DGroundhog wrote:I like the 1, 2, 9, or 10 spot.
I'd take the 3 hole over the 12 spot.
me, as well. the 1 or 2 spots are money since you can land one of the absolute no-doubters. whether you want the 3 hole over the 12 spot depends on what sort of team you would feel comfortable with. in the 12 spot, you can get two solid, third-tier running backs. (i would place tomlinson & alexander as their own tier; edge, mcgahee, priest, and then maybe mcallister and domanick davis in a second; and then rudi johnson, corey dillon, jamal lewis, ahman green, kevin jones, julius jones, brian westbrook, maybe one or two others, in the third). on the third/fourth round, you can maybe get one of the rookie running backs or you'd be drafting receivers.... gates & gonzo will probably be gone by then.
the third pick, you are picking from the second tier rb's with your first pick, maybe the bottom of the third tier with your second pick, could be top of the fourth, and then almost definitely the top of the fourth tier with your third pick. and will have only hopefuls (e.g., ricky williams) to choose from once it gets back to your fourth. however, you have flexibility. you can count on getting some sort of quality rb in all of your 3 picks, so you can spend one of them on a different position, if you prefer... pick up a stud wr if they fall to you in the second, or take a te with your third pick... or early qb. you have flexibility and can more dictate how you want your draft to shape up. whereas with the 12 slot i feel you're almost obligated to go rb/rb since there won't be much left for you once he comes around the third time.
if it helps, i had the 3rd pick in a 12-person league and it was tough because there were 4-5 running backs that i thought all were legitimate picks and the only one who stood out (priest) required you to spend your 5th rounder to feel comfortable with him. so i ended up drafting peyton just to have a pick not to worry about and ended up with 2 servicable rb's when it came back to me (lamont jordan & j.j. arrington) and then two pretty good wr's on the next two rounds (burleson & d-jax). so maybe i could've done better, but i'm happy with that as the core of my squad.