I have a problem when kickers are drafted early.
Here were the '01 top five kickers and how they finished in '02...
1. Wilkins - 23rd
2. Vanderjact - 17th
3. Elam - 7th
4. K Brown - 27th
5. Feely - 1st
'02 top 5 kickers and how they finished in '03...
1. Feely - 24th
2. Akers - 9th
3. Carney - 15th
4. Longwell - 6th
5. Janikowski - 21st
'03 top 5 kickers and how they finished in '04...
1. Wilkins - 24th
2. Vanderjact - 7th
3. Stover - 9th
4. Kasay - 27th
5. G Anderson - 25th
So in the past three years, 6 out of the 15 kickers dropped out of the top 23 the next year. Only 1 top five kicker repeated his top 5 performance the following year (Jay Feely '01-'02). But that didn't really matter, becuase even after finished 1st in '02, he finished 24th in '03. Wilkins joined him by being #1 in '03, but also finishing an awful 24th the next year.
On average (over the past 3 years), a top 5 kicker finished as the #16 kicker the following year. The #16 kicker isn't even worthy of being owned in most 10-12 team leagues.
Last year, two top 5 kickers, Shayne Graham and Jeff Reed could both be found on the WW.
Fantasy kickers are a crapshoot. The key to a successful fantasy kicker is not how talented the kicker is, but how many opportunities he'll get. And there is no way you can make a prediction based on stats for which team will have the most FG + PAT attempts in a season.
Most like myself, will never draft a kicker until the very end of a draft, but I always see kickers going in the 9th/10th rounds, while great backup QB's, 3rd WR's, and top 10 TE's are still available. You'll be able to find a good number of WW kickers that finish leaps and bounds ahead of the so-called "stud" fantasy kickers that are drafted in the 10th round. Kickers are the most inconsistant position in fantasy football.
Sig courtesy of madaslives911.