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Postby pawnking » Mon Oct 31, 2005 1:08 pm

We're about to enter week three and it looks like I'll have 3 picks plus a bye. This is not necessarily a good thing, because now we can only use a team once the rest of the way, and that's gonna make those two extra picks a liability. Suppose I use my bye week 9 and then do not make a pick week 10. Will I lose one or two of my three picks for week 10? Does this mean that I will not lose any teams through week 10? Suppose I just make no picks for the next three weeks. Will I then have one team left starting week 11? Can I choose no teams for week 9 but NOT take my bye? That is, can I sacrifice one of my picks to get me through a week?

Thanks!
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Postby Arlo » Mon Oct 31, 2005 2:39 pm

pawnking wrote:We're about to enter week three and it looks like I'll have 3 picks plus a bye. This is not necessarily a good thing, because now we can only use a team once the rest of the way, and that's gonna make those two extra picks a liability. Suppose I use my bye week 9 and then do not make a pick week 10. Will I lose one or two of my three picks for week 10? Does this mean that I will not lose any teams through week 10? Suppose I just make no picks for the next three weeks. Will I then have one team left starting week 11? Can I choose no teams for week 9 but NOT take my bye? That is, can I sacrifice one of my picks to get me through a week?

Thanks!

If you have three picks now, use your bye, and then don't make a pick the next week, you'll have one pick remaining with all teams available. When you take a safety week, you lose half your picks, rounded up. So if you make no picks for the next three weeks ... you'll be out.

And the first week you miss always counts as your bye.
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Postby pawnking » Mon Oct 31, 2005 3:27 pm

Arlo wrote:If you have three picks now, use your bye, and then don't make a pick the next week, you'll have one pick remaining with all teams available. When you take a safety week, you lose half your picks, rounded up. So if you make no picks for the next three weeks ... you'll be out.

And the first week you miss always counts as your bye.


Thanks! I'll have to step carefully over the next few weeks! Assuming, of course, that Pittsburgh wins tonight.
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Postby menyak » Mon Oct 31, 2005 3:36 pm

pawnking wrote:
Arlo wrote:If you have three picks now, use your bye, and then don't make a pick the next week, you'll have one pick remaining with all teams available. When you take a safety week, you lose half your picks, rounded up. So if you make no picks for the next three weeks ... you'll be out.

And the first week you miss always counts as your bye.


Thanks! I'll have to step carefully over the next few weeks! Assuming, of course, that Pittsburgh wins tonight.

Doesn't really make much sense to me to drop your picks on purpose. 8-o If you think they're a liability, why not bet your money on Houston or SanFran - I'd be surprised if you'll miss those picks later on. :-D
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Postby Arlo » Mon Oct 31, 2005 7:01 pm

menyak wrote:If you think they're a liability, why not bet your money on Houston or SanFran - I'd be surprised if you'll miss those picks later on. :-D

Hey - San Francisco's on a roll! :-b
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Postby pawnking » Tue Nov 01, 2005 8:53 am

menyak wrote:Doesn't really make much sense to me to drop your picks on purpose. 8-o If you think they're a liability, why not bet your money on Houston or SanFran - I'd be surprised if you'll miss those picks later on. :-D


That's exactly the quandry I face now. Last year I had only one pick by this point, and there was only one fellow with three. He used all the good teams up within 2 weeks and washed out soon after. I have to ponder bye week strategy carefully now.
;-D
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Postby menyak » Tue Nov 01, 2005 9:44 am

pawnking wrote:
menyak wrote:Doesn't really make much sense to me to drop your picks on purpose. 8-o If you think they're a liability, why not bet your money on Houston or SanFran - I'd be surprised if you'll miss those picks later on. :-D


That's exactly the quandry I face now. Last year I had only one pick by this point, and there was only one fellow with three. He used all the good teams up within 2 weeks and washed out soon after. I have to ponder bye week strategy carefully now.
;-D

Yup, that may have been a tactical mistake. The rules make having several picks left a smaller advantage, but they don't turn them into a disadvantage. Show us that you can do better! ;-D
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Postby CapitalGoofBall » Fri Nov 18, 2005 12:49 pm

Wow, If only I had seen this 11 weeks ago. Now Ill jusyt have to hope I remember next year.
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Postby menyak » Fri Nov 18, 2005 1:05 pm

CapitalGoofBall wrote:Wow, If only I had seen this 11 weeks ago. Now Ill jusyt have to hope I remember next year.

I think there's a statistical misunderstanding here. If you had 4 picks left in week 10 and get into the playoffs, you may be at a slight disadvantage over someone who already had just 1 pick in week 10 and made it to the playoffs anyway. Fact is though that by throwing all your picks away early on you are diminishing your chances to reach the playoffs at all, because the only guy who held on to his single pick for so long is one out of three dozen who at the same time bit the dust. So holding on to as many picks as possible is imho still the best way to go.

If anyone is really planning that far: we will be adapting the rules to make sure that in any given week, you'll be able to pick either side of at least one matchup. So while you may end up having to pick the winner of Houston vs. SF, you'll not have to decide between Houston beating Indy or SF beating Pittsburgh.
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Postby stomperrob » Wed Nov 23, 2005 1:28 am

What happens if you are a Sweet 16 survivor for a second year - do ya get a second icon???
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