bwagner112 wrote:Do you think anyone who is drafted this off-season could move into the top two or three rounds next year if they are in optimal situation, like Bush?
Well, there is no way a rookie QB or WR goes in the top 3 rounds... It would have to be a RB....
So the top 3 contenders would have to be:
Reggie Bush
Laurence Maroney
DeAngelo Williams
As they are likely to be the first rounders...
The back that goes to San Francisco should not be a top 3-round draft pick... The line in San Fran is just too pitiful to warrant it...
If Green Bay goes with one of the three in the first round, then I can totally see that guy being a top 3-round pick, because he will likely be replacing Ahman and Davenport, and should have a chance at immediate playing time (probably an RBBC with Gado), but I honestly think Green Bay picks up a veteran back in Free Agency, and takes a 2nd or 3rd round back like Washington, Riggs, or Addai to bring along slowly... There is too much risk in starting a rookie QB and RB, and I think Favre is done after this year...
If the Jets take a RB in the first, and Curtis Martin retires, that back will be competing with Derrick Blaylock for playing time... If that back is Reggie Bush, I think he wins the job, and I would consider him in the third round of a fantasy draft....
If Arizona were to take a RB, I would avoid him early because the line in Arizona is garbage, and whatever back they pick will be competing with Arrington for carries even if the line picks up their game....
The other two teams that might consider going RB early would be Minnesota and Cleveland, but I wouldn't go near either of their running games early in a fantasy draft... Too many other options for both of those squads...
Honestly, I think Maroney (or Williams) falls in the draft and ends up getting picked up by someone who takes him because he's the best player available, and not really cause they are targetting RB.... If that happens, I would avoid taking him, as he will probably be brought along slowly....
So, to summarize, the only way I take a rookie in the first three rounds of the 2006 fantasy drafts is if Reggie Bush goes to the Jets and Curtis Martin retires, or if one of the big three RB's goes to Green Bay....