BronXBombers51 wrote:Ok, I'm a week away from draft day, and so many questions are still unanswered. RBBC is a FF owner's worst nightmare, and yet there are several of these situations. Who do you see succeeding in the following situations, and when and where should they be drafted in a 10 team league?
Miami- Ronnie Brown, Ricky Williams
Chicago- Cedric Benson, Thomas Jones
Carolina- DeShaun Foster, Nick Goings, Stephen Davis
Cleveland- Lee Suggs, Rueben Droughns, William Green
Tennessee- Travis Henry, Chris Brown
San Francisco- Kevan Barlow, Frank Gore
What are the lineup requirements/options? The only reason I ask is, there should be some RB depth since it's a 10 teamer and I don't see a lot of these guys even making it to the point that I would draft them. As I read that, I'm not even sure that will come across clearly
Basically, Henry/Brown, Benson and Ronnie Brown will almost all be drafted before I would look at taking them. Unless you start 4 RB's or something crazy -- they just don't present value.
As far as your list (this is based on redraft league):
-- Brown -- will be taken Round 5 or before -- I wouldn't take him unless he made some insane drop to Round 7 or later. Ricky and the team as a whole just isn't that great -- he won't thrive in that system. If you like him, trade for him after week 4 when the other owner sees how little he has done -- have you seen that schedule?? You may be able to give him a K for him...
Ricky -- He goes about Round 7 -- I like him there.
-- TJ -- could be valuable as CM said but, I'm not sure how long and where you would draft him. For some reason, in all my mocks, I don't see him. As of right now, I don't see a problem with him in the 7th or so. With Grossman out, I really forsee a poor team on the field -- unless they let Blake throw it everywhere -- and if that's the case, take Moose in the 7th
Benson -- See Brown -- will go far too early for where I would want to take him.
-- I like Foster a lot -- and, he slips to 4th round or later. Great value if you go RB/WR/WR or some other combo that only nets you one RB in the first 3 rounds -- most likely early in the draft which is quite possible if you have a top 3 pick. Getting Foster there and backing up with Shelton is pretty easy to do -- Goings and Davis are undraftable.
-- Bad situation if you have to rely on any of these guys for more than a FLEX which I seriously doubt anyone would be in -- barring injuries. Suggs will always be around late -- don't think I've seen him go higher than the 7th round. I may take a flier for depth on him in Round 8 or later depending on whats around. Droughns is at least 10th round or later -- no picking Green for me.
-- See situation in CLE and multiply by 10
Brown -- more talent/more brittle. Henry -- less talent/more durable/better goal line. I have no idea what will happen here. Probably best to stay away from both these guys. Brown still goes in the 3rd or so -- no way I touch him there. Henry I've seen in the 6th. Personally, I would take Henry RD 7 or later.
-- My FAVORITE conversation. I can't tell you how many times people throw out "Barlow????" when I take him in the 6th or 7th round EVERY mock draft. Every draft right now I have Barlow as a target. At WORST, you are generally getting this guy as a RB 3 -- I see ZERO problem with that. If you told me right now Barlow will duplicate last years numbers only -- no improvement -- I would still draft him here and still be happy with him as my RB 3/FLEX.
In the end, based on all the ADP's of these guys, the only players I see as draftworthy (barring some change after today) in a re-draft league are:
Williams (7th round or later)
TJ (5th round or later)
Foster/Shelton (4th round/10th round or later)
Suggs (8th round or later)
Henry (7th round or later)
Barlow (5th round or later)
Just my opinion -- YMMV