MCG321 wrote:There's just no way I'm taking him over someone already proven as a solid starter.
One of my biggest pet peeves in fantasy football. There's no value in drafting "proven" guys. To me, proven=safe pick. Safe picks are how you lose at fantasy football. (e.g., "some proven guys last year", Taylor, Henry, Faulk, that worked well). I don't know exactly who "proven" refers to in this case. I guess we are talking people who are not studs that have done well in the past. Martin, Dillon, R. Johnson, and Portis come to mind. I'll gladly pass on these guys and take a stud WR, QB, or maybe even TE and pick up Jordan a couple rounds later.
You have a much better chance to win if you draft as many studs as you can early and identify mid-round value that has a pretty good chance of producing the same as the guys taken earlier.