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Why I think Manning is a Poor 1st Round Draft Pick

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Postby ScreamingWeasel » Sat Aug 27, 2005 5:16 pm

The Weasel's Guide To Fantasy Football

Chapter 1: "It's ALL about the points".
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Postby Vixtor » Sat Aug 27, 2005 5:49 pm

You are not trying to win matchups (I mean Your RB vs. His RB). You are trying to score more points. End of conversation.
The facts have no meaning.
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Re: Why I think Manning is a Poor 1st Round Draft Pick

Postby toofunny » Sat Aug 27, 2005 10:53 pm

DraftDodger wrote:Okay, I'll start by giving Manning the stats again. Let's say that he's going to score more than any other fantasy player this year.

So what?

That doesn't make him a first round pick.

Consider ... if you DON'T pick Manning, then you only have to play against him ONCE OR TWICE during the whole regular season.

On the other hand, if you DO choose Manning in the first round, you have to play against the likes of Tomlinson, Holmes, Alexander, McCallister, James, Portis, etc. EVERY REGULAR SEASON GAME.

If you choose Manning in the first, you're almost guaranteeing that you will lose important position matchups EVERY GAME. If you don't choose him, you might still win the QB matchups the majority of the time and you'll have a much better chance of winning the RB matchups.

Think about it ...


This is probably the worst draft strategy post I've ever read. It makes no sense on so many levels. Let us know when your book is coming out. Good work!
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Ahem

Postby DraftDodger » Tue Sep 27, 2005 1:08 am

Then there's the best reason of all for not taking ANY QB EVER in the first round ... there are lots of good quarterbacks available later in the draft and sometimes "Big Name Quarterbacks" are no more dependable year-to-year than fantasy DSTs.

Am I writing off Peyton this year due to the "run-first offense and win with defense" team strategy? No. He's still one of the top QB's in the league and can air it out when needed. He's going to light up some secondaries.

But he wasn't (and won't be) worth a first round pick.

And by the way ... if you're consistently winning most of your matchups, you're usually going to outscore your opponent. So what if one of his players score 12 points more than one of your players if all your other players are winning by several points?

So yeah guys, it's "all about the total points" but you only get a total by adding all the individual numbers together. Basic math revisited for the argumentative types

:)
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Re: Ahem

Postby WhiskeyTangoFoxtrot » Tue Sep 27, 2005 1:23 am

DraftDodger wrote:Then there's the best reason of all for not taking ANY QB EVER in the first round ... there are lots of good quarterbacks available later in the draft and sometimes "Big Name Quarterbacks" are no more dependable year-to-year than fantasy DSTs.

Am I writing off Peyton this year due to the "run-first offense and win with defense" team strategy? No. He's still one of the top QB's in the league and can air it out when needed. He's going to light up some secondaries.

But he wasn't (and won't be) worth a first round pick.

And by the way ... if you're consistently winning most of your matchups, you're usually going to outscore your opponent. So what if one of his players score 12 points more than one of your players if all your other players are winning by several points?

So yeah guys, it's "all about the total points" but you only get a total by adding all the individual numbers together. Basic math revisited for the argumentative types

:)


above and beyond that, the people who did so well with peyton last year had a nice rb to go with him because peyton went in the middle of the second round not 1.1. 90% of those same people lost the league championship when peyton barely played in week 16. people who took manning at 1.1 or 1.2 this year have #1 rb's like LJ, SJax, Green, etc..

throwing close to 50 td's is a once in a lifetime thing. peyton will return to his 4000 and 26-30 TD career avg. Indy will be 14-1 right in time for the week 16 ff sb and peyton will sit. nice value for a late second/early third round pick but definitely not worth a first round pick.

i like Palmer alot better in the 7th. ;-D
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Postby awwchrist » Tue Sep 27, 2005 1:45 am

just for the sake of arguement, Peyton can spot the entire QB pool 3 games and if he hits hard like he did last year, would more than cover by week 14.

just saying..if you're really comfertable calling a winner in this debate when we're only 1/5 of the way through the FF regular season...
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