gold_steel wrote:Id hate to be in teh 4th/5th/6th spot. You have to take a shaky RB, especially with those Scoring stats you wont take Manning over an RB in the first, (maybe late). But then you have to wait a while and might only get someone like Tiki Barber on the way back. Its a tough choice. I have a very calculated cheat sheet which consists of 5 very reliable sources. In which i have McGahee at 4/Edge at 5/Deuce at #6. I think you have to take either Mcgahee or Edge off the board at that time, and just hope they live up to the hype.
McGahee is the only person who has to live up to "hype."
Seriously, what do you guys have against Edge? When he plays a full 16 game year, he has always gained over 2000 total yards. That's an average of 125 yards a game. Heck, when he played 13 games two years ago, he still gained 1500 total yards. The biggest question mark is the TD's...but as a wise man once said, "TD's are the flukiest stats in football." I don't put much credence into those things. I will take a guy who gains 120-150 yards a game and throws in a TD here and there every time. If Edge gets any extra goal line love this year, he'll be a menace and well worth that #4 pick. Even if he doesn't, how many other guys will almost guarantee you 12-15 points a game without the benefit of TD's? OK, he has been injured before as well (3 times in 6 years), but a lot of RB's get injured for one or two games.
Another thing to consider - if you buy into the whole "Contract Year" thing (which I think was disproven, but who knows for sure), Edge is going for one next year...possibly as a showcase to another team.
Deuce has only reached 2000 total yards once in four seasons, and he only gets about 10 TD's a season. That's about what James gets as well. Yes, they refocused the offense in NO, but they still have to play against the tough defenses of ATL and CAR two times each this year. Throw in the fact that NO always seems to underachieve, and risk is thrown in. There's isn't much risk with Edge because you know their offense is going to be tough unless something unforseen happens.
I don't think anyone will argue that the middle draft spots (#4 through #9) are probably weaker this year. If you rank your players ahead of time and get the guy you want at your spot, you really can't complain at all. As far as who you should rank there, that depends on what you feel Manning will do this year. If you feel he's in for another 40+ TD year, then you want to rank him 4th. Otherwise, I like a guy like James to be a nice safe pick for anyone to take.