by DraftDodger » Sat Oct 08, 2005 9:57 am
This is the kind of crap the league wanted, people trash talking the Patriots and their players because of a brutal early schedule. Only three players have scored more TDs than Dillon, and two of them are clearly superior runners, among the elite of their generation.
Wait til those division games kick in, and Dillon's numbers start looking like they're being handed down directly from God. The schedule eases up for the Pats real soon, and keep in mind too that 4 of their last 5 games are against division opponents, making Dillon an excellent RB for your fantasy playoffs.
More than likely, the Pats will win this week at Atlanta, possibly lose next week in Denver, then after the bye go on a long winning streak. Dillon will start getting his share of games where the Patriots are just running to eat up the clock, a position he hasn't been playing from this year. Once that happens, people will be happy with his overall numbers.
RBs just don't get yardage when their team is playing from behind, something we're going to start seeing a lot less of with the Patriots.
Dillon belongs on your team and in your lineup every (non-bye) week unless you drafted against a bunch of idiots and can field a fantasy dream team.
This week against Atlanta, I expect both teams to play conservatively---Atlanta out of necessity with a banged up Vick, and the Patriots because they're confident they can win close games. That means lots of running for Dillon. Atlanta is pretty good against the primary receivers but lousy at covering the secondary receivers (3rd and 4th receivers, TEs, RBs) so I also expect a good day for Tim Dwight and one of the TEs, probably Daniel Graham.
DON'T EXPECT THE FALCONS TO STOP DRIVES LIKE THEY DID LAST WEEK. Brady excels at spreading the ball around, and Atlanta's pass defense is built around stopping a couple of key receivers. I.e., their defense is all wrong against the Pats, who don't have to rely on one or two guys to catch the ball. Brady will pick the Falcons' pass defense apart with ease, sustaining drives, creating a good yardage day for Dillon.