maddog60 wrote:I have no doubt Manning will be the top fantasy QB this year. I think that's a given. However, the sole best reason to not take him first is this:
Which would you rather have? I think the choice is simple.
In many leagues, McNabb won't b e there at pick 20, 24, or 28, depending on the size of the league.
If you look at the last 3 years, Manning has killed LT in pts in most setups. It's not even close. Manning has been in the top 5 overall the last 3 years. He's the safest bet, with the BIGGEST upside.
The author states it's very close. This whole "never draft a QB #1" logic is moronic. It's a one liner some drunk fantasy player tossed out, and 1000s fools ran with it sharing their new found "wisdom".
If you drafted Manning #1 last year, you had to really TRY not to make the playoffs. There was so much talk of going against the guy "who had manning". I went against LT many times, I never feared him like I did Manning.
People are acting like he had one hot year. He's been doing this for YEARS. He's consistently a top 5 fantasy player, and in my league scoring he's been 1/2/4 the last 3 years.
There is no "wrong" answer. LT or Manning your team is going to win quite a bit. But honestly I take Manning. He's in his prime, he's been awesome the last 3 years, he's never hurt, his offensive is custom built around him, he's had the same OC forever, this guy is just a rock.
LT is great too, but I find it far easier to find a great RB, even off the WW. Look at what JJ did last year. LJ had some monster games. You can find RBs who step up. Droughns had some awesome games for me. There is nothing worse then losing your QB, or having a bum QB.
And lastly, in keeper leagues with 2-5 keeper slots, there are only 3 QBs I'd use a keeper on. Manning, McNabb and Cpep. For RBs, there are at least 10. If you can tell me McNabb is going to be there at the last pick of the 2nd round, then I would take LT. But what if he's gone? Pick Green a 35 year old QB? Ehhh.