The Bears have looked good with TJ, but his health is a concern and they havn't looked good outside of the running game.
Favre has impressed me these last two games, but even if he can keep it up it'll be very hard getting back to .500 after going 0-3.
The Vikings are looking really bad, and it's not just because they lost Randy Moss.
My (Homer) Pick is the Lions at 9-7. They have some hard games this year (Atlanta, Bengals, Steelers, Cowboys), but there are plenty that they can win on paper-(Saints and Cardinals, in addition to playing Minny 2x)
I'll throw this out there-
(I didn't work their schedules into this much, so this outcome might be impossible