204BC wrote:I’ve seen the subject brought up on this site before as to whether success in FF has more to do with skill and knowledge or luck. Well, I’ve usually been an advocate that it is 80% skill and knowledge and 20% luck. I have now changed my mind.
I am in 3 leagues this year, two of which I pay minimal attention to as they are public leagues. In those two I am doing well. I am in first place in one at 6-1, second in scoring, and in third in the other at 5-2, also second in scoring. The other one however, is with people I know and therefore is more important to me. It is a 14 team league with people I work with. If you lose, you have to listen to the other guy brag all week as well as hear smack talk from your next opponent.
Here’s my situation. I’m the number one scoring team in the league. The closest guy to me is 70 points behind. Some teams in our league only score 70 points a week if you want to put that in perspective. I am, sad to say, in 8th place. I started 3-0 and am now 3-4. In three of the last four games that I lost, the guy who beat me was the only one that I would not have beaten that particular week, including this last week, which I lost by 1 point. In the other loss, only one other person had more points. So out of 13 possible opponents, I end up playing the one person that could beat me. If I faced any of the other twelve I could still be undefeated. I’m averaging 138 points per game and have lost all four of my games by a combined total of 11 points. The team that is in first place is 6-1. He ranks 9th out of 14 in scoring. I have not faced him yet and looking back I would have beaten him every week so far, but with the way things are going, the week I face him will be the one week that he outscores me. I am officially flip flopping my position on this subject. FF is 80% luck, 20% knowledge and skill.
I also started off 3-0 and now am 3-4, I am the highest scoring team but easily have the highest scored against me, this and the fact that injuries have killed me is why I'm on a 4 game losing streak, I still feel I'll get into the playoffs....I really dont see how this team can't make the playoffs!!!
QB - Marc Bulger, Ben Roethlisberger
WR - Randy Moss, Hines Ward, Joey Galloway, Kevin Curtis, Travis Taylor
RB - Shaun Alexander, Priest Holmes, Domanick Davis
TE - Jason Witten, Ben Troupe
K - Jeff Reed
DEF - Buffalo Bills, Buccaneers