I wouldn't say I know
more than you, I just have a gambler's instict. The best bettors I know base their bets on statistical trends, taking everything from colleges the players played in to weather to surfaces into account.
I, on the other hand, pay no attention to any of the details and very few statistics (outside of blatantly obvious things like hot and cold streaks, injuries, and player and team rivalries). I just get lucky riding on gut feeling. Whether that makes me a good gambler, or just a lucky bastard, I'll never know.