Flux wrote:play your best options no matter what....period.
Dont worry about the other guys team, just field your best
I think it's too simplistic to say "never do this cancel-out strategy -- always play your best guy." The whole point is that it's often very difficult to tell who the best guy is. This strategy, I think, is a decent way to pick the best player to start.
Plindsey88 wrote:Depends on the situation...
For example, if you are deciding between two studs that are really close in your rankings, one who happens to be the #1 target of the oppositions QB, then I would start that guy....
But, never bench a stud just so you can start the #1 target of the opposing QB....
If you are deciding between Steve Smith and Torry Holt, and the opposing QB is Jake Delhomme, then I would start Smith....
HOWEVER, if you are deciding between Steve Smith and Reggie Wayne, and the opposing QB is Peyton Manning, I would still opt to start Smith, because he is the bigger stud.....
Exactly. I agree totally.
skibrett15 wrote:don't ever worry about the competition. I always start who I think will have the best weeks. Its not "safer" in any way to start that wr, it's just a wasted opportunity to outscore your opponent. If you are canceling out, you aren't getting ahead.
Again, you assume we can always differentiate between two players based on merit alone. That's easy if you're picking between Chad Johnson and Wayne Chrbet.
But let's say we've got Torry Holt and Chad Johnson to chose between, and both play at home against weak pass defenses. And let's say your fantasy opponent is starting Bulger.
By starting Johnson, you benefit by the fact that he normally gives a solid fantasy performance. But you'd get that same benefit by starting Holt, who is also normally a strong fantasy start. Of course Johnson could blow up, for 200 yards and 4 TDs. But, again, so could Holt.
The difference is that if Holt does this, and you start Johnson, you're screwed because your opponent has Bulger and will get all those fantasy points.
In the end, if you're picking between two virtually equal players, your chances of picking the right one are about 50/50. But you can cover yourself against a huge day by your opponents QB by choosing his favorite target. It's coverage. It's piece of mind.
When two players' likely fantasy performance is so closely linked, as with Bulger/Holt or Moss/Collins, then by playing a cancel-out strategy, you're difffering the fantasy macthup to the remaining players in your (and your opposent's) lineup.
This isn't a sure-fire strategy for winning, it's merely a safe play.