I have the Cadillac as a late first round pick in my rankings. Last week I participated in two mock drafts on another site and picked him up with the 3.09 and 3.12 picks! (re-draft, 1 point per 10 yards rushing/receiving, 6 points per rushing/receiving TD, 1 point per 20 yards passing, 4 points per passing TD) Here at the Cafe 2006 Mock Draft I, he was chosen with the 2.05 pick.
The Lung wrote:I have the Cadillac as a late first round pick in my rankings. Last week I participated in two mock drafts on another site and picked him up with the 3.09 and 3.12 picks! (re-draft, 1 point per 10 yards rushing/receiving, 6 points per rushing/receiving TD, 1 point per 20 yards passing, 4 points per passing TD) Here at the Cafe 2006 Mock Draft I, he was chosen with the 2.05 pick.
It depends on how much stock the "experts" put in the injury problems he had last year and the amount of TD's they feel he'll lose to Alstott next year. Those have to big the big question marks keeping his draft stats lower.
I suppose I can also see people lowering his value since so many 2nd year RB's have been horrible picks over the past 2-3 years. Guys that many have predicted to have great success have been wasted 1st and 2nd round picks in year two.
That said, the Cafe Mock placing him at 2.05 sounds pretty good right now. I'm hoping some WR's were taken above him, and I'm assuming he was taken right around the time S. Jackson was taken. He's probably the "surest" thing among the four new backs from last year.
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Cadillac has some pretty big question marks in my eyes. First there is the fact that he missed quite a few games due to injury last year. Second is the fact that Alstott has become a TD vulture. He also was not utilized as a pass catcher in Grudens offense last year. In ppr leagues his value take a hit. In his defense when he was healthy he put up some huge numbers and got his share of TDs. He wont probably get more than 12 TDs a year but i think he is still a solid number 2 back and i would be happy to get him in the second round.
At this point, anyone who wants to jump the gun on him in the late 1st or early 2nd round is more than welcome to. mid to late 2nd is where he should until TB can prove he's going to have an easier time putting up fantasy points(drafting/signing upgrades to the o-line, releasing Alstott/Pittman, etc).
I think the risk with Cadillac is not with his ability, or even with his injury problems. I'd say that the TB offense has a legitimate chance of falling right on its face next year. If galloway gets injured again... or if he underwhelms, or if simms regresses then I think Caddy has a good chance of going down with the ship. The Alstott/Pittman conundrum only worsens caddy's situation in TB. Gruden is an offensive minded coach, so he may come out great, but I wouldn't put too much stock in bad offenses like TB.
That said, he is in my top 10 RBs. He's a tweener 1st/2nd guy for me that I'd probably pass on if he was going to be my no. 1 guy.
Last edited by skibrett15 on Mon Jan 30, 2006 4:24 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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For the record Alstott has stated publicly that hes probably retiring. I have Caddy at a mid to late second rounder this year at the earliest, I think that his stock fell to the point where hes a good value pick but not a great reach pick, certainly not late first.
I can think of two main reasons that he may be "falling": after the 1st 4/5 RBs the talent pool broadens in terms of amount touches and stats, and also if any of these leagues were ppr, that means top tier WRs have increased value.