard games, (3) games with at least 1 TD
Mcgahee versus all other opponents:
161 carries, 613 yards, 5 TDs (7 games)
23 carries, 87 yards, 0.7 TDs (per game)
3.8 yards per carry, (3) 100+ yard games, (3 games with at least 1 TD)
Kinda scary how much of Mcgahee stats came against the worst division in the NFL. Although you can't discount the great games he had against NFC West opponents, his other games left a little something to be desired from a top3 fantasy pick.
Granted all teams will have SOME easy matchups over the course of a season, but Mcgahee doesn't look so stellar without those 4 games versus Seattle, Arizona, San Francisco, and St. Louis.