Ryan Houston: Very Early QB Rankings & Projections
Date: Feb 23/06
There is nothing worse than the offseason to a Fantasy Football fanatic! We sit around wondering what we are going to do different next season while at the same time scavenging through raw data on obscure college players who hope to make a fantasy impact in 2006. We have problems...there is no doubt about it. If you are like me you are probably still wondering why Antwaan Randle El couldn't get one reception in the final three minutes of that game against Indianapolis (costing me an undefeated season in NFFC by .8 points) and those moments continue to eat at you. Considering I actually have a draft or two that I need to prepare for I figured I'd share my very early 2006 rankings. Obviously these will change over the next few months, but I wanted to throw a bone to my fellow scavengers.
1. Peyton Manning
Say what you want about this guy but when it comes to fantasy there is nobody close. 8304 passing yards and 77 touchdowns over the last two seasons combined. Incredible.
2006 VE Projection: 4220 Yards Passing / 31 TDs / 10 INTs
2. Tom Brady
There is something to be said about consistency. Set a career high with over 4100 yards passing in 2005.
2006 VE Projection: 3910 Yards Passing / 27 TDs / 15 INTs
3. Donovan McNabb
A healthy Brian Westbrook and the signing of a top notch free agent wideout and he'd be a lock for this spot.
2006 VE Projection: 3760 Yards Passing / 22 TDs / 11 INTs
4. Carson Palmer
He'd obviously be much higher if it wasn't for the torn ACL he suffered in the playoffs. His recovery time will be crucial.
2006 VE Projection: 3500 Yards Passing / 28 TDs / 16 INTs
5. Matt Hasselbeck
The loss of Shaun Alexander would put even more pressure on him to carry the load. A steady performer who will get you solid fantasy totals.
2006 VE Projection: 3300 Yards Passing / 23 TDs / 10 INTs
6. Jake Delhomme
If they can find a complimentary option to Steve Smith and steady RB option...watch out!
2006 VE Projection: 3800 Yards Passing / 27 TDs / 16 INTs
7. Marc Bulger
There is no doubt when Bulger is in the game he puts up terrific numbers. The problem is he doesn't stay in too often.
2006 VE Projection: 3240 Yards Passing / 21 TDs / 18 INTs
8. Trent Green
His 19 TDs left everyone scratching their head but very few noticed he put up his third straight 4,000-yard season.
2006 VE Projection: 3810 Yards Passing / 18 TDs / 12 INTs
9. Eli Manning
His play in the second half of last season left a very bitter taste in my mouth. He'll have to prove to me he is capable of overcoming that meltdown once again.
2006 VE Projection: 3890 Yards Passing / 22 TDs / 17 INTs
10. Kurt Warner
I'm a bit higher on him than most but if you add a capable running back to the mix you might be looking at one of the most explosive offenses in the entire league. You WANT the QB associated with that offense.
2006 VE Projection: 3330 Yards Passing / 25 TDs / 19 INTs
11. Drew Brees
I'm concerned about the labrum injury and where he is going to end up next season. I simply don't believe he will be in San Diego next year.
2006 VE Projection: 2910 Yards Passing / 20 TDs / 16 INTs
12. Daunte Culpepper
Speaking of concerns.... this guy falls from Top 10 pick to outside of the fifth round on my board. I can't get a gauge on his health or mindset.
2006 VE Projection: 3000 Yards Passing / 21 TDs / 18 INTs
13. Ben Roethlisberger
Health has been a concern but at some point this young player is going to want to prove he's much more than an acceptable QB.
2006 VE Projection: 2640 Yards Passing / 19 TDs / 10 INTs
14. Jake Plummer
The decrease in INTs was solid, but the decrease in TDs really hurt. Don't expect anything spectacular.
2006 VE Projection: 3170 Yards Passing / 17 TDs / 12 INTs
15. Drew Bledsoe
Plenty of weapons but how will the loss of offensive coordinator Sean Payton affect this not-so-young fantasy option?
2006 VE Projection: 2960 Yards Passing / 19 TDs / 17 INTs
16. Brett Favre
If he plays and Javon Walker returns to health you could do much worse at this point (see ALL of the names below).
2006 VE Projection: 3300 Yards Passing / 20 TDs / 22 INTs
17. David Carr
Since it appears he won't be taking snaps for another franchise let's assume the Texans will fortify the offensive line and draft Reggie Bush. Huge pluses in my book.
2006 VE Projection: 2780 Yards Passing / 18 TDs / 14 INTs
18. Byron Leftwich
You just keep hoping he turns the corner, but like the RB in Jacksonville, he simply can't stay healthy.
2006 VE Projection: 2800 Yards Passing / 16 TDs / 11 INTs
19. Rex Grossman
Call it a hunch but with an increased emphasis on the passing game Rex could be a solid fantasy option in 2006.
2006 VE Projection: 2500 Yards Passing / 17 TDs / 14 INTs
20. Michael Vick
I've jumped off the bandwagon and wouldn't even consider him a fantasy starter unless he's playing at home against a pitiful defense.
2006 VE Projection: 2380 Yards Passing / 14 TDs / 14 INTs
The Best of the Rest
21. Steve McNair
22. Mark Brunell
23. Alex Smith
24. Chris Simms
25. Kyle Boller
26. Matt Leinart
27. Chad Pennington
28. Vince Young
29. Charlie Frye
30. Gus Frerotte
Not bad, but I think he overvalues Jake Delhomme and undervalues Culpepper a bit. (Assuming Daunte is a healthy return)