I have been up against quite a losing streak (6 losses in a row). I have made by far the most moves in the league. I feel like I am always a week behind. For example, last week everyone was throwing Finneran's name around and Cedric Benson's. This week it is Matt Jones. Seeing foxsports' projection made me laugh out loud http://msn.foxsports.com/fantasy/weekly ... e=WR&wk=11
Anyway, I am curious what everybody thinks about the "trendy" play that everyone picks up. Does anyone have any tips for sorting out the real from the fake? It just seems like nothing has been going like it should. For example, Manning versus the Vikings, that hurt me. Anyway, maybe this is just the reality of fantasy football and I am little shocked by it as a first year player.
well, Gado worked out pretty well for me last week.
I also got burned by Eli. And with Bulger on my bench. Shame on me! Seemed like a good idea at the time...
Anyway, from these two examples, you can see that it's just calculated risks and educated guesses that might lead to a win. That's why the pros play the games every Sunday, and that's why the number one guy in your league can lose to the dude in last.
As they say on Wall Street, past history does not guarantee future success...
So, in conclusion, to directly answer your question: yeah, sometimes.
14 Team w/FLX .5PPR The Porkchop Express QB: Carson Palmer, Vince Young RB: Maurice Jones-Drew, Matt Forte, Reggie Bush, Tim Hightower WR: Greg Jennings, Anquan Boldin, Terrell Owens, Jabar Gaffney TE: John Carlson, Ben Watson PK: R Gould TD: NO, TB
Hahahahaha. That 6 carries for 40 yards part is the best.
I agree about using the 3rd spot (WR or Flex) for a riskier/trendier play is best. It seems like for me even pretty solid plays keep killing me. Tampa Bay D vs. SF . . . Caddy vs. SF . . . Manning vs. Minny. I've had two weeks in a row where only two players on my teams get TDs! And my roster doesn't seem that bad . . .
QBs = Brunell, Eli Manning
WRs = Burress, C.Johnson, Matt Jones, Wilford
RBs = Tiki, LJ, Gado, Marion Barber (the latter three are recent acquisitions -- all after their huge days)
TEs = Shockey, LJ Smith
K = Jason Elam (recent acquisition)
D = Chicago, Denver (recent acquisition)
the hot play is always the right play... until it isn't.
it's like how broadcasters use the term "momentum" ... it's always good to have and can change at any time. but it's all self-definitional. the way they define you having momentum is by you doing well, so when you stop doing well, they say that you've lost your momentum. and then blame you not doing well on you not having momentum.
my gut take on it is that players and teams have statistical expectations which they can deviate from on occasion. and just because matt jones had a huge week this week doesn't make me a believer in him this week. you missed it, accept it, move on. if you do want to try to ride the hot hand, then pick up someone who had a big game, leave them on your bench, and see if the big game was indicative of something bigger. but don't expect lighting to hit in the same spot twice. in that way lies failure & frustration.
Nothing but good luck here. I got 3 good weeks out of Willie Parker, a week out of Marion Barber, and a stellar week out of Johnson-MIN, Gage, and Johnson-AZ.
KoopaTroopa211 wrote:This is a talented team that under any other circumstances would be an absolute lock for their 4th championship, but I can't shake the feeling that the push for 16-0 will in the end be the undoing of this team in the playoffs.