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I got 1st pick, now what...

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I got 1st pick, now what...

Postby Genghis » Fri Aug 23, 2002 7:33 am

I am joining a new league this year and got 1st pick. With their scoring system, 9 of the top 10 players last year were QBs. So do I take Kurt Warner, Marshall Faulk, or someone else?

League has 10 teams and the weekly lineup roster includes 1 QB, 2RB, 3RB, 1TE, 1K, 1D
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Postby Arlo » Fri Aug 23, 2002 7:40 am

In this case, look at:

1) Warner's points vs. Faulk's points.

2) Warner vs. QB #2; and Faulk vs. RB #2

3) Warner vs. QB #10; and Faulk vs. RB #10

Even if QBs are worth signifícantly more than RBs, it's still possible that Faulk will outperform the rest of the RBs by so much that he's still worth the #1 pick. What exactly is the scoring system?
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RE: scoring system

Postby Genghis » Fri Aug 23, 2002 8:00 am

The scoring for offense is simple:

4 pts for pass TD
6 points for rush/rec TD
2 pts for pass/rush/rec 2pt conv
1 pt for every 20 yards pass
1 pt for every 10 yards rush

Under these rules last year:

#1 QB - Kurt Warner 380pts
#2 QB - Jeff Garcia 348 pts
#10 QB - Kordell Stewart 282 pts

#1 RB - Marshall Faulk 328 pts
#2 RB - Priest Holmes 266 pts
#10 RB - Dominic Rhodes 182 pts

The things you mentioned to look at:

1) Warner 380 vs. Faulk 328; 52 point diff
2) Warner scored 32 more than Garcia; Faulk scored 62 more than Holmes
3) Warner scored 98 for than Stewart; Faulk scored 146 more than Rhodes

Based on the greater drop-off in the RB category, it appears that Faulk is still the pick?
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Postby Arlo » Fri Aug 23, 2002 9:00 am

With those numbers, I'd say yes: Faulk is the call for the #1 pick.

Warner is obviously a great pick as well, but with your next pick coming at #20, the drop-off at RB is simply too great to pass on Faulk.

Another reason beyond the pure numbers is that most fantasy rankings rank RBs higher than QBs, meaning that it's very likely that far more RBs will be off the board than QBs by the time your 2nd pick rolls around.

Congrats on landing the top pick! :-D
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Keep an Eye Out for ...

Postby DraftDodger » Sat Aug 24, 2002 9:16 pm

Drew Bledsoe. He has all the weapons in Buffalo that a QB could ask for ... quality receivers, a good tight end, one of the better receiving RBs, and a very good offensive line.

This is a guy who may be within your reach after the likes of Warner, Manning, Garcia, Culpepper, McNabb, Favre, etc. are long gone. His position will vary from draft to draft but he will probably be within the top 9-12 QBs taken. The beautiful thing is, he's a threat to outscore just about anyone short of Warner.

Anyways, after spending the #1 on Faulk, I would be looking for a QB with big number potential. Griese is a question mark in my mind this season, but is another talented QB who may be within your reach.
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